| Literature DB >> 34876242 |
Irina Kislaya, Eduardo Freire Rodrigues, Vítor Borges, João P Gomes, Carlos Sousa, José P Almeida, André Peralta-Santos, Baltazar Nunes.
Abstract
We developed a case-case study to compare mRNA vaccine effectiveness against Delta versus Alpha coronavirus variants. We used data on 2,097 case-patients with PCR-positive severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 infections reported in Portugal during May-July 2021. We estimated the odds of vaccine breakthrough infection in Delta-infected versus Alpha-infected patients by using conditional logistic regression adjusted for age group and sex and matched by the week of diagnosis. We compared reverse-transcription PCR cycle threshold values by vaccination status and variant as an indirect measure of viral load. We found significantly higher odds of vaccine breakthrough infection in Delta-infected patients than in Alpha-infected patients (odds ratio 1.96 [95% CI 1.22-3.14]), suggesting lower effectiveness of the mRNA vaccines in preventing infection with the Delta variant. We estimated lower mean cycle threshold values for the Delta cases (mean difference -2.10 [95% CI -2.74 to -1.47]), suggesting higher infectiousness than the Alpha variant.Entities:
Keywords: Alpha variant; COVID-19; Delta variant; Portugal; SARS-CoV-2; breakthrough infections; coronavirus disease; mRNA vaccines; respiratory infections; severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2; vaccine-preventable diseases; viruses; zoonoses
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2021 PMID: 34876242 PMCID: PMC8798697 DOI: 10.3201/eid2802.211789
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Emerg Infect Dis ISSN: 1080-6040 Impact factor: 6.883
Characteristics of patients in the study sample, by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 variant of concern, Portugal, epidemiologic weeks 20–26 (May 17–July 4), 2021
| Characteristic | Delta (B.1.617.2), no. (%) | Alpha (B.1.1.7), no. (%) | Total, no. (%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 1,366 (100) | 731 (100) | 2,097 (100) |
| Week of diagnosis | |||
| 20 | 53 (4) | 137 (19) | 190 (9) |
| 21 | 64 (5) | 154 (21) | 218 (10) |
| 22 | 112 (8) | 171 (23) | 283 (13) |
| 23 | 192 (14) | 114 (16) | 306 (15) |
| 24 | 249 (18) | 73 (10) | 322 (15) |
| 25 | 350 (26) | 38 (5) | 388 (19) |
| 26 | 346 (25) | 44 (6) | 390 (19) |
| Age group, y | |||
| 40–49 | 760 (56) | 378 (52) | 1,138 (54) |
| 50–69 | 474 (35) | 313 (43) | 787 (38) |
|
| 132 (10) | 40 (5) | 172 (8) |
| Sex | |||
| F | 707 (52) | 402 (55) | 1,109 (53) |
| M | 659 (48) | 329 (45) | 988 (47) |
Crude and adjusted odds ratio of being infected with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 and vaccinated (odds of vaccine infection breakthrough) in Delta-infected versus Alpha-infected patients, Portugal, epidemiologic weeks 20–26 (May 17–July 4), 2021*
| Vaccination status | Delta, no. (%) | Alpha, no. (%) | Crude OR (95% CI) | Confounder-adjusted† OR (95% CI) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unvaccinated | 777 (57) | 517 (78) | Referent | Referent | |
| 1 dose (<14 d) | 229 (17) | 73 (10) | 1.23 (0.83 to 1.82) | 1.29 (0.85 to 1.95) | |
| 1 dose ( | 198 (14) | 49 (7) | 1.70 (1.18 to 2.47) | 1.81 (1.37 to 2.39) | |
| 2 doses ( | 162 (12) | 38 (5) | 1.96 (1.43 to 2.69) | 1.96 (1.22 to 3.14) | |
*OR, odds ratio. †Adjusted for sex and age group by conditional logistic regression using week of diagnosis result as matching variable. ‡Partial vaccination. §Complete vaccination.
