| Literature DB >> 35214737 |
Rashidul Alam Mahumud1,2,3, Mohammad Afshar Ali2,4,5, Satyajit Kundu6,7, Md Ashfikur Rahman8, Joseph Kihika Kamara9,10, Andre M N Renzaho11,12.
Abstract
Objectives: The highly transmissible COVID-19 Delta variant (DV) has contributed to a surge in cases and exacerbated the worldwide public health crisis. Several COVID-19 vaccines play a significant role in a high degree of protection against the DV. The primary purpose of this meta-analysis is to estimate the pooled effectiveness of the COVID-19 vaccines against the DV in terms of risk ratio (RR) among fully vaccinated, compared to unvaccinated populations.Entities:
Keywords: B.1.617.2; COVID-19 vaccines; delta variant; herd immunity; meta-analysis; vaccines effectiveness
Year: 2022 PMID: 35214737 PMCID: PMC8875411 DOI: 10.3390/vaccines10020277
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Vaccines (Basel) ISSN: 2076-393X
Figure 1Steps of study selection procedures.
Quality score assessment for cohort study.
| # | Quality Assessment Indicators | Selected Cohort Studies | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fowlkes et al. (2021) [ | Grannis et al. (2021) [ | Jara et al. (2021) [ | Nanduri et al. (2021) [ | ||
| Q1 | Were the two groups similar and recruited from the same population? | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
| Q2 | Were the exposures measured similarly to assign people to both exposed and unexposed groups? | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
| Q3 | Was the exposure measured in a valid and reliable way? | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
| Q4 | Were confounding factors identified? | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
| Q5 | Were strategies to deal with confounding factors stated? | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
| Q6 | Were the groups/participants free of the outcome at the start of the study (or at the moment of exposure)? | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
| Q7 | Were the outcomes measured in a valid and reliable way? | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
| Q8 | Was the follow-up time reported and sufficiently long enough for outcomes to occur? | ® | ® | ✓ | ® |
| Q9 | Was follow-up complete, and if not, were the reasons to loss to follow-up described and explored? | ✕ | ✕ | ® | ✕ |
| Q10 | Were strategies to address incomplete follow-up utilised? | ✕ | ✕ | ✕ | ✕ |
| Q11 | Was appropriate statistical analysis used? | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
| Overall quality score | 8.5 (medium) | 8.5 (medium) | 9.5 (high) | 8.5 (medium) | |
| Overall appraisal | Included | Included | Included | Included | |
Note: ✓ = yes (=1), ✕ = no (=0), ® = unclear (=0.5); quality assessment decision rules for 11 scales [(i) poor if the overall score ≤ 5, (ii) medium if overall scores is 6 to 9, and (iii) high if the overall score > 9].
Quality score assessment for case-control.
| # | Quality Assessment Indicators | Selected Case–Control Studies | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barlow et al. (2021) [ | Li et al. (2021) [ | Hu et al. (2021) [ | Bernal et al. (2021) [ | Tang et al. (2021) [ | Nasreen et al. (2021) [ | ||
| Q1 | Were the groups comparable other than the presence of disease in cases or the absence of disease in controls? | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
| Q2 | Were cases and controls matched appropriately? | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
| Q3 | Were the same criteria used for the identification of cases and controls? | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
| Q4 | Was exposure measured in a standard, valid and reliable way? | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
| Q5 | Was exposure measured in the same way for cases and controls? | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
| Q6 | Were confounding factors identified? | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
| Q7 | Were strategies to deal with confounding factors stated? | ✓ | ✕ | ✕ | ✓ | ✕ | ✕ |
| Q8 | Were outcomes assessed in a standard, valid and reliable way for cases and controls? | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ® |
| Q9 | Was the exposure period of interest long enough to be meaningful? | ® | ✕ | ✕ | ✕ | ✕ | ® |
| Q10 | Was appropriate statistical analysis used? | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
| Overall quality score | 9.5 (high) | 8 (high) | 8 (medium) | 9 (high) | 8 (medium) | 8 (medium) | |
| Overall appraisal | Included | Included | Included | Included | Included | Included | |
Note: ✓ = yes (=1), ✕ = no (=0), ® = unclear (=0.5); quality assessment decision rules for 10 scales: (i) poor if the overall scores < 6, (ii) medium if the overall scores is 6 to 8, and (iii) high if the overall scores > 8.
