| Literature DB >> 31863226 |
Kimberly D van der Willik1,2, Liliana P Rojas-Saunero2, Jeremy A Labrecque2, M Arfan Ikram2, Sanne B Schagen1,3, Bruno H Stricker2, Rikje Ruiter4.
Abstract
Cancer diagnoses which are not confirmed by pathology are often under-registered in cancer registries compared to pathology-confirmed diagnoses. It is unknown how many patients have a non pathology-confirmed cancer diagnosis, and whether their characteristics and survival differ from patients with a pathology-confirmed diagnosis. Participants from the prospective population-based Rotterdam Study were followed between 1989 and 2013 for the diagnosis of cancer. Cancer diagnoses were classified into pathology-confirmed versus non pathology-confirmed (i.e., based on imaging or tumour markers). We compared participant characteristics and the distribution of cancers at different sites. Furthermore, we investigated differences in overall survival using survival curves adjusted for age and sex. During a median (interquartile range) follow-up of 10.7 (6.3-15.9) years, 2698 out of 14,024 participants were diagnosed with cancer, of which 316 diagnoses (11.7%) were non pathology-confirmed. Participants with non pathology-confirmed diagnoses were older, more often women, and had a lower education. Most frequently non pathology-confirmed cancer sites included central nervous system (66.7%), hepato-pancreato-biliary (44.5%), and unknown primary origin (31.2%). Survival of participants with non pathology-confirmed diagnoses after 1 year was lower compared to survival of participants with pathology-confirmed diagnoses (32.6% vs. 63.4%; risk difference of 30.8% [95% CI 25.2%; 36.2%]). Pathological confirmation of cancer is related to participant characteristics and cancer site. Furthermore, participants with non pathology-confirmed diagnoses have worse survival than participants with pathology-confirmed diagnoses. Missing data on non pathology-confirmed diagnoses may result in underestimation of cancer incidence and in an overestimation of survival in cancer registries, and may introduce bias in aetiological research.Entities:
Keywords: Cancer diagnosis; Cohort study; Epidemiology; Pathology; Survival
Mesh:
Year: 2019 PMID: 31863226 PMCID: PMC7320936 DOI: 10.1007/s10654-019-00592-5
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Eur J Epidemiol ISSN: 0393-2990 Impact factor: 8.082
Characteristics of study population stratified by cancer diagnosis
| Characteristic | Participants without cancer (N = 11,326) | Participants with cancer (N = 2698) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pathology-confirmed diagnosis (N = 2382) | Non pathology-confirmed diagnosis (N = 316) | |||
| Age, years, median (IQR) | 62.4 (57.7–72.7) | 65.0 (60.2–72.0) | 72.0 (66.1–78.1) | < .001 |
| Sex, women, no. (%) | 6912 (61.0) | 1135 (47.6) | 176 (55.7) | .007 |
| Marital status, no. (%) | < .001 | |||
| Living with partner | 7418 (65.5) | 1723 (72.3) | 181 (57.3) | |
| Living without partner | 3036 (26.8) | 597 (25.1) | 118 (37.3) | |
| Educational level, no. (%) | .002 | |||
| Primary | 2081 (18.4) | 423 (17.8) | 76 (24.1) | |
| Lower | 4393 (38.8) | 948 (39.8) | 131 (41.5) | |
| Intermediate | 2886 (25.5) | 700 (29.4) | 82 (25.9) | |
| Higher | 1718 (15.2) | 283 (11.9) | 20 (6.3) | |
| Body mass index, kg/m2, mean (SD) | 26.9 (4.2) | 26.7 (3.8) | 26.3 (3.7) | .137 |
| Smoking, no. (%) | .001 | |||
| Current | 2313 (20.4) | 608 (25.5) | 90 (28.5) | |
| Former | 4950 (43.7) | 1106 (46.4) | 109 (34.5) | |
| Never | 3838 (33.9) | 629 (26.4) | 104 (32.9) | |
| Alcohol use, no. (%) | 7843 (69.2) | 1683 (70.7) | 188 (59.5) | .287 |
| Age at cancer diagnosis, years, no. (%) | ||||
| 45–65 | 372 (15.6) | 8 (2.5) | ||
| 65–75 | 897 (37.7) | 42 (13.3) | ||
| 75–85 | 870 (36.5) | 136 (43.0) | ||
| > 85 | 243 (10.2) | 130 (41.1) | ||
| Median (IQR) | 74.2 (68.0–80.3) | 83.2 (78.0–88.0) | < .001 | |
| Comorbidities at cancer diagnosis, no. (%) | ||||
