| Literature DB >> 34355527 |
Bo Rim Kim1, Eun Jin Jang2, Junwoo Jo3, Hannah Lee1, Dong Yeon Jang1, Ho Geol Ryu1.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Recent advances in esophageal cancer treatment require a reevaluation of the relationship between institutional case-volume and patient outcome. The aim of this study was to analyze and update the association between surgical case-volume and both in-hospital and long-term mortality after esophagectomy for esophageal cancer.Entities:
Keywords: case-volume effect; esophageal cancer; esophagectomy
Mesh:
Year: 2021 PMID: 34355527 PMCID: PMC8447910 DOI: 10.1111/1759-7714.14096
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Thorac Cancer ISSN: 1759-7706 Impact factor: 3.500
Patient and center characteristics
| Total | Low volume (<12 cases/year) | Medium volume (12–48 cases/year) | High‐volume (>48 cases/year) |
| |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. of centers | 122 | 96 | 20 | 6 | |
| No. of patients | 11 346 | 2384 | 3344 | 5618 | |
| Annual case volume | 3.8 [0.8, 11.0] | 2.2 [0.5, 5.6] | 21.4 [14.6, 30.8] | 95.5 [55.6, 160.1] | <0.001 |
| Age | 64.2 (8.5) | 64.6 (8.6) | 64.3 (8.8) | 63.9 (8.3) | 0.001 |
| 19–60 | 3230 (28.5%) | 643 (27.0%) | 966 (28.9%) | 1621 (28.9%) | <0.001 |
| 61–70 | 4870 (42.9%) | 1021 (42.8%) | 1381 (41.3%) | 2468 (43.9%) | |
| 71–80 | 3009 (26.5%) | 653 (27.4%) | 907 (27.1%) | 1449 (25.8%) | |
| ≥81 | 237 (2.1%) | 67 (2.8%) | 90 (2.7%) | 80 (1.4%) | |
| Male | 10 502 (92.6%) | 2209 (92.7%) | 3068 (91.8%) | 5225 (93.0%) | 0.088 |
| Comorbidities | |||||
| Hypertension | 4680 (41.3%) | 991 (41.6%) | 1341 (40.1%) | 2348 (41.8%) | 0.272 |
| Diabetes mellitus | 2965 (26.1%) | 642 (26.9%) | 830 (24.8%) | 1493 (26.6%) | 0.114 |
| Coronary artery disease | 1603 (14.1%) | 295 (12.4%) | 426 (12.7%) | 882 (15.7%) | <0.001 |
| Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease | 991 (8.7%) | 170 (7.1%) | 323 (9.7%) | 498 (8.9%) | 0.003 |
| Chronic liver disease | 4022 (35.5%) | 921 (38.6%) | 1184 (35.4%) | 1917 (34.1%) | 0.001 |
| Chronic kidney disease | 149 (1.3%) | 37 (1.6%) | 44 (1.3%) | 68 (1.2%) | 0.471 |
| Cerebrovascular disease | 980 (8.6%) | 218 (9.1%) | 300 (9.0%) | 462 (8.2%) | 0.291 |
| Adjuvant therapy | <0.001 | ||||
| No neoadjuvant therapy | 3476 (30.6%) | 1115 (46.8%) | 1408 (42.1%) | 953 (17.0%) | |
| Neoadjuvant chemotherapy | 6325 (55.8%) | 1069 (44.8%) | 1751 (52.4%) | 3505 (62.4%) | |
| Neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy | 1545 (13.6%) | 200 (8.4%) | 185 (5.5%) | 1160 (20.7%) | |
| Surgery year | |||||
| 2004–2010 | 5075 (44.7%) | 1090 (45.7%) | 1514 (45.3%) | 2471 (44.0%) | 0.270 |
| 2011–2017 | 6271 (55.3%) | 1294 (54.3%) | 1830 (54.7%) | 3147 (56.0%) |
Values are expressed as mean (standard deviation), median [interquartile range] or n (%).
