| Literature DB >> 27683208 |
Leila Khoja1,2, Eshetu G Atenafu1, Arnoud Templeton1, Ye Qye1, Mary Anne Chappell1, Sam Saibil1, David Hogg1, Marcus O Butler1, Anthony M Joshua3,4.
Abstract
Ipilimumab produces durable responses in some metastatic melanoma patients. Neutrophil, platelet, and eosinophil to lymphocyte ratios (NLR, PLR, and ELR) may be associated with the immune response in cancer thereby acting as biomarkers of toxicity and efficacy in ipilimumab-treated patients. Data were collected on clinical characteristics and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), NLR, PLR, and ELR at baseline, post cycle 2 and at the end of treatment for 183 patients treated with ipilimumab between 2008 and 2015 at the Princess Margaret Cancer Centre. Associations between clinical characteristics, LDH, NLR, PLR, and ELR with toxicity or survival outcomes of progression-free (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were assessed using univariable and multivariable analysis. Prognostic models of outcome at each time point were determined. Of the 183 patients included, the median age was 58, 85% had M1c disease, 58% were performance status 1, and 64% received ipilimumab as second line therapy. Median follow up was 7.5 months (range: 0.3-49.5), median PFS was 2.8 months (95% confidence intervals (CI): 2.8-3.2), and median OS was 9.6 months (95% CI: 7.9-13.2). Prognostic factors for OS by multivariable analysis were LDH and NLR at all-time points. Prognostic models using LDH (× 2 upper limit of normal) and NLR 4) differentiated patients into high, moderate, and low risk of death prior to or on ipilimumab treatment (P < 0.0001 for each model). No factors were associated with toxicity. Prognostic models based on NLR and LDH values at baseline and on treatment differentiate patients into good, intermediate, and poor prognostic groups and may be relevant in patient management.Entities:
Keywords: Biomarkers; eosinophil to lymphocyte ratio; immune-related adverse events; ipilimumab; melanoma; neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio; platelet to lymphocyte ratio; toxicity
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2016 PMID: 27683208 PMCID: PMC5083732 DOI: 10.1002/cam4.878
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Cancer Med ISSN: 2045-7634 Impact factor: 4.452
Patients’ characteristics
| Patients’ Characteristics | Number patients | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | Median (range) | 58 (24–89) |
| Sex | ||
| Males | 115 | |
| Females | 68 | |
| AJCC stage | ||
| M1a | 12 | |
| M1b | 14 | |
| M1c | 156 | |
| Stage III (unresectable) | 1 | |
| Performance status | ||
| 0 | 61 | |
| 1 | 106 | |
| 2 | 1 | |
| Unknown | 15 | |
| C‐kit | Mutated/wild type/unknown | 0/29/153 |
| BRAF | Mutated/wild type/unknown | 61/94/28 |
| NRAS | Mutated/wild type/unknown | 26/31/126 |
| Ipilimumab administered | ||
| 1st line | 10 | |
| 2nd line | 118 | |
| 3rd line | 42 | |
| ≥4th line | 13 | |
| Dose of ipilimumab | ||
| 3 mg/kg | 162 | |
| 10 mg/kg | 21 | |
Factors impacting clinical benefit/response to ipilimumab
| Clinical variable | Response |
| |
|---|---|---|---|
| CR/PR/SD ( | PD ( | ||
| Continuous variables, median (range) | |||
| Age | 60 (24–85) | 56 (25–89) | 0.53 |
| Baseline LDH, U/L | 235 (153–473.00) | 277 (93–3345) |
|
| LDH post cycle 2 | 237 (151–826) | 269 (128–2086) |
|
| LDH at end of treatment | 231 (151–415) | 308 (130–4366) |
|
| Change in LDH post cycle 2 to end of treatment | −1.00 (−665–179) | 49 (−490–3417) |
|
| Baseline NLR | 3.4 (0.3–19) | 3.6 (0.7–37.1) | 0.13 |
| NLR post cycle 2 | 2.4 (0.5–90) | 4.2 (0.7–46) | 0.40 |
| NLR end of treatment | 3.1 (1.0–29.8) | 5.6 (0.4–205) |
|
| Baseline PLR | 182 (96–640) | 237 (22–1365) |
|
| PLR post cycle 2 | 140 (55–1380) | 222 (39–881) |
|
| PLR end of treatment | 149 (58–703) | 243 (13–790) |
|
| Baseline ELR | 0.09 (0–0.5) | 0.09 (0–1.33) |
|
| ELR post cycle 2 | 0.21 (0–1.27) | 0.14 (0–2.6) |
|
| ELR end of treatment | 0.16 (0–2.77) | 0.09 (0–1.0) |
|
| Categorical variables, | |||
| Sex (F:M) | 23:33 | 43:79 | 0.45 |
| Performance status(0:1:2) | 27:26:3 | 32:78:12 |
|
| AJCC stage (M1a:M1b:M1c:III) | 8:8:40 | 4:6:111:1 |
|
CR, complete response; ELR, eosinophil to lymphocyte; LDH, lactate dehydrogenase; NLR, Neutrophil lymphocyte ratios; PD, progressive disease; PLR, platelet lymphocyte ratios; SD, stable disease. Values in bold print are considered statistically significant.
