| Literature DB >> 32066839 |
G Rojo-Martínez1,2, S Valdés3,4, F Soriguer3,4, J Vendrell3,5, I Urrutia3,6,7, V Pérez8, E Ortega9,10, P Ocón8, E Montanya3,11, E Menéndez7,12, A Lago-Sampedro3,4, T González-Frutos6, R Gomis3,9, A Goday10,13, S García-Serrano3,4, E García-Escobar3,4, J L Galán-García14, C Castell15, R Badía-Guillén4, G Aguilera-Venegas14, J Girbés16, S Gaztambide3,7,17, J Franch-Nadal3,18, E Delgado7,12, F J Chaves3,19, L Castaño3,6,7, A Calle-Pascual3,20.
Abstract
Our aim was to determine the incidence of type 2 diabetes mellitus in a nation-wide population based cohort from Spain (di@bet.es study). The target was the Spanish population. In total 5072 people older than 18 years,were randomly selected from all over Spain). Socio-demographic and clinical data, survey on habits (physical activity and food consumption) and weight, height, waist, hip and blood pressure were recorder. A fasting blood draw and an oral glucose tolerance test were performed. Determinations of serum glucose were made. In the follow-up the same variables were collected and HbA1c was determined. A total of 2408 subjects participated in the follow-up. In total, 154 people developed diabetes (6.4% cumulative incidence in 7.5 years of follow-up). The incidence of diabetes adjusted for the structure of age and sex of the Spanish population was 11.6 cases/1000 person-years (IC95% = 11.1-12.1). The incidence of known diabetes was 3.7 cases/1000 person-years (IC95% = 2.8-4.6). The main risk factors for developing diabetes were the presence of prediabetes in cross-sectional study, age, male sex, obesity, central obesity, increase in weight, and family history of diabetes. This work provides data about population-based incidence rates of diabetes and associated risk factors in a nation-wide cohort of Spanish population.Entities:
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Year: 2020 PMID: 32066839 PMCID: PMC7026031 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-020-59643-7
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Sci Rep ISSN: 2045-2322 Impact factor: 4.379
Main characteristics of the population in the cross-sectional study. Comparison between participants and non-participants in the follow-up.
| Non- participants | Participants | pa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| n | 1189 | 2408 | |
| Sex (%male) | 43.7 | 39.7 | 0.01 |
| Age (years) | 46.7 ± 16.5 | 47.9 ± 14.7 | 0.03 |
| BMI (kg/m2) | 27.6 ± 5.2 | 27.5 ± 4.7 | 0.7 |
| Systolic blood pressure (mmHg) | 128.6 ± 19.2 | 128.7 ± 18.5 | 0.8 |
| Dyastolic blood pressure (mmHg) | 76.2 ± 12.6 | 76.3 ± 10.4 | 0.7 |
| Fasting glucose (mmol/L) | 5.04 ± 0.7 | 5.1 ± 0.7 | 0.008 |
| Post OGTT Glucose (mmol/L) | 5.8 ± 1.7 | 5.7 ± 1.7 | 0.4 |
| Waist (cm) | 92.4 ± 14.2 | 92.2 ± 13.1 | 0.6 |
| Family history of diabetes (%) | |||
| No | 54.8 | 49.8 | 0.009 |
| Yes, one relative | 25.5 | 26.7 | |
| Yes, two or more relatives | 19.7 | 23.5 | |
| Physical activity (%) | |||
| Low | 41.1 | 42.3 | 0.7 |
| Moderate | 34.6 | 33.8 | |
| High | 24.2 | 23.8 | |
| Mediterranean diet score (14p) | |||
| <8p | 68.4 | 64.4 | 0.02 |
| > = 8p | 31.6 | 35.6 | |
| Smoking (%) | |||
| Never | 49.0 | 49.8 | 0.001 |
| Former smoker | 19.1 | 24.4 | |
| Current smoker less than 15 cig/day | 15.5 | 14.5 | |
| Current smoker more than 15 cig/day | 16.4 | 11.4 | |
| Dyslipidaemia (%) | 25.7 | 26.6 | 0.5 |
| Obesity (%) | 28.1 | 26.2 | 0.1 |
| Central obesity (%) | 66.0 | 70.0 | 0.004 |
| High blood pressure (%) | 37.1 | 38.8 | 0.4 |
| OGTT result (%) | |||
| Normal | 86.6 | 87.8 | 0.3 |
| IFG | 5.3 | 4.2 | |
| IGT | 6.1 | 6.4 | |
| IFG + IGT | 2.0 | 1.5 | |
| Education level (%) | |||
| None | 10.1 | 8.4 | 0.1 |
| Basic | 49.2 | 47.4 | |
| High school | 23.9 | 23.6 | |
| College | 16.8 | 17.6 | |
ap = signification level of t-student, Mann-Whitney or chi2 test according to type of variable.
