Philipp Kickingereder1, Ulf Neuberger1, David Bonekamp2, Paula L Piechotta1, Michael Götz3, Antje Wick4, Martin Sill5, Annekathrin Kratz6,7, Russell T Shinohara8, David T W Jones9,10, Alexander Radbruch1,2, John Muschelli11, Andreas Unterberg12, Jürgen Debus13,14, Heinz-Peter Schlemmer2, Christel Herold-Mende, Stefan Pfister9,10,15, Andreas von Deimling6,7, Wolfgang Wick4,16, David Capper6,7,17, Klaus H Maier-Hein3, Martin Bendszus1. 1. Department of Neuroradiology, University of Heidelberg Medical Center, Heidelberg, Germany. 2. Department of Radiology, German Cancer Research Center, Heidelberg, Germany. 3. Division of Medical Image Computing, German Cancer Research Center, Heidelberg, Germany. 4. Neurology Clinic, University of Heidelberg Medical Center, Heidelberg, Germany. 5. Division of Biostatistics, German Cancer Research Center, Heidelberg, Germany. 6. Department of Neuropathology, University of Heidelberg Medical Center, Heidelberg, Germany. 7. German Cancer Consortium, Clinical Cooperation Unit Neuropathology, German Cancer Research Center, Heidelberg, Germany. 8. Department of Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Informatics, Center for Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA. 9. Division of Pediatric Neurooncology, German Cancer Research Center, Heidelberg, Germany. 10. German Cancer Consortium Core Center Heidelberg, Heidelberg, Germany. 11. Department of Biostatistics, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA. 12. Department of Neurosurgery, University of Heidelberg Medical Center, Heidelberg, Germany. 13. Department of Radiation Oncology, University of Heidelberg Medical Center, Heidelberg Institute of Radiation Oncology and National Center for Radiation Research in Oncology, Heidelberg, Germany. 14. Molecular and Translational Radiation Oncology, National Center for Tumor Diseases, Heidelberg University Hospital and German Cancer Research Center, Heidelberg, Germany. 15. Department of Pediatric Oncology, Hematology, and Immunology, Heidelberg University Hospital, Heidelberg, Germany. 16. Clinical Cooperation Unit Neurooncology, German Cancer Consortium, German Cancer Research Center, Heidelberg, Germany. 17. Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, corporate member of Freie Universität Berlin, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, and Berlin Institute of Health, Institute for Neuropathology, Berlin, Germany.
Abstract
Background: The purpose of this study was to analyze the potential of radiomics for disease stratification beyond key molecular, clinical, and standard imaging features in patients with glioblastoma. Methods: Quantitative imaging features (n = 1043) were extracted from the multiparametric MRI of 181 patients with newly diagnosed glioblastoma prior to standard-of-care treatment (allocated to a discovery and a validation set, 2:1 ratio). A subset of 386/1043 features were identified as reproducible (in an independent MRI test-retest cohort) and selected for analysis. A penalized Cox model with 10-fold cross-validation (Coxnet) was fitted on the discovery set to construct a radiomic signature for predicting progression-free and overall survival (PFS and OS). The incremental value of a radiomic signature beyond molecular (O6-methylguanine-DNA methyltransferase [MGMT] promoter methylation, DNA methylation subgroups), clinical (patient's age, KPS, extent of resection, adjuvant treatment), and standard imaging parameters (tumor volumes) for stratifying PFS and OS was assessed with multivariate Cox models (performance quantified with prediction error curves). Results: The radiomic signature (constructed from 8/386 features identified through Coxnet) increased the prediction accuracy for PFS and OS (in both discovery and validation sets) beyond the assessed molecular, clinical, and standard imaging parameters (P ≤ 0.01). Prediction errors decreased by 36% for PFS and 37% for OS when adding the radiomic signature (compared with 29% and 27%, respectively, with molecular + clinical features alone). The radiomic signature was-along with MGMT status-the only parameter with independent significance on multivariate analysis (P ≤ 0.01). Conclusions: Our study stresses the role of integrating radiomics into a multilayer decision framework with key molecular and clinical features to improve disease stratification and to potentially advance personalized treatment of patients with glioblastoma.
Background: The purpose of this study was to analyze the potential of radiomics for disease stratification beyond key molecular, clinical, and standard imaging features in patients with glioblastoma. Methods: Quantitative imaging features (n = 1043) were extracted from the multiparametric MRI of 181 patients with newly diagnosed glioblastoma prior to standard-of-care treatment (allocated to a discovery and a validation set, 2:1 ratio). A subset of 386/1043 features were identified as reproducible (in an independent MRI test-retest cohort) and selected for analysis. A penalized Cox model with 10-fold cross-validation (Coxnet) was fitted on the discovery set to construct a radiomic signature for predicting progression-free and overall survival (PFS and OS). The incremental value of a radiomic signature beyond molecular (O6-methylguanine-DNA methyltransferase [MGMT] promoter methylation, DNA methylation subgroups), clinical (patient's age, KPS, extent of resection, adjuvant treatment), and standard imaging parameters (tumor volumes) for stratifying PFS and OS was assessed with multivariate Cox models (performance quantified with prediction error curves). Results: The radiomic signature (constructed from 8/386 features identified through Coxnet) increased the prediction accuracy for PFS and OS (in both discovery and validation sets) beyond the assessed molecular, clinical, and standard imaging parameters (P ≤ 0.01). Prediction errors decreased by 36% for PFS and 37% for OS when adding the radiomic signature (compared with 29% and 27%, respectively, with molecular + clinical features alone). The radiomic signature was-along with MGMT status-the only parameter with independent significance on multivariate analysis (P ≤ 0.01). Conclusions: Our study stresses the role of integrating radiomics into a multilayer decision framework with key molecular and clinical features to improve disease stratification and to potentially advance personalized treatment of patients with glioblastoma.
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