Literature DB >> 26212063

Assessing the risk of observing multiple generations of Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS) cases given an imported case.

H Nishiura1, Y Miyamatsu, G Chowell, M Saitoh.   

Abstract

To guide risk assessment, expected numbers of cases and generations were estimated, assuming a case importation of Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS). Our analysis of 36 importation events yielded the risk of observing secondary transmission events at 22.7% (95% confidence interval: 19.3–25.1). The risks of observing generations 2, 3 and 4 were estimated at 10.5%, 6.1% and 3.9%, respectively. Countries at risk should be ready for highly variable outcomes following an importation of MERS.

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Year:  2015        PMID： 26212063     DOI： 10.2807/1560-7917.es2015.20.27.21181

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Euro Surveill        ISSN： 1025-496X


  27 in total

1.  Real-time characterization of risks of death associated with the Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS) in the Republic of Korea, 2015.

Authors:  Kenji Mizumoto; Akira Endo; Gerardo Chowell; Yuichiro Miyamatsu; Masaya Saitoh; Hiroshi Nishiura
Journal:  BMC Med       Date:  2015-09-30       Impact factor: 8.775

2.  Identifying determinants of heterogeneous transmission dynamics of the Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS) outbreak in the Republic of Korea, 2015: a retrospective epidemiological analysis.

Authors:  Hiroshi Nishiura; Akira Endo; Masaya Saitoh; Ryo Kinoshita; Ryo Ueno; Shinji Nakaoka; Yuichiro Miyamatsu; Yueping Dong; Gerardo Chowell; Kenji Mizumoto
Journal:  BMJ Open       Date:  2016-02-23       Impact factor: 2.692

3.  Objective Determination of End of MERS Outbreak, South Korea, 2015.

Authors:  Hiroshi Nishiura; Yuichiro Miyamatsu; Kenji Mizumoto
Journal:  Emerg Infect Dis       Date:  2016-01       Impact factor: 6.883

4.  Modeling the Transmission of Middle East Respirator Syndrome Corona Virus in the Republic of Korea.

Authors:  Zhi-Qiang Xia; Juan Zhang; Ya-Kui Xue; Gui-Quan Sun; Zhen Jin
Journal:  PLoS One       Date:  2015-12-21       Impact factor: 3.240

5.  2015 Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus (MERS-CoV) nosocomial outbreak in South Korea: insights from modeling.

Authors:  Ying-Hen Hsieh
Journal:  PeerJ       Date:  2015-12-17       Impact factor: 2.984

6.  Transmission characteristics of MERS and SARS in the healthcare setting: a comparative study.

Authors:  Gerardo Chowell; Fatima Abdirizak; Sunmi Lee; Jonggul Lee; Eunok Jung; Hiroshi Nishiura; Cécile Viboud
Journal:  BMC Med       Date:  2015-09-03       Impact factor: 8.775

7.  Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus NS4b Protein Inhibits Host RNase L Activation.

Authors:  Joshua M Thornbrough; Babal K Jha; Boyd Yount; Stephen A Goldstein; Yize Li; Ruth Elliott; Amy C Sims; Ralph S Baric; Robert H Silverman; Susan R Weiss
Journal:  MBio       Date:  2016-03-29       Impact factor: 7.867

8.  Predicting the international spread of Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS).

Authors:  Kyeongah Nah; Shiori Otsuki; Gerardo Chowell; Hiroshi Nishiura
Journal:  BMC Infect Dis       Date:  2016-07-22       Impact factor: 3.090

9.  Estimates of the risk of large or long-lasting outbreaks of Middle East respiratory syndrome after importations outside the Arabian Peninsula.

Authors:  Damon J A Toth; Windy D Tanner; Karim Khader; Adi V Gundlapalli
Journal:  Epidemics       Date:  2016-05-07       Impact factor: 4.396

Review 10.  Risk of MERS importation and onward transmission: a systematic review and analysis of cases reported to WHO.

Authors:  Chiara Poletto; Pierre-Yves Boëlle; Vittoria Colizza
Journal:  BMC Infect Dis       Date:  2016-08-25       Impact factor: 3.090
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