| Literature DB >> 29070951 |
Kok-Yong Chin1, Nie Yen Low2, Alia Annessa Ain Kamaruddin2, Wan Ilma Dewiputri2, Ima-Nirwana Soelaiman1.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Calcaneal quantitative ultrasound (QUS) is a useful tool in osteoporosis screening. However, QUS device may not be available at all primary health care settings. Osteoporosis self-assessment tool for Asians (OSTA) is a simple algorithm for osteoporosis screening that does not require any sophisticated instruments. This study explored the possibility of replacing QUS with OSTA by determining their agreement in identifying individuals at risk of osteoporosis.Entities:
Keywords: ROC; bone; correlation; osteopenia; sensitivity; specificity
Year: 2017 PMID: 29070951 PMCID: PMC5640400 DOI: 10.2147/TCRM.S145519
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Ther Clin Risk Manag ISSN: 1176-6336 Impact factor: 2.423
Figure 1ROC for identifying the optimal cut-off values for OSTA to identify subjects at risk of osteoporosis for each sex.
Notes: The diagonal line is the reference line and the blue line is the test line. The optimal cut-off value is determined by tracing the coordinates closest to a sensitivity value of 0.8 with a reasonable high 1 – sensitivity (specificity) value. That coordinate will translate to the optimal OSTA cut-off value.
Abbreviations: OSTA, osteoporosis self-assessment tool for Asians; QUS, quantitative ultrasound; ROC, receiver-operating curve.
Characteristics of the subjects
| Variable | Men | Women | Overall | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | SD | Mean | SD | Mean | SD | |
| Age (years) | 63.4 | 7.4 | 61.7 | 7.5 | 62.4 | 7.5 |
| Weight (kg) | 71.1 | 12.3 | 60.4 | 11.3 | 65.1 | 12.9 |
| Height (cm) | 165.9 | 7.2 | 153.7 | 5.6 | 159.0 | 8.8 |
| BMI (kg/m2) | 26.0 | 4.2 | 25.6 | 4.7 | 25.7 | 4.5 |
| Calcaneal SOS (m/s) | 1,545.3 | 34.0 | 1,535.8 | 28.8 | 1,540.0 | 31.5 |
| Calcaneal broadband attenuation of sound (dB MHz) | 119.4 | 11.0 | 112.4 | 11.9 | 115.5 | 12.0 |
| Calcaneal SI | 91.9 | 16.1 | 84.8 | 14.8 | 87.9 | 15.8 |
| T-score | −1.0 | 1.3 | −0.7 | 1.5 | −0.8 | 1.4 |
| OSTA | 1.4 | 2.8 | −0.3 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 2.8 |
| Ethnicity | ||||||
| Chinese | 140 | 49.5 | 208 | 57.5 | 348 | 54.0 |
| Malay | 110 | 38.9 | 124 | 34.3 | 234 | 36.3 |
| Indian | 33 | 11.7 | 30 | 8.3 | 63 | 9.8 |
Abbreviations: BMI, body mass index; OSTA, osteoporosis self-assessment tool for Asians; SI, stiffness index; SOS, speed of sound.