Variables impacting prognosis (PFS or OS) by univariable (using log‐rank testing)analysis
| Clinical variable | PFS | OS |
|---|---|---|
| Univariate analysis | ||
| Sex | 0.14 | 0.17 |
| Age | 0.17 | 0.26 |
| M stage | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| Performance status |
|
|
| Baseline LDH |
|
|
| Baseline NLR |
|
|
| Baseline PLR |
|
|
| Baseline ELR | 0.46 | 0.96 |
| LDH after C2 |
|
|
| NLR after C2 | 0.65 | 0.37 |
| PLR after C2 | 0.21 | 0.055 |
| ELR after C2 | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| LDH at end of treatment |
|
|
| NLR at end of treatment |
|
|
| PLR at end of treatment |
|
|
| ELR at end of treatment | 0.14 | 0.53 |
| Baseline LDH (220 U/L ≤ 440 U/L and >440 U/L) | 0.0003 | <.0001 |
| LDH post cycle 2 (220U/L ≤ 440 U/L and >440 U/L) | 0.001 | <.0001 |
| LDH at the end of treatment (220 U/L ≤ 440 U/L and >440U/L) | <.0001 | <.0001 |
ELR, eosinophil to lymphocyte; LDH, lactate dehydrogenase; NLR, Neutrophil lymphocyte ratios; PLR, platelet lymphocyte ratios. Values in bold print are considered statistically significant.
Figure 1Kaplan–Meier curves of overall survival for each of the prognostic models derived during ipilimumab treatment combining NLR and LDH at each time point. (A) baseline prognostic model (B) prognostic model post cycle 2 of treatment (C) prognostic model at the end of treatment. LDH, lactate dehydrogenase; NLR, Neutrophil lymphocyte ratios.
Prognostic patient groups for OS (CI: confidence intervals, survival is shown in months, values are given to the nearest decimal point)
| Prognostic Model and groupings | Median OS | 95% CI of median |
| 1 year OS (%) | 95% CI of 1 year OS | 2 year OS (%) | 95% CI of 2 year OS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline model | |||||||
| Good (reference) | 14.8 | 11.60–16.76 | <0.0001 | 58 | 0.46–0.68 | 19 | 0.10–0.30 |
| Intermediate | 8.3 | 4.93–11.63 | 38 | 0.25–0.50 | 19 | 0.08–0.34 | |
| Poor | 3 | 0.72–4.99 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Post cycle 2 model | |||||||
| Good (reference) | 17.8 | 14.49–22.34 | <0.0001 | 71 | 0.57–0.80 | 28 | 0.15–0.42 |
| Intermediate | 8.3 | 5.19–13.17 | 36 | 0.22–0.50 | 11 | 0.03–0.26 | |
| Poor | 4.4 | 3.25–7.43 | 0 | 0 | |||
| End of treatment model | |||||||
| Good (reference) | 20.1 | 16.49–24.15 | <0.0001 | 77 | 0.63–0.87 | 35 | 0.20–0.51 |
| Intermediate | 10.1 | 7.89–14.46 | 45 | 0.30–0.60 | 8 | 0.02–0.23 | |
| Poor | 4.4 | 3.25–6.67 | 0 | 0 | |||