Literature DB >> 32908312

Bending the curve of terrestrial biodiversity needs an integrated strategy.

David Leclère1, Michael Obersteiner2,3, Mike Barrett4, Stuart H M Butchart5,6, Abhishek Chaudhary7,8, Adriana De Palma9, Fabrice A J DeClerck10,11, Moreno Di Marco12,13, Jonathan C Doelman14, Martina Dürauer15, Robin Freeman16, Michael Harfoot17, Tomoko Hasegawa15,18,19, Stefanie Hellweg20, Jelle P Hilbers14,21, Samantha L L Hill9,17, Florian Humpenöder22, Nancy Jennings23, Tamás Krisztin15, Georgina M Mace24, Haruka Ohashi25, Alexander Popp22, Andy Purvis9,26, Aafke M Schipper14,21, Andrzej Tabeau27, Hugo Valin15, Hans van Meijl27,28, Willem-Jan van Zeist14, Piero Visconti15,16,24, Rob Alkemade14,29, Rosamunde Almond30, Gill Bunting5, Neil D Burgess17, Sarah E Cornell31, Fulvio Di Fulvio15, Simon Ferrier32, Steffen Fritz15, Shinichiro Fujimori18,33,34, Monique Grooten30, Thomas Harwood32, Petr Havlík15, Mario Herrero35, Andrew J Hoskins36, Martin Jung15, Tom Kram14, Hermann Lotze-Campen22,37,38, Tetsuya Matsui25, Carsten Meyer39,40, Deon Nel41,42, Tim Newbold24, Guido Schmidt-Traub43, Elke Stehfest14, Bernardo B N Strassburg44,45, Detlef P van Vuuren14,46, Chris Ware32, James E M Watson47,48, Wenchao Wu18, Lucy Young4.   

Abstract

Increased efforts are required to prevent further losses to terrestrial biodiversity and the ecosystem services that it  provides1,2. Ambitious targets have been proposed, such as reversing the declining trends in biodiversity3; however, just feeding the growing human population will make this a challenge4. Here we use an ensemble of land-use and biodiversity models to assess whether-and how-humanity can reverse the declines in terrestrial biodiversity caused by habitat conversion, which is a major threat to biodiversity5. We show that immediate efforts, consistent with the broader sustainability agenda but of unprecedented ambition and coordination, could enable the provision of food for the growing human population while reversing the global terrestrial biodiversity trends caused by habitat conversion. If we decide to increase the extent of land under conservation management, restore degraded land and generalize landscape-level conservation planning, biodiversity trends from habitat conversion could become positive by the mid-twenty-first century on average across models (confidence interval, 2042-2061), but this was not the case for all models. Food prices could increase and, on average across models, almost half (confidence interval, 34-50%) of the future biodiversity losses could not be avoided. However, additionally tackling the drivers of land-use change could avoid conflict with affordable food provision and reduces the environmental effects of the food-provision system. Through further sustainable intensification and trade, reduced food waste and more plant-based human diets, more than two thirds of future biodiversity losses are avoided and the biodiversity trends from habitat conversion are reversed by 2050 for almost all of the models. Although limiting further loss will remain challenging in several biodiversity-rich regions, and other threats-such as climate change-must be addressed to truly reverse the declines in biodiversity, our results show that ambitious conservation efforts and food system transformation are central to an effective post-2020 biodiversity strategy.

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Year:  2020        PMID: 32908312     DOI: 10.1038/s41586-020-2705-y

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Nature        ISSN: 0028-0836            Impact factor:   49.962


  31 in total

1.  The use of the multi-model ensemble in probabilistic climate projections.

Authors:  Claudia Tebaldi; Reto Knutti
Journal:  Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci       Date:  2007-08-15       Impact factor: 4.226

2.  Statistical data analysis in the computer age.

Authors:  B Efron; R Tibshirani
Journal:  Science       Date:  1991-07-26       Impact factor: 47.728

3.  Sustainability. Planetary boundaries: guiding human development on a changing planet.

Authors:  Will Steffen; Katherine Richardson; Johan Rockström; Sarah E Cornell; Ingo Fetzer; Elena M Bennett; Reinette Biggs; Stephen R Carpenter; Wim de Vries; Cynthia A de Wit; Carl Folke; Dieter Gerten; Jens Heinke; Georgina M Mace; Linn M Persson; Veerabhadran Ramanathan; Belinda Reyers; Sverker Sörlin
Journal:  Science       Date:  2015-01-15       Impact factor: 47.728

