| Literature DB >> 17615900 |
Akinola S Shittu1, Oluwafemi Kuti, Ernest O Orji, Niyi O Makinde, Solomon O Ogunniy, Oluwagbemiga O Ayoola, Salami S Sule.
Abstract
A prospective study was conducted at Obafemi Awolowo University Teaching Hospital Complex, Ile-Ife, Nigeria, between 3 January and 31May 2004, to compare the accuracy of clinical and ultrasonographic estimation of foetal weight at term. One hundred pregnant women who fulfilled the inclusion criteria had their foetal weight estimated independently using clinical and ultrasonographic methods. Accuracy was determined by percentage error, absolute percentage error, and proportion of estimates within 10% of actual birth-weight (birth-weight of +10%). Statistical analysis was done using the paired t-test, the Wilcoxon signed-rank test, and the chi-square test. The study sample had an actual average birth-weight of 3,255+622 (range 2,150-4,950) g. Overall, the clinical method overestimated birth-weight, while ultrasound underestimated it. The mean absolute percentage error of the clinical method was smaller than that of the sonographic method, and the number of estimates within 10% of actual birth-weight for the clinical method (70%) was greater than for the sonographic method (68%); the difference was not statistically significant. In the low birth-weight (<2,500 g) group, the mean errors of sonographic estimates were significantly smaller, and significantly more sonographic estimates (66.7%) were within 10% of actual birth-weight than those of the clinical method (41.7%). No statistically significant difference was observed in all the measures of accuracy for the normal birth-weight range of 2,500-<4,000 g and in the macrosonic group (> or =4,000 g), except that, while the ultrasonographic method underestimated birth-weight, the clinical method overestimated it. Clinical estimation of birth-weight is as accurate as routine ultrasonographic estimation, except in low-birth-weight babies. Therefore, when the clinical method suggests weight smaller than 2,500 g, subsequent sonographic estimation is recommended to yield a better prediction and to further evaluate foetal well-being.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2007 PMID: 17615900 PMCID: PMC3013260
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Health Popul Nutr ISSN: 1606-0997 Impact factor: 2.000
Fig. 1.Scatter diagrams of actual birthweight by estimated foetal weight
Fig. 2.Overall distribution of percentage error terms
Fig. 3.Overall distribution of absolute percentage error terms
Accuracy and differences between methods of estimation
| Birth-weight stratum | Clinical method | Ultrasound | p value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | |||
| Mean percentage error | 4.5±10.10 | -1.4±9.88 | 0.002 |
| Mean absolute percentage error | 9.7±5.37 | 9.9±6.17 | 0.734 |
| Estimates within ABW+10% | 70 | 68 | 0.760 |
| Correlation coefficient | 0.78 | 0.74 | 0.001 |
| <2,500 g | |||
| Mean percentage error | 12.5±16.2 | 8.9±3.1 | 0.030 |
| Mean absolute percentage error | 16.1±14.6 | 12.6±11.7 | 0.063 |
| Estimates within ABW+10% | 41.7 | 66.7 | 0.007 |
| 2,500-<4,000 g | |||
| Mean percentage error | 5.7±9.8 | -2.2±10.1 | 0.000 |
| Mean absolute percentage error | 8.9±5.9 | 9.2±6.3 | 0.729 |
| Estimates within ABW+10% | 73.2 | 71.8 | 0.75 |
| ≥4,000 g | |||
| Mean percentage error | 6.5±7.2 | -4.3±6.9 | 0.000 |
| Mean absolute percentage error | 9.8±8.3 | 10.2±9.1 | 0.746 |
| Estimates within ABW+10% | 70.6 | 64.7 | 0.76 |
*Pair t-test;
†Wilcoxon signed-rank test;
‡Chi-square test;
**Significance of Pearson's correlation coefficient
ABW=Actual birthweight
| Source | Year | Equation |
|---|---|---|
| Shepard | 1983 | Log10BW=1.7492+0.0166(BPD+) + 0.0046(AC) - 0.00002646 (ACxBPD) |
| Campbell | 1975 | LnBW=4.564+0.0282 (AC)-0.0000331(AC)2 |
| Hadlock I | 1985 | Log10BW=1.326–0.0000326 (ACxFL) × 0.00107(HC) + 0.00438 (AC) + 0.0158(FL) |
| Hadlock 2 | 1985 | Log10BW=1.304+0.005251(AC) + 0.01938 (FL) 0.00004(Acx FL) |
| Hadlock 3 | 1985 | Log10BW=1.335–0.000034(ACxFL)+0.00316x (BPD)+0.0045 (AC)+0.01623 (FL) |
| Warsof 1 | 1986 | LnBW=4.6914+0.00151(FL)2- 0.0000119 (FL)3 |
| Warsof 2 | 1986 | LnBW=2.792+0.108 (FL)+0.000036 (AC)2-0.00027 (FLXAC) |
| Combs | 1993 | BW=(0.00023718x(AC)2x(FL)2)+0.00003312(HC)3 |
| Ott | 1986 | Log10BW=0.004355(HC)+0.005394 (AC)-0.00008582 (HCx AC)+1.2594 (FL/AC)-2.0661 |
| Nzeh | 1992 | Log10BW=0.470+0.488 Log10BPD+0.554 Log10 FL+1.377 Log10AC |
| Nzeh | 1992 | Log10 BW=0.326+0.00451(SDI)+0.383 Log10BPD+0.614 Log10FL+1.485Log10AC |
| Deter | 1985 | EFW=101.335–0.0034AcxFL+0.0316BPD +0.0457AC+0.1623FL |