| Literature DB >> 22462018 |
Denis Sablot1, Faouzi Belahsen, Fabrice Vuillier, Jean-François Cassarini, Pierre Decavel, Laurent Tatu, Thierry Moulin, Elisabeth Medeiros de Bustos.
Abstract
Background. Few studies have analysed the natural course of cerebral ischaemia for predicting outcome. We aimed to determine the early clinical findings and the thresholds for deficit severity and symptom duration that make it possible to stratify outcome. Methods. We included 154 patients with transient ischaemic attack or ischaemic stroke. Stroke profiles and neurological status were assessed from onset to 24 hrs, on admission, at 48 hrs, and at discharge. Outcomes were evaluated using the modified Rankin Scale. Positive and negative predictive values were calculated for the different thresholds. The model was subsequently evaluated on a new prospective cohort of 157 patients. Results. Initial National Institute of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score <5 and symptoms regressing within 135 min were predictive of good outcome. Initial NIHSS score >22 and symptom stability after 1,230 min were predictive of physical dependency or death. Conclusions. Low and high NIHSS cut-off points are effective positive predictive values for good and poor outcomes. Thresholds for symptom duration are less conclusive.Entities:
Year: 2011 PMID: 22462018 PMCID: PMC3302020 DOI: 10.5402/2011/354642
Source DB: PubMed Journal: ISRN Neurol ISSN: 2090-5505
Items assessed in the Neurological Dysfunction Score, reflecting the patient's and/or his/her family's evaluation of symptoms and their variation prior to assessment on admission.
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| Face | Upper limb | Lower limb | |
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| Unknown | |||
| Normal | |||
| Could be used | |||
| Could not be used | |||
| None | |||
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| Face | Upper limb | Lower limb | |
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| Unknown | |||
| Normal | |||
| Slight asymmetry | |||
| Clearly reduced | |||
| Anaesthesia, no feeling at all | |||
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| Unknown | |||
| Normal | |||
| Minimal | |||
| Difficult to understand | |||
| Incomprehensible | |||
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| Upright position | Gait | ||
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| Unknown | |||
| Normal | |||
| Possible alone | |||
| Possible with help | |||
| Impossible | |||
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| Upper limb | Lower limb | ||
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| Unknown | |||
| Normal | |||
| Slight control | |||
| Very little control | |||
| No control | |||
Figure 1Analysis of IS course data.
Figure 2Onset to admission delays.
Influences of symptom duration and intensity on the course of IS.
| NDS-0 (IC 95%) | NIHSS-GP (IC 95%) | Plateau duration (min.) (IC 95%) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lesion-free TIA ( | 4.31 (3.6–5.1) | 2.92 (2.1–3.8) | 75.23 (29.6–120.9) |
| TIA with lesion ( | 8.41 (3.6–13.1) | 4.72 (2.2–7.3) | 442.53 (25.7–859.3) |
| Infarction ( | 14.71 (12.6–16.8) | 12.12 (10.1–14.1) | 727.53 (609.9–845.1) |
| mRS 0–3 ( | 84 (6.8–9.2) | 5.55 (4.3–6.6) | 399.16 (296.6–501.6) |
| mRS 4-5 ( | 19.34 (14.2–24.4) | 17.05 (12.8–21.2) | 931.56 (684.7–1178.2) |
| Death ( | 31.54 (28.2–34.8) | 24.15 (20.9–27.3) | 13206 (1129.8–1510.2) |
Figure 4ROC curves calculating positive predictive value and negative predictive value. 4(a) For the prediction of a good outcome (mRS 0-1) for predefined clinical (left curve) and temporal (right curve) thresholds. 4(b) For the prediction of a poor outcome (mRS >3) for predefined clinical (left curve) and temporal (right curve) thresholds.
Baseline characteristics.
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| Hypertension | 55.8% |
| Cigarette smoking | 32.5% |
| Cardiac dysrhythmia | 27.9% |
| Permanent atrial fibrillation | 17.5% |
| Paroxystic atrial fibrillation | 6.7% |
| Alcohol use | 24% |
| Hyperlipidemia | 20.1% |
| Previous stroke/TIA | 15.6% |
| Arteritis | 14.3% |
| Diabetes mellitus | 14.3% |
| Heart failure | 13% |
| Coronary insufficiency | 12.2% |
| Angina pectoris | 6.4% |
| Myocardial infarction | 5.8% |
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| Total MCA infarction | 28 (18.5%) |
| Total superficial MCA infarction | 3 (2%) |
| Partial superficial MCA infarction | 30 (19.9%) |
| Deep MCA infarction | 23 (15.2%) |
| ACA infarction | 2 (1.3%) |
| Anterior circulation TIA | 26 (17.3%) |
| Localised brain stem infarction | 11 (7.3%) |
| Diffuse brain stem infarction | 2 (1.3%) |
| Thalamic Infarction | 6 (4%) |
| PCA Infarction | 4 (2.6%) |
| Cerebellar infarction | 11 (7.3%) |
| Posterior circulation TIA | 10 (6.6%) |
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| Atherothrombotic Stroke | |
| Large artery stenosis >50% | 23 (15.3%) |
| Large artery stenosis <50% | 33 (22%) |
| Microangiopathy | 3 (2%) |
| Cardioembolism | 37 (24.7%) |
| Miscellaneous | 4 (2.7%) |
| Arterial Dissection | 1 (0.7%) |
| Arteritis | 1 (0.7%) |
| Hemopathy/Coagulopathy | 3 (2%) |
| Other | 1 (0.7%) |
| Unknown | 48 (31.2%) |
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| 0-1 | 73 (47.4%) |
| 2 | 27 (17.5%) |
| 3 | 10 (6.5%) |
| 4 | 15 (9.7%) |
| 5 | 12 (7.8%) |
| Death | 17 (11%) |