| Literature DB >> 29092789 |
K Woods1, C Nic-Fhogartaigh2, C Arnold3, L Boutthasavong4, W Phuklia4, C Lim5, A Chanthongthip4, S M Tulsiani6, S B Craig7, M-A Burns6, S L Weier8, V Davong4, S Sihalath4, D Limmathurotsakul9, D A B Dance10, N Shetty3, M Zambon3, P N Newton11, S Dittrich12.
Abstract
OBJECTIVES: To compare two molecular assays (rrs quantitative PCR (qPCR) versus a combined 16SrRNA and LipL32 qPCR) on different sample types for diagnosing leptospirosis in febrile patients presenting to Mahosot Hospital, Vientiane, Laos.Entities:
Keywords: Bayesian; Buffy coat; Laos; Latent class model; Leptospira; Leptospirosis; Molecular diagnosis; Quantitative PCR; Serum; Urine
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2017 PMID: 29092789 PMCID: PMC6125144 DOI: 10.1016/j.cmi.2017.10.017
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Clin Microbiol Infect ISSN: 1198-743X Impact factor: 8.067
Bayesian Latent Class Modelling estimates of diagnostic accuracy for each test
| Parameters | Bayesian LCM% (95% credibility interval) |
|---|---|
| Prevalence | 2.0 (1.1–3.8) |
| MAT | |
| Sensitivity | 15.8 (6.3–29.4) |
| Specificity | 96.5 (96.2–96.9) |
| PPV | 10.0 (3.3–20.0) |
| NPV | 98.3 (96.7–98.9) |
| Culture for | |
| Sensitivity | 25.0 (13.3–44.4) |
| Specificity | 100 |
| PPV | 100 |
| NPV | 98.5 (96.7–99.4) |
| 16SrRNA/ | |
| Sensitivity | 53.9 (33.3–81.8) |
| Specificity | 99.6 (99.2–100) |
| PPV | 75.0 (50.0–100) |
| NPV | 99.1 (97.6–99.7) |
| 16SrRNA/ | |
| Sensitivity | 58.8 (34.4–90.9) |
| Specificity | 99.9 (99.6–100) |
| PPV | 90.9 (72.7–100) |
| NPV | 99.1 (97.4–99.9) |
| 16SrRNA/ | |
| Sensitivity | 45.0 (27.0–66.7) |
| Specificity | 99.6 (99.3–100) |
| PPV | 70.0 (50.0–100) |
| NPV | 98.8 (97.3–99.5) |
| Sensitivity | 50.0 (29.6–77.8) |
| Specificity | 99.2 (99.0–99.5) |
| PPV | 57.1 (42.9–71.4) |
| NPV | 99.0 (97.3–99.7) |
| Sensitivity | 35.7 (20.7–55.6) |
| Specificity | 99.7 (99.5–100) |
| PPV | 75.0 (50.0–100) |
| NPV | 98.7 (97.1–99.5) |
| Sensitivity | 39.1 (25.0–57.1) |
| Specificity | 92.5 (92.3–92.8) |
| PPV | 9.4 (6.3–14.1) |
| NPV | 98.6 (97.0–99.5) |
Note: Culture specificity was fixed at 100%. The Akaike Information Criterion was used to evaluate goodness of fit and select the final model. The final Bayesian Latent Class Modelling (LCM) included culture, MAT, 16SrRNA/LipL32 qPCR on serum and urine samples, and rrs qPCR on buffy coat samples with conditional dependence between culture and qPCR assays on blood samples (see Supplementary material, Table S5). Sensitivity and specificity of all tests and Bayesian p-values were estimated (see Supplementary material, Table S6).
Fig. 1Participant flow and diagnostic test results.
Median fever duration and mortality for patients positive for leptospirosis by the different tests
| Leptospirosis positive by: | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAT | Culture | Any PCR ( | ||||||
| Blood only ( | Urine only ( | Blood and urine ( | ||||||
| PHE ( | PHE ( | PHE ( | ||||||
| Median fever days on admission (IQR) | 7 (5–14) | 4 (3–5.5) | 3.5 (2.5–7) | 3 (2–4) | 6 (3–10) | 7 (6–7) | 3 (2–4) | 4 (3–4) |
| Mortality | 12.5% (2/16 | 50% (2/4) | 25% (3/12) | 10% (1/10) | n/a | 0% (0/5) | 33.3% (2/6) | 60% (3/5) |
PHE = 16SrRNA/LipL32.
Three patients had no urine sample for testing.
Four patients had no urine sample for testing.
Mortality data for 14 MAT-positive patients and 53 patients who were only positive by rrs qPCR on urine was not available.
Fig. 2Fever duration at admission in patients qPCR positive for pathogenic Leptospira DNA, according to admission sample type which was qPCR positive.
Conventional analysis of diagnostic accuracy using positivity of MAT or culture (n = 33) as the reference standard
| Sample type | PCR | Reference standard | Specificity % (95% CI) | Sensitivity % (95% CI) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Positive ( | Negative ( | ||||
| Serum ( | 3 | 11 | 9.38 (1.98–25.0) | 98.5 (97.3–99.3) | |
| PHE | 3 | 9 | 9.38 (1.98–25.0) | 98.8 (97.7–99.4) | |
| Buffy coat ( | 1 | 7 | 3.03 (0.08–15.8) | 99.0 (98.0–99.6) | |
| PHE | 4 | 7 | 12.1 (3.4–28.2) | 99.0 (98.0–99.6) | |
| Urine ( | 5 | 59 | 17.2 (5.85–35.8) | 90.1 (87.4–92.4) | |
| PHE | 4 | 6 | 13.8 (3.89–31.7) | 99.0 (97.8–99.6) | |
Number of samples negative by the reference standard but positive by PCR that had paired MAT samples: serum: rrs (n = 6), PHE (n = 5); buffy coat: rrs (n = 5), PHE (n = 3); urine: rrs (n = 23), PHE (n = 1).