| Literature DB >> 27793023 |
Matteo Ferro1, Giuseppe Lucarelli2, Dario Bruzzese3, Giuseppe Di Lorenzo4, Sisto Perdonà5, Riccardo Autorino6, Francesco Cantiello7, Roberto La Rocca8, Gian Maria Busetto9, Amelia Cimmino10, Carlo Buonerba4, Michele Battaglia2, Rocco Damiano7, Ottavio De Cobelli1,11,12, Vincenzo Mirone8, Daniela Terracciano13.
Abstract
Active surveillance (AS) is currently a widely accepted treatment option for men with clinically localized prostate cancer (PCa). Several reports have highlighted the association of low serum testosterone levels with high-grade, high-stage PCa. However, the impact of serum testosterone as a predictor of progression in men with low-risk PCa has been little assessed.In this study, we evaluated the association of circulating testosterone concentrations with a staging/grading reclassification in a cohort of low-risk PCa patients meeting the inclusion criteria for the AS protocol but opting for radical prostatectomy.Radical prostatectomy (RP) was performed in 338 patients, eligible for AS according to the following criteria: clinical stage T2a or less, PSA<10ng/ml, two or fewer cancer cores, Gleason score (GS)≤6 and PSA density<0.2 ng/mL/cc. Reclassification was defined as upstaging (stage>pT2) and upgrading (GS≥7; primary Gleason pattern 4) disease. Unfavorable disease was defined as the occurrence of pathological stage>pT2 and predominant Gleason score 4. Total testosterone was measured before surgery.Low serum testosterone levels (<300 ng/dL) were significantly associated with upgrading, upstaging, unfavorable disease and positive surgical margins. The addition of testosterone to a base model, including age, PSA, PSA density, clinical stage and positive cancer involvement in cores, showed a significant independent influence of this variable on upstaging, upgrading and unfavorable disease.In conclusion, our results support the idea that total testosterone should be a selection criterion for inclusion of low-risk PCa patients in AS programs and suggest that testosterone level less than 300 ng/dL should be considered a discouraging factor when a close AS program is considered as treatment option.Entities:
Keywords: active surveillance; prostate cancer; testosterone; upgrading; upstaging
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2017 PMID: 27793023 PMCID: PMC5392340 DOI: 10.18632/oncotarget.12906
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Oncotarget ISSN: 1949-2553
Clinical and Pathological Characteristics
| Variable | n=338 |
|---|---|
| Age, years | 63.5 [59 ; 67] |
| PSA (ng/mL) | 5.6 [4.29 ; 7.25] |
| PSA density | 0.12 [0.09 ; 0.15] |
| Prostate Volume | 49 [40.75 ; 55] |
| Familiarity, Yes | 21 (6.2%) |
| PNI, Yes | 20 (5.9%) |
| Nr of Positive Cores, 2 | 160 (47.3%) |
| Max % of core involved by tumor | 20 [10 ; 30] |
| Positive DRE | 36 (10.7%) |
| Testosterone (ng/dL) | 451.5 [380 ; 566] |
| Testosterone <300ng/dL | 53 (15.7%) |
PNI, perineural invasion.
