| Literature DB >> 31616037 |
Helen Kelly1,2, Yolanda Benavente3, Miquel Angel Pavon4, Silvia De Sanjose3,5, Philippe Mayaud6, Attila Tibor Lorincz7.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: To conduct a meta-analysis of performance of DNA methylation in women with high-grade cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN2+).Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2019 PMID: 31616037 PMCID: PMC6889421 DOI: 10.1038/s41416-019-0593-4
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Br J Cancer ISSN: 0007-0920 Impact factor: 7.640
Fig. 1Flowchart for study selection. *studies evaluated a combination of human genes and/or HPV16.
Characteristics of 43 included studies
| Author, year | Study ID | Country | Study design | First screen test | Sample | Median age (IQR/range) | n CIN2+ (%)a | n ICC (%) | Genes studied | Markers evaluated singly/in combination | Threshold for methylation positivity pre-defined |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Van Zummern 2017[ | C2 | South Africa-Pretoria | Cohort | None | 321 | 40 [IQR; 35–46] | 94 (29.3%) | 2 (0.6%) | Combination only | Yes | |
| Kim 2016[ | C3 | South Korea-Seoul | Convenience | HPV+ | 122 | NR | 48 (39.3%) | 0 (0.0%)b | Single only | Yes | |
| Van Baars 2016[ | C4 | Spain-Barcelona | Convenience | Abnormal cytology | 60 | 33 [19–92] | 25 (41.7%) | 0 (0.0%) | Combination + single | Yes | |
| De Vuyst 2015[ | C5 | Kenya-Nairobi | Cohort | HR-HPV (Genotyping) | 248 | 37 [33–42] | 93 (37.5%) | 0 (0.0%) | Combination + single | Obtained from ROC | |
| Verhoef 2015[ | C6 | The Netherlands | Population-based screening—referral population | HR-HPV | 364 | 42 [38–48] | 90 (24.7%) | 6 (1.6%) | Combination only | Yes | |
| De Strooper 2014[ | C7 | The Netherlands | Convenience | None (HR-HPV >80%) | 168 | 37–48 | 48 (28.6%) | 0 (0.0%)b | Combination only | Yes | |
| De Strooper 2014[ | C8 | The Netherlands | Convenience | HR-HPV | 234 | 34–40 | 58 (24.8%) | 4 (1.7%) | Combination only | Obtained from ROC | |
| Verhoef 2014[ | C9 | The Netherlands | Population-based screeningreferral population | HR-HPV | 1019 | 43 [33–63] | 225 (22.1%) | 13 (1.3%) | Combination only | Yes | |
| Hesselink 2014[ | C10 | The Netherlands | Population-based screening– referral population | HR-HPV | 355 | 41 [31–62] | 94 (26.5%) | 5 (1.4) | Combination + single | Obtained from ROC | |
| Hesselink 2011[ | C11 | The Netherlands | Convenience | HR-HPV | 236 | 40 [19–62] | 58 (24.6%) | 4 (1.7) | Combination + single | Yes | |
| Overmeer 2011[ | C12 | The Netherlands | Convenience | HR-HPV | 70 | 34 [21–52] | 30 (42.9%) | 2 (2.9) | Combination + single | Yes | |
| De Strooper 2016[ | F1 | The Netherlands | Population-based screening – referral population | HR-HPV | 254 | 36 (30–62) | 99 (39.0%) | 4 (1.6) | Combination only | Yes | |
| Luttmer 2016[ | F2 | The Netherlands | Population-based screening– referral population | HR-HPV | 508 | ~30yrs | 180 (35.4%) | 3 (0.6) | Single only | Yes | |
| De Strooper 2014[ | F3 | The Netherlands | Convenience | HR-HPV | 218 | 39 (19–62) | 52 (23.9) | 3 (1.4) | FAM194A | Single only | Yes |
| Bu, 2018c
[ | F4 | China-Guangdong | Cohort | HR-HPV | 154 | NR | 57 (37.0) | 0 (0.0) | FAM194A | Single only | Obtained from ROC |
| Kocsis 2017[ | P1 | Hungary | Population-based screening– referral population | HR-HPV | 1287 | 36 (25–40) | 91 (7.1%) | 12 (0.9%) | Single only | Yes | |
| Kelly 2018 (BF)[ | E1 | Burkina Faso-Ouagadougou | Case-control | None (HR-HPV >80%) | 94 | 39 (35–43) | 28 (29.8) | 1 (1.0%) | Single only | Obtained from ROC | |