Incidence of diabetes according to the main exposure factors present in the cross-sectional study.
| N° at risk | n° developing diabetes | person/years | Incidence rate per 1000 person-years (95% CI) | ORa (95% CI) | ORb (95% CI) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All sample | 2408 | 156 | 18088 | 8.6 (7.3–10.1) | — | — |
| Sex | ||||||
| Women | 1451 | 81 | 10883 | 7.4 (5.9–9.3) | Ref. cat. | Ref. cat. |
| Men | 957 | 75 | 7205 | 10.4 (8.2–13) | 1.5 (1.1–2.1) | 2.7 (1.6–4.5) |
| OGTT result | ||||||
| Normoglycemia | 2115 | 75 | 15892 | 4.7 (3.7–5.9) | Ref. cat. | Ref. cat. |
| Isolated IGT | 154 | 35 | 1156 | 30.3 (21.1–42.1) | 10.8 (5.7–20.2) | 7.9 (4–15.5) |
| Isolated IFG | 102 | 27 | 761 | 35.5 (23.4–51.6) | 14.4 (7.5–27.6) | 11.7 (5.9–23.3) |
| Combined IFG-IGT | 37 | 19 | 278 | 68.3 (41.1–106.6) | 42.3 (16.3–109.5) | 48.8 (17.1–139.8) |
| P for trend | <0.0001 | <0.0001 | ||||
| Obesity | ||||||
| BMI < 25 kg/m2 | 749 | 15 | 5628 | 2.7 (1.5–4.4) | Ref. cat. | Ref. cat. |
| BMI 25–30 kg/m2 | 1018 | 57 | 7662 | 7.4 (5.6–9.6) | 1.9 (0.9–3.9) | 1.2 (0.6–2.3) |
| BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2 | 626 | 82 | 4691 | 17.5 (13.9–21.7) | 4.6 (2.3–9.2) | 2.3 (1.1–4.6) |
| P for trend | <0.0001 | <0.0001 | ||||
| Central obesity (Waist ≥94 cm in men and ≥80 cm in women) | ||||||
| No | 718 | 8 | 5400 | 1.5 (0.6–2.9) | Ref. cat. | Ref. cat. |
| Yes | 1677 | 146 | 12596 | 11.6 (9.8–13.6) | 10.6 (2.6–43.5) | 3.4 (1.5–7.8) |
| Family History of diabetes (first-degree relatives) | ||||||
| No | 1569 | 73 | 11794 | 6.2 (4.9–7.8) | Ref. cat. | Ref. cat. |
| Yes | 839 | 83 | 6294 | 13.2 (10.5–16.3) | 2.4 (1.5–3.9) | 2.3 (1.6–3.3) |
aORs were calculated for each variable by logistic regression adjusted for age and sex (sex was adjusted for age).
bORs were calculated using a single logistic regression model (all variables listed are introduced in the analysis at once) and additionally adjusted for presence of high blood pressure, level of physical activity (IPAQ), education level, and Mediterranean diet score. Ref. cat. = Reference category.
Figure 1Incidence of diabetes according to sex and age, adjusted for diagnostic method.
Figure 2Participation flow chart.