Figure 1ROC Curve analysis for testosterone as a predictor of upstaging
Figure 4ROC Curve analysis for testosterone as a predictor of predominant Gleason score 4
Multivariable logistic regression models including age, PSA, PSA density, DRE status and CIPC for tumor upstaging, upgrading, unfavorable disease, positive surgical margins and predominant Gleason 4
| Upstaging | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 0.94 [0.89 to 1] | 0,036 | 0.95 [0.9 to 1] | 0,063 |
| PSA (ng/mL) | 1.22 [0.93 to 1.6] | 0,149 | 1.15 [0.89 to 1.5] | 0,29 |
| PSA Density, 0.1 increase | 0.47 [0.14 to 1.62] | 0,231 | 0.45 [0.13 to 1.51] | 0,193 |
| Positive DRE | 1.31 [0.48 to 3.55] | 0,600 | 1.14 [0.42 to 3.12] | 0,798 |
| CIPC | 1.05 [1.03 to 1.07] | <0.001 | 1.05 [1.03 to 1.07] | <0.001 |
| Testosterone, 10 ng/dl increase | 0.92 [0.89 to 0.94] | <0.001 | ||
| Testosterone, <300 ng/dL | 11.62 [5.43 to 24.85] | <0.001 | ||
| AUC, [95% C.I.] | 0.84 [0.79 to 0.9] | 0.81 [0.75 to 0.88] | ||
| Gain in predictive accuracy; % (p-value) | 15.2 (<0.001) | 12.4 (0.002) | ||
| Age | 1.01 [0.96 to 1.05] | 0,827 | 1.01 [0.96 to 1.05] | 0,791 |
| PSA (ng/mL) | 1.02 [0.84 to 1.24] | 0,868 | 1.02 [0.83 to 1.24] | 0,87 |
| PSA Density, 0.1 increase | 1.07 [0.43 to 2.63] | 0,890 | 0.97 [0.39 to 2.39] | 0,945 |
| Positive DRE | 1.18 [0.54 to 2.6] | 0,674 | 1.14 [0.51 to 2.53] | 0,754 |
| CIPC | 1.05 [1.03 to 1.07] | <0.001 | 1.05 [1.03 to 1.07] | <0.001 |
| Testosterone, 10 ng/dl increase | 0.97 [0.96 to 0.99] | 0,001 | ||
| Testosterone, <300 ng/dL | 3.6 [1.74 to 7.46] | 0,001 | ||
| AUC, [95% C.I.] | 0.73 [0.68 to 0.79] | 0.73 [0.68 to 0.79] | ||
| Gain in predictive accuracy; % (p-value) | 0.1 (0.935) | 0.1 (0.922) | ||
| Age | 0.95 [0.88 to 1.03] | 0,217 | 0.95 [0.87 to 1.03] | 0,197 |
| PSA (ng/mL) | 1.29 [0.86 to 1.93] | 0,222 | 1.26 [0.82 to 1.92] | 0,287 |
| PSA Density, 0.1 increase | 0.14 [0.02 to 0.87] | 0,035 | 0.12 [0.02 to 0.88] | 0,037 |
| Positive DRE | 1.23 [0.34 to 4.47] | 0,754 | 1.03 [0.27 to 3.94] | 0,968 |
| CIPC | 1.05 [1.02 to 1.08] | 0,001 | 1.05 [1.02 to 1.08] | 0,002 |
| Testosterone, 10 ng/dl increase | 0.93 [0.89 to 0.97] | 0,001 | ||
| Testosterone, <300 ng/dL | 10.26 [3.54 to 29.76] | <0.001 | ||
| AUC, [95% C.I.] | 0.84 [0.77 to 0.92] | 0.84 [0.73 to 0.95] | ||
| Gain in predictive accuracy; % (p-value) | 6.3 (0.119) | 5.9 (0.101) | ||
| Age | 0.95 [0.89 to 1.01] | 0,075 | 0.95 [0.89 to 1.01] | 0,072 |
| PSA (ng/mL) | 0.85 [0.63 to 1.15] | 0,295 | 0.85 [0.63 to 1.14] | 0,269 |
| PSA Density, 0.1 increase | 1.85 [0.5 to 6.83] | 0,358 | 1.79 [0.49 to 6.53] | 0,379 |
| Positive DRE | 0.85 [0.26 to 2.7] | 0,776 | 0.84 [0.27 to 2.69] | 0,774 |
| CIPC | 1.02 [0.99 to 1.04] | 0,191 | 1.02 [0.99 to 1.04] | 0,205 |
