| Literature DB >> 31601772 |
Rebecca Chaplin-Kramer1,2, Richard P Sharp3, Charlotte Weil3, Elena M Bennett4, Unai Pascual5,6,7, Katie K Arkema3,8, Kate A Brauman2, Benjamin P Bryant3,9, Anne D Guerry3,8, Nick M Haddad10, Maike Hamann2,11, Perrine Hamel3, Justin A Johnson2, Lisa Mandle3, Henrique M Pereira12,13,14, Stephen Polasky15, Mary Ruckelshaus3,8, M Rebecca Shaw16, Jessica M Silver3,8, Adrian L Vogl3, Gretchen C Daily3,17.
Abstract
The magnitude and pace of global change demand rapid assessment of nature and its contributions to people. We present a fine-scale global modeling of current status and future scenarios for several contributions: water quality regulation, coastal risk reduction, and crop pollination. We find that where people's needs for nature are now greatest, nature's ability to meet those needs is declining. Up to 5 billion people face higher water pollution and insufficient pollination for nutrition under future scenarios of land use and climate change, particularly in Africa and South Asia. Hundreds of millions of people face heightened coastal risk across Africa, Eurasia, and the Americas. Continued loss of nature poses severe threats, yet these can be reduced 3- to 10-fold under a sustainable development scenario.Entities:
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Year: 2019 PMID： 31601772 DOI： 10.1126/science.aaw3372
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Science ISSN： 0036-8075 Impact factor: 47.728