| Literature DB >> 35179585 |
Kah Poh Loh1, Christopher L Seplaki2, Chandrika Sanapala1, Reza Yousefi-Nooraie2, Jennifer L Lund3,4, Ronald M Epstein5,6, Paul R Duberstein7, Marie Flannery8, Eva Culakova9, Huiwen Xu10, Colin McHugh1, Heidi D Klepin11, Po-Ju Lin9, Erin Watson12, Valerie Aarne Grossman13, Jane Jijun Liu14, Jodi Geer15, Mark A O'Rourke16, Karen Mustian9, Supriya G Mohile17.
Abstract
Importance: A poor prognostic understanding regarding curability is associated with lower odds of hospice use among patients with cancer. However, the association between poor prognostic understanding or prognostic discordance and health care use among older adults with advanced incurable cancers is not well characterized. Objective: To evaluate the association of poor prognostic understanding and patient-oncologist prognostic discordance with hospitalization and hospice use among older adults with advanced cancers. Design, Setting, and Participants: This was a post hoc secondary analysis of a cluster randomized clinical trial that recruited patients from October 29, 2014, to April 28, 2017. Data were collected from community oncology practices affiliated with the University of Rochester Cancer Center National Cancer Institute Community Oncology Research Program. The parent trial enrolled 541 patients who were aged 70 years or older and were receiving or considering any line of cancer treatment for incurable solid tumors or lymphomas; the patients' oncologists and caregivers (if available) were also enrolled. Patients were followed up for at least 1 year. Data were analyzed from January 3 to 16, 2021. Main Outcomes and Measures: At enrollment, patients and oncologists were asked about their beliefs regarding cancer curability (100%, >50%, 50%, <50%, and 0%; answers other than 0% reflected poor prognostic understanding) and life expectancy (≤6 months, 7-12 months, 1-2 years, 2-5 years, and >5 years; answers of >5 years reflected poor prognostic understanding). Any difference between oncologist and patient in response options was considered discordant. Outcomes were any hospitalization and hospice use at 6 months captured by the clinical research associates.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2022 PMID: 35179585 PMCID: PMC8857680 DOI: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2022.0018
Source DB: PubMed Journal: JAMA Netw Open ISSN: 2574-3805
Figure 1. Definitions of Poor Prognostic Understanding and Prognostic Discordance
Definitions of poor prognostic understanding and prognostic discordance regarding curability and life expectancy estimates, as well as prognostic discordance regarding curability and life expectancy estimates, are shown. For poor patient prognostic understanding regarding curability, note that patients with a response of uncertain were excluded. For prognostic discordance regarding curability, patients and oncologists with a response of uncertain were excluded.
Figure 2. Distribution of Prognostic Understanding Regarding Curability and Life Expectancy Estimates Reported by Patients and Oncologists
A, Patients and oncologists were asked about their beliefs about the curability of the cancer: “What do you believe are the chances the cancer will go away and never come back with treatment?” Any response other than 0% for curability was considered poor prognostic understanding regarding curability (59% [206 of 348]; responses of uncertain were excluded). B, Patients and oncologists were asked: “Considering your (the patient’s) health, and your (the patient’s) underlying medical conditions, what would you estimate your (the patient’s) overall life expectancy to be?” Response of life expectancy of more than 5 years was considered poor prognostic understanding regarding life expectancy estimates (41% [205 of 496]).
Patient and Oncologist Beliefs About Curability and Estimates of Overall Life Expectancy
| Oncologist beliefs about curability, % (N = 521) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patient beliefs about curability | 100% | >50% | 50% | <50% | 0% | Uncertain |
| 100% | 0 | 0 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 3.3 | 0.4 |
| >50% | 0.2 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 5.0 | 0.6 |
| 50% | 0 | 0.4 | 0 | 2.7 | 8.8 | 0.2 |
| <50% | 0 | 0.2 | 0 | 1.3 | 10.0 | 0.2 |
| 0% | 0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 3.3 | 22.8 | 0.6 |
| Uncertain | 0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 4.0 | 27.8 | 1.0 |
|
| ||||||
| Patient estimates of overall life expectancy | 0-6 mo | 7-12 mo | 1-2 y | 2-5 y | >5 y | NA |
| ≤6 mo | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | NA |
| 7-12 mo | 1.0 | 2.9 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | NA |
| 1-2 y | 0.8 | 6.9 | 8.5 | 1.8 | 0.6 | NA |
| 2-5 y | 0.8 | 4.7 | 13.2 | 9.8 | 2.9 | NA |
| >5 y | 1.8 | 5.9 | 14.0 | 13.4 | 6.3 | NA |
Abbreviation: NA, not applicable.
Missing responses from either oncologist or patient were excluded.
Associations Between Prognostic Understanding and Prognostic Discordance Regarding Curability and Life Expectancy Estimates
| Estimate | Discordance | Concordance | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Patient estimates of curability | |||
| No. | 202 | 134 | NA |
| 0% | 19 (9) | 119 (89) | <.001 |
| <50% | 53 (26) | 7 (5) | |
| 50% | 62 (31) | 0 | |
| >50% | 42 (21) | 8 (6) | |
| 100% | 26 (13) | 0 | |
| Poor prognostic understanding regarding curability | 183 (91) | 15 (11) | |
| Do not have poor prognostic understanding regarding curability | 19 (9) | 119 (89) | |
| Life expectancy estimates by patients | |||
| No. | 356 | 136 | NA |
| ≥6 mo | 5 (1) | 1 (1) | <.001 |
| 7-12 mo | 22 (6) | 14 (10) | |
| 1-2 y | 50 (14) | 42 (31) | |
| 2-5 y | 106 (30) | 48 (35) | |
| >5 y | 173 (49) | 31 (23) | |
| Poor prognostic understanding regarding life expectancy estimates | 173 (49) | 31 (23) | |
| Do not have poor prognostic understanding regarding life expectancy | 183 (51) | 105 (77) |
Abbreviation: NA, not applicable.
Assessed by use of the χ2 test.
Bivariate and Multivariable Associations of Poor Prognostic Understanding and Prognostic Discordance Regarding Curability and Survival Estimates With Hospitalization and Hospice Use
| Outcome | Odds ratio (95% CI) | |
|---|---|---|
| Bivariate analyses | Multivariable analyses, adjusted | |
| Hospitalization | ||
| Poor prognostic understanding regarding curability | 0.71 (0.46-1.11) | 0.77 (0.49-1.21) |
| Poor prognostic understanding regarding life expectancy estimates | 0.66 (0.48-0.89) | 0.74 (0.50-1.08) |
| Prognostic discordance regarding curability | 0.80 (0.48-1.34) | 0.87 (0.50-1.53) |
| Prognostic discordance regarding life expectancy estimates | 1.50 (0.94-2.37) | 1.64 (1.01-2.66) |
| Hospice use | ||
| Poor prognostic understanding regarding curability | 0.67 (0.48-0.92) | 0.76 (0.51-1.12) |
| Poor prognostic understanding regarding life expectancy estimates | 0.25 (0.13-0.47) | 0.30 (0.16-0.59) |
| Prognostic discordance regarding curability | 0.76 (0.54-1.07) | 0.78 (0.50-1.22) |
| Prognostic discordance regarding life expectancy estimates | 1.25 (0.84-1.86) | 1.27 (0.73-2.20) |
Accounting for clustering at the practice level.
Adjusted for demographic characteristics, cancer type, study group, and age-related conditions and accounting for clustering at the practice level.