Logistic regression analysis for in‐hospital mortality after esophageal cancer surgery
| In‐hospital mortality [ | Unadjusted | Adjusted | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OR (95% CI) |
| OR (95% CI) |
| ||
| Case‐volume | |||||
| High‐volume (>48 cases/year) | 192/5618 (3.4%) | 1 | 1 | ||
| Medium‐volume (12–48 cases/year) | 214/3344 (6.4%) | 1.93 (1.58–2.36) | <0.001 | 2.21 (1.80–2.74) | <0.001 |
| Low‐volume (<12 cases/year) | 264/2384 (11.1%) | 3.52 (2.90–4.27) | <0.001 | 3.91 (3.18–4.80) | <0.001 |
| Age | |||||
| 19–60 | 116/3230 (3.6%) | 1 | 1 | ||
| 61–70 | 243/4870 (5.0%) | 1.41 (1.12–1.77) | 0.003 | 1.40 (1.11–1.76) | 0.004 |
| 71–80 | 268/3009 (8.9%) | 2.62 (2.10–3.28) | <0.001 | 2.81 (2.23–3.56) | <0.001 |
| ≥81 | 43/237 (18.1%) | 5.95 (4.07–8.69) | <0.001 | 6.30 (4.25–9.36) | <0.001 |
| Sex | |||||
| Female | 27/844 (3.2%) | 1 | 1 | ||
| Male | 643/10502 (6.1%) | 1.97 (1.33–2.92) | <0.001 | 1.85 (1.25–2.76) | <0.001 |
| Comorbidities | |||||
| Hypertension | 301/4680 (6.4%) | 1.17 (1.00–1.37) | 0.046 | 0.94 (0.79–1.12) | 0.489 |
| Diabetes mellitus | 206/2965 (7.0%) | 1.27 (1.08–1.51) | 0.005 | 1.15 (0.96–1.38) | 0.139 |
| Coronary artery disease | 97/1603 (6.1%) | 1.03 (0.83–1.29) | 0.787 | 0.93 (0.73–1.17) | 0.518 |
| Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease | 70/991 (7.1%) | 1.24 (0.96–1.60) | 0.106 | 1.11 (0.85–1.44) | 0.450 |
| Chronic liver disease | 278/4022 (6.9%) | 1.31 (1.12–1.54) | <0.001 | 1.27 (1.07–1.50) | 0.005 |
| Chronic kidney disease | 14/149 (9.4%) | 1.67 (0.96–2.91) | 0.072 | 1.25 (0.70–2.23) | 0.462 |
| Cerebrovascular disease | 77/980 (7.9%) | 1.41 (1.10–1.80) | 0.007 | 1.19 (0.92–1.55) | 0.190 |
| Adjuvant therapy | |||||
| Neoadjuvant chemotherapy | 316/6325 (5.0%) | 1 | 1 | ||
| No neoadjuvant therapy | 228/3476 (6.6%) | 1.33 (1.12–1.59) | 0.001 | 1.03 (0.85–1.24) | 0.783 |
| Neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy | 126/1545 (8.2%) | 1.69 (1.36–2.09) | <0.001 | 2.56 (2.04–3.22) | <0.001 |
| Surgery year | |||||
| 2004–2010 | 328/5075 (6.5%) | 1.20 (1.03–1.40) | 0.024 | 1.37 (1.16–1.61) | <0.001 |
| 2011–2017 | 342/6271 (5.5%) | 1 | 1 | ||
Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; OR, odds ratio.
Multivariable logistic regression analysis for 1‐, 3‐, and 5‐year mortality after esophageal cancer surgery
| 1‐year mortality | 3‐year mortality | 5‐year mortality | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OR (95% CI) |
| OR (95% CI) |
| OR (95% CI) |
| ||||
| Case‐volume | |||||||||
| High‐volume (>48 cases/year) | 729/5421 (13.4%) | 1 | 1614/4569 (35.3%) | 1 | 1643/3730 (44%) | 1 | |||
| Medium‐volume (12–48 cases/year) | 498/3129 (15.9%) | 1.35 (1.19–1.54) | <0.001 | 1114/2649 (42.1%) | 1.43 (1.29–1.59) | <0.001 | 1144/2143 (53.4%) | 1.55 (1.38–1.74) | <0.001 |
