| Literature DB >> 29392134 |
Hee Joong Lee1, Tae Chul Park1, Jae Hoon Kim2, Errol Norwitz3, Banghyun Lee4.
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: To conduct systematic analyses to evaluate the efficacy of progesterone therapy for the prevention of miscarriages in pregnant women experiencing threatened abortion.Entities:
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2017 PMID: 29392134 PMCID: PMC5748117 DOI: 10.1155/2017/3616875
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Biomed Res Int Impact factor: 3.411
Characteristics of the included studies (n = 9).
| Study | Year | Study design | Eligibility criteria | Sample size | Interventions |
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| Alimohamadi et al. [ | 2013 | Randomized | Vaginal bleeding and uterine cramps before the 20th week of pregnancy, live singleton by ultrasound | 71 |
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| Czajkowski et al. [ | 2007 | Randomized | Vaginal bleeding usually accompanied by abdominal pain before 12 weeks of pregnancy, live singleton by ultrasound | 29 |
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| El-Zibdeh and Yousef [ | 2009 | Quasi-randomized | Mild or moderate vaginal bleeding during the first trimester of pregnancy, live embryo by ultrasound | 86 |
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| Gerhard et al. [ | 1987 | Randomized (double-blind) | Vaginal bleeding during the first trimester of pregnancy, live singleton by ultrasound | 17 |
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| Hui et al. [ | 2015 | Randomized | Vaginal bleeding between weeks 6 and 10 of pregnancy | 41 |
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| Omar et al. [ | 2005 | Randomized (open-label) | Mild or moderate vaginal bleeding before 13 weeks of pregnancy, live embryo by ultrasound | 74 |
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| Pandian [ | 2009 | Randomized (open-label) | Vaginal bleeding up to the 16th week of pregnancy, live embryo by ultrasound | 96 |
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| Palagiano et al. [ | 2004 | Randomized | Vaginal bleeding and uterine cramps between weeks 6 and 12 of pregnancy with a previous diagnosis of inadequate luteal phase, live embryo by ultrasound | 25 |
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| Yassaee et al. [ | 2014 | Randomized | Vaginal bleeding until the 20th week of pregnancy, live singleton by ultrasound | 30 |
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aAdamed Inc., Poland; blimited information was available because the study was published only in abstract form; cunclear data regarding the duration of treatment; dCrinone 8%® (progesterone gel, Merck Serono Inc., Germany); eCyclogest® (Actavis Inc., UK).
Figure 1Flow chart of the procedure used for study selection.
Assessments of the risk of bias in the included studies.
| Study | Random sequence generation | Allocation concealment | Blinding of the participants and personnel (performance bias) | Blinding of outcome assessment | Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias) | Selective reporting | Other bias |
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| Alimohamadi et al. [ | |||||||
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| Authors' judgement | Low risk | Low risk | Low risk | Unclear | Low risk | Low risk | High risk |
| Support for judgement | Adequate method for randomization | Adequate allocation concealment | Blinding of the participants and personnel | No information for blinding of outcome assessors | No incomplete outcome data | Report of all outcomes | No intention to treat analysis |
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| Czajkowski et al. [ | |||||||
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| Authors' judgement | Unclear | Unclear | Low risk | Unclear | Unclear | Low risk | High risk |
| Support for judgement | No information regarding the method used for randomization | No mention for the method of allocation concealment | Blinding of the participants and personnel | No information for blinding of outcome assessors | No information for the number of participants who were lost for follow-up according to subgroups | Report of all outcomes | No intention to treat analysis |
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| El-Zibdeh and Yousef [ | |||||||
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| Authors' judgement | High risk | High risk | High risk | Low risk | Low risk | Low risk | High risk |
| Support for judgement | Quasi-randomized participants based on which day of the week the pregnant women came to the clinic | No allocation concealment | Neither blinding of the participants nor personnel | Adequate blinding for outcome assessors | No incomplete outcome data, analysis in all participants enrolled | Report of all outcomes | No intention to treat analysis for some variables |
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| Gerhard et al. [ | |||||||
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| Authors' judgement | Unclear | Unclear | Low risk | Unclear | Unclear | Low risk | High risk |
| Support for judgement | No information regarding the method used for randomization | No mention for the method of allocation concealment | Blinding of the participants and personnel | No information for blinding of outcome assessors | No information for the number of participants who were lost for follow-up according to subgroups | Report of all outcomes | No intention to treat analysis |
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| Hui et al. [ | |||||||
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| Authors' judgement | Unclear | Unclear | Unclear | Unclear | Unclear | Unclear | Unclear |
| Support for judgement | No information regarding the method used for randomization | No mention for the method of allocation concealment | No information | No information | No information | No information | No information |
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| Omar et al. [ | |||||||
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| Authors' judgement | Unclear | Unclear | High risk | Unclear | Unclear | Low risk | High risk |
