| Literature DB >> 30995719 |
Canxi Chen1, Abhishek Chaudhary2, Alexander Mathys3.
Abstract
Demand side interventions, such as dietary change, can significantly contribute towards the achievement of 2030 national sustainable development goals. However, most previous studies analysing the consequences of dietary change focus on a single dimension of sustainability (e.g., environment) using a limited number of indicators and dietary scenarios. A multi-dimension and multi-indicator analysis can identify the potential trade-offs. Here, starting from the current food consumption data (year 2011), we first designed nine alternative dietary scenarios (healthy Swiss diet, healthy global diet, vegetarian, vegan, pescatarian, flexitarian, protein-oriented and meat-oriented diets and a food greenhouse gas tax diet). Next we calculated three nutritional quality (nutrient balance score, disqualifying nutrient score, percent population with adequate nutrition), five environmental (greenhouse gas, water, land, nitrogen and phosphorus use), one economic (daily food expenditure) and one human health indicator (DALYs) for current and alternative diets. We found that transition towards a healthy diet following the guidelines of Swiss society of nutrition is the most sustainable option and is projected to result in 36% lesser environmental footprint, 33% lesser expenditure and 2.67% lower adverse health outcome (DALYs) compared with the current diet. On the other extreme, transition towards a meat or protein oriented diet can lead to large increases in diet related adverse health outcomes, environmental footprint, daily food expenditure and a reduction in intakes of essential nutrients (for Vitamin C, Fibre, Potassium and Calcium). We found that shifting to the vegetarian and vegan diet scenarios might lead to a reduction in intakes of certain micronutrients currently supplied primarily by animal-sourced foods (Vitamin B12, Choline and Calcium). Results show that achieving a sustainable diet would entail a high reduction in the intake of meat and vegetable oils and a moderate reduction in cereals, roots and fish products and at the same time increased intake of legumes, nuts, seeds, fruits and vegetables. We identify several current data and research gaps that need to be filled in order to get more accurate results. Overall, our analysis underscores the need to consider multiple indicators while assessing the dietary sustainability and provides a template to conduct such studies in other countries and settings. Future efforts should focus on assessing the potential of different interventions and policies that can help transition the population from current to sustainable dietary patterns.Entities:
Keywords: dietary changes; environmental impacts; health impact; nutrition quality; sustainability
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2019 PMID: 30995719 PMCID: PMC6520741 DOI: 10.3390/nu11040856
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Nutrients ISSN: 2072-6643 Impact factor: 5.717
Food consumption (g capita−1 day−1) under different Swiss dietary scenarios.
| Food Items/Scenarios | REF | HGD | RSN | VGN | VGT | PST | FXT | PTO | MTO | TAX |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fruits | 265 | 211 | 325 | 330 | 330 | 330 | 295 | 130 | 130 | 269 |
| Vegetables | 239 | 190 | 291 | 445 | 296 | 296 | 268 | 119 | 119 | 243 |
| Legumes | 5 | 5 | 26 | 84 | 23 | 23 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| Nuts and seeds | 24 | 18 | 50 | 73 | 73 | 62 | 46 | 24 | 13 | 24 |
| Cereals | 192 | 200 | 124 | 192 | 192 | 192 | 192 | 192 | 192 | 189 |
| Meat products | 129 | 63 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 41 | 201 | 268 | 127 |
| Fish & seafood | 15 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
| Eggs | 25 | 19 | 18 | 0 | 31 | 31 | 23 | 65 | 39 | 25 |
| Dairy products | 307 | 225 | 330 | 0 | 307 | 307 | 307 | 433 | 307 | 295 |
| Vegetable oils | 71 | 52 | 26 | 71 | 71 | 71 | 71 | 71 | 71 | 71 |
| Roots & tubers | 230 | 150 | 149 | 230 | 230 | 230 | 230 | 230 | 230 | 233 |
| Others | 298 | 223 | 109 | 295 | 299 | 299 | 298 | 304 | 300 | 298 |
The scenarios are as follows: current Swiss diet (REF), Healthy Global Diet (HGD), diet following the recommendation of Swiss Society in Nutrition (RSN), Vegan diet (VGN), lacto-ovo Vegetarian diet (VGT), lacto-ovo Pescatarian diet (PST), Flexitarian diet (FXT), protein-oriented diet (PTO), meat-oriented diet (MTO) and food greenhouse gas tax diet (TAX).
