| Literature DB >> 31193430 |
Tamer Saafan1, Walid El Ansari2,3,4, Omer Al-Yahri1, Ammar Eleter1, Hisham Eljohary1, Rashad Alfkey1, Mustafa Hajjar1, Ali Toffaha1, Abdelrahman El Osta5.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: /aim: Scores commonly employed to risk stratify perforated peptic ulcer patients include ASA (American Society of Anesthesiologists), Boey and peptic ulcer perforation score (PULP). However, few studies assessed and compared the accuracy indices of these three scores in predicting post PPU repair 30-day morbidity. We assessed accuracy indices of PULP, and compared them to Boey and ASA in predicting post perforated duodenal (PDU) ulcer repair 30-day morbidity.Entities:
Keywords: ASA; Boey; M&M, mortality and morbidity; PDU, Perforated peptic ulcer; PPU, perforated peptic ulcer; PULP; PULP, peptic ulcer perforation score; Perforated duodenal ulcer; Perforated peptic ulcer; Perforated peptic ulcer score
Year: 2019 PMID: 31193430 PMCID: PMC6527942 DOI: 10.1016/j.amsu.2019.05.001
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Ann Med Surg (Lond) ISSN: 2049-0801
Postoperative complications following repair of perforated duodenal ulcer.
| 30-day Complication | Frequency (n) |
|---|---|
| Abdominal Collection | 8 |
| Pleural effusion/Pneumonia | 7 |
| Surgical site infection | 3 |
| Septic shock | 5 |
| DVT | 1 |
| Ileus | 1 |
| Total Morbidity | 16 |
| Mortality | 1 |
DVT: deep vein thrombosis.
Characteristics of PDU patients by 30-day morbidity (continuous variables).
| Variable | All Sample | 30-day morbidity | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | No | |||
| Demography | ||||
| Gender (M:F) | 151:0 | – | – | – |
| Age (years) | 37.41 ± 12.6 | 44.94 ± 14.30 | 36.51 ± 12.16 | 0.002 |
| Chemistry | ||||
| WBC (uL) | 13.43 ± 5.83 | 10.89 ± 6.15 | 13.73 ± 5.74 | 0.089 |
| Hemoglobin (gm/dl) | 15.00 ± 2.12 | 13.61 ± 2.62 | 15.17 ± 2 | 0.003 |
| Creatinine (umol/L) | 93.92 ± 52.00 | 153.31 ± 127.01 | 87 ± 27.65 | 0.063 |
| Albumin (gm/L) | 37.80 ± 6.05 | 31.81 ± 9.70 | 38.52 ± 5.06 | 0.01 |
| Score | ||||
| ASA | 2.14 ± 0.69 | 2.56 ± 0.73 | 2.10 ± 0.67 | 0.001 |
| Boey | 0.64 ± 0.63 | 1.06 ± 0.78 | 0.59 ± 0.59 | 0.001 |
| PULP | 2.21 ± 1.97 | 3.81 ± 2.93 | 2.02 ± 1.74 | 0.016 |
All cell values represent mean ± standard deviation; M: F male: female; —: not applicable.
Characteristics of PDU patients by 30-day morbidity (categorical variables).
| Variable | n | 30-day morbidity | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes % | No % | |||
| Perforation on admission >24 h | 73 | 12.2 | 87.8 | 0.7 |
| Shock on admission | 3 | 66.7 | 33.3 | 0.03 |
| Preoperative comorbidities | 13 | 38.5 | 61.5 | 0.001 |
| Malignancy | 2 | 0 | 100 | 1 |
| Liver cirrhosis | 1 | 100 | 0 | 0.112 |
| ASA Level | 0.004 | |||
| 1 | 23 | 4.30 | 95.7 | |
| 2 | 86 | 7.0 | 93.0 | |
| 3 | 39 | 20.5 | 79.5 | |
| 4 | 3 | 33.3 | 66.7 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Boey Level | 0.001 | |||
| 0 | 65 | 6.20 | 93.8 | 0.001 |
| 1 | 76 | 9.20 | 90.8 | |
| 2 | 9 | 55.5 | 44.5 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 100 | |
| Pulp Level | ||||
| 0-7 | 140 | 8.57 | 91.43 | |
| 8-18 | 11 | 36.36 | 63.64 | |
We used the PULP's definition. Although Boey's definition differs from PULP, however, as most of our patients were operated within 1–2 h from admission to emergency room, such difference in definitions did not influence the current study.
We used the (PULP's) definition as we had only 3 patients presenting with both blood pressure < 100 mm Hg and pulse > 100, therefore, even these three patients fitted both (Boey and PULP) definitions.
Fig. 1ROC curves for PULP, Boey and ASA showing the area under the curve.
30-day morbidity optimal cut-off and accuracy indices of three scoring systemsa.
| Variable | AUC (95% CI) | P | Cutoff | Sensitivity (95% CI) | Specificity (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PULP | 0.72 (0.57–0.86) | 0.004 | ≥3 | 64.71 (41.30–82.69) | 74.63(66.64–81.24) |
| ASA | 0.69 (0.55–0.83) | 0.009 | ≥3 | 58.82 (36.01–78.39) | 75.56 (67.66–82.03) |
| Boey | 0.69 (0.54–0.84) | 0.011 | ≥1 | 76.47 (52.74–90.45) | 45.19 (37.04–53.60) |
Based on receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve analysis for 30-day morbidity; AUC: Area under the curve; CI: confidence interval.
Cut-off and diagnostic accuracy indices of scoring systems for predicting 30-day morbidity after PPU repair.
| Study | Complication | G/D (%) | N (%) | Score used | Cutoff | Sensitivity | Specificity | AUC% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current Study | Morbidity | 0/100 | 16(10.5) | ASA | ≥3 | 58.82 | 75.56 | 69 |
| Boey | ≥1 | 76.47 | 45.19 | 69 | ||||
| PULP | ≥3 | 64.71 | 74.63 | 72 | ||||
| Lohsiriwat 2008 | Morbidity | 86/14 | 46(30) | ASA | 80 | |||
| Boey | 80 | |||||||
| Buck | Septic shock | 35.9/64.1 | 30(25.6) | ASA | ≥3 | 67 | ||
| Boey | ≥2 | 72 | ||||||
| ICU admission | 49(41.9) | ASA | ≥3 | 69 | ||||
| Boey | ≥2 | 64 | ||||||
| Thorson 2014 | Morbidity | 65.1/34.9 | 89(52) | |||||
| Anbalakan | Intraabdominal collection | 56.9/40.4 | 27 | |||||
| Leakage | 7 | |||||||
| Reoperation | 4 | |||||||
| Morbidity | 38(11.4) | |||||||
| Menekse 2015 | Morbidity | 55(24.2) |
Only the first author is cited for space consideration; G/D: Case mix, percentage of perforated gastric ulcer to perforated duodenal ulcer; N: number of patients; —: not reported.