| Literature DB >> 25860220 |
Wenjun Liao1, Yilei Mao, Penglei Ge, Huayu Yang, Haifeng Xu, Xin Lu, Xinting Sang, Shouxian Zhong.
Abstract
Qualitative and quantitative analyses of circulating cell-free DNA (cfDNA) are potential methods for the detection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Many studies have evaluated these approaches, but the results have been variable. This meta-analysis is the first to synthesize these published results and evaluate the use of circulating cfDNA values for HCC diagnosis. All articles that met our inclusion criteria were assessed using QUADAS guidelines after the literature research. We also investigated 3 subgroups in this meta-analysis: qualitative analysis of abnormal concentrations of circulating cfDNA; qualitative analysis of single-gene methylation alterations; and multiple analyses combined with alpha-fetoprotein (AFP). Statistical analyses were performed using the software Stata 12.0. We synthesized these published results and calculated accuracy measures (pooled sensitivity and specificity, positive/negative likelihood ratios [PLRs/NLRs], diagnostic odds ratios [DORs], and corresponding 95% confidence intervals [95% CIs]). Data were pooled using bivariate generalized linear mixed model. Furthermore, summary receiver operating characteristic curves and area under the curve (AUC) were used to summarize overall test performance. Heterogeneity and publication bias were also examined. A total of 2424 subjects included 1280 HCC patients in 22 studies were recruited in this meta-analysis. Pooled sensitivity and specificity, PLR, NLR, DOR, AUC, and CIs of quantitative analysis were 0.741 (95% CI: 0.610-0.840), 0.851 (95% CI: 0.718-0.927), 4.970 (95% CI: 2.694-9.169), 0.304 (95% CI: 0.205-0.451), 16.347 (95% CI: 8.250-32.388), and 0.86 (95% CI: 0.83-0.89), respectively. For qualitative analysis, the values were 0.538 (95% CI: 0.401-0.669), 0.944 (95% CI: 0.889-0.972), 9.545 (95% CI: 5.298-17.196), 0.490 (95% CI: 0.372-0.646), 19.491 (95% CI: 10.458-36.329), and 0.87 (95% CI: 0.84-0.90), respectively. After combining with AFP assay, the values were 0.818 (95% CI: 0.676-0.906), 0.960 (95% CI: 0.873-0.988), 20.195 (95% CI: 5.973-68.282), 0.190 (95% CI: 0.100-0.359), 106.270 (95% CI: 22.317-506.055), and 0.96 (95% CI: 0.94-0.97), respectively. The results in this meta-analysis suggest that circulating cfDNA have potential value for HCC diagnosis. However, it would not be recommended for using independently, which is based on the nonrobust results. After combining with AFP, the diagnostic performance will be improved. Further investigation with more data is needed.Entities:
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Year: 2015 PMID: 25860220 PMCID: PMC4554041 DOI: 10.1097/MD.0000000000000722
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Medicine (Baltimore) ISSN: 0025-7974 Impact factor: 1.889
FIGURE 1Flowchart for inclusion and exclusion of studies in the meta-analysis. HCC = hepatocellular carcinoma.
Summary of Studies Included in the Meta-Analysis
FIGURE 2Forest plots of estimates of sensitivity and specificity for the different subgroups. The point estimates (brown squares) and 95% CIs (error bars) for studies in different subgroups are presented in these Forest plots. (A and B) Forest plots for the quantitative analysis subgroup with the diagnostic indicator of abnormal concentration of total circulating cfDNA; (C and D) Forest plots for the qualitative analysis subgroup. This group of studies used tumor-specific single-gene methylation alterations as the evaluation indicator; (E and F) Forest plots for the multiple analysis subgroup (ie, combined with [AFP] assay). The sensitivity and specificity values in this group were re-estimated after adding AFP. AFP = α-fetoprotein, cfDNA = circulating cell-free DNA, CI = confidence interval.
FIGURE 3SROC curves for qualitative, quantitative analysis and multiple analysis (combined with AFP assay). (A) SROC curves for the subgroup of quantitative analysis; (B) SROC curves for the subgroup of qualitative analysis; (C) SROC curves for multiple analysis (combined with α-fetoprotein (AFP) assay). The confidence ellipse indicates that the mean values for sensitivity and specificity were more likely to be in this region. The prediction ellipse (increased uncertainty) indicates that individual values for sensitivity and specificity were more likely to be in this region. AFP = α-fetoprotein, AUC = area under the curve, SROC = summary receiver operating characteristic.
FIGURE 4Forest plots of meta-regression analyses for sensitivity and specificity in the subgroup of (A) quantitative analysis and (B) qualitative analysis. CI = confidence interval.
FIGURE 5Funnel plots for the assessment of potential publication bias in the qualitative and quantitative analysis subgroups. (A) Funnel plots for the subgroup of quantitative analysis. (B) Funnel plots for the subgroup of qualitative analysis. The funnel graph indicates the results for the linear regression of the log odds ratios on the inverse root of the effective sample sizes. Each solid circle represents a study included in the meta-analysis. The line in the center indicates the summary DOR. (C) Funnel plots for the assessment of potential publication bias in the qualitative analysis subgroup using nonparametric “trim and fill” analysis. The funnel graph is a plot of the log of the DOR against the SE of the log of the DOR. “Theta” is the effect estimate and is the log DOR in this graph. DOR = diagnostic odds ratio, ESS = effective sample sizes.