Human health, nutritional, environmental and economic indicator scores under different Swiss dietary scenarios.
| Scenario | Human Health | Nutritional | Environmental | Economic | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reduced DALYs * | NBS | DNS | PAN | GHG | WFP | LFP | NFP | PFP | Cost | |
| REF | - | 93.82 | 0.00 | 96 | 2.27 | 0.59 | 4.38 | 29.0 | 5.23 | 10.58 |
| HGD | 953 | 95.93 | 1.35 | 87 | 1.20 | 0.40 | 3.24 | 21.0 | 3.75 | 7.23 |
| RSN | 15,756 | 98.77 | 0.00 | 91 | 1.04 | 0.44 | 2.96 | 19.3 | 3.45 | 6.89 |
| VGN | 20,986 | 88.08 | 15.41 | 87 | 0.38 | 0.60 | 4.08 | 23.6 | 4.33 | 9.04 |
| VGT | 8049 | 91.37 | 0.00 | 94 | 0.78 | 0.61 | 4.27 | 25.7 | 4.61 | 8.38 |
| PST | 10,679 | 92.68 | 0.00 | 95 | 0.78 | 0.61 | 4.21 | 25.7 | 4.62 | 9.21 |
| FXT | 5259 | 93.09 | 0.00 | 94 | 1.24 | 0.59 | 4.16 | 26.0 | 4.69 | 8.85 |
| PTO | −23,699 | 88.76 | 0.00 | 95 | 3.33 | 0.60 | 5.04 | 32.5 | 5.93 | 11.76 |
| MTO | −24,788 | 88.56 | 0.00 | 92 | 3.92 | 0.58 | 4.94 | 33.0 | 5.98 | 12.67 |
| TAX | 706 | 93.82 | 0.00 | 96 | 2.20 | 0.59 | 4.37 | 29.0 | 5.22 | 10.56 |
The scenarios are as follows: current Swiss diet (REF), Healthy Global Diet (HGD), diet following the recommendation of Swiss Society in Nutrition (RSN), Vegan diet (VGN), lacto-ovo Vegetarian diet (VGT), lacto-ovo Pescatarian diet (PST), Flexitarian diet (FXT), protein-oriented diet (PTO), meat-oriented diet (MTO) and food greenhouse gas tax diet (TAX). For each of the 10 indicators, the best and worst scores are marked in green and red, respectively.* See Supplementary Tables S4–S6 for the food group specific results and 95% confidence intervals. * A negative value under health indicator (i.e., change in DALYs per year) means the diet is bad for human health relative to the current diet. The nutrition quality indicators are: nutrient balance score (NBS), disqualifying nutrient score (DNS) and % population share with adequate nutrients (PAN). The nutrition indicators vary from 0–100 with a higher score signifying a nutritious diet meeting recommended levels. Five food related environmental footprints (per capita per day) are: greenhouse gas (GHG in kg CO2eq), water (WFP in m3), land (LFP in m2), nitrogen (NFP in gN) and phosphorus (PFP in gP). Cost is the daily expenditure on food in Swiss Francs (CHF).
Figure 1The human health consequences of shifting to an alternative diet. Negative numbers indicate human health benefit and positive numbers indicate an increase in adverse health outcomes. Four disease states used in the health impact model are ischemic or coronary heart disease (CHD), stroke, type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2D) and total cancer. Abbreviations: Healthy Global Diet (HGD), diet following the recommendation of Swiss Society in Nutrition (RSN), Vegan diet (VGN), lacto-ovo Vegetarian diet (VGT), lacto-ovo Pescatarian diet (PST), Flexitarian diet (FXT), protein-oriented diet (PTO), meat-oriented diet (MTO) and food greenhouse gas tax diet (TAX).
Figure 2The modelled health impact associated with six dietary factors and the weight related factors (overweight & obesity combined shown as calories) are shown for all nine alternative scenarios. Negative numbers indicate human health benefit and positive numbers indicate an increase in adverse health outcomes.
