| Literature DB >> 26775803 |
Tae Hyuk Kim1, Dae Joon Jeong1, Soo Yeon Hahn2, Jung Hee Shin2, Young Lyun Oh3, Chang-Seok Ki4, Jong-Won Kim4, Ju Young Jang1, Yoon Young Cho1, Jae Hoon Chung1, Sun Wook Kim1.
Abstract
The management of patients with thyroid cytopathologic diagnosis of atypia (or follicular lesion) of undetermined significance (AUS/FLUS) is a complex clinical problem. The purpose of this study was to develop a practical triage scheme based on multiple diagnostic tests in general use. We performed a retrospective cohort study involving 15,335 consecutive patients with a referral diagnosis of thyroid nodule between April 2011 and March 2015 using an institutional database. We obtained 904 patients with an initial cytopathologic diagnosis of AUS/FLUS who underwent repeat fine-needle aspiration or core needle biopsy, 388 of whom had a corresponding histopathological diagnosis for excised index lesions. The diagnostic performance of ultrasound (US) findings, repeat biopsy, and BRAF(V) (600E) mutation in cytopathologic specimens were evaluated individually or as a set. Of the 388 resected AUS/FLUS cases, 338 (87.1%) were thyroid cancer. The positive likelihood ratios (LRs) for BRAF(V) (600E) mutation and repeat biopsy result of suspicious for malignant cell (SMC) or worse were 11.6 (95% CI = 1.7-77.8) and 13.7 (95% CI = 4.6-41.0), respectively. The absence of suspicious findings on US combined with cytologic result of less than SMC or negative BRAF(V) (600E) mutation produced negative LRs ranging from 0.06 to 0.15, corresponding to negative predictive values of over 90% in both primary and referral settings. For patients with AUS/FLUS cytopathology, clinical decision making can be guided by a simple triage scheme based on US findings, repeat biopsy, or BRAF(V) (600E) mutation.Entities:
Keywords: Atypia of undetermined significance; BRAF; cytopathology; follicular lesion of undetermined significance; thyroid nodule
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2016 PMID: 26775803 PMCID: PMC4864806 DOI: 10.1002/cam4.636
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Cancer Med ISSN: 2045-7634 Impact factor: 4.452
Baseline demographics and clinical characteristics of the study subjects
| Variables | Total enrollment | Patients who underwent surgery |
|---|---|---|
| Total no. | 904 | 388 |
| Type of initial study site, | ||
| Community | 478 (52.9) | 260 (67.0) |
| Referral center | 426 (47.1) | 128 (33.0) |
| Method of repeat biopsy, | ||
| Fine‐needle aspiration | 786 (86.9) | 325 (83.8) |
| Core needle biopsy | 152 (16.8) | 78 (20.1) |
| Age of subjects, year | ||
| Mean (SD) | 48.1 (11.8) | 46.7 (11.4) |
| Range | 17–86 | 17–79 |
| Sex, | ||
| Male | 192 (21.2) | 76 (19.6) |
| Female | 712 (78.8) | 312 (80.4) |
| Nodule size on ultrasound | ||
| Mean (SD), cm | 1.2 (0.9) | 1.2 (1.0) |
| Range, cm | 0.2–9.4 | 0.2–5.9 |
| Size group, | ||
| <1.0 cm | 438 (48.5) | 204 (52.6) |
| 1.0–1.9 cm | 341 (37.7) | 134 (34.5) |
| 2.0–3.9 cm | 104 (11.5) | 38 (9.8) |
| ≥ 4.0 cm | 21 (2.3) | 12 (3.1) |
Results of repeat biopsy and malignancy rates in each cytopathologic category
| Repeat biopsy test results | No. of patients | Malignancy rate based on, % | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total enrollment | Patients who underwent surgery | ||||
| Excised | Malignant | Total enrollment | Excision | ||
| Total | 904 (100.0%) | 388 | 338 | 37.4 | 87.1 |
| Nondiagnostic | 34 (3.8%) | 6 | 6 | 17.6 | 100.0 |
| Benign | 298 (33.0%) | 22 | 11 | 3.7 | 50.0 |
| AUS/FLUS | 156 (17.3%) | 41 | 32 | 20.5 | 78.0 |
| FN/SFN | 65 (7.2%) | 39 | 12 | 18.5 | 30.8 |
| SMC | 111 (12.3%) | 85 | 82 | 73.9 | 96.5 |
| Malignant | 240 (26.5%) | 195 | 195 | 81.3 | 100.0 |
AUS/FLUS, atypia (or follicular lesion) of undetermined significance; FN/SFN, follicular neoplasm/suspicious for follicular neoplasm; SMC, suspicious for malignant cell.