| Support for judgement | No information regarding the method used for randomization | No mention for the method of allocation concealment | Neither blinding of the participants nor personnel | No information for blinding of outcome assessors | No information for the number of participants who were lost for follow-up according to subgroups | Report of all outcomes | No intention to treat analysis |
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| Pandian [ | |||||||
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| Authors' judgement | Low risk | Low risk | High risk | Unclear | Low risk | Low risk | Low risk |
| Support for judgement | Adequate method for randomization | Adequate allocation concealment | Neither blinding of the participants nor personnel | Unclear information for blinding of outcome assessors | No incomplete outcome data, analysis in all participants enrolled | Report of all outcomes | No additional bias |
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| Palagiano et al. [ | |||||||
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| Authors' judgement | Unclear | Low risk | Low risk | Unclear | Unclear | Low risk | High risk |
| Support for judgement | No information regarding the method used for randomization | Adequate allocation concealment | Blinding of the participants and personnel | No information for blinding of outcome assessors | No information for the number of participants who were lost for follow-up | Report of all outcomes | No intention to treat analysis |
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| Yassaee et al. [ | |||||||
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| Authors' judgement | Unclear | Unclear | High risk | Unclear | Low risk | Low risk | Low risk |
| Support for judgement | No information regarding the method used for randomization | No mention for the method of allocation concealment | No blinding of the participants | No information for blinding of outcome assessors | No incomplete outcome data, analysis in all participants enrolled | Report of all outcomes | No additional bias |
Figure 2Forest plots and risk of bias: risk of miscarriage in pregnant women experiencing threatened abortion based on the route of progesterone administration. (a) Total progesterone versus control treatments. (b) Oral dydrogesterone versus control treatments. (c) Vaginal progesterone versus control treatments. (d) Oral dydrogesterone versus vaginal progesterone treatments. The risk of bias for each metric was assessed as low (+), high (−), or unclear (blank) for all the included studies as follows: A, random sequence generation (selection bias); B, allocation concealment (selection bias); C, blinding of the participants and personnel (performance bias); D, blinding of the outcome assessment (detection bias); E, incomplete outcome data (attrition bias); F, selective reporting (reporting bias); G, other bias. M-H, Mantel-Haenszel; CI, confidence interval.
Subgroup analyses of risk of miscarriage according to eligibility criteria and vaginal progesterone dose.
| Subgroups | Studies, | Number of patients (%) | OR (95% CI) |
| Heterogeneity ( | |
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| Progesterone | Control | |||||
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| Threatened abortion within 12 completed weeks of gestation | 4 (12,13,14,16) | 22/202 (10.9) | 35/182 (19.2) | 0.47 (0.26–0.86) | 0.01 | 0% |
| Threatened abortion before 20 weeks of gestation | 3 (11,15,17) | 30/197 (15.2) | 47/196 (24.0) | 0.60 (0.27–1.31) | 0.20 | 53% |
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| Higha | 2 (11,17) | 18/101 (17.8) | 20/101 (19.8) | 0.85 (0.35–2.05) | 0.72 | 30% |
| Lowb | 2 (13,16) | 4/42 (9.5) | 9/42 (21.4) | 0.39 (0.11–1.37) | 0.14 | 0% |
aHigh-dose use of vaginal progesterone included studies that administered 400 mg per day for 1 week or until bleeding stopped within less than 1 week. bLow-dose use of vaginal progesterone included studies using a dose lower than the reported high dose.
(a) Progesterone agents versus control treatments
| Quality assessment | Number of patients (%) | Absolute effect (95% CI) | Relative effect (95% CI) | Quality | Importance | ||||||||
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| No. of studies | Study design | Risk of bias | Inconsistency | Indirectness | Imprecision | Publication bias | Progesterone agents | Control | Progesterone agents | Control | |||
| Outcome: miscarriage | |||||||||||||
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| Progesterone versus control | |||||||||||||
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| 7 | Randomized trials | Seriousa | Not serious | Not serious | Seriousb | None | 52/399 (13.0) | 82/378 (21.7) | 128 per 1000 | 217 per 1000 |
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| Oral dydrogesterone versus control | |||||||||||||
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| 3 | Randomized trials | Seriousa | Not serious | Not serious | Seriousb | None | 30/256 (11.7) | 53/235 (22.6) | 112 per 1000 | 226 per 1000 |
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| Vaginal progesterone versus control | |||||||||||||
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| 4 | Randomized trials | Not serious | Not serious | Not serious | Not serious | None | 22/143 (15.4) | 29/143 (20.3) | 155 per 1000 | 203 per 1000 |
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CI: confidence interval; OR: odds ratio; aeither the participants or personnel were not blinded in these studies (performance bias); bthe 95% CI includes appreciable harm or benefit.
(b) Oral dydrogesterone versus vaginal progesterone
| Quality assessment | Number of patients (%) | Absolute effect (95% CI) | Relative effect (95% CI) | Quality | Importance | ||||||||
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| No. of studies | Study design | Risk of bias | Inconsistency | Indirectness | Imprecision | Publication bias | Oral dydrogesterone | Vaginal progesterone | Oral dydrogesterone | Vaginal progesterone | |||
| Outcome: miscarriage | |||||||||||||
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| 2 | Randomized trials | Seriousc | Not serious | Not serious | Seriousc | None | 12/70 (17.1) | 11/66 (16.7) | 175 per 1000 | 167 per 1000 |
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CI: confidence interval; OR: odds ratio; climited information was available because a study was only published in abstract form.