The ratio of daily nutrient intake amounts and their daily recommended levels under the current Swiss diet (REF) and nine alternative dietary scenarios.
| Nutrients/Scenarios | REF | HGD | RSN | VGN | VGT | PST | FXT | PTO | MTO | TAX |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| ||||||||||
| Folate | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| Niacin | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| Pantothenic acid | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| Vitamin B2 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| Thiamin | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| Vitamin A | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| Vitamin B12 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| Vitamin B6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| Vitamin C | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| Vitamin E | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| Vitamin K | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Calcium | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| Copper | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| Iron | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| Magnesium | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| Phosphorus | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| Potassium | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| Selenium | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| Zinc | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| Polyunsaturated fats | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| Choline | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| Dietary fibre | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| Protein | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
|
| ||||||||||
| Total fats | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Saturated fats | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 2.2 |
| Cholesterol | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| Total sugars | 2.0 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 2.0 |
The nutrient intakes meeting the recommended levels are shown in green while those not meeting their recommended levels are shown in red.
The daily per capita food related environmental footprint of current Swiss diet (REF) and nine alternative diets.
| Dietary Scenario | GHG Emission (gCO2eq) | Cropland Use (m2) | Freshwater Use (litres) | Nitrogen Use (gN) | Phosphorus Use (gP) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| 2267 | 4.38 | 590 | 29.03 | 5.23 |
|
| 1202 | 3.24 | 400 | 21.00 | 3.75 |
|
| 1036 | 2.96 | 436 | 19.31 | 3.45 |
|
| 377 | 4.08 | 604 | 23.56 | 4.33 |
|
| 783 | 4.27 | 611 | 25.67 | 4.61 |
|
| 779 | 4.21 | 608 | 25.70 | 4.62 |
|
| 1238 | 4.16 | 590 | 26.03 | 4.69 |
|
| 3326 | 5.04 | 596 | 32.46 | 5.93 |
|
| 3923 | 4.94 | 583 | 33.00 | 5.98 |
|
| 2196 | 4.37 | 591 | 28.99 | 5.22 |
The footprints meeting their planetary boundaries are shown in green while those not meeting are shown in red. The daily per capita food related planetary boundaries for the greenhouse gas emissions, cropland use, freshwater use, nitrogen application and phosphorus application are: 1867 gCO2eq, 5.01 m2, 786 L, 27.4 gN and 6.4 gP, respectively (Springmann et al. [20]).
Figure 3The environmental footprint of the nine alternative diets relative to the current diet. It can be seen that shifting from current to the meat oriented (MTO) and protein oriented (PTO) diets will increase the environmental footprint across all five domains (GHG, water, land, nitrogen and phosphorus) while a shift to the RSN diet (recommended by Swiss society of nutrition) will lead to maximum reduction in footprints. See Supplementary Table S5 for contribution of different food groups to the total environmental footprint.
Figure 4Cost of nine alternative diets relative to the current diet (REF = 100%). It can be seen that shifting from current to the meat oriented (MTO) and protein oriented (PTO) diets will increase the cost by 10–20% while adopting a diet based on global (HGD) or Swiss nutrition guidelines (RSN) will decrease the cost by ~35%. See Supplementary Table S6 for cost due to intake of individual food group.
Spearman rank correlation coefficient (ρ) between different indicators of dietary sustainability used in this study.
| DALYs | Average ND | NBS | DNS | PAN | GHG | WFP | LFP | NFP | PFP | Cost | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DALYs | - | ||||||||||
| Average ND |
| - | |||||||||
| NBS | 0.10 | 0.40 | - | ||||||||
| DNS | 0.37 |
| −0.18 | - | |||||||
| PAN | −0.38 |
| 0.03 |
| - | ||||||
| GHG |
|
| 0.03 | −0.46 | 0.35 | - | |||||
| WFP | 0.27 | −0.31 |
| −0.20 | 0.49 | −0.43 | - | ||||
| LFP |
|
|
|
|
|
| 0.41 | - | |||
| NFP |
|
|
|
|
|
| 0.21 |
| - | ||
| PFP |
|
|
|
|
|
| 0.21 |
|
| - | |
| Cost |
|
|
| −0.27 | 0.52 |
| 0.28 |
|
|
| - |
Values in bold print indicate statistically significant (P-value < 0.1). Average ND is the average of NBS and DNS.