| Literature DB >> 33842316 |
Siye Liu1, Xiaoping Yu1, Songhua Yang1, Pingsheng Hu1, Yingbin Hu2, Xiaoyan Chen3, Yilin Li3, Zhe Zhang1, Cheng Li1, Qiang Lu1.
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: To establish and validate a radiomics nomogram based on the features of the primary tumor for predicting preoperative pathological extramural venous invasion (EMVI) in rectal cancer using machine learning.Entities:
Keywords: computed tomography; extramural venous invasion; magnetic resonance imaging; prediction; radiomics; rectal cancer
Year: 2021 PMID: 33842316 PMCID: PMC8033032 DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2021.610338
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Oncol ISSN: 2234-943X Impact factor: 6.244
Figure 1Research flow chart of the radiomics model.
Descriptive statistics of the two sets.
| Variables | Level | Training set (n = 198) | Test set (n = 83) |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gender (n, %) | Male | 79 (39.9) | 41 (49.4) | 0.181 |
| Female | 119 (60.1) | 42 (50.6) | ||
| Age (year) | Mean (sd) | 59.3 (10.2) | 57.6 (10.8) | 0.227 |
| mrEMVI (n, %) | No | 125 (63.1) | 51 (61.5) | 0.929 |
| Yes | 73 (36.9) | 32 (38.5) | ||
| Tumor location (n, %) | Low-rectum | 75 (37.9) | 27 (32.5) | 0.288 |
| Mid-rectum | 85 (42.9) | 44 (53) | ||
| High-rectum | 38 (19.2) | 12 (14.5) | ||
| MRI LN status (n, %) | N0 | 99 (50) | 42 (50.6) | 1.000 |
| N1-2 | 99 (50) | 41 (49.4) | ||
| CEA (n, %) | Normal | 143 (72.2) | 62 (74.7) | 0.78 |
| Abnormal | 55 (27.8) | 21 (25.3) | ||
| Degree of pathological differentiation (n, %) | Low | 24 (12.1) | 9 (10.8) | 0.64 |
| Medium | 156 (78.8) | 69 (83.1) | ||
| High | 18 (9.1) | 5 (6.0) |
mrEMVI, magnetic resonance extramural venous invasion.
Clinical characteristics of the training and test sets.
| Variables | Level | Training set (n = 198) | Test set (n = 83) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EMVI-negative (n = 110) | EMVI-positive(n = 88) |
| EMVI-negative(n = 46) | EMVI-positive(n = 37) |
| ||
| Gender (n, %) | Male | 46 (41.8) | 33 (37.5) | 0.638 | 24 (52.2) | 17 (45.9) | 0.731 |
| Female | 64 (58.2) | 55 (62.5) | 22 (47.8) | 20 (54.1) | |||
| Age (year) | Mean (sd) | 59.2 (10.4) | 59.3 (10.1) | 0.974 | 57.2 (10.7) | 58.1 (11) | 0.709 |
| mrEMVI (n, %) | Negative | 96 (86.7) | 29 (32.9) | <0.001* | 35 (76.1) | 16 (43.2) | 0.002* |
| Positive | 14 (13.3) | 59 (67.1) | 11 (23.9) | 21 (56.8) | |||
| Location (n, %) | Low-rectum | 46 (40.9) | 27 (30.7) | 0.194 | 19 (41.3) | 8 (21.6) | 0.162 |
| Mid-rectum | 51 (46.4) | 43 (48.9) | 21 (45.7) | 23 (62.2) | |||
| High-rectum | 14 (12.7) | 18 (20.5) | 6 (13) | 6 (16.2) | |||
| MRI LN status (n, %) | N0 | 70 (63.6) | 29 (33) | <0.001* | 32 (69.6) | 10 (27) | <0.001* |
| N1-2 | 40 (36.4) | 59 (67) | 14 (30.4) | 27 (73) | |||
| CEA (n, %) | Normal | 85 (77.3) | 58 (65.9) | 0.106 | 34 (73.9) | 22 (59.5) | 0.245 |
| Abnormal | 25 (22.7) | 30 (34.1) | 12 (26.1) | 15 (40.5) | |||
| Degree of pathological differentiation (n, %) | Low | 8 (7.3) | 12 (13.6) | 0.197 | 3 (6.5) | 6 (16.2) | 0.368 |
| Medium | 89 (80.9) | 70 (79.5) | 40 (87) | 29 (78.4) | |||
| High | 13 (11.8) | 6 (6.8) | 3 (6.5) | 2 (5.4) | |||
*P < 0.05. mrEMVI, magnetic resonance extramural venous invasion. EMVI, pathological extramural venous invasion.
