| Literature DB >> 31676553 |
Netsanet Workneh Gidi1, Melkamu Berhane2, Tsinuel Girma2, Alemseged Abdissa3, Ruth Lim4, Katherine Lee4,5, Cattram Nguyen4,5, Fiona Russell4,5.
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: To investigate foot length (FL), chest circumference (CHC) and mid-upper arm circumference (MUAC) as predictors of low birth weight (LBW) or prematurity, and to describe the agreement between the gestational age (GA) assessments ascertained by the New Ballard Score (NBS) and the Eregie model.Entities:
Keywords: LBW; Prematurity
Mesh:
Year: 2019 PMID: 31676553 PMCID: PMC7146923 DOI: 10.1136/archdischild-2019-317490
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Arch Dis Child ISSN: 0003-9888 Impact factor: 3.791
Figure 1Flow chart of recruitment of study participants at Jimma University Medical Center, Ethiopia (n=1486).
Demographic and clinical characteristics of the study participants at Jimma University Medical Center, Ethiopia (n=1486)
| Variable | Summary statistic |
| Sex, n (%) | |
| Male | 818 (55.0) |
| Ethnicity, n (%) | |
| Oromo | 1054 (70.9) |
| Amhara | 128 (8.6) |
| Yem | 84 (5.7) |
| Kaffa | 60 (4.0) |
| Dawro | 57 (3.8) |
| Tigry | 13 (0.9) |
| Other | 90 (6.1) |
| Mother's schooling, n (%) | |
| Illiterate | 338 (22.7) |
| Primary | 520 (35.0) |
| Secondary | 358 (24.1) |
| Technical/vocational and higher | 270 (18.2) |
| Mother's age in years, mean (SD) | 25.0 (5.0) |
| Birth weight (g), mean (SD) | 2974 (494) |
| Low birth weight, n (%) | 203 (14.6) |
| Chest circumference in cm—day 1, mean (SD) | 32.7 (2.3) |
| Chest circumference in cm—day 5, mean (SD) | 33.5 (2.5) |
| MUAC in cm—day 1, mean (SD) | 10.4 (1.0) |
| MUAC in cm—day 5, mean (SD) | 10.0 (1.0) |
| Foot length in cm—day 1, mean (SD) | 7.8 (0.5) |
| Foot length in cm—day 5, mean (SD) | 7.9 (0.5) |
| GA by New Ballard Score, median (IQR) | 39.0 (38.0–40.0) |
| GA by Eregie model, median (IQR) | 40.0 (40.0–41.0) |
| Premature by New Ballard Score, n (%) | 143 (10.2) |
| Premature by Eregie model, n (%) | 77 (5.5) |
Prematurity, defined as GA <37 weeks. Due to missing data, n ranged between 1390 and 1486 for day 1 variables, and between 132 and 136 for day 5 variables.
GA, gestational age; MUAC, mid-upper arm circumference.
Figure 2Receiver operating characteristic curves for anthropometric measures as diagnostic tools of low birth weight (top row), prematurity (<37 weeks) using the New Ballard Score (middle row) and prematurity (<37 weeks) using the Eregie model (bottom row). AUC, area under the curve; CHC, chest circumference; MUAC, mid-upperarm circumference.
Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive values (PPV) and negative predictive values (NPV) with 95% CIs for each outcome and anthropometric measured within 24 hours of life (n=1389)
| Outcome | Sensitivity | Specificity | PPV | NPV |
| Low birth weight (<2500 g) | ||||
| FL≤7.7 cm | 84.2 (78.4 to 88.9) | 73.9 (71.3 to 76.4) | 35.4 (31.1 to 39.9) | 96.5 (95.1 to 97.6) |
| CHC≤31.2 cm | 91.6 (86.9 to 95.0) | 85.4 (83.3 to 87.4) | 51.7 (46.4 to 57.0) | 98.4 (97.4 to 99.0) |
| MUAC≤9.8 cm | 83.7 (77.8 to 88.5) | 90.2 (88.4 to 91.9) | 59.3 (53.3 to 65.1) | 97.0 (95.8 to 97.9) |
| Premature—New Ballard Score | ||||
| FL≤7.5 cm | 81.7 (74.3 to 87.7) | 77.0 (74.6 to 79.3) | 28.6 (24.3 to 33.3) | 97.4 (96.2 to 98.3) |
| CHC≤31.4 cm | 83.8 (76.7 to 89.4) | 80.2 (77.9 to 82.3) | 32.3 (27.6 to 37.4) | 97.8 (96.7 to 98.6) |
| MUAC≤10.0 cm | 83.1 (75.9 to 88.9) | 63.4 (60.7 to 66.1) | 20.4 (17.2 to 23.9) | 97.1 (95.7 to 98.1) |
| Premature—Eregie model | ||||
| FL≤7.4 cm | 80.5 (69.9 to 88.7) | 91.4 (89.7 to 92.8) | 35.2 (28.2 to 42.8) | 98.8 (98.0 to 99.3) |
| CHC≤30.1 cm | 85.7 (75.9 to 92.6) | 90.2 (88.5 to 91.8) | 33.8 (27.2 to 41.0) | 99.1 (98.4 to 99.5) |
| MUAC≤9.5 cm | 85.7 (75.9 to 92.6) | 84.9 (82.8 to 86.8) | 24.8 (19.7 to 30.5) | 99.0 (98.3 to 99.5) |
CHC, chest circumference; FL, foot length; MUAC, mid-upper arm circumference.
Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive values (PPV) and negative predictive values (NPV) with 95% CIs for each outcome and anthropometric measured on day 5 of life, using the cut-offs identified based on measurements taken within 24 hours of life (n=123)
| Outcome | Sensitivity | Specificity | PPV | NPV |
| Low birth weight (<2500 g) | ||||
| FL≤7.7 cm | 71.4 (47.8 to 88.7) | 75.5 (66.0 to 83.5) | 37.5 (22.7 to 54.2) | 92.8 (84.9 to 97.3) |
| CHC≤31.2 cm | 71.4 (47.8 to 88.7) | 93.1 (86.4 to 97.2) | 68.2 (45.1 to 86.1) | 94.1 (87.5 to 97.8) |
| MUAC≤9.8 cm | 95.2 (76.2 to 99.9) | 70.6 (60.7 to 79.2) | 40.0 (26.4 to 54.8) | 98.6 (92.6 to 100) |
| Premature—New Ballard Score | ||||
| FL≤7.5 cm | 60.0 (26.2 to 87.8) | 78.8 (70.3 to 85.8) | 19.4 (7.5 to 37.5) | 95.9 (89.8 to 98.9) |
| CHC≤31.4 cm | 60.0 (26.2 to 87.8) | 84.7 (77.0 to 90.7) | 25.0 (9.8 to 46.7) | 96.2 (90.4 to 98.9) |
| MUAC≤10 cm | 100 (69.2 to 100) | 46.6 (37.4 to 56.0) | 13.7 (6.8 to 23.8) | 100 (93.5 to 100) |
| Premature—Eregie model | ||||
| FL≤7.4 cm | 62.5 (24.5 to 91.5) | 93.3 (87.3 to 97.1) | 38.5 (13.9 to 68.4) | 97.4 (92.6 to 99.5) |
| CHC≤30.1 cm | 75.0 (34.9 to 96.8) | 93.3 (87.3 to 97.1) | 42.9 (17.7 to 71.1) | 98.2 (93.8 to 99.8) |
| MUAC≤9.5 cm | 100 (63.1 to 100) | 67.5 (58.3 to 75.8) | 17.0 (7.6 to 30.8) | 100 (95.5 to 100) |
CHC, chest circumference; FL, foot length; MUAC, mid-upper arm circumference.
Comparison of anthropometric measures taken within 24 hours of life and day 5 of life (n=127)
| Mean (SD) at day 1 of life | Mean (SD) at day 5 of life | Mean difference | 95% CI | P value | |||
| FL | 7.82 | (0.49) | 7.91 | (0.49) | −0.09 | −0.14 to −0.03 | 0.003 |
| MUAC | 10.27 | (0.89) | 9.98 | (1.04) | 0.29 | 0.17 to 0.40 | <0.001 |
| CHC | 33.02 | (2.44) | 33.42 | (2.40) | −0.40 | −0.66 to −0.13 | 0.004 |
CHC, chest circumference; FL, foot length; MUAC, mid-upper arm circumference.
Figure 3Bland-Altman plot of agreement between the New Ballard Score and the Eregie model for estimating gestational age. Average difference (New Ballard Score minus Eregie model)=−1.2, 95% limits of agreement=−4.0 to 1.5.