4.  Global effects of land use on local terrestrial biodiversity.

Authors:  Tim Newbold; Lawrence N Hudson; Samantha L L Hill; Sara Contu; Igor Lysenko; Rebecca A Senior; Luca Börger; Dominic J Bennett; Argyrios Choimes; Ben Collen; Julie Day; Adriana De Palma; Sandra Díaz; Susy Echeverria-Londoño; Melanie J Edgar; Anat Feldman; Morgan Garon; Michelle L K Harrison; Tamera Alhusseini; Daniel J Ingram; Yuval Itescu; Jens Kattge; Victoria Kemp; Lucinda Kirkpatrick; Michael Kleyer; David Laginha Pinto Correia; Callum D Martin; Shai Meiri; Maria Novosolov; Yuan Pan; Helen R P Phillips; Drew W Purves; Alexandra Robinson; Jake Simpson; Sean L Tuck; Evan Weiher; Hannah J White; Robert M Ewers; Georgina M Mace; Jörn P W Scharlemann; Andy Purvis
Journal:  Nature       Date:  2015-04-02       Impact factor: 49.962

Review 5.  Future threats to biodiversity and pathways to their prevention.

Authors:  David Tilman; Michael Clark; David R Williams; Kaitlin Kimmel; Stephen Polasky; Craig Packer
Journal:  Nature       Date:  2017-05-31       Impact factor: 49.962

6.  A mid-term analysis of progress toward international biodiversity targets.

Authors:  Derek P Tittensor; Matt Walpole; Samantha L L Hill; Daniel G Boyce; Gregory L Britten; Neil D Burgess; Stuart H M Butchart; Paul W Leadley; Eugenie C Regan; Rob Alkemade; Roswitha Baumung; Céline Bellard; Lex Bouwman; Nadine J Bowles-Newark; Anna M Chenery; William W L Cheung; Villy Christensen; H David Cooper; Annabel R Crowther; Matthew J R Dixon; Alessandro Galli; Valérie Gaveau; Richard D Gregory; Nicolas L Gutierrez; Tim L Hirsch; Robert Höft; Stephanie R Januchowski-Hartley; Marion Karmann; Cornelia B Krug; Fiona J Leverington; Jonathan Loh; Rik Kutsch Lojenga; Kelly Malsch; Alexandra Marques; David H W Morgan; Peter J Mumby; Tim Newbold; Kieran Noonan-Mooney; Shyama N Pagad; Bradley C Parks; Henrique M Pereira; Tim Robertson; Carlo Rondinini; Luca Santini; Jörn P W Scharlemann; Stefan Schindler; U Rashid Sumaila; Louise S L Teh; Jennifer van Kolck; Piero Visconti; Yimin Ye
Journal:  Science       Date:  2014-10-02       Impact factor: 47.728

7.  Biodiversity: The ravages of guns, nets and bulldozers.

Authors:  Sean L Maxwell; Richard A Fuller; Thomas M Brooks; James E M Watson
Journal:  Nature       Date:  2016-08-11       Impact factor: 49.962

8.  Global modeling of nature's contributions to people.

Authors:  Rebecca Chaplin-Kramer; Richard P Sharp; Charlotte Weil; Elena M Bennett; Unai Pascual; Katie K Arkema; Kate A Brauman; Benjamin P Bryant; Anne D Guerry; Nick M Haddad; Maike Hamann; Perrine Hamel; Justin A Johnson; Lisa Mandle; Henrique M Pereira; Stephen Polasky; Mary Ruckelshaus; M Rebecca Shaw; Jessica M Silver; Adrian L Vogl; Gretchen C Daily
Journal:  Science       Date:  2019-10-11       Impact factor: 47.728

Review 9.  Biodiversity loss and its impact on humanity.

Authors:  Bradley J Cardinale; J Emmett Duffy; Andrew Gonzalez; David U Hooper; Charles Perrings; Patrick Venail; Anita Narwani; Georgina M Mace; David Tilman; David A Wardle; Ann P Kinzig; Gretchen C Daily; Michel Loreau; James B Grace; Anne Larigauderie; Diane S Srivastava; Shahid Naeem
Journal:  Nature       Date:  2012-06-06       Impact factor: 49.962

Review 10.  Pervasive human-driven decline of life on Earth points to the need for transformative change.

