| Literature DB >> 34775242 |
Seri Anderson1, Josephine Mauskopf2, Sandra E Talbird3, Annesha White4, Meenakshi Srinivasan5.
Abstract
PURPOSE: To show the impact of drug-drug interactions (DDIs) associated with co-administration of enzyme-inducing (EI) antiseizure medications and oral contraceptives (OCs) on the annual number of unintended pregnancies, their outcomes, and their associated costs in the United States (US).Entities:
Keywords: Antiseizure medications; Costs; Drug–drug interactions; Oral contraceptives; Unintended pregnancy
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2021 PMID: 34775242 PMCID: PMC8683747 DOI: 10.1016/j.yebeh.2021.108368
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Epilepsy Behav ISSN: 1525-5050 Impact factor: 2.937
Fig. 1Pregnancy-outcomes model structure. Note: The size of the population at risk of DDIs due to OCs and enzyme-inducing antiseizure medications is estimated. Then, two cohorts are compared, one taking OC + enzyme-inducing medications and one taking OC + enzyme-neutral medications. The annual number and outcomes and costs of unintended pregnancies for each cohort are calculated, and the difference in these outcomes between the two cohorts is the DDI impact. DDI = drug–drug interaction; OC = oral contraceptive.
Population data on the number of women and percentage of women using OCs and antiseizure medications in the US.
| Variable | Value | Reference |
|---|---|---|
| Total population of US, | 328,239,523 | Estimate for 2019 |
| Total female population, | 166,582,199 | Estimate for 2019 |
| Total female population of reproductive age, | 64,325,356 | Estimate for 2019 |
| 15–19 y | 10,308,963 (16.0) | Estimate for 2019 |
| 20–24 y | 10,568,188 (16.4) | |
| 25–29 y | 11,504,446 (17.9) | |
| 30–34 y | 11,076,695 (17.2) | |
| 35–39 y | 10,852,580 (16.9) | |
| 40–44 y | 10,014,484 (15.6) | |
| Women using OCs, % | Daniels and Abma | |
| 15–19 y | 19.5 | |
| 20–24 y | 21.6 | |
| 25–29 y | 21.6 | |
| 30–34 y | 10.9 | |
| 35–39 y | 10.9 | |
| 40–44 y | 6.5 | |
| Women aged 18–44 y who used an antiseizure medication in the past 30 d, % | 4.2 | Estimate for 2011–2014 |
| Exposure among 108,741 OC + antiseizure medication users, % | Sarayani et al. | |
| Enzyme-inducing medication | 17.4 | |
| Enzyme-neutral medication | 82.6 | |
CDC = Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; OC = oral contraceptive; US = United States.
Value is based on the 15- to 19-year-old age group, but was applied in the model to the 18- to 19-year-old women.
Antiseizure medications include the following classes in the CDC definition: hydantoin, succinimide, barbiturate, benzodiazepine, miscellaneous, dibenzoazepine, fatty acid derivative, gamma-aminobutyric acid reuptake inhibitors, gamma-aminobutyric acid analogs, triazine, carbamate, pyrrolidine, and carbonic anhydrase inhibitor.
Study considered carbamazepine (enzyme inducing), oxcarbazepine (enzyme inducing), lamotrigine (enzyme neutral), or levetiracetam (enzyme neutral).
Women included in the model.
| Age Group, y | Data Label for Calculations | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A | B | C | D | E | F | G | |
| Women of Reproductive Age in the US, n | Women Using Antiseizure Medication, % | Women Using Antiseizure Medication, n | Women Using OCs, % | Women Using OCs and an Antiseizure Medication, n | Women Using an EI Medication, % | Women Using OCs and an EI Medication, n | |
| 15–19 | 10,308,963 | 4.2 | 432,976 | 19.5 | 84,430 | 17.4 | 14,724 |
| 20–24 | 10,568,188 | 4.2 | 443,864 | 21.6 | 95,875 | 17.4 | 16,720 |
| 25–29 | 11,504,446 | 4.2 | 483,187 | 21.6 | 104,368 | 17.4 | 18,201 |
| 30–34 | 11,076,695 | 4.2 | 465,221 | 10.9 | 50,709 | 17.4 | 8,843 |
| 35–39 | 10,852,580 | 4.2 | 455,808 | 10.9 | 49,683 | 17.4 | 8,665 |
| 40–44 | 10,014,484 | 4.2 | 420,608 | 6.5 | 27,340 | 17.4 | 4,768 |
| Source | Estimate for 2019 | Estimate for 2011–2014 | Calculation (A * B) | Daniels and Abma | Calculation (C * D) | Sarayani et al. | Calculation (E * F) |
EI = enzyme-inducing; CDC = Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; OC = oral contraceptive; US = United States.
