| Literature DB >> 35765299 |
Nicolás Munera1,2, Esteban Garcia-Gallo3,2, Álvaro Gonzalez1, José Zea1, Yuli V Fuentes3,4, Cristian Serrano3,4, Alejandra Ruiz-Cuartas3, Alejandro Rodriguez5, Luis F Reyes3,4,6.
Abstract
Background: Patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) could develop severe disease requiring admission to the intensive care unit (ICU). This article presents a novel method that predicts whether a patient will need admission to the ICU and assesses the risk of in-hospital mortality by training a deep-learning model that combines a set of clinical variables and features in chest radiographs.Entities:
Year: 2022 PMID: 35765299 PMCID: PMC9059131 DOI: 10.1183/23120541.00010-2022
Source DB: PubMed Journal: ERJ Open Res ISSN: 2312-0541
FIGURE 1Cohorts for outcome assessments for the Latin American Intensive Care Network (LIVEN) coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) dataset. Exclusion criteria are presented, and splits for the clinical cohort and images cohort are specified. ICU: intensive care unit.
FIGURE 2Convolutional neural network model construction. a) Proposed approach for obtaining a model from images by backbone learning; b) proposed perceptron model to use clinical data for outcome assessment; c) proposed combination of a) and b).
Clinical variables selected by logistic regression models to assess intensive care unit (ICU) admission and hospital mortality prediction
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| 1.62 (1.43–1.83) | <0.001 | 1.68 (1.51–1.87) | <0.001 |
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| 4.10 (3.55–4.73) | <0.001 | 4.32 (3.75–4.97) | <0.001 |
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| 1.20 (1.05–1.38) | 0.007 | 1.20 (1.05–1.38) | 0.007 |
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| 0.80 (0.70–0.93) | 0.003 | 0.80 (0.70–0.93) | 0.003 |
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| 0.84 (0.76–0.94) | 0.002 | 0.82 (0.74–0.91) | <0.001 |
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| 0.60 (0.53–0.69) | <0.001 | 0.61 (0.54–0.69) | <0.001 |
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| 1.42 (1.28–1.59) | <0.001 | 1.44 (1.29–1.60) | <0.001 |
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| 1.42 (1.28–1.58) | <0.001 | 1.50 (1.35–1.66) | <0.001 |
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| 1.42 (1.28–1.58) | <0.001 | 1.43 (1.28–1.59) | <0.001 |
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| 1.00 (0.90–1.11) | 0.88 | ||
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| 1.08 (0.98–1.20) | 0.11 | 1.05 (0.94–1.16) | 0.34 |
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| 1.20 (1.08–1.33) | <0.001 | ||
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| 1.00 (0.90–1.12) | 0.91 | ||
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| 1.17 (1.05–1.32) | 0.005 | 1.21 (1.08–1.35) | 0.001 |
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| 0.95 (0.86–1.06) | 0.43 | ||
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| 1.22 (1.10–1.36) | <0.001 | ||
FiO: fraction of inspired oxygen; SO: oxygen saturation. : missing values were variables not selected for the predictive model analysis due to statistical significance or biological plausibility; ¶: noncomplicated diabetes.
FIGURE 3Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves of a) intensive care unit (ICU) admission and c) hospital mortality assessment and b, d) statistical comparison of models per outcome assessment. AUC: area under the curve.
Performance metrics for intensive care unit (ICU) admission and hospital mortality model assessment
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| Images | 0.85 | 0.81 | 0.89 | 0.75 | 0.88±0.05 | 0.8788–0.8911 |
| Clinical | 0.87 | 0.78 | 0.88 | 0.76 | 0.90±0.04 | 0.8956–0.9059 |
| Combined | 0.91 | 0.78 | 0.89 | 0.83 | 0.92±0.04 | 0.9113–0.9218 |
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| Images | 0.71 | 0.76 | 0.59 | 0.84 | 0.75±0.07 | 0.7368–0.7546 |
| Clinical | 0.71 | 0.75 | 0.57 | 0.84 | 0.81±0.06 | 0.7981–0.8132 |
| Combined | 0.74 | 0.75 | 0.58 | 0.85 | 0.81±0.06 | 0.8066–0.8205 |
PPV: positive predictive value; NPV: negative predictive value; AUC: area under the curve.
FIGURE 4Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves of a, c, e) intensive care unit (ICU) admission and b, d, f) hospital mortality assessment using proposed models. AUC: area under the curve.