| Literature DB >> 34215769 |
Nan Zhang1,2, Jiaxing Wang2, Ying Li2, Bing Jiang3,4.
Abstract
Primary open-angle glaucoma (POAG) is a leading cause of irreversible blindness in the world and is influenced by various sociodemographic factors. This meta-analysis aims to determine the worldwide prevalence of POAG in the adult general population for the last 20 years, and explore variation in prevalence by age, gender and geographical location. An electronic literature search was performed using the PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science databases. Population-based cross-sectional or cohort studies published in the last 20 years (2000-2020) that reported prevalence of POAG were recruited. Relevant studies meeting defined eligibility criteria were selected and reviewed systematically by meta-analysis. The prevalence of POAG was analyzed according to various risk factors. A random effect model was used for the meta-analysis. Fifty publications with a total of 198,259 subjects were included in this meta-analysis. The worldwide overall prevalence of POAG was 2.4% (95% CI 2.0 ~ 2.8%). The prevalence increases with age. Men are found to be more susceptible to POAG than women (RR 1.28, p < 0.01). Africa is found to have the highest prevalence of POAG (4.0%) among all continents. The current estimated global population of POAG is 68.56 million (95% CI 59.99 ~ 79.98). POAG is a worldwide vision threatening disease with high prevalence for the last 20 years. The population-based prevalence of POAG varies widely across individual studies, due to variations in risk factors of age, gender, and population geographic location.Entities:
Year: 2021 PMID: 34215769 PMCID: PMC8253788 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-021-92971-w
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Sci Rep ISSN: 2045-2322 Impact factor: 4.379
Figure 1Flow charts of search strategy. The flow chart illustrates the search strategy following the Preferred Reporting Items for guidelines of Systematic Reviews and Meta-analysis (PRISMA) guidelines. POAG primary open-angle glaucoma.
Results of subgroup analyses and meta-regression analyses based on age, gender, geographical location, habitation area, decades and risk of bias.
| Subgroup analysis | Meta-regression | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Number of estimates | Pooled estimate (95% CIs) | I2, % | p-value (between groups) | β coefficient value (95% CIs) | p-value | |
| All estimates | 2.4 (2.1 to 2.8) | 96.8 | ||||
| < 0.01 | Intercept = “ < 40” | |||||
| < 40 | 3 | 0.4 (0 to 4.4) | 92.2 | − 5.01 (− 5.93 to − 4.09) | < 0.01 | |
| 40–49 | 23 | 1.1 (0.8 to 1.7) | 94.4 | 0.57 (− 0.40 to 1.54) | 0.25 | |
| 50–59 | 26 | 2.0 (1.6 to 2.6) | 91.2 | 1.11 (0.15 to 2.07) | 0.02 | |
| 60–69 | 26 | 3.3 (2.6 to 4.1) | 92.0 | 1.62 (0.66 to 2.58) | < 0.01 | |
| 70–79 | 19 | 6.0 (4.7 to 7.6) | 89.7 | 2.25 (1.28 to 3.22) | < 0.01 | |
| 70 + | 8 | 4.4 (2.9 to 6.8) | 88.5 | 1.94 (0.88 to 2.99) | < 0.01 | |
| 80 + | 18 | 9.2 (7.1 to 11.9) | 73.9 | 2.68 (1.69 to 3.66) | < 0.01 | |
| < 0.01 | Intercept = Male | |||||
