| Literature DB >> 30578142 |
Oyelola Adegboye1, Timor Saffary2, Majeed Adegboye3, Faiz Elfaki4.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: During outbreaks of infectious diseases, transmission of the pathogen can form networks of infected individuals connected either directly or indirectly.Entities:
Keywords: Healthcare workers; Hospital-acquired infections; MERS; Network analysis
Mesh:
Year: 2018 PMID: 30578142 PMCID: PMC7102844 DOI: 10.1016/j.jiph.2018.12.002
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Infect Public Health ISSN: 1876-0341 Impact factor: 3.718
Characteristics of HAI-MERS and non-HAI-MERS cases in Saudi Arabia between June 2012 and September 2016. Number of cases (%) or median (IQR).
| Variables | Hospital-acquired | Acquired elsewhere | p-value | Odds-ratio (95% C.I.) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N = 378 | N = 409 | |||
| Age | 47 (33–64) | 46 (31–60) | <0.0860 | 1.01 (1.00, 1.02) |
| Length of stay | 19 (13–29) | 14 (10–19) | <0.0001 | 1.02 (1.00, 1.03) |
| Gender | ||||
| Male | 200 (52.9%) | 287 (70.2%) | <0.0001 | 2.04 (1.53, 2.74) |
| Female | 176 (46.6%) | 121 (29.6%) | Ref | |
| Unknown | 2 (0.5%) | 1 (0.2%) | ||
| Comorbidity | ||||
| Presence | 225 (69.5%) | 204 (48.8%) | <0.0001 | 1.88 (1.43, 2.48) |
| Absence | 94 (24.9%) | 77 (18.8%) | Ref | |
| Unknown | 59 (15.6%) | 128 (31.3%) | ||
| Outcome | ||||
| Fatal | 125 (33.1%) | 100 (24.4%) | <0.0001 | 1.53 (1.12–2.08) |
| Non-fatal | 253 (66.9%) | 309 (75.6%) | Ref | |
| Healthcare worker (HCW) | 166 (43.9%) | |||
The length of stay was calculated as difference between: date of onset of symptoms and date discharged or date of death.
Descriptive summaries (and unadjusted odds ratio) for cases of hospital acquired MERS infection among different groups. Number of cases (%) or median (IQR).
| Risk factors | Place of infection | Total (N = 378) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Healthcare workers | Hospitalized patient | Hospital visitor | Fatal | Non-fatal | Odds-ratio (95% C.I.) | |
| N = 166 (43.9%) | N = 194 (51.3%) | N = 18 (4.8%) | N = 125 (33.1%) | N = 253 (66.9%) | ||
| Age | 35 (28–44) | 63 (51–75) | 44 (38–60) | 68 (54–77) | 39 (30–54.5) | 1.06 (1.05, 1.08) |
| Length of stay | 16 (12–25) | 39 (17.75–7.75) | 12 (9–16) | 18 (10.3–28) | 17 (12.5–26) | 1.02 (1.00–1.03) |
| Gender | ||||||
| Male | 102 (61.5%) | 127 (65.5%) | 11 (61.1%) | 83 (66.4%) | 117 (46.3%) | 2.26 (1.46, 3.56) |
| Female | 62 (37.3%) | 67 (34.5%) | 7 (39.95%) | 42 (33.6%) | 134 (53%) | |
| Unknown | 2 (1.2%) | 0 | 0 | 2 (0.8%) | ||
| Comorbidity | ||||||
| Presence | 32 (45.8%) | 182 (93.8%) | 11 (61.11) | 117 (93.6%) | 108 (42.7%) | 19.28 (8.30, 56.29) |
| Absence | 76 (45.7%) | 11 (5,67%) | 7 (38.9) | 5 (4.0%) | 89 (35.1%) | |
| Unknown | 58 | 1 (0.51) | 0 | 23(2.4%) | 56 (22.1%) | |
| Mortality N (%) | ||||||
| Fatal | 5 (3%) | 119 (61.3%) | 1 (5.6%) | |||
| Non-fatal | 161 (97%) | 75 (38.7%) | 17 (94.4%) | |||
| OR (95%CI) | Ref | 31.1 (22.05, 48.95) | 1.89 (0.09,12.68) | |||
Fig. 1Distribution of weekly number of MERS cases by week of symptom onset and the number of HA-MERS in KSA. Wherever the date of onset is not available, the date hospitalized or date the disease is reported was used (whichever comes first).