Authors:  Sandra Díaz; Josef Settele; Eduardo S Brondízio; Hien T Ngo; John Agard; Almut Arneth; Patricia Balvanera; Kate A Brauman; Stuart H M Butchart; Kai M A Chan; Lucas A Garibaldi; Kazuhito Ichii; Jianguo Liu; Suneetha M Subramanian; Guy F Midgley; Patricia Miloslavich; Zsolt Molnár; David Obura; Alexander Pfaff; Stephen Polasky; Andy Purvis; Jona Razzaque; Belinda Reyers; Rinku Roy Chowdhury; Yunne-Jai Shin; Ingrid Visseren-Hamakers; Katherine J Willis; Cynthia N Zayas
Journal:  Science       Date:  2019-12-13       Impact factor: 47.728

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  31 in total

Review 1.  Bycatch levies could reconcile trade-offs between blue growth and biodiversity conservation.

Authors:  Hollie Booth; William N S Arlidge; Dale Squires; E J Milner-Gulland
Journal:  Nat Ecol Evol       Date:  2021-05-10       Impact factor: 15.460

2.  Random population fluctuations bias the Living Planet Index.

Authors:  Falko T Buschke; James G Hagan; Luca Santini; Bernard W T Coetzee
Journal:  Nat Ecol Evol       Date:  2021-06-24       Impact factor: 15.460

3.  Prioritizing where to restore Earth's ecosystems.

Authors:  Simon Ferrier
Journal:  Nature       Date:  2020-10       Impact factor: 49.962

Review 4.  From science to society: implementing effective strategies to improve wild pollinator health.

Authors:  Jane C Stout; Lynn V Dicks
Journal:  Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci       Date:  2022-05-02       Impact factor: 6.671

5.  Biodiversity effects of food system sustainability actions from farm to fork.

Authors:  Quentin D Read; Kelly L Hondula; Mary K Muth
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2022-04-04       Impact factor: 12.779

6.  Global protected areas seem insufficient to safeguard half of the world's mammals from human-induced extinction.

Authors:  David R Williams; Carlo Rondinini; David Tilman
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2022-06-06       Impact factor: 12.779

7.  Diet for a small footprint.

Authors:  Felicia Keesing
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2022-04-22       Impact factor: 12.779

8.  Improving biodiversity protection through artificial intelligence.

Authors:  Daniele Silvestro; Alexandre Antonelli; Stefano Goria; Thomas Sterner
Journal:  Nat Sustain       Date:  2022-03-24

Review 9.  Integrating remote sensing with ecology and evolution to advance biodiversity conservation.

Authors:  Jeannine Cavender-Bares; Fabian D Schneider; Maria João Santos; Amanda Armstrong; Ana Carnaval; Kyla M Dahlin; Lola Fatoyinbo; George C Hurtt; David Schimel; Philip A Townsend; Susan L Ustin; Zhihui Wang; Adam M Wilson
Journal:  Nat Ecol Evol       Date:  2022-03-24       Impact factor: 15.460

10.  Areas of global importance for conserving terrestrial biodiversity, carbon and water.

Authors:  Martin Jung; Andy Arnell; Xavier de Lamo; Shaenandhoa García-Rangel; Matthew Lewis; Jennifer Mark; Cory Merow; Lera Miles; Ian Ondo; Samuel Pironon; Corinna Ravilious; Malin Rivers; Dmitry Schepaschenko; Oliver Tallowin; Arnout van Soesbergen; Rafaël Govaerts; Bradley L Boyle; Brian J Enquist; Xiao Feng; Rachael Gallagher; Brian Maitner; Shai Meiri; Mark Mulligan; Gali Ofer; Uri Roll; Jeffrey O Hanson; Walter Jetz; Moreno Di Marco; Jennifer McGowan; D Scott Rinnan; Jeffrey D Sachs; Myroslava Lesiv; Vanessa M Adams; Samuel C Andrew; Joseph R Burger; Lee Hannah; Pablo A Marquet; James K McCarthy; Naia Morueta-Holme; Erica A Newman; Daniel S Park; Patrick R Roehrdanz; Jens-Christian Svenning; Cyrille Violle; Jan J Wieringa; Graham Wynne; Steffen Fritz; Bernardo B N Strassburg; Michael Obersteiner; Valerie Kapos; Neil Burgess; Guido Schmidt-Traub; Piero Visconti
Journal:  Nat Ecol Evol       Date:  2021-08-23       Impact factor: 15.460

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