| Male | 33 | 2.7 (2.2 to 3.2) | 93.7 | − 3.60 (− 3.80 to − 3.41) | < 0.01 | |
| Female | 33 | 2.0 (1.7 to 2.5) | 93.9 | − 0.27 (− 0.55 to 0.01) | < 0.01 | |
| < 0.01 | Intercept = Africa | |||||
| Africa | 7 | 4.0 (2.6 to 6.1) | 97.4 | − 3.17 (− 3.54 to − 2.80) | < 0.01 | |
| Asia | 31 | 2.1 (1.8 to 2.4) | 95.2 | − 0.69 (− 1.09 to − 0.28) | < 0.01 | |
| Europe | 7 | 2.3 (1.5 to 3.5) | 94.6 | − 0.57 (− 1.10 to − 0.04) | 0.03 | |
| N. America | 3 | 2.4 (1.8 to 3.3) | 96.6 | − 0.17 (− 0.83 to 0.50) | 0.63 | |
| Oceania | 1 | 3.4 (2.2 to 5.3) | – | − 0.81 (− 1.85 to 0.22) | 0.12 | |
| S. America | 1 | 1.8 (1.5 to 2.3) | – | − 0.53 (− 1.59 to 0.53) | 0.33 | |
| 0.09 | Intercept = Urban | |||||
| Urban | 14 | 2.5 (1.9 to 3.2) | 94.4 | − 3.67 (− 3.95 to − 3.40) | < 0.01 | |
| Rural | 16 | 1.9 (1.5 to 2.3) | 91.3 | − 0.28 (− 0.65 to 0.09) | 0.14 | |
| Mixed or unknown | 26 | 2.3 (2.0 to 2.7) | 97.5 | 0.05 (− 0.29 to 0.38) | 0.79 | |
| 0.47 | Intercept = 2000–2009 | |||||
| 2000–2009 | 27 | 2.5 (2.1 to 3.1) | 94.8 | − 3.66 (− 3.87 to − 3.45) | < 0.01 | |
| 2010–2019 | 23 | 2.2 (1.8 to 2.8) | 97.7 | − 0.11 (− 0.42 to 0.20) | 0.48 | |
| 0.01 | Intercept = Low | |||||
| Low | 20 | 2.5 (2.0 to 3.2) | 96.3 | − 3.64 (− 3.87 to − 3.41) | < 0.01 | |
| Moderate | 24 | 2.0 (1.6 to 2.5) | 95.9 | − 0.24 (− 0.55 to 0.08) | 0.14 | |
| High | 6 | 3.5 (2.6 to 4.8) | 95.3 | 0.34 (− 0.13 to 0.81) | 0.16 | |
S. America South America, N. America North America.
Figure 2Prevalence of primary open-angle glaucoma by decades. POAG primary open-angle glaucoma. There is no statistical difference between the first decade (2000–2009) and the second decade (2010–2020) in the global prevalence of POAG (p = 0.472). **Studies that reported prevalence of open-angle glaucoma (OAG), but not POAG.
Figure 3Gender comparison of primary open-angle glaucoma. POAG primary open-angle glaucoma. **Studies that reported prevalence of open-angle glaucoma (OAG), but not POAG.
Figure 4Prevalence of primary open-angle glaucoma for different age groups. Note: the plots for “Male” and “Female” represent studies with data for each gender (n = 32). The plot for “Both” represents data from all studies (n = 50), regardless of whether the prevalence for each gender were reported or not. POAG primary open-angle glaucoma.
Figure 5Global prevalence of primary open-angle glaucoma. This world map was created using R (version 3.6.3) and R package “ggplot2”. The country codes (ISO3) used in the program were downloaded from www.nationsonline.org.
Estimated global population of glaucoma.
| Continent | Population over 40 years old in 2020 (million) | Estimated POAG cases (million, 95% CI) | Distribution of POAG cases (continent/world) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Africa | 266.91 | 10.68 (6.94–16.28) | 15.58% |
| Asia | 1756.85 | 36.89 (31.62–43.92) | 53.81% |
| Europe | 400.34 | 9.21 (6.01–14.01) | 13.43% |
| S. America | 162.7 | 3.90 (2.93–5.40) | 5.69% |
| N. America | 177.68 | 6.04 (3.91–9.42) | 8.81% |
| Oceania | 17.38 | 0.31 (0.26–0.40) | 0.45% |
| World | 2856.52 | 68.56 (59.99–79.98) |
POAG primary open-angle glaucoma, S. America South America, N. America North America.