| Kelly 2018 (SA)[ | E1 | South Africa- Johannesburg | Case-control | None (HR-HPV >80%) | 268 | 33 (30–38) | 124 (46.3) | 0 (0.0%) | Single only | Obtained from ROC | |
| Lorincz 2016[ | E2 | UK-London | Case-control | HR-HPV (Aptima) | 341 | NR | 39 (11.4) | 1 (0.3%) | Combination only | Pre-defined + ROC | |
| Louvanto 2015[ | E3 | Canada-Montreal | Case-control | HPV16 positive | 151 | NR | 94 (62.3) | 0 (0.0%)b | Single only | Yes | |
| Vasiljevic 2014[ | E4 | UK-London | Population-based screening– referral population | HR-HPV | 1429 | NR | 531 (37.2) | 0 (0.0%) | Single only | Obtained from ROC | |
| Boers 2014[ | E5 | The Netherlands | Convenience | HR-HPV | 128 | NR | 34 (26.6) | 9 (7.0) | Single only | Pre-defined + ROC | |
| Eijinsk 2012[ | E6 | The Netherlands-Groningen | Convenience | HR-HPV | 200 | 20–85 | 66 (33.0) | 0 (0.0%)b | Single only | Yes | |
| van Leeuwan 2018[ | E7 | Slovenia | Population-based screening– referral population | HR-HPV | 235 | NR | 35 (14.9) | 3 (1.3) | Single | Yes | |
| Cook 2018[ | E8 | Canada-British Colombia | Case-control | HR-HPV | 257 | NR | 107 (41.6) | 0 (0.0) | Combination | Obtained from ROC | |
| Boers 2016[ | E9 | The Netherlands-Groningen | Convenience | Cytology ASCUS+ | 171 | 20–85 | 106 (62.0) | 0 (0.0%)b | Single | Yes | |
| Rogeri 2018[ | E11 | Brazil-Sao Paulo | Cohort | None (63% HR-HPV-positive) | 402 | NR | 126 (31.3) | 0 (0.0) | Single only | Yes | |
| Xu 2015[ | PS1 | China-Shanghai | Case-control | None (HR-HPV >76%) | 94 | 36–44 | 34 (36.2) | 0 (0.0%)b | Single only | Obtained from ROC | |
| Kan 2014[ | PS2 | Taiwan-Taipei | Cohort | None | 419 | NR | 43 (10.3) | 4 (1.0) | Single only | Yes | |
| Lai 2014[ | PS3 | Taiwan | Case-control | Abnormal cytology | 346 | 46 | 92 (26.6) | 30 (8.7) | Single only | Pre-defined + ROC | |
| Li 2015[ | PS4 | China-Weifang | Cohort | Abnormal cytology (ASCUS+) | 463 | 46 (25–68) | 34 (7.3) | 2 (0.4%) | Single only | Pre-defined + ROC | |
| Lin 2011[ | PS5 | Taiwan | Cohort | Abnormal cytology (ASCUS+) | 220 | NR | 42 (19.1) | 11 (5.0) | Single only | Yes-but unclear how | |
| Huang 2010[ | PS6 | Taiwan | Convenience | Abnormal cytology | 59 | 32 (54.2) | 0 (0.0) | Single only | Yes | ||
| Tian 2017[ | PS8 | Taiwan | Cohort | HR-HPV | 173 | NR | 79 (45.7) | 17 (9.8) | Combination | Yes | |
| Bryant 2015[ | H16-1 | UK-Cardiff | Case-control (HPV16+) | HPV16 positive | 200 | 21 (mean) | 145 (72.5) | 2 (1.0%) | HPV16-L1/L2 | Single only | Obtained from ROC |
| Mirabello 2015[ | H16-2 | USA-California | Case-control (HPV16+) | HPV16 positive | 99 | 34 [21–64] | 59 (59.6) | 0 (0.0%) | HPV16-L1 | Single only | Obtained from ROC |
| Qiu 2015[ | H16-3 | China-Zhengzhou | Convenience (HPV16+) | HPV16 positive | 114 | 37 [25–74] | 72 (63.2) | 11 (9.6) | HPV16-L1 | Single only | Yes |
| Simanaviciene 2015[ | H16-4 | Lithuania-Vilnius | Convenience (HPV16+) | HPV16 positive | 126 | NR | 87 (69.0) | 0 (0.0%)b | HPV16-L1 | Single only | Yes |
| Brandsma 2014[ | H16-5 | Senegal-Dakar/USA-New Haven | Convenience (HPV16+) | HPV16 positive | 33 | 34 (23–65) | 12 (36.4) | 0 (0.0%)b | HPV16-L1/L2/E2 | Single only | Yes |
| Brentnall 2014[ | H16-6 | UK-London | Population-based screening– referral population | Abnormal cytology and HPV16+ | 1493 | NR | 556 (37.2) | 0 (0.0%) | Combination only | Obtained from ROC | |
| Lorincz 2013[ | H16-7 | UK-Wales | Cohort (HPV16+) | HPV16 positive | 73 | NR | 25 (34.2) | 0 (0.0%) | HPV16-L1/L2 | Single only | Pre-defined + ROC |
