| Literature DB >> 26733376 |
H Orimo1, Y Yaegashi2, T Hosoi1, Y Fukushima3, T Onoda4, T Hashimoto5, K Sakata4.
Abstract
UNLABELLED: We estimated the number of hip fracture patients in 2012 in Japan and investigated the trends in incidence during a 25-year period from 1987 to 2012. Despite the increasing number of patients, the incidence of hip fracture in both men and women aged 70-79 years showed the possibility of decline.Entities:
Keywords: Aging; Drug therapy; Hip fracture; Incidence; Osteoporosis; Time trends
Mesh:
Year: 2016 PMID: 26733376 PMCID: PMC4873530 DOI: 10.1007/s00198-015-3464-8
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Osteoporos Int ISSN: 0937-941X Impact factor: 4.507
Number of institutions and sampling numbers for a nationwide estimate and regional estimates by stratum
| Stratum no. | No. of beds | No. of institutions | Sampling no. for nationwide estimate (%) | Sampling no. for regional estimates (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | 7201 | 4165 (57.8) | 5210 (72.4) | |
| 1 | −19 | 2273 | 282 (12.4) | 282 (12.4) |
| 2 | 20–49 | 397 | 162 (40.8) | 397 (100) |
| 3 | 50–99 | 1219 | 825 (67.7) | 1219 (100) |
| 4 | 100–149 | 825 | 548 (66.4) | 825 (100) |
| 5 | 150–199 | 773 | 634 (82.0) | 773 (100) |
| 6 | 200–299 | 577 | 577 (100) | 577 (100) |
| 7 | 300–399 | 492 | 492 (100) | 492 (100) |
| 8 | 400–499 | 237 | 237 (100) | 237 (100) |
| 9 | 500–599 | 157 | 157 (100) | 157 (100) |
| 10 | 600–699 | 105 | 105 (100) | 105 (100) |
| 11 | 700–799 | 54 | 54 (100) | 54 (100) |
| 12 | 800–899 | 30 | 30 (100) | 30 (100) |
| 13 | 900+ | 62 | 62 (100) | 62 (100) |
Number of responding institutions and response rates for a nationwide estimate and regional estimates by stratum
| Stratum no. | No. of beds | Sampling no. for nationwide estimate | No. of responding institutions | Response rate (%) | Sampling no. for regional estimates | No. of responding institutions | Response rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | 4165 | 2615 | 62.8 | 5210 | 3170 | 60.8 | |
| 1 | −19 | 282 | 201 | 71.3 | 282 | 201 | 71.3 |
| 2 | 20–49 | 162 | 91 | 56.2 | 397 | 228 | 57.4 |
| 3 | 50–99 | 825 | 484 | 58.7 | 1219 | 685 | 56.2 |
| 4 | 100–149 | 548 | 335 | 61.1 | 825 | 475 | 57.6 |
| 5 | 150–199 | 634 | 416 | 65.6 | 773 | 493 | 63.8 |
| 6 | 200–299 | 577 | 348 | 60.3 | 577 | 348 | 60.3 |
| 7 | 300–399 | 492 | 318 | 64.6 | 492 | 318 | 64.6 |
| 8 | 400–499 | 237 | 156 | 65.8 | 237 | 156 | 65.8 |
| 9 | 500–599 | 157 | 93 | 59.2 | 157 | 93 | 59.2 |
| 10 | 600–699 | 105 | 73 | 69.5 | 105 | 73 | 69.5 |
| 11 | 700–799 | 54 | 37 | 68.5 | 54 | 37 | 68.5 |
| 12 | 800–899 | 30 | 19 | 63.3 | 30 | 19 | 63.3 |
| 13 | 900+ | 62 | 44 | 71.0 | 62 | 44 | 71.0 |
Trends in estimated number of new hip fracture patients per year, 1987–2012
| 1987 | 1992 | 1997 | 2002 | 2007 | 2012 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total point estimation | 53,200 people | 76,600 | 92,400 | 117,900 | 148,100 | 175,700 |
| (95 % confidence interval) | 69,000–84,000 | 89,900–94,900 | 114,700–121,100 | 144,000–152,200 | 170,300–181,100 | |
| 5-yr increase (% rate of increase) | 23,400 (+44.0 %) | 15,800 (+20.6 %) | 25,500 (+27.6 %) | 30,200 (+25.6 %) | 27,600 (+18.6 %) | |
| Men point estimation | 13,500 | 18,700 | 20,800 | 25,300 | 31,300 | 37,600 |
| (95 % confidence interval) | 17,000–21,000 | 20,100–21,400 | 24,500–26,000 | 30,500–32,100 | 36,600–38,600 | |
| 5-yr increase (% rate of increase) | 5200 (+38.5 %) | 2100 (+11.2 %) | 4500 (+21.6 %) | 6000 (+23.7 %) | 6300 (+20.1 %) | |
| Women point estimation | 39,700 | 57,900 | 71,600 | 92,600 | 116,800 | 138,100 |
| (95 % confidence interval) | 52,000–64,000 | 69,600–73,600 | 90,000–95,200 | 113,900–119,700 | 134,300–141,900 | |
| 5-yr increase (% rate of increase) | 18,200 (+45.8 %) | 13,700 (+23.7 %) | 21,000 (+29.3 %) | 24,200 (+26.1 %) | 21,300 (+18.2 %) |
Incidence rate of hip fracture per 10,000, 1992–2012
| 1992 | 1997 | 2002 | 2007 | 2012 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Male, age | |||||
| -39 | 0.36 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| 40- | 1.03 | 0.91 | 0.84 | 0.92 | 1.09 |
| 50- | 2.21 | 2.00 | 1.82 | 2.03 | 2.23 |
| 60- | 5.74 | 5.12 | 5.26 | 4.81 | 5.03 |
| 70- | 19.13 | 17.29 | 17.49 | 18.12 | 16.88 |
| 80- | 56.02 | 57.41 | 58.61 | 61.03 | 60.81 |
| 90- | 124.96 | 128.89 | 141.39 | 146.62 | 159.46 |
| All ages | 3.08 | 3.38 | 4.08 | 5.11 | 6.10 |
| Female, age | |||||
| -39 | 0.16 | 0.13 | 0.12 | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| 40- | 0.61 | 0.60 | 0.58 | 0.70 | 0.73 |
| 50- | 2.82 | 2.39 | 2.41 | 2.95 | 3.13 |
| 60- | 9.69 | 9.07 | 9.11 | 8.11 | 8.66 |
| 70- | 44.32 | 40.85 | 41.07 | 39.71 | 36.71 |
| 80- | 139.60 | 147.79 | 156.10 | 157.14 | 151.03 |
| 90- | 264.66 | 281.04 | 315.52 | 313.58 | 323.25 |
| All ages | 9.20 | 11.19 | 14.43 | 18.14 | 21.31 |
Fig. 1Ratio of change in incidence rate of hip fracture per 10,000, 1992–2012
Fig. 2Standardized incidence ratio of hip fracture