| Literature DB >> 33738909 |
Philipp Bücke1,2, Hans Henkes3,4, Guy Arnold5, Birgit Herting6, Eric Jüttler7, Christof Klötzsch8, Alfred Lindner9, Uwe Mauz10, Ludwig Niehaus11, Matthias Reinhard12, Stefan Waibel13, Thomas Horvath1, Hansjörg Bäzner2, Marta Aguilar Pérez3.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: In order to identify risk periods with an increased demand in technical and human resources, we tried to determine patterns and associations in the incidence of acute ischemic stroke due to embolic large vessel occlusions (eLVO) requiring mechanical thrombectomy (MT).Entities:
Keywords: embolic stroke; ischemic stroke; public health; thrombectomy
Mesh:
Year: 2021 PMID: 33738909 PMCID: PMC9290541 DOI: 10.1111/ene.14832
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Eur J Neurol ISSN: 1351-5101 Impact factor: 6.288
FIGURE 1Total patient count and information on the number of patients that did not meet the inclusion criteria. ACA, anterior cerebral artery; MT, mechanical thrombectomy; PCA, posterior cerebral artery
Observed incidence of mechanical thrombectomy due to embolic large vessel occlusion per month (2010–2018)
| Month | Mean (SD) | Median (min–max) |
|---|---|---|
| January | 21.3 (8.1) | 25.0 (5–34) |
| February | 23.0 (10.2) | 21.0 (10–43) |
| March | 29.0 (12.2) | 29.0 (10–49) |
| April | 24.7 (12.1) | 24.0 (6–43) |
| May | 22.4 (11.5) | 21.0 (6–41) |
| June | 22.8 (8.6) | 24.0 (11–37) |
| July | 25.0 (10.0) | 27.0 (8–37) |
| August | 22.7 (9.3) | 22.0 (8–36) |
| September | 24.4 (8.4) | 23.0 (9–33) |
| October | 26.3 (12.7) | 25.0 (8–52) |
| November | 23.2 (9.0) | 23.0 (9–40) |
| December | 27.1 (9.0) | 28.0 (12–39) |
Abbreviations: max, maximum; min, minimum; SD, standard deviation.
FIGURE 2(a) Actual stroke incidence per 30 days (dots) and median‐spline plot (solid line). (b) Actual stroke incidence per 30 days (dots) and estimated stroke incidence per 30 days, model R2 (solid line) [Colour figure can be viewed at wileyonlinelibrary.com]
Sequential models (R1−R5, R7) analyzing specific cycles, temperature, temperature change, atmospheric pressure and atmospheric pressure change
| Parameter | R1 | R2 | R3 | R4 | R5a | R5b | R7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Month |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| AME (95% CI) | 0.28 (0.23–0.32) | 0.28 (0.24–0.31) | 0.27 (0.24–0.31) | 0.28 (0.24–0.32) | 0.28 (0.24–0.32) | 0.27 (0.23–0.31) | 0.27 (0.24–0.31) |
| 6‐month pattern |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
| 12‐month pattern |
|
| |||||
| 24‐month pattern |
| ||||||
| Temperature (average/month, per °C) |
|
| |||||
| AME (95% CI) | −0.13 (−0.29–0.02) | −0.15 (−0.30–0.0001) | |||||
| Temperature (difference to prior month; per °C) |
|
| |||||
| AME (95% CI) | 0.24 (−0.01–0.48) | 0.34 (0.11–0.56) | |||||
| Atmospheric pressure (average/month; per hPa) |
|
| |||||
| AME (95% CI) | 0.26 (−0.04–0.57) | 0.38 (0.13–0.64) | |||||
| Atmospheric pressure (difference to prior month; per hPa) |
|
| |||||
| AME (95% CI) | −0.12 (−0.37–0.14) | −0.17 (−0.39–0.06) | |||||
| AIC | 674.85 | 673.20 | 675.01 | 675.84 | 662.0 | 674.56 | 674.56 |
| Incidence (estimated) | |||||||
| Lowest | Jan 10 | Jun/Dec | Jun/Dec | Jun/Dec | |||
| Highest | Dec 18 | Mar/Sep | Mar/Sep | Mar/Sep | |||
Abbreviations: AME, average marginal effect; CI, confidence interval; ACI, Akaike's information criterion; hPa, hectopascal.