| Mirabello 2013[ | H16-8 | Costa-Rica-Guanacaste | Case-control (HPV16+) | Abnormal VI or cyto and HPV16+ | 273 | NR | 109 (39.9) | 13 (4.8%) | HPV16 L1 | Single only | Obtained from ROC |
| Kottaridi 2017[ | H16-9 | Greece-Athens & UK-London | Case-control (HPV16+) | HPV16 positive | 150 | 36 (21–62) | 115 (76.6) | 9 (7.8) | HPV16 L1 | Single only | Yes |
ROC Receiver Operating Characteristics; ASCUS+ atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance, or greater; VI visual inspection; IQR interquartile range
aCIN2+ prevalence among women with a HR-HPV DNA positive test or cytology abnormality or among studies with high prevalence HR-HPV
bCancers were excluded from the analyses due to the high proportion (>10% of all samples)
cFor Bu et al 2018 (F4), 61 (28% of all samples) were cervical cancer cases and were excluded to reduce bias ; Brentnall et al, 2014 (HPV16-6) is evaluated for HPV16 DNA methylation (restricted to HPV16-positive women)
Meta-analysis of the performance of DNA methylation assays for detection of CIN2+ and CIN3+
| Pooled CIN2+/CIN3+ prevalence | Pooled sensitivity, % (95% CI) | Pooled specificity, % (95% CI) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All studies, irrespective of threshold level[ | 38 | 12,552 | 36.7% | 63.2 (56.4–69.5) | 75.9 (71.9–79.5) | ||
| Population-based screening studies | 8 | 6589 | 27.2% | 66.5 (56.8–75.0) | 70.8 (69.4–72.2) | ||
| Cohort studies | 7 | 2227 | 24.3% | 68.0 (57.0–77.3) | 76.7 (66.3–84.6) | ||
| Case-control studiesc | 5 | 1054 | 33.0% | 58.7 (48.1–68.5) | 78.2 (62.8–88.4) | ||
| Convenience studiesc | 9 | 1468 | 36.4% | 45.9 (31.7–60.9) | 84.1 (74.8–90.4) | ||
| HPV16-positive samplesd | 9 | 1214 | 58.3% | 71.8 (54.5–84.4) | 73.5 (66.6–79.4) | ||
| Set threshold to achieve 70% specificity[ | 24 | 9646 | 35.9% | 68.6 (62.9–73.8) | 70.5 (69.3–71.6) | ||
| Set threshold to achieve 50% specificity[ | 17 | 7225 | 34.9% | 80.3 (75.6–84.4) | 50.1 (48.7–51.5) | ||
| All studies, irrespective of threshold level[ | 30 | 7393 | 21.5% | 70.5 (64.8–75.6) | 74.7 (70.8–78.1) | ||
| Referral-population-based studies | 6 | 2708 | 17.4% | 67.6 (60.4–74.0) | 70.1 (67.8–72.3) | ||
| Cohort studies | 5 | 1331 | 17.7% | 78.2 (68.3–85.7) | 76.4 (61.9–86.6) | ||
| Case-control studies | 5 | 1306 | 14.8% | 71.0 (60.0–80.0) | 70.0 (67.0–73.0) | ||
| Convenience studies | 10 | 1544 | 21.5% | 72.2 (64.5–78.8) | 76.6 (71.1–81.2) | ||
| HPV16-positive samples | 4 | 504 | 43.1% | 58.8 (34.7–79.3) | 80.0 (59.4–91.6) | ||
| Set threshold to achieve 70% specificity[ | 19 | 5197 | 19.8% | 71.1 (65.7–76.0) | 69.8 (68.3–71.3) | ||
| Set threshold to achieve 50% specificity[ | 14 | 4216 | 19.0% | 82.3 (77.8–86.1) | 49.7 (48.1–51.3) |
aThe sensitivity estimate derived based on 70% specificity is used in this analysis when multiple estimates are given and for all other studies, the sensitivity and specificity estimates as reported by authors are used
bOne study[36] provides estimates for two genes (EPB41L3 and SOX1); in this analysis only data for EPB41L3 are included so that data from the same population of women are considered only once; similarly for ref. [38]—data for PAX1 and not SOX1 are included
cFor analysis of case-control studies, ref. [10] was removed from the analysis; and for convenience studies ref. [49] was removed from the analysis to allow best model fit in stata