Correlation between QUS indices and OSTA scores
| Men (n=283)
| n | Women (n= 362)
| n | Total (n=645)
| n | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOS | |||||||||
| Chinese | 0.196 | 140 | 0.221 | 208 | 0.226 | < | 348 | ||
| Malay | −0.022 | 0.816 | 110 | 0.215 | 124 | 0.133 | 234 | ||
| Indian | −0.266 | 0.134 | 33 | 0.303 | 0.104 | 30 | 0.049 | 0.705 | 63 |
| Overall | 0.062 | 0.295 | 283 | 0.217 | < | 362 | 0.176 | < | 645 |
| BUA | |||||||||
| Chinese | 0.282 | 140 | 0.371 | < | 208 | 0.391 | < | 348 | |
| Malay | 0.144 | 0.134 | 110 | 0.403 | < | 124 | 0.317 | < | 234 |
| Indian | −0.071 | 0.694 | 33 | 0.357 | 0.053 | 30 | 0.214 | 0.092 | 63 |
| Overall | 0.192 | 283 | 0.392 | < | 362 | 0.359 | < | 645 | |
| SI | |||||||||
| Chinese | 0.285 | 140 | 0.325 | < | 208 | 0.340 | < | 348 | |
| Malay | 0.064 | 0.508 | 110 | 0.348 | < | 124 | 0.248 | < | 234 |
| Indian | −0.230 | 0.197 | 33 | 0.345 | 0.062 | 30 | 0.137 | 0.283 | 63 |
| Overall | 0.140 | 283 | 0.328 | < | 362 | 0.289 | < | 645 | |
| T-score | |||||||||
| Chinese | 0.202 | 140 | 0.113 | 0.105 | 208 | 0.111 | 348 | ||
| Malay | 0.006 | 0.951 | 110 | 0.172 | 0.056 | 124 | 0.089 | 0.177 | 234 |
| Indian | −0.238 | 0.182 | 33 | 0.072 | 0.706 | 30 | −0.056 | 0.661 | 63 |
| Overall | 0.146 | 283 | 0.321 | < | 362 | 0.194 | < | 645 | |
Notes: The table indicates Spearmen’s correlation coefficient (rs) values and the corresponding p-values between QUS indices (SOS, BUA, SI, and T-score) and OSTA based on sex and ethnic group. Bolded p-values are statistically significant (p<0.05).
Abbreviations: BUA, broadband ultrasound attenuation; OSTA, osteoporosis self-assessment tool for Asians; QUS, quantitative ultrasound; SI, stiffness index; SOS, speed of sound.
Agreement between QUS and OSTA scores in identifying subjects at risk of osteoporosis
| Sex | Male (n=283)
| Female (n=362)
| Overall (n=645)
| ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kappa | n | Kappa | n | Kappa | n | ||||
| Chinese | 0.068 | 0.273 | 140 | 0.186 | 208 | 0.120 | 348 | ||
| Malay | 0.037 | 0.549 | 110 | 0.338 | < | 124 | 0.185 | < | 234 |
| Indian | 0.113 | 0.305 | 33 | 0.235 | 0.068 | 30 | 0.172 | 63 | |
| Overall | 0.066 | 0.114 | 283 | 0.236 | < | 362 | 0.148 | < | 645 |
Notes: The table indicates the kappa test results based on two classification systems: QUS (normal if T-score >−1, medium risk if T-score is between −2.5 and −1, high risk if T-score <−2.5) and OSTA (normal if score >−1, medium risk if score is between −4 and −1, and high risk if score <−4). Kappa value >0.6 indicates a moderate agreement and >0.8 a strong agreement. However, agreement is poor in this study. Bolded p-values are statistically significant (p<0.05).
Abbreviations: OSTA, osteoporosis self-assessment tool for Asians; QUS, quantitative ultrasound.
