Literature DB >> 19380444

Prostate-specific antigen progression predicts overall survival in patients with metastatic prostate cancer: data from Southwest Oncology Group Trials 9346 (Intergroup Study 0162) and 9916.

Maha Hussain1, Bryan Goldman, Cathy Tangen, Celestia S Higano, Daniel P Petrylak, George Wilding, Atif M Akdas, Eric J Small, Bryan J Donnelly, Subramanian Kanaga Sundram, Patrick A Burch, Robert S Dipaola, E David Crawford.   

Abstract

PURPOSE: Prostate-specific antigen progression (PSA-P) is an indicator of progression in hormone-sensitive (HS) and castration-resistant (CR) prostate cancer (PC). We evaluated different definitions of PSA-P as predictors of overall survival (OS). PATIENTS AND METHODS: A total of 1,078 patients with HSPC who were on hormones (Southwest Oncology Group [SWOG] trial 9346 [S9346]) and 597 patients with CRPC who were treated with chemotherapy (SWOG trial 9916 [S9916]) were eligible for this analysis. PSA-P definitions tested included the following: PSA Working Group, Prostate Cancer Working Group (PCWG 2008), and other definitions. A time-varying approach analyzed associations between PSA-P at any time and OS. A landmark analysis examined the relationship between PSA-P status at 7 months for S9346, or 3 months for S9916, and subsequent OS.
RESULTS: In the time-varying analysis, both working groups definitions were strongly associated with OS (P < .001) in both study settings. In patients enrolled onto S9346, both definitions predicted a 2.4-fold increased risk of death (ROD) and a greater than four-fold increased ROD if PSA-P occurred in the first 7 months. In S9916, they predicted a 40% increase in ROD and a two-fold increase in ROD if PSA-P occurred at 3 months. In landmark analyses of patients on S9346 by using the PCWG 2008 definition of PSA-P, median subsequent OS was 10 months versus 44 months in patients who did or did not have PSA-P by 7 months, respectively; in S9916, data were 11 months versus 18 months for patients who did or did not have PSA-P by 3 months, respectively.
CONCLUSION: PSA-P, defined as an increase of > or = 25% greater than the nadir and an absolute increase of at least 2 or 5 ng/mL, predicts OS in HSPC and CRPC and may be a suitable end point for phase II studies in these settings.

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Year:  2009        PMID: 19380444      PMCID: PMC2684851          DOI: 10.1200/JCO.2008.19.9810

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  J Clin Oncol        ISSN: 0732-183X            Impact factor:   44.544


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