dAmong women with HPV16 infection; e24 studies allowed standardization of threshold-level for methylation positivity, which corresponded to a specificity of 70% for CIN2+ either by providing the raw data or a ROC curve; 17 studies allowed estimation at a specificity of 50% for CIN2+; 19 studies allowed estimation at a specificity of 70% for CIN3+
e14 studies allowed estimation at a specificity of 50% for CIN3+
fOne study[32] provides estimates for two gene combinations (CADM1/MAL and MAL/MiR-124-2) and only data for MAL/MiR-124-2 combination were used in the analysis (as authors conclude this was the best combination of markers)
Fig. 2Quality assessment of included studies
Pooled Positive Predictive Value (PPV) of DNA methylation assays for detection of CIN2+ and CIN3+
| CIN2+ detection | Model 1a | Model 2b | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Observed prevalence | PPV (95% CI) | Set prevalence | ||||||
| 5% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | |||
| PPV (95% CI) | PPV (95% CI) | PPV (95% CI) | PPV (95% CI) | PPV (95% CI) | PPV (95% CI) | |||
| All studies ( | 36.7% | 57.6 (50.3–64.6) | 12.1 (10.2–14.0) | 22.6 (19.4–25.7) | 39.6 (35.3–43.9) | 52.9 (48.4–57.4) | 63.6 (59.4.3–67.8) | 72.4 (68.8–76.0) |
| Threshold to achieve 70% specificity ( | 35.7% | 53.4 (44.4–62.1) | 7.2 (4.5–9.8) | 14.0 (9.2–18.8) | 26.8 (19.0–34.7) | 38.6 (29.1–48.1) | 49.5 (39.4–59.5) | 59.5 (49.8–69.1) |
| Threshold to achieve 50% specificity ( | 34.9% | 43.8 (35.2–2.7) | 7.7 (7.3–8.1) | 15.0 (14.2–15.7) | 28.4 (27.2–29.6) | 40.4 (39.0–41.8) | 51.4 (49.9–52.8) | 61.3 (59.9–62.7) |
aModel 1: PPV bivariate model from the observed data
bModel 2: PPV obtained from pooled specifity and sensitivity by study design at different levels of prevalence of disease, PPV=Prev*SE/(Prev*SE+(1-Prev)*(1-Spec))
Pooled relative sensitivity and relative specificity of DNA methylation assays compared to cytology and HPV16/18 genotyping for detection of CIN2+ and CIN3+ following a HR-HPV-positive result, and compared to HR-HPV DNA test
| CIN2+a | CIN3+b | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Relative sensitivity (95% CI) | Relative specificity (95% CI) | Relative sensitivity (95% CI) | Relative specificity (95% CI) | |||||||
| Cytology ASCUS+[ | 11 | 0.81 (0.63–1.04) | 0.102 | 1.25 (0.99–1.59) | 0.116 | 9 | 0.87 (0.65–1.17) | 0.351 | 1.37 (1.02–1.85) | 0.037 |
| Cytology LSIL+[ | 4 | 0.65 (0.40–1.08) | 0.095 | 1.55 (0.92–2.61) | 0.096 | 5 | 0.71 (0.61–0.82) | <0.001 | 1.36 (0.69–2.68) | 0.371 |
| HPV16/18 genotypinge[ | 9 | 1.22 (1.05–1.42) | 0.01 | 1.03 (0.94–1.13) | 0.552 | 8 | 1.19 (0.97–1.45) | 0.091 | 1.04 (0.97–1.12) | 0.234 |
| HR-HPV DNA[ | 10 | 0.58 (0.47–0.72) | <0.001 | 1.63 (1.30–2.05) | <0.001 | 9 | 0.71 (0.61–0.83) | <0.001 | 1.66 (1.23–2.25) | 0.001 |
Twelve studies[10,24–26,31,35,44,46,47,49,51,55,65] evaluated cytology (abnormalities defined as ASCUS+ in ten studies, LSIL+ in five studies) following a HR-HPV test or among women with high prevalence of HR-HPV; nine[10,25,27,30,31,35,36,42] evaluated HPV16/18 genotyping following a HR-HPV-positive test; ten studies[25,34,36,40,43,44,46,47,52,54] evaluated performance of HR-HPV testing (any type positive using Hybrid Capture II or genotyping methods); to ensure standardisation of the raw data across all of the three analyses, we used sensitivity estimates based on a set specificity of 70%, where available
avs. ≤CIN1
bvs. ≤CIN2
cTest evaluated among women with HR-HPV-positive test result
dTest evaluated among all women, irrespective of HR-HPV DNA status
eIn the analyis comparing DNA methylation versus HPV16/18 genotyping, the combination of DNA methylation assays included human genes only