| Literature DB >> 34646765 |
Yumei Jin1,2, Mou Li1, Yali Zhao3, Chencui Huang3, Siyun Liu4, Shengmei Liu1, Min Wu5, Bin Song1.
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: To develop and validate a computed tomography (CT)-based radiomics model for predicting tumor deposits (TDs) preoperatively in patients with rectal cancer (RC).Entities:
Keywords: computed tomography; preoperative prediction; radiomics; rectal cancer; tumor deposits
Year: 2021 PMID: 34646765 PMCID: PMC8502898 DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2021.710248
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Oncol ISSN: 2234-943X Impact factor: 6.244
Figure 1Flowchart of patients’ recruitment pathway.
Baseline characteristics of the study population.
| Characteristics | TD positive (n = 117) | TD negative (n = 137) |
| training cohort (n = 203) | validation cohort (n = 51) |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age (mean ± SD,years) | 59 ± 13 | 60 ± 11 | 0.553 | 59 ± 11 | 59 ± 14 | 0.682 |
| Gender (men/women) | 62/55 | 89/48 | 0.056 | 112/91 | 39/12 |
|
| Volume (median,cm3) | 15.1 | 12.0 |
| 14.0 | 13.0 | 0.829 |
| Location | 0.078 | 0.157 | ||||
| upper | 61 | 56 | 89 | 28 | ||
| middle-lower | 56 | 81 | 114 | 23 | ||
| cT stage (T1-2/T3/T4) | 11/84/22 | 57/70/10 |
| 53/127/23 | 15/27/9 | 0.753 |
| Peritumoral nodules (+/-)1 | 103/14 | 73/64 |
| 140/63 | 36/15 | 0.822 |
| CEA (+/-) | 61/56 | 48/89 |
| 87/116 | 22/29 | 0.971 |
| CA19-9 (+/-) | 44/73 | 22/115 |
| 50/153 | 16/35 | 0.326 |
| CA125 (+/-) | 11/106 | 6/131 | 0.110 | 13/190 | 4/47 | 0.713 |
| Rad-score | 0.60 ± 0.19 | 0.42 ± 0.20 |
| 0.49 ± 0.21 | 0.53 ± 0.21 | 0.343 |
| pT stage (T1/2/3/4) | 0/7/91/19 | 7/37/86/7 |
| 6/34/145/18 | 1/10/32/8 | 0.533 |
| pN stage (N0/1/2) | 0/69/48 | 80/43/14 |
| 64/90/49 | 16/22/13 | 0.897 |
| Histologic grade (1/2/3) | 0/86/31 | 3/114/20 |
| 1/158/44 | 2/42/7 | 0.085 |
1Peritumoral nodule was defined as any nodule (diameter > 3mm) within the lymphatic drainage space of rectal cancer on CT images. P values less than 0.05 are shown in bold.
Figure 2Radiomics workflow.
Risk factors selected by the logistic regression analysis.
| Variables | Univariate | Multivariate | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OR |
| OR |
| |
| Age | 0.996 | 0.745 | ||
| Gender | 0.624 | 0.098 | ||
| Volume | 1.000 | 0.918 | ||
| Location | 2.216 |
| 0.677 | 0.267 |
| cT stage | 3.496 |
| 2.281 |
|
| Peritumoral nodules (+/-) | 6.009 |
| 4.485 |
|
| CEA | 1.725 | 0.057 | ||
| CA19-9 | 2.928 |
| 2.253 |
|
| CA125 | 2.779 | 0.098 | ||
| Rad-score | 2.771 |
| 2.378 |
|
1If P > 0.1, variables were excluded from the combined model. P values less than 0.05 are shown in bold.
Figure 3Nomogram developed in the training cohort.
Figure 4Fit and usefulness evaluation of the nomogram. (A) Calibration curve of the nomogram. The calibration curve depicts the calibration of the model in terms of the agreement between the predicted risk of TDs (x axis) and observed outcomes of TDs (y axis). The blue solid line represents the performance of the nomogram (Note: a closer fit to the diagonal dotted line represents a better prediction). (B) The decision curve demonstrates that the model obtains more benefit than “treat all”, “treat none”, Rad-score, and the clinical model, when the threshold probability is in the range of 18% to 70%.