Annual unplanned pregnancy rates.
| Input Parameter | Base Case | Lower Bound | Upper Bound | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unplanned pregnancy: OC + EN | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.8 | Base case: Sarayani et al. |
| Unplanned pregnancy: OC + EI | 2.3 | 1.9 | 2.8 | |
| Birth | 49.2 | 30 | 69 | Base case: calculated from the literature |
| Induced abortion | 35.0 | 14 | 58 | |
| Spontaneous abortion | 15.3 | 11.5 | 16 | Lower and upper bound: minimum and maximum abortion rates with associated pregnancy outcomes from Kost et al. |
| Ectopic pregnancy | 0.5 | NA | NA | Assumption |
CI = confidence interval; EI = enzyme-inducing antiseizure medication; EN = enzyme-neutral antiseizure medication; NA = not applicable; OC = oral contraceptive.
Annual or per-event costs (in 2020 US Dollars).
| Input Parameter | Base Case | Lower Bound | Upper Bound | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OC | $850.81 | $425.41 | $1276.22 | Annualized OC cost estimates |
| Birth | $12952.67 | $5269.86 | $28664.46 | Base case and lower and upper bounds: literature review |
| Spontaneous abortion | $1121.01 | $600.84 | $3593.84 | |
| Induced abortion | $939.92 | $600.84 | $4233.11 | |
| Ectopic pregnancy | $6174.08 | $2839.92 | $15943.46 |
CPI = Consumer Price Index; OC = oral contraceptive; US = United States.
A literature review was conducted for the cost of each pregnancy outcome and the median, minimum, and maximum costs across the cited articles were calculated (with all prices adjusted to 2020 US dollars) [19], [26], [28], [29], [30], [31], [32], [33], [34], [35], [36], [37], [38]. These articles were identified using a registry of economic evaluations of hormonal contraceptives [39].
Annual pregnancy outcomes and costs for comparator populations and DDI impact.
| Parameter | OC + EI | OC + EN | DDI Impact: |
|---|---|---|---|
| ( | ( | OC + EI Minus OC + EN | |
| Number of unintended pregnancies | 1654 | 1151 | 503 |
| Number of unintended live births | 814 | 566 | 248 |
| Number of ectopic pregnancies | 8 | 6 | 2 |
| Number of spontaneous abortions | 253 | 176 | 77 |
| Number of induced abortions | 579 | 403 | 176 |
| $71,205,253 | $68,157,724 | $3,047,530 | |
| Cost of unintended pregnancy outcomes | $11,420,726 | $7,944,853 | $3,475,873 |
| Cost of OCs | $59,784,527 | $60,212,871 | −$428,344 |
| $990 | $948 | $42 |
DDI = drug–drug interaction; EI = enzyme-inducing antiseizure medication; EN = enzyme-neutral antiseizure medication; OC = oral contraceptive.
Results of one-way sensitivity analyses.
| Parameter | DDI Impact: OC + EI Minus OC + EN | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Incremental Costs | No. of Additional Unintended Pregnancies Due to DDIs | No. of Additional Unintended Live Births Due to DDIs | |
| Base case | $3,047,530 | 503 | 248 |
| Low failure rates for contraception (OC + EI = 1.9, OC + EN = 1.4) | $2,176,807 | 360 | 177 |
| High failure rates for contraception (OC + EI = 2.8, OC + EN = 1.8) | $4,353,614 | 719 | 354 |
| Low abortion rate | $4,275,882 | 503 | 350 |
| (induced abortion = 14%, birth = 69.5%, spontaneous abortion = 16%, ectopic = 0.5%) | |||
| High abortion rate | $1,882,878 | 503 | 151 |
| (induced abortion = 58%, birth = 30%, spontaneous abortion = 11.5%, ectopic = 0.5%) | |||
| Low annual contraceptive costs | $3,261,701 | 503 | 248 |
| (OC = $425.41) | |||
| High annual contraceptive costs | $2,833,358 | 503 | 248 |
| (OC = $1276.22) | |||
| Low unintended pregnancy costs | $1,036,298 | 503 | 248 |
| (birth = $5269.86, induced abortion = $600.84, spontaneous abortion = $600.84, and ectopic pregnancy = $2839.92) | |||
| High unintended pregnancy costs | $7,734,678 | 503 | 248 |
| (birth = $28664.46, induced abortion = $4233.11, spontaneous abortion = $3593.84, ectopic pregnancy = $15943.46) | |||
DDI = drug–drug interaction; EI = enzyme-inducing antiseizure medication; EN = enzyme-neutral antiseizure medication; OC = oral contraceptive.
Base-case values for contraceptive failure rates are 2.3 for OC + EI and 1.6 for OC + EN. Base-case outcomes for unintended pregnancies were 35% for induced abortion; 49.2%, live birth; 15.3%, spontaneous abortion; and 0.5%, ectopic pregnancy. Base-case annual costs for OC are $850.81. Base-case costs for pregnancy outcomes were $12,953 for live birth; $940, induced abortion; $1121, spontaneous abortion; and $6174, ectopic pregnancy.