| Low‐volume (<12 cases/year) | 398/2116 (18.8%) | 1.63 (1.41–1.88) | <0.001 | 816/1750 (46.6%) | 1.67 (1.48–1.88) | <0.001 | 847/1428 (59.3%) | 1.94 (1.70–2.21) | <0.001 |
| Age | |||||||||
| 19–60 | 416/3109 (13.4%) | 1 | 947/2638 (35.9%) | 1 | 952/2160 (44.1%) | 1 | |||
| 61–70 | 651/4622 (14.1%) | 1.08 (0.94–1.24) | 0.289 | 1516/3903 (38.8%) | 1.16 (1.04–1.29) | 0.007 | 1613/3235 (49.9%) | 1.27 (1.14–1.43) | <0.001 |
| 71–80 | 491/2741 (17.9%) | 1.62 (1.39–1.88) | <0.001 | 988/2281 (43.3%) | 1.55 (1.38–1.76) | <0.001 | 992/1798 (55.2%) | 1.74 (1.52–1.99) | <0.001 |
| ≥81 | 67/194 (34.5%) | 4.31 (3.11–5.96) | <0.001 | 93/146 (63.7%) | 3.89 (2.72–5.56) | <0.001 | 77/108 (71.3%) | 3.68 (2.38–5.69) | <0.001 |
| Sex | |||||||||
| Female | 94/816 (11.5%) | 1 | 191/647 (29.5%) | 1 | 185/506 (36.6%) | 1 | |||
| Male | 1531/9850 (15.5%) | 1.34 (1.07–1.68) | 0.011 | 3353/8321 (40.3%) | 1.58 (1.32–1.89) | <0.001 | 3449/6795 (50.8%) | 1.76 (1.45–2.13) | <0.001 |
| Comorbidities | |||||||||
| Hypertension | 682/4378 (15.6%) | 0.96 (0.84–1.08) | 0.465 | 1420/3589 (39.6%) | 0.94 (0.85–1.04) | 0.213 | 1414/2824 (50.1%) | 0.95 (0.86–1.06) | 0.382 |
| Diabetes mellitus | 461/2757 (16.7%) | 1.13 (0.99–1.28) | 0.064 | 928/2248 (41.3%) | 1.09 (0.98–1.22) | 0.103 | 910/1787 (50.9%) | 1.03 (0.92–1.16) | 0.636 |
| Coronary artery disease | 236/1505 (15.7%) | 0.99 (0.84–1.16) | 0.893 | 507/1268 (40.0%) | 1.02 (0.90–1.16) | 0.769 | 518/1036 (50%) | 0.99 (0.86–1.14) | 0.909 |
| Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease | 168/920 (18.3%) | 1.23 (1.02–1.47) | 0.028 | 323/793 (40.7%) | 1.00 (0.86–1.17) | 0.997 | 343/659 (52%) | 1.05 (0.89–1.24) | 0.555 |
| Chronic liver disease | 574/3741 (15.3%) | 0.98 (0.87–1.10) | 0.737 | 1228/3103 (39.6%) | 0.98 (0.89–1.08) | 0.670 | 1261/2508 (50.3%) | 1.00 (0.90–1.11) | 0.975 |
| Chronic kidney disease | 29/135 (21.5%) | 1.44 (0.93–2.22) | 0.099 | 48/98 (49.0%) | 1.43 (0.94–2.17) | 0.091 | 36/58 (62.1%) | 1.72 (0.99–2.99) | 0.056 |
| Cerebrovascular disease | 149/902 (16.5%) | 1.09 (0.89–1.32) | 0.406 | 301/735 (41.0%) | 1.07 (0.91–1.26) | 0.397 | 291/540 (53.9%) | 1.17 (0.97–1.41) | 0.093 |
| Adjuvant therapy | |||||||||
| Neoadjuvant chemotherapy | 822/6006 (13.7%) | 1 | 1856/5051 (36.7%) | 1 | 1899/4077 (46.6%) | 1 | |||
| No neoadjuvant therapy | 497/3241 (15.3%) | 1.28 (1.12–1.47) | <0.001 | 1195/2870 (41.6%) | 1.33 (1.20–1.48) | <0.001 | 1298/2459 (52.8%) | 1.30 (1.16–1.46) | <0.001 |
| Neoadjuvant chemotherapy with radiotherapy | 306/1419 (21.6%) | 2.94 (2.57–3.36) | <0.001 | 493/1047 (47.1%) | 2.90 (2.58–3.26) | <0.001 | 437/765 (57.1%) | 2.85 (2.50–3.26) | <0.001 |
| Surgery year | |||||||||
| 2004–2010 | 806/4739 (17.0%) | 1.43 (1.28–1.60) | <0.001 | 1997/4739 (42.1%) | 1.35 (1.23–1.47) | <0.001 | 2470/4739 (39.8%) | 1.36 (1.23–1.51) | <0.001 |
| 2011–2017 | 819/5927 (13.8%) | 1 | 1547/4229 (36.6%) | 1 | 1989/3165 (62.8%) | 1 | |||
Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; OR, odds ratio.