| Testosterone, 10 ng/dl increase | 0.98 [0.96 to 1] | 0,097 | ||
| Testosterone, <300 ng/dL | 2.25 [0.94 to 5.43] | 0,07 | ||
| AUC, [95% C.I.] | 0.66 [0.56 to 0.76] | 0.66 [0.57 to 0.75] | ||
| Gain in predictive accuracy; % (p-value) | 0.74 (0.934) | 1.11 (0.904) | ||
| Age | 1 [0.95 to 1.06] | 0,996 | 1 [0.94 to 1.06] | 0,916 |
| PSA (ng/mL) | 1.3 [0.99 to 1.71] | 0,054 | 1.3 [0.99 to 1.71] | 0,058 |
| PSA Density, 0.1 increase | 0.16 [0.05 to 0.56] | 0,004 | 0.13 [0.04 to 0.49] | 0,002 |
| Positive DRE | 0.86 [0.32 to 2.28] | 0,755 | 0.72 [0.26 to 2.05] | 0,543 |
| CIPC | 1.06 [1.04 to 1.08] | <0.001 | 1.06 [1.04 to 1.08] | <0.001 |
| Testosterone, 10 ng/dl increase | 0.96 [0.93 to 0.98] | <0.001 | ||
| Testosterone, <300 ng/dL | 6.66 [3.14 to 14.15] | <0.001 | ||
| AUC, [95% C.I.] | 0.81 [0.75 to 0.87] | 0.82 [0.75 to 0.89] | ||
| Gain in predictive accuracy; % (p-value) | 8.3 (0.046) | 9.4 (0.041) | ||
For sake of readability of the results, when treating Testosterone as continuous predictor, the Odds Ratio have been computed for a 10ng/dl increase in TT levels. Testosterone has been analyzed both as continuous and as dichotomous predictor using 300ng/dl as cut-off. CIPC: cancer involvement in positive cores; DRE: Digital rectal examination; PNI: perineural invasion; PSA: prostate-specific antigen; TT: total testosterone
Clinical and pathological variables associated with tumor upstaging and upgrading. CIPC: cancer involvement in positive cores
| Upstaging | Upgrading | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No ( | Yes ( | No ( | Yes ( | |||
| Age (years) | 63.5 [59 ; 67] | 63.5 [58.75 ; 66] | 0.918 | 63 [58 ; 67] | 64 [59.75 ; 67] | 0.176 |
| PSA (ng/mL) | 5.68 [4.35 ; 7.3] | 5.6 [4.12 ; 6.68] | 0.584 | 5.55 [4.2 ; 7.3] | 5.6 [4.43 ; 7.09] | 0.834 |
| PSA density | 0.12 [0.09 ; 0.15] | 0.12 [0.09 ; 0.15] | 0.716 | 0.12 [0.09 ; 0.15] | 0.12 [0.09 ; 0.15] | 0.468 |
| Prostate Volume | 48 [40 ; 55] | 49.5 [41 ; 54.25] | 0.728 | 49 [41 ; 55] | 48.5 [40 ; 55] | 0.681 |
| Familiarity, Yes | 16 (5.9) | 5 (7.6) | 0.576 | 12 (6.3) | 9 (6.2) | 0.974 |
| PNI. Yes | 13 (4.8) | 7 (10.6) | 0.083 | 7 (3.6) | 13 (8.9) | 0.042 |
| Nr of Positive Cores, 2 | 122 (44.9) | 38 (57.6) | 0.063 | 86 (44.8) | 74 (50.7) | 0.282 |
| CIPC (%) | 20 [10 ; 30] | 40 [30 ; 50] | <0.001 | 20 [10 ; 30] | 30 [20 ; 45] | <0.001 |
| Positive DRE | 26 (9.6) | 10 (15.2) | 0.186 | 18 (9.4) | 18 (12.3) | 0.477 |
| Testosterone (ng/dL) | 488.5 [401 ; 600] | 299.5 [250 ; 390] | <0.001 | 497.5 [401 ; 600] | 400.5 [292.25 ; 534] | <0.001 |
| Testosterone <300 ng/dL | 20 (7.4) | 33 (50) | <0.001 | 13 (6.8) | 40 (27.4) | <0.001 |
DRE: Digital rectal examination; PNI: perineural invasion; PSA: prostate-specific antigen