Fig. 2Visualization of MERS-CoV cases during the outbreak. Isolated cased were not included in the figure. The size of the node represents the degree centrality, increasing node sizes implies the more important the patient is.
Factors associated (95% confidence limits) with length of hospital stay after the onset of MERS (N = 787).
| Risk factors | Effect | 95% confidence limits | P-value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lower | Upper | |||
| Age | −0.045 | −0.135 | 0.061 | 0.4241 |
| Gender (male) | −1.801 | −5.118 | 1.692 | 0.2878 |
| HA-MERS (yes) | 6.133 | −0.626 | 14.724 | 0.0725 |
| Comorbidity (true) | 4.976 | 0.294 | 9.247 | 0.0306 |
| HCW (yes) | −3.322 | −8.222 | 2.499 | 0.1844 |
| Hospitalized patients | −0.258 | −7.336 | 6.819 | 0.943 |
| Hospital visitors | −6.9332 | −8.475 | 9.065 | 0.9474 |
| Degree centrality | −1.033 | −3.010 | 1.008 | 0.3061 |
| Betweenness centrality | 0.899 | −2.833 | 1.904 | 0.6368 |
| Eigenvector centrality | 9.548 | −21.116 | 15.645 | 0.5421 |
A 1-year increase in age.
Statistical significant at 5% level.
A unit increase in centrality metrics.
Odds ratio and the 95% confidence limits of risk of death associated with MERS disease (including patients who died during hospital stay) (N = 787).
| Risk factors | Odds ratio | 95% confidence limits | P-value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lower | Upper | |||
| Gender: male vs. female | 1.413 | 0.832 | 2.401 | 0.2317 |
| Comorbidity true vs. false | 2.432 | 1.110 | 5.332 | 0.0068 |
| Healthcare worker true vs. false | 0.085 | 0.018 | 0.395 | <0.0001 |
| Hospitalized patient yes vs. no | 29.93 | 1.804 | 48.653 | 0.0177 |
| Hospital visitors yes vs. no | 0.095 | 0.005 | 1.787 | 0.0357 |
| HA-MERS (yes vs. no) | 2.392 | 0.3 | 19.059 | 0.168 |
| Age | 1.028 | 1.013 | 1.044 | 0.0002 |
| Length of stay 1-day | 0.981 | 0.971 | 0.991 | 0.0002 |
| Length of stay 7-day | 0.873 | 0.814 | 0.937 | 0.0002 |
| Length of stay 14-day | 0.763 | 0.662 | 0.878 | 0.0002 |
| Degree centrality | 0.882 | 0.639 | 1.22 | 0.4488 |
1-year increase in age.
1-day increase in length of hospital stay.
7-day increase in length of hospital stay.
14-day increase in length of hospital stay.
Unit increase in degree centrality metric.
Statistical significant at 5% level.
Odds ratio and the 95% confidence limits of risk of death associated with MERS disease for a 1-day increase in length of hospital stay (N = 787).
| Model | Risk factors | Odds ratio | 95% confidence limits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HA-MERS vs. non HA-MERS | Lower | Upper | ||
| 1 | Adjusted for age | 1.0239 | 1.0010 | 1.0475 |
| 2 | Adjusted for age + comorbidity | 4.4106 | 1.2986 | 14.9797 |
| 3 | Model 2 + Healthcare worker | 0.0704 | 0.0235 | 0.2114 |