| Stroke | 164 (6.9) | 38 (12.0) | .001 | |
| Coronary heart disease | 302 (12.7) | 50 (15.8) | < .001 | |
| Hypertension | 1186 (49.8) | 227 (71.8) | < .001 | |
| Diabetes | 324 (13.6) | 37 (11.7) | < .001 | |
| Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease | 326 (13.7) | 60 (19.0) | .011 | |
| Neurodegenerative disease | 353 (14.8) | 44 (30.4) | < .001 | |
Characteristics are measured at entry in the Rotterdam Study except for age at cancer diagnosis and comorbidities. Missing values are not imputed and therefore numbers do not always sum up to 100%
IQR interquartile range, N number of participants, SD standard deviation
*Two sided P values were calculated using the independent samples t-test (for continuous variables with a normal distribution), the Wilcoxon signed-rank test (for continuous variables with a skewed distribution), or the Chi squared test (for categorical variables) to investigate differences in characteristics between participants with pathology-confirmed diagnoses and participants with non pathology-confirmed diagnoses
Overview of number of pathological confirmations per cancer type
| Cancer site | Pathology-confirmed diagnosis (N = 2382) | Non pathology-confirmed diagnosis (N = 316) | All cancer diagnoses (N = 2698) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head and neck | 83 (94.3) | 5 (5.7) | 88 |
| Oesophagus and gastric | 140 (97.9) | 3 (2.1) | 143 |
| Colorectal | 397 (96.6) | 14 (3.4) | 411 |
| Hepato-pancreato-biliary | 81 (55.5) | 65 (44.5) | 146 |
| Lung and mesothelioma | 314 (80.3) | 77 (19.7) | 391 |
| Bone and soft tissue | 19 (90.5) | 2 (9.5) | 21 |
| Breast | 341 (96.6) | 12 (3.4) | 353 |
| Female genital organs | 112 (94.9) | 6 (5.1) | 118 |
| Male genital organs | 387 (95.6) | 18 (4.4) | 405 |
| Unitary tract | 165 (82.5) | 35 (17.5) | 200 |
| Central nervous system | 9 (33.3) | 18 (66.7) | 27 |
| Haematological | 188 (90.0) | 21 (10.0) | 209 |
| Other | 80 (88.9) | 10 (11.1) | 90 |
| Unknown primary origin | 66 (68.8) | 30 (31.2) | 96 |
Numbers are displayed in total number (percentage per row)
Association between calendar year of diagnosis and pathological confirmation of the cancer
| Cancer site | N pathology-confirmed diagnosis | N non pathology-confirmed diagnosis | Model I | Model II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OR (95% CI) | OR (95% CI) | |||||
| All cancer sites | 2382 | 316 | 1.01 (1.00–1.03) | 0.13 | 1.01 (0.99–1.03) | 0.27 |
| Hepato-pancreato-biliary | 81 | 65 | 0.97 (0.92–1.02) | 0.25 | 0.95 (0.89–1.02) | 0.15 |
| Lung and mesothelioma | 314 | 77 | 1.05 (1.01–1.09) | 0.02 | 1.03 (0.99–1.08) | 0.12 |
| Unitary tract | 165 | 35 | 0.96 (0.91–1.02) | 0.21 | 0.96 (0.90–1.03) | 0.26 |
| Central nervous system | 9 | 18 | 1.05 (0.93–1.19) | 0.45 | 1.06 (0.94–1.21) | 0.36 |
| Unknown primary | 66 | 30 | 1.06 (0.99–1.14) | 0.10 | 1.05 (0.98–1.13) | 0.17 |
CI confidence interval, N number of participants, OR odds ratio
Model I = unadjusted. Model II = adjusted for age at diagnosis (continuous)
Fig. 1Kaplan–Meier curves for overall survival of participants with a pathology-confirmed diagnosis (blue) or a non pathology-confirmed diagnosis (yellow). Participants with a non pathology-confirmed diagnosis had significantly worse overall survival compared to those with a pathology-confirmed diagnosis (P of log-rank test < 0.0001). Participants were censored if they if they were lost to follow-up or at the end of the study period (January 1st, 2014), whichever came first
Fig. 2Standardised survival curves of individuals with a pathology-confirmed diagnosis (blue) or a non pathology-confirmed diagnosis (yellow). Dashed lines represent 95% confidence intervals. Survival curves are adjusted for age at diagnosis and sex. The risk difference of overall survival between participants with a non pathology-confirmed and a pathology-confirmed diagnosis is 30.8% after 1 year, 29.3% after 2 years, and 22.5% after 5 years