Ct values based on mean reverse-transcription PCR Ct values for nucleocapsid and open reading frame 1ab genes, stratified by vaccination status and severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 variant of concern, and confounder-adjusted mean differences, Portugal, epidemiologic weeks 20–26 (May 17–July 4), 2021
| Vaccination status | Delta (B.1.617.2, mean (SD) | Alpha (B.1.1.7), mean (SD) | Mean difference,* Delta vs. Alpha (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16.4 (5.0) | 18.7 (5.3) | −2.10 (−2.74 to −1.47) |
| Unvaccinated | 16.5 (4.9) | 18.4 (5.2) | −1.66 (−2.37 to −0.95) |
| 1 dose (<14 d) | 15.7 (4.9) | 19.2 (5.6) | −1.42 (−3.07 to 0.23) |
| 1 dose ( | 16.1 (5.0) | 20.0 (5.6) | −1.88 (−3.77 to −0.003) |
| 2 doses ( | 17.7 (5.7) | 21.8 (5.7) | −2.24 (−4.8 to 0.32) |
| Mean difference, partial vaccinated vs. unvaccinated* | −0.15 (−0.99 to 0.96) | 1.87 (0.2 to 3.53) | |
| Mean difference, complete vaccinated vs. unvaccinated* | 2.24 (0.85 to 3.64) | 4.49 (2.07 to 6.91) |
*Mean difference and respective 95% CIs estimated by linear regression model adjusted to sex, age group, and week of diagnosis. †Partial vaccination. ‡Complete vaccination.
FigureDistribution of Ct paired mean (reverse-transcription PCR Ct values for nucleocapsid and open reading frame 1ab genes) by coronavirus variant and vaccination status, Portugal, epidemiologic weeks 20–26 (May 17–July 4), 2021. A) Delta variant; B) Alpha variant. Box top and bottom indicate first and the third quartiles of Ct distribution, horizontal line inside box indicates median, and whiskers indicate minimum and maximum values. Ct, cycle threshold.
Sensitivity analysis crude and adjusted odds ratio of being infected and vaccinated (odds of vaccine infection breakthrough) in Delta versus Alpha SARS-CoV-2 cases, Portugal, weeks 20–26 (May 17–July 4), 2021*
| Vaccination status | Delta (B.1.617.2), no. (%) | Alpha (B.1.1.7), no. (%) | Crude OR (95% CI) | Confounder-adjusted† OR (95% CI ) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted to epidemiologic weeks 22–26, n = 1,689 | ||||
| Unvaccinated | 682 (55) | 328 (75) | Referent | Referent |
| 1 dose (<14 d) | 224 (18) | 54 (12) | 1.34 (0.94 to 1.91) | 1.38 (0.96 to 1.98) |
| 1 dose ( | 190 (15) | 32 (7) | 1.87 (1.22 to 2.86) | 1.91 (1.22 to 3.00) |
| 2 doses ( | 153 (12) | 26 (6) | 1.99 (1.25 to 3.16) | 1.78 (1.01 to 3.13) |
| Restricted to WGS-classified VOC patients, n = 931 | ||||
| Unvaccinated | 406 (59) | 189 (77) | Referent | Referent |
| 1 dose (<14 d) | 104 (15) | 29 (12) | 1.21 (0.75 to 1.95) | 1.20 (0.73 to 1.96) |
| 1 dose ( | 84 (12) | 11 (4) | 2.63 (1.34 to 5.20) | 2.50 (1.23 to 5.08) |
| 2 doses ( | 90 (13) | 18 (7) | 1.91 (1.09 to 3.34) | 1.48 (0.75 to 2.93) |
| Restricted to patients with Ct values <25, n = 1,363 | ||||
| Unvaccinated | 492 (57) | 412 (82) | Referent | Referent |
| 1 dose (<14 d) | 161 (19) | 48 (10) | 1.20 (0.79 to 1.81) | 1.30 (0.85 to 1.98) |
| 1 dose ( | 142 (17) | 30 (6) | 2.14 (1.32 to 3.46) | 2.47 (1.48 to 4.12) |
| 2 doses ( | 64 (7) | 14 (3) | 1.92 (0.97 to 3.82) | 2.42 (1.06 to 5.51) |
*Ct, cycle threshold; OR, odds ratio; WGS, whole-genome sequencing; VOC, variant of concern. †Adjusted for sex and age group by conditional logistic regression using week of diagnosis result as matching variable. ‡Partial vaccination. §Complete vaccination.