Clinical and pathological variables associated with unfavorable disease, positive surgical margins and predominant Gleason score 4
| Unfavorable Disease | Positive margins | Predominant Gleason 4 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No ( | Yes ( | No ( | Yes ( | No ( | Yes ( | ||||
| Age (years) | 63.5 [59 ; 67] | 63.5 [59.5 ; 66] | 0,904 | 64 [59 ; 67] | 61.5 [55.5 ; 65] | 0.136 | 63 [58 ; 67] | 64.5 [60 ; 68] | 0,168 |
| PSA (ng/mL) | 5.6 [4.4 ; 7.3] | 5.5 [4 ; 6.3] | 0,244 | 5.64 [4.29 ; 7.25] | 5.03 [4.14 ; 7.27] | 0.451 | 5.6 [4.4 ; 7.3] | 5.6 [4.1 ; 7] | 0,43 |
| PSA density | 0.12 [0.09 ; 0.15] | 0.11 [0.06 ; 0.14] | 0,068 | 0.12 [0.09 ; 0.15] | 0.12 [0.09 ; 0.15] | 0.925 | 0.12 [0.09 ; 0.15] | 0.11 [0.07 ; 0.15] | 0,073 |
| Prostate Volume | 48 [40 ; 55] | 52 [41 ; 61.3] | 0,085 | 49 [41 ; 55] | 45 [38.5 ; 53.75] | 0.102 | 47.5 [40 ; 55] | 51.5 [41 ; 60] | 0,011 |
| Familiarity, Yes | 20 (6.3) | 1 (4.5) | 1,000 | 19 (6.3) | 2 (5.6) | 1.000 | 17 (6.2) | 4 (6.5) | 1,000 |
| PNI, Yes | 17 (5.4) | 3 (13.6) | 0,132 | 17 (5.6) | 3 (8.3) | 0.458 | 9 (3.3) | 11 (17.7) | <0.001 |
| Nr of Positive Cores. 2 | 146 (46.2) | 14 (63.6) | 0,123 | 146 (48.3) | 14 (38.9) | 0.283 | 129 (46.7) | 31 (50) | 0,642 |
| CIPC (%) | 25 [10 ; 35] | 40 [30 ; 60] | <0.001 | 25 [10 ; 35] | 30 [20 ; 40] | 0.027 | 20 [10 ; 30] | 40 [30 ; 50] | <0.001 |
| Positive DRE | 32 (10.1) | 4 (18.2) | 0,273 | 32 (10.6) | 4 (11.1) | 1.000 | 28 (10.1) | 8 (12.9) | 0,525 |
| Testosterone (ng/dL) | 456 [390 ; 567] | 290 [250 ; 300] | <0.001 | 456 [389 ; 566.25] | 400.5 [290 ; 540.5] | 0.0643 | 477 [398.3 ; 597.3] | 300 [254.5 ; 502] | <0.001 |
| Testosterone <300 ng/dL | 39 (12.3) | 14 (63.6) | <0.001 | 43 (14.2) | 10 (27.8) | 0.035 | 25 (9.1) | 28 (45.2) | <0.001 |
CIPC: cancer involvement in positive cores; DRE: Digital rectal examination; PNI: perineural invasion; PSA: prostate-specific antigen
Sensitivities and specificities of total testosterone for each of the outcomes
| Testosterone (ng/dL) | Sensitivity (95% C.I.) | Specificity (95% C.I.) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Upstaging | 344 | 0.70 (0.59 to 0.8) | 0.90 (0.86 to 0.93) |
| Upgrading | 431 | 0.60 (0.52 to 0.67) | 0.70 (0.63 to 0.77) |
| Unfavorable disease | 302 | 0.85 (0.81 to 0.89) | 0.82 (0.64 to 0.95) |
| Predominant Gleason 4 | 315 | 0.53 (0.4 to 0.66) | 0.87 (0.83 to 0.91) |
Sensitivities and specificities of testosterone < 300 ng/dL (hypogonadism) for each of the outcomes
| Hypogonadism condition | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Upstaging | 300 | 0.65 (0.53 to 0.76) | 0.92 (0.89 to 0.95) |
| Upgrading | 300 | 0.34 (0.27 to 0.42) | 0.92 (0.89 to 0.96) |
| Unfavorable disease | 300 | 0.85 [0.81 to 0.89] | 0.82 [0.64 to 0.95] |
| Predominant Gleason 4 | 300 | 0.52 (0.39 to 0.65) | 0.88 (0.84 to 0.92) |