| Literature DB >> 28770070 |
Tal Avgar1, Subhash R Lele2, Jonah L Keim3, Mark S Boyce1.
Abstract
Habitat-selection analysis lacks an appropriate measure of the ecological significance of the statistical estimates-a practical interpretation of the magnitude of the selection coefficients. There is a need for a standard approach that allows relating the strength of selection to a change in habitat conditions across space, a quantification of the estimated effect size that can be compared both within and across studies. We offer a solution, based on the epidemiological risk ratio, which we term the relative selection strength (RSS). For a "used-available" design with an exponential selection function, the RSS provides an appropriate interpretation of the magnitude of the estimated selection coefficients, conditional on all other covariates being fixed. This is similar to the interpretation of the regression coefficients in any multivariable regression analysis. Although technically correct, the conditional interpretation may be inappropriate when attempting to predict habitat use across a given landscape. Hence, we also provide a simple graphical tool that communicates both the conditional and average effect of the change in one covariate. The average-effect plot answers the question: What is the average change in the space use probability as we change the covariate of interest, while averaging over possible values of other covariates? We illustrate an application of the average-effect plot for the average effect of distance to road on space use for elk (Cervus elaphus) during the hunting season. We provide a list of potentially useful RSS expressions and discuss the utility of the RSS in the context of common ecological applications.Entities:
Keywords: HSA; SSA; log odds; logistic regression; odds ratio; resource selection function; step selection function
Year: 2017 PMID: 28770070 PMCID: PMC5528224 DOI: 10.1002/ece3.3122
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Ecol Evol ISSN: 2045-7758 Impact factor: 2.912
Figure 1Log‐RSS for one spatial position (x 1) over another (x 2) as function of elevation and habitat type (“meadow” = dashed line; “forest” = dotted line) at x 1. The RSF includes two main effects, one ctegorical (“forest”/“meadow”) and one continuous (elevation), as well as their interaction, and is given by . Elevation at x 2 is 500 m, and habitat at x 2 is “meadow” (the reference category for the RSF)
Exponential resource selection function model
| Parameter | Parameter estimate |
|
| Pr(>| |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Habitat suitability | 3.135 | 0.092 | 34.129 | <2e‐16 |
| Road distance | 0.428 | 0.034 | 12.693 | <2e‐16 |
| Habitat suitability: Road distance | −0.406 | 0.053 | −7.594 | 3.1e‐14 |
Logistic resource selection probability function model
| Parameter | Parameter estimate |
|
| Pr(>| |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intercept | −3.016 | 0.105 | −28.697 | <2e‐16 |
| Habitat suitability | 4.591 | 0.368 | 12.472 | <2e‐16 |
| Road distance | 0.039 | 0.082 | 0.483 | 0.629 |
| Habitat suitability: Road distance | 3.030 | 0.452 | 6.708 | 1.98e‐11 |
Figure 2Average effect of distance to road on elk space use estimated from a logistic RSPF model and an exponential RSF model in the available distribution. The solid lines depict the smoothed nonparametric regression function between distance to road and the estimated probability of use or relative probability of use; 95% confidence intervals are depicted in gray shading
Figure 3Average effect of distance to road on elk space use estimated from a logistic RSPF model and an exponential RSF model in a hypothetical study area. The solid lines depict the smoothed nonparametric regression function between distance to road and the estimated probability of use or relative probability of use; 95% confidence intervals are depicted in gray shading
Figure 4Resource selection preference curves for elk estimated from a logistic RSPF model and an exponential RSF model. The preference curves depict the estimated probability of selection (or relative probability of selection) assuming the distribution of road distance and habitat suitability resources are uniformly distributed and equally available to elk