Figure 2After dimensionality reduction by mRMR and LASSO, 16, 20 and 19 radiomics features were finally selected from CT-enhanced images (A), T2WI (B) and CE-T1WI (C) to construct a radiomics signature. The blue bar indicates the weight value of the radiomics features.
Figure 3ROC curves of the radiomics signature constructed by each mode in the training set (A) and test set (B).
Figure 4Scatter plot between EMVI-negative (blue dots) and EMVI-positive (yellow dots) rad scores calculated by radiomics signatures constructed by T2WI (A), CE-T1WI (B) and CT-enhanced images (C) in the training and test sets.
Stepwise logistic regression analysis of EMVI prediction.
| Variable | Univariate logistic regression | Multivariate logistic regression | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OR (95%CI) |
| OR (95%CI) |
| |
| Gender (Male vs Female) | 0.334 (0.123-1.721) | 0.562 | NA | NA |
| Age (per 1 increase) | 0.467 (0.282-1.515) | 0.628 | NA | NA |
| mrEMVI (Negative vs Positive) | 7.317 (3.086-17.35) | <0.001* | 7.351(3.132-17.256 | <0.001* |
| Location (Low vs Mid) | 2.443 (1.227-5.872) | 0.434 | NA | NA |
| Location (Low vs High) | 3.646 (1.643-6.563) | 0.642 | NA | NA |
| MRI LN status (N0 vs N1-2) | 3.284 (2.341-6.732) | 0.672 | 16.251 (6.549-40.326) | <0.0001* |
| CEA (per 1 increase) | 1.557 (0.382-6.337) | 0.537 | NA | NA |
| Degree of pathological differentiation (Low vs Medium) | 2.614 (1.475-14.37) | 0.025* | 2.665 (1.533-15.473) | 0.014* |
| Degree of pathological differentiation (Low vs High) | 0.935 (0.203-4.303) | 0.031* | 1.043 (0.382-5.482) | 0.009* |
| Radiomics signature | 1.463 (1.048-2.042 | 0.002* | 1.535 (1.105-2.131) | 0.01* |
NA, not available as the variable, was not included in the multivariate logistic regression. mrEMVI, magnetic resonance extramural venous invasion; LN, lymph node. *P < 0.05.
Figure 5ROC curves of three models in the training set (A) and test set (B). The results show that the integrated model has the highest AUC value.
Figure 6Radiomics nomogram for detecting EMVI (A). In the nomogram, a vertical line was drawn according to the value of the rad score to determine the corresponding value of points. The points of mrEMVI and differentiation stage can also be determined in the same way. The total points were the sum of the three points above. Finally, a vertical line was drawn according to the value of the total points to determine the probability of EMVI. The calibration curve of the radiomics nomogram for EMVI in the training set (B) and test set (C). A dashed line indicated the reference line where an ideal nomogram would lie. A dotted line indicated the performance of the nomogram, while the solid line indicated bias correction in the nomogram. DCA curve (D) for the integrated model, MRI model and clinical model predicting EMVI in the dataset. The graphs showed that the integrated model had the greatest net benefit. The risk classification performance of the integrated model in the training and test set (E). *P < 0.05.
Diagnostic efficacy of different models and independent clinical predictors.
| Group | Performance features | Integrated model | MRI model | Clinical model | mrEMVI | Degree of pathological differentiation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Training set | AUC | 0.863 | 0.78 | 0.705 | 0.74 | 0.647 |
| Sensitivity | 0.774 | 0.867 | 0.71 | 0.613 | 0.593 | |
| Specificity | 0.801 | 0.56 | 0.669 | 0.868 | 0.712 | |
| Test set | AUC | 0.834 | 0.771 | 0.699 | 0.73 | 0.625 |
| Sensitivity | 0.708 | 0.685 | 0.746 | 0.615 | 0.573 | |
| Specificity | 0.892 | 0.829 | 0.735 | 0.845 | 0.763 |
AUC, area under the curve. mrEMVI, magnetic resonance extramural venous invasion.