Specificity, sensitivity, and AUC of OSTA in identifying subjects at risk of osteoporosis defined by QUS according to sex and age group
| Cut-off | Sex | Age group (years) | n | Sensitivity (%) | Specificity (%) | AUC | 95% CI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QUS T-score | Male | 50–59 | 82 | 5.0 | 97.6 | 0.513 | 0.387–0.639 | 0.838 |
| ≤−1 | 60–69 | 146 | 19.8 | 86.7 | 0.532 | 0.438–0.627 | 0.509 | |
| OSTA | ≥70 | 55 | 79.3 | 57.7 | 0.685 | 0.541–0.829 | ||
| ≤−1 | Overall | 283 | 27.1 | 84.4 | 0.557 | 0.491–0.624 | 0.097 | |
| Female | 50–59 | 162 | 20.0 | 87.9 | 0.539 | 0.444–0.635 | 0.414 | |
| 60–69 | 141 | 60.3 | 56.4 | 0.584 | 0.489–0.678 | 0.088 | ||
| ≥70 | 59 | 94.9 | 20.0 | 0.574 | 0.414–0.735 | 0.353 | ||
| Overall | 362 | 54.8 | 69.3 | 0.620 | 0.562–0.679 | < | ||
| Total | 50–59 | 244 | 13.7 | 90.6 | 0.521 | 0.447–0.596 | 0.572 | |
| 60–69 | 287 | 36.9 | 69.6 | 0.532 | 0.466–0.599 | 0.343 | ||
| ≥70 | 114 | 88.2 | 41.3 | 0.648 | 0.541–0.754 | |||
| Overall | 645 | 41.0 | 75.1 | 0.581 | 0.536–0.625 | < | ||
| QUS T-score | Male | 50–59 | 82 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.500 | 0.288–0.712 | 1.000 |
| ≤−2.5 | 60–69 | 146 | 5.9 | 100.0 | 0.529 | 0.377–0.682 | 0.694 | |
| OSTA | ≥70 | 55 | 0.0 | 98.0 | 0.490 | 0.227–0.753 | 0.942 | |
| ≤−4 | Overall | 283 | 3.3 | 99.6 | 0.515 | 0.403–0.626 | 0.792 | |
| Female | 50–59 | 162 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.500 | 0.242–0.758 | 1.000 | |
| 60–69 | 141 | 37.5 | 94.7 | 0.661 | 0.433–0.890 | 0.126 | ||
| ≥70 | 59 | 75.0 | 74.4 | 0.747 | 0.602–0.892 | |||
| Overall | 362 | 51.7 | 94.6 | 0.732 | 0.616–0.848 | < | ||
| Total | 50–59 | 244 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.500 | 0.338–0.662 | 1.000 | |
| 60–69 | 287 | 16.0 | 97.3 | 0.567 | 0.439–0.694 | 0.271 | ||
| ≥70 | 114 | 57.1 | 87.1 | 0.721 | 0.586–0.856 | |||
| Overall | 645 | 27.1 | 96.8 | 0.619 | 0.534–0.705 |
Notes: The table indicates the performance of OSTA at standard cut-off values (−1 for medium risk, −4 for high risk of osteoporosis) in identifying the outcomes of QUS (−1 for medium risk, −2.5 for high risk of osteoporosis) using ROC based on sex and age group. AUC, sensitivity, and specificity values are shown. Bolded p-values are statistically significant (p<0.05).
Abbreviations: AUC, area under the curve; OSTA, osteoporosis self-assessment tool for Asians; QUS, quantitative ultrasound; ROC, receiver-operating curve.
Specificity, sensitivity, and AUC of OSTA in identifying subjects at risk of osteoporosis defined by QUS according to sex and ethnic group
| Ethnicity | Cut-off
| Male
| Female
| |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QUS | OSTA | n | AUC | 95% CI | Sensitivity (%) | Specificity (%) | n | AUC | 95% CI | Sensitivity (%) | Specificity (%) | |||
| Chinese | ≤−1 | ≤−1 | 140 | 0.577 | 0.482–0.672 | 0.119 | 35.8 | 79.7 | 208 | 0.587 | 0.508–0.665 | 62.2 | 55.1 | |
| ≤−2.5 | ≤−4 | 0.524 | 0.376–0.672 | 0.746 | 5.6 | 99.2 | 0.758 | 0.619–0.897 | < | 93.7 | 57.9 | |||
| Malay | ≤−1 | ≤−1 | 110 | 0.529 | 0.420–0.637 | 0.607 | 17.2 | 88.5 | 124 | 0.668 | 0.568–0.767 | 43.4 | 90.1 | |
| ≤−2.5 | ≤−4 | 0.500 | 0.278–0.722 | 1.000 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.654 | 0.387–0.921 | 0.204 | 97.5 | 33.3 | |||
| Indian | ≤−1 | ≤−1 | 33 | 0.535 | 0.335–0.735 | 0.732 | 18.8 | 88.2 | 30 | 0.656 | 0.455–0.858 | 0.146 | 50.0 | 81.2 |
| ≤−2.5 | ≤−4 | 0.500 | 0.221–0.779 | 1.000 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.692 | 0.374–1.000 | 0.222 | 88.5 | 50.0 | |||
| Overall | ≤−1 | ≤−1 | 283 | 0.557 | 0.491–0.624 | 0.097 | 21.7 | 84.4 | 362 | 0.62 | 0.562–0.679 | < | 54.8 | 63.9 |
| ≤−2.5 | ≤−4 | 0.515 | 0.403–0.626 | 0.792 | 3.3 | 99.6 | 0.732 | 0.616–0.848 | < | 51.7 | 94.6 | |||
Notes: The table indicates the performance of OSTA at standard cut-off values (−1 for medium risk, −4 for high risk of osteoporosis) in identifying the outcomes of QUS (−1 for medium risk, −2.5 for high risk of osteoporosis) using ROC based on sex and ethnic group. AUC, sensitivity, and specificity values are shown. Bolded p-values are statistically significant (p<0.05).