Meteorological raw data on temperature and atmospheric pressure (2010–2018)
| Month | Average air temperature per month (°C) | Average atmospheric pressure per month (hPa) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean (SD) | Median (min–max) | Mean (SD) | Median (min–max) | |
| January | 1.5 (2.5) | 2.5 (−2.8–5.0) | 970.1 (3.9) | 968.4 (964.3–976.0) |
| February | 1.5 (2.6) | 1.2 (−2.4–4.6) | 968.7 (5.7) | 969.0 (958.9–979.5) |
| March | 5.9 (2.1) | 6.2 (2.2–4.6) | 969.8 (6.5) | 970.8 (958.5–979.8) |
| April | 10.4 (1.8) | 9.6 (8.6–13.8) | 969.4 (4.2) | 968.9 (960.8–974.2) |
| May | 14.0 (1.7) | 14.1 (11.6–16.4) | 969.5 (2.2) | 969.9 (965.8–973.0) |
| June | 17.9 (0.9) | 17.5 (16.9–19.9) | 970.8 (1.5) | 971.3 (969.2–973.3) |
| July | 19.9 (1.6) | 20.0 (16.8–22.0) | 970.9 (1.8) | 970.9 (968.2–973.8) |
| August | 19.3 (1.5) | 19.4 (16.6–21.2) | 971.5 (1.6) | 971.9 (969.4–974.3) |
| September | 15.0 (1.6) | 14.7 (12.9–17.4) | 972.1 (1.6) | 972.2 (970.6–975.4) |
| October | 10.2 (1.3) | 9.8 (8.3–12.3) | 972.1 (2.6) | 972.0 (967.7–975.3) |
| November | 5.6 (1.2) | 5.4 (4.4–7.8) | 969.6 (4.6) | 969.8 (961.4–975.1) |
| December | 2.6 (2.1) | 2.8 (−2.0–5.8) | 973.4 (6.6) | 973.4 (965.5–983.2) |
Abbreviations: hPa, hectopascal; max, maximum; min, minimum; SD, standard deviation.
Average concentration of air pollutants (2010–2018)
| Month | CO (mg/m3) | PM10 (μg/m3) | Ozone (μg/m3) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean (SD) | Mean (SD) | Mean (SD) | |
| January | 0.43 (0.07) | 35.6 (9.9) | 23.5 (4.9) |
| February | 0.40 (0.07) | 39.2 (8.6) | 29.6 (5.7) |
| March | 0.36 (0.09) | 36.4 (7.8) | 40 (4.9) |
| April | 0.26 (0.05) | 27.7 (3.9) | 54.4 (3.7) |
| May | 0.24 (0.05) | 21.7 (2.3) | 60.2 (8.9) |
| June | 0.21 (0.06) | 20.8 (2.6) | 63.2 (8.2) |
| July | 0.23 (0.05) | 22.8 (2.7) | 66.2 (9.9) |
| August | 0.22 (0.04) | 21.6 (1.1) | 57.2 (6.3) |
| September | 0.28 (0.04) | 23.7 (2.7) | 37.2 (6.3) |
| October | 0.36 (0.05) | 27.6 (4.2) | 20.2 (4.5) |
| November | 0.44 (0.11) | 28.2 (5.2) | 15.6 (7.0) |
| December | 0.47 (0.12) | 27.5 (7.7) | 21.1 (7.4) |
Abbreviations: PM10, particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter <10 μm; SD, standard deviation.