Quality score assessment for case-series study.
| # | Quality Assessment Indicators for Case-Series Study | Kislaya et al. (2021) [ |
|---|---|---|
| Q1 | Were there clear criteria for inclusion in the case series? | ✓ |
| Q2 | Was the condition measured in a standard, reliable way for all participants included in the case series? | ✓ |
| Q3 | Were valid methods used for identification of the condition for all participants included in the case series? | ✓ |
| Q4 | Did the case series have consecutive inclusion of participants? | ✓ |
| Q5 | Did the case series have the complete inclusion of participants? | ® |
| Q6 | Was there clear reporting of the demographics of the participants in the study? | ✓ |
| Q7 | Was there clear reporting of clinical information of the participants? | ✓ |
| Q8 | Were the outcomes or follow-up results of cases clearly reported? | ✓ |
| Q9 | Was there clear reporting of the presenting site(s)/clinic(s) demographic information? | ✓ |
| Q10 | Was statistical analysis appropriate? | ✓ |
| Overall quality score | 9.5 (high) | |
| Overall appraisal | ||
Note: ✓ = yes (=1), ✕ = no (=0), ® = unclear (=0.5); quality assessment decision rules for 10 scales: (i) poor if the overall scores < 6, (ii) medium if the overall scores is 6 to 8, and (iii) high if the overall scores > 8.
Characteristics of the selected studies.
| Study | Country | Design | Fully Vaccinated Group | Unvaccinated Group | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Number of Infected Persons, | Total Vaccinated Population | Number of Infected Persons, | Total Unvaccinated Population | |||
| Bernal et al. (2021) [ | UK | Case–control | 143 (0.60) | 23,993 | 7313 (7.59) | 96,371 |
| Fowlkes et al. (2021) [ | USA | Cohort study | 34 (1.14) | 2976 | 194 (4.69) | 4136 |
| Grannis et al. (2021) [ | USA | Cohort study | 134 (2.94) | 4551 | 1185 (20.76) | 5708 |
| Barlow et al. (2021) [ | USA | Case-control | 145 (29.00) | 500 | 279 (55.80) | 500 |
| Hu et al. (2021) [ | China | Case–control | 187 (39.29) | 476 | 184 (38.66) | 476 |
| Jara et al. (2021) [ | Chile | Cohort study | 12,286 (0.29) | 4,173,574 | 185,633 (3.39) | 5,471,728 |
| Kislaya et al. (2021) [ | Portugal | Case-case study | 162 (11.89) | 1363 | 777 (46.00) | 1689 |
| Li et al. (2021) [ | China | Case–control | 12 (12.37) | 97 | 37 (34.58) | 107 |
| Nanduri et al. (2021) [ | USA | Cohort study | 2999 (0.06) | 5,011,746 | 1397 (0.15) | 953,861 |
| Nasreen et al. (2021) [ | Canada | Case–control | 10 (0.12) | 8461 | 6325 (22.03) | 28,705 |
| Tang et al. (2021) [ | Qatar | Case–control | 249 (0.02) | 1,286,395 | 4993 (4.06) | 122,928 |
| Total, | N = 16,361 (0.16) | N = 10,514,132 | N = 208,317 (3.12) | N = 6,686,209 | ||
| Weighted pooled incidence of COVID-19 infection. | 8.88% | 21.61% | ||||
Figure 2Effectiveness of the two-dose COVID-19 vaccines against the Delta variant.
Figure 3Assessing publication bias.
Assessing publication bias.
| Study Design | Number of Studies | Egger’s Regression Test | Small-Study Effect ( | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RR, (95% CI) | Bias (RR), 95% CI | |||||
| Case-control | 6 | 0.61 (0.02, 5.53) | 0.224 | 30.53 (0.89, 51.45) | 0.481 | |
| Cohort study | 4 | 0.09 (0.04, 0.17) | 0.015 | 13.32 (0.98, 45.47) | 0.390 | |
| Case-case study | 1 | - | - | - | - | - |
RR = risk ratio, p-value = probability value.