ROC analyses of the models in the training and validation cohorts.
| Model | The training cohort |
| The validation cohort |
| ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUC | SEN (%) | SPE (%) | AUC | SEN | SPE | |||
| Rad-score | 0.747 (95%CI: 0.681-0.805) | 77.7 | 59.6 |
| 0.717 (95%CI: 0.574-0.835) | 91.3 | 60.7 | 0.054 |
| Clinical model | 0.773 (95%CI: 0.709-0.829) | 80.9 | 63.3 |
| 0.718 (95%CI: 0.575-0.835) | 82.6 | 60.7 |
|
| Combined model | 0.830 (95%CI: 0.771-0.879) | 80.9 | 76.2 | 0.832 (95%CI: 0.701-0.922) | 78.3 | 71.4 | ||
P values: compared with the combined model. P values less than 0.05 are shown in bold.
Figure 5Comparisons of ROC curves. (A) in the training cohort. (B) in the validation cohort. The combined models had higher AUCs (0.830 and 0.832) than the clinical model (0.773 and 0.718).
Subgroup analyses of the models in the whole cohort.
| Subgroups | The clinical model | The combined model |
| ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| value | AUC | SEN | SPE | value | AUC | SEN | SPE | ||
| TD+ | |||||||||
| N1c (n = 35) | 0.56 ± 0.21 | 0.711 (95%CI: 0.637-0.778) | 74.3% | 67.2% | 0.55 ± 0.27 | 0.741 (95%CI: 0.669-0.805) | 80.0% | 59.9% | 0.326 |
| TDs+ except N1c (n = 82) | 0.62 ± 0.18 | 0.781 (95%CI: 0.721-0.834) | 82.9% | 67.2% | 0.69 ± 0.19 | 0.864 (95%CI: 0.812-0.907) | 87.8% | 74.5% |
|
| Number of TDs | |||||||||
| 1-2 (n = 77) | 0.58 ± 0.21 | 0.732 (95%CI: 0.668-0.790) | 75.3% | 67.2% | 0.62 ± 0.24 | 0.800 (95%CI: 0.740-0.852) | 84.4% | 66.4% |
|
| ≥3 (n = 40) | 0.64 ± 0.16 | 0.814 (95%CI: 0.749-0.869) | 90.0% | 67.2% | 0.72 ± 0.19 | 0.880(95%CI: 0.823-0.924) | 90.0% | 75.9% |
|
| Pathological T stage | |||||||||
| T1-2 | 0.519 (95%CI: 0.375-0.661) | 57.1% | 52.3% | 0.740 (95%CI: 0.598-0.853) | 57.1% | 97.7% |
| ||
| T3-4 | 0.732 (95%CI: 0.665-0.791) | 86.4% | 55.9% | 0.789(95%CI: 0.726-0.843) | 80.9% | 65.6% |
| ||
| Peritumoral nodules on CT | |||||||||
| + (n = 176) | 0.661 (95%CI: 0.586-0.730) | 91.3% | 38.4% | 0.771 (95%CI: 0.701-0.831) | 85.4% | 57.5% |
| ||
| - (n = 78) | 0.667 (95%CI: 0.552-0.770) | 85.7% | 42.2% | 0.751 (95%CI: 0.640-0.842) | 57.1% | 82.8% | 0.263 | ||
| Clinical stage | |||||||||
| II (n = 49) | 0.550 (95%CI: 0.401-0.692) | 41.7% | 73.0% | 0.721 (95%CI: 0.574-0.839) | 50.0% | 89.2% | 0.180 | ||
| III (n = 176) | 0.661 (95%CI: 0.586-0.730) | 91.3% | 38.4% | 0.771 (95%CI: 0.701-0.831) | 85.4% | 57.5% |
| ||
P value: comparison between the clinical model and combined model. P values less than 0.05 are shown in bold.