| Literature DB >> 27400969 |
Richard Buus1, Ivana Sestak1, Ralf Kronenwett1, Carsten Denkert1, Peter Dubsky1, Kristin Krappmann1, Marsel Scheer1, Christoph Petry1, Jack Cuzick1, Mitch Dowsett1.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Estimating distant recurrence (DR) risk among women with estrogen receptor-positive (ER+), human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-negative early breast cancer helps decisions on using adjuvant chemotherapy. The 21-gene Oncotype DX recurrence score (RS) is widely used for this. EndoPredict (EPclin) is an alternative test combining prognostic information from an eight-gene signature (EP score) with tumor size and nodal status. We compared the prognostic information provided by RS and EPclin for 10-year DR risk.Entities:
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2016 PMID: 27400969 PMCID: PMC5241904 DOI: 10.1093/jnci/djw149
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Natl Cancer Inst ISSN: 0027-8874 Impact factor: 13.506
Figure 1.CONSORT diagram of the availability of samples for analysis from the Arimidex, Tamoxifen, Alone or in Combination trial. ATAC = Arimidex, Tamoxifen, Alone or in Combination; ER = estrogen receptor; PgR = progesterone receptor.
Likelihood (χ2) for distant recurrence for all prognostic scores in all patients and subgroups*
| Patient group | No. of patients | No. of DRs | EPclin | EP | RS | EPclin + RS vs RS | EP + RS vs RS | CTS | EPclin + CTS vs CTS | EP + CTS vs CTS | RS + CTS vs CTS | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LRχ² | LRχ² | LRχ² | ΔLRχ² | ΔLRχ² | LRχ² | ΔLRχ² | ΔLRχ² | ΔLRχ² | ||||||||||||
| All patients | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 0–10 y | 928 | 128 | 139.3 | <.001 | 49.3 | <.001 | 29.1 | <.001 | 113.8 | <.001 | 20.2 | <.001 | 149.8 | <.001 | 20.3 | <.001 | 16.4 | <.001 | 12.8 | <.001 |
| 0–5 y | 928 | 61 | 80.0 | <.001 | 25.7 | <.001 | 26.1 | <.001 | 54.0 | <.001 | 3.1 | .08 | 85.0 | <.001 | 10.5 | .001 | 6.9 | .009 | 11.8 | <.001 |
| 5–10 y | 820 | 67 | 59.3 | <.001 | 23.6 | <.001 | 5.6 | .02 | 59.6 | <.001 | 21.6 | <.001 | 64.7 | <.001 | 9.9 | .002 | 9.8 | .002 | 2.3 | .13 |
| Node-negative patients | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 0–10 y | 680 | 59 | 39. 7 | <.001 | 30.8 | <.001 | 21.3 | <.001 | 18.3 | <.001 | 9.7 | .002 | 35.6 | <.001 | 12.5 | <.001 | 11.9 | <.001 | 8.4 | .004 |
| 0–5 y | 680 | 24 | 17.0 | <.001 | 15.5 | <.001 | 18.7 | <.001 | 1.6 | .2 | 0.7 | .4 | 19.0 | <.001 | 3.6 | .06 | 5.2 | .02 | 8.1 | .004 |
| 5–10 y | 623 | 35 | 22.7 | <.001 | 15.5 | <.001 | 4.8 | .03 | 20.9 | <.001 | 12.4 | <.001 | 16.9 | <.001 | 9.0 | .003 | 6.6 | .01 | 1.4 | .24 |
| Node-positive patients | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 0–10 y | 248 | 69 | 48.3 | <.001 | 14.5 | <.001 | 8.0 | .005 | 44.8 | <.001 | 6.5 | .01 | 61.6 | <.001 | 8.3 | .004 | 5.4 | .02 | 4.1 | .04 |
| 0–5 y | 248 | 37 | 32.2 | <.001 | 7.9 | .005 | 8.0 | .005 | 25.9 | <.001 | 0.9 | .33 | 35.2 | <.001 | 6.4 | .01 | 2.3 | .13 | 3.7 | .05 |
| 5–10 y | 197 | 32 | 16.1 | <.001 | 6.6 | .01 | 1.0 | .32 | 18.3 | <.001 | 7.1 | .008 | 26.4 | <.001 | 2.3 | .13 | 3.4 | .06 | 0.7 | .39 |
*Both univariate and multivariable analyses are presented for years 0 to 10, years 0 to 5, and years 5 to 10 separately. Likelihood ratio test based on Cox proportional hazard models for univariate and multivariable analyses. Differences in likelihood ratio values (ΔLRχ2) were used. CTS = clinical treatment score; DR = distant relapse; EP = EndoPredict; LR = likelihood ratio; RS = recurrence score.
†Denotes multivariable comparisons; eg, the EPclin + RS vs RS comparison assesses the extra prognostic information that EPclin contributes when combined with the RS. All statistical tests were two-sided. All scores are continuous variables.
Figure 2.Kaplan-Meier estimates for 10-year distant recurrence according to EP, EPclin, and recurrence score, split into tertiles in all patients. Kaplan-Meier curves were calculated and tested for equality using the log-rank test. The numbers of patients at risk in each group at various time points are given below each graph. All statistical tests were two-sided. CI = confidence interval; EP = EndoPredict; HR = hazard ratio; RS = recurrence score.
Figure 3.Kaplan-Meier plots for 10-year distant recurrence according to EP, EPclin, and recurrence score in all patients, stratified by cut-offs used for clinical decision-making. Kaplan-Meier curves were calculated and tested for equality using the log-rank test. The numbers of patients at risk in each group at various time points are given below each graph. All statistical tests were two-sided. CI = confidence interval; EP = EndoPredict; HR = hazard ratio; RS = recurrence score.
Figure 4.Kaplan-Meier plot of risk groups classified by EPclin and recurrence score for 10-year distant recurrence in all patients. Kaplan-Meier curves were calculated and tested for equality using the log-rank test. The numbers of patients at risk in each group at various time points are given below each graph. All statistical tests were two-sided. CI = confidence interval; EP = EndoPredict; HR = hazard ratio; RS = recurrence score.