Abbreviations: AUC, area under the curve; OSTA, osteoporosis self-assessment tool for Asians; QUS, quantitative ultrasound; ROC, receiver-operating curve.
Optimal OSTA cut-off values according to sex and ethnic group in identifying subject at risk of osteoporosis
| Ethnicity | QUS | Men
| Women
| ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| n | AUC | 95% CI | Optimal | Sensitivity | Specificity | n | AUC | 95% CI | Optimal | Sensitivity | Specificity | ||||
| Chinese | ≤−1 | 140 | 0.626 | 0.533–0.718 | 2.5 | 85.2 | 27.1 | 208 | 0.634 | 0.559–0.710 | 0.5 | 85.6 | 31.4 | ||
| ≤−2.5 | 0.727 | 0.591–0.863 | 0.5 | 83.3 | 47.5 | 0.792 | 0.667–0.916 | < | −0.5 | 84.2 | 50.8 | ||||
| Malay | ≤−1 | 110 | 0.551 | 0.443–0.659 | 0.357 | 4.5 | 79.3 | 21.2 | 124 | 0.681 | 0.581–0.781 | 1.5 | 79.2 | 36.6 | |
| ≤−2.5 | 0.501 | 0.233–0.768 | 0.995 | 4.5 | 71.4 | 20.4 | 0.744 | 0.549–0.940 | 0.5 | 83.3 | 44.1 | ||||
| Indian | ≤−1 | 33 | 0.450 | 0.243–0.806 | 0.627 | 4.5 | 81.3 | 11.8 | 30 | 0.612 | 0.399–0.824 | 0.299 | 1.5 | 78.6 | 25.0 |
| ≤−2.5 | 0.271 | 0.011–0.532 | 0.108 | 4.5 | 60.0 | 10.7 | 0.740 | 0.423–1.000 | 0.127 | −2.5 | 75.0 | 76.9 | |||
| Overall | ≤−1 | 283 | 0.581 | 0.515–0.647 | 3.5 | 80.6 | 25.8 | 362 | 0.648 | 0.590–0.706 | < | 0.5 | 79.0 | 40.0 | |
| ≤−2.5 | 0.612 | 0.485–0.738 | 3.5 | 76.7 | 22.1 | 0.782 | 0.681–0.883 | < | −0.5 | 75.9 | 61.9 | ||||
Notes: The table indicates the optimal alternative cut-off values for OSTA based on results of ROC curve (OSTA values versus QUS outcomes) for each gender and ethnic group. Cut-off values closest to sensitivity of 80% with reasonable specificity were selected. Bolded p-values are statistically significant (p<0.05).
Abbreviations: AUC, area under the curve; OSTA, osteoporosis self-assessment tool for Asians; QUS, quantitative ultrasound; ROC, receiver-operating curve.