Figure 1A 55‐year‐old‐female had a 1.0 cm sized irregular, marked hypoechoic nodule (arrows) with internal calcification in the left thyroid gland, which was suspicious for malignancy seen on US and atypia of undetermined significance (AUS) at the initial cytopathologic report (A. transverse image, B. longitudinal image). The result of repeat fine needle aspiration biopsy was still AUS and not conclusive. The 600E mutation was detected in the aspiration specimen. Surgery confirmed papillary carcinoma.
Results of ultrasound, BRAF V600E mutation, and repeat biopsy according to histopathologic subtype
| Histologic subtype | No. of patients (%) | Repeat biopsy | Ultrasound result |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. SMC+/no. <SMC | No. suspicious/no. nonsuspicious | No. positive/no. negative | ||
| Malignant | ||||
| Total | 338 (100.0) | |||
| Papillary carcinoma | 272 (80.5) | 240/32 | 218/54 | 98/26 |
| Papillary carcinoma, follicular variant | 55 (16.3) | 33/22 | 20/35 | 8/22 |
| Follicular carcinoma, minimally invasive | 4 (1.2) | 0/4 | 0/4 | 0/2 |
| Hürthle cell carcinoma, minimally invasive | 1 (0.3) | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 |
| Medullary carcinoma | 2 (0.6) | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 |
| Poorly differentiated or anaplastic carcinoma | 4 (1.2) | 3/1 | 2/2 | 1/0 |
| Benign | ||||
| Total | 50 (100.0) | |||
| Benign follicular nodule | 23 (46.0) | 2/21 | 5/18 | 0/7 |
| Follicular adenoma | 20 (40.0) | 0/20 | 3/17 | 0/8 |
| Hürthle cell adenoma | 4 (8.0) | 0/4 | 0/4 | 0/0 |
| Chronic lymphocytic thyroiditis | 3 (6.0) | 1/2 | 1/2 | 1/1 |
SMC+, suspicious for malignant cell or above.
Performance of the diagnostic tests and predicted outcomes according to the prevalence of cancer in the AUS/FLUS category
| Measurements | US‐susp |
| SMC+ | Intersections of tests | Unions of tests | The existing molecular panels | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US‐susp and | US‐susp and SMC+ | US‐susp and | US‐susp or | US‐susp or SMC+ | US‐susp or | 7‐gene mutation panel | Gene expression classifier | ||||
| No. of participants | 388 | 174 | 388 | 174 | 388 | 174 | 174 | 388 | 174 | 247 | 129 |
| Sensitivity | 71% | 68% | 82% | 51% | 62% | 46% | 87% | 91% | 94% | 63% | 90% |
| 95% CI | (66–76) | (60–75) | (77–86) | (43–59) | (57–67) | (38–54) | (80–92) | (88–94) | (89–97) | (45–79) | (74–98) |
| Specificity | 82% | 94% | 94% | 94% | 96% | 94% | 88% | 80% | 88% | 99% | 53% |
| 95% CI | (69–91) | (71–100) | (83–99) | (71–100) | (86–100) | (71–100) | (64–99) | (66–90) | (64–99) | (96–100) | (43–63) |
| Positive LR | 4.0 | 11.6 | 13.7 | 8.7 | 15.5 | 7.8 | 7.4 | 4.6 | 8.0 | 44.4 | 1.9 |
| 95% CI | (2.2–7.2) | (1.7–77.8) | (4.6–41.0) | (1.3–58.4) | (4.0–60.6) | (1.2–52.6) | (2.0–27.1) | (2.6–7.9) | (2.2–29.5) | (14.0–140.6) | (1.5–2.5) |
| Negative LR | 0.35 | 0.34 | 0.19 | 0.52 | 0.39 | 0.58 | 0.15 | 0.11 | 0.06 | 0.38 | 0.18 |
| 95% CI | (0.28–0.43) | (0.26–0.44) | (0.15–0.24) | (0.43–0.64) | (0.34–0.46) | (0.48–0.69) | (0.10–0.23) | (0.08–0.16) | (0.03–0.13) | (0.24–0.58) | (0.06–0.54) |
| Test predictive values based on the prevalence of cancer in the AUS/FLUS category | |||||||||||
|
| |||||||||||
| PPV | 31% | 56% | 60% | 49% | 63% | 46% | 45% | 34% | 47% | 83% | 18% |
| 95% CI | (21–41) | (33–77) | (46–73) | (25–73) | (46–78) | (23–72) | (28–63) | (25–43) | (30–65) | (59–96) | (9–29) |
| NPV | 96% | 96% | 98% | 95% | 96% | 94% | 98% | 99% | 99% | 96% | 98% |
| 95% CI | (93–98) | (92–99) | (96–99) | (90–98) | (93–98) | (89–97) | (95–100) | (97–100) | (96–100) | (93–98) | (91–100) |
|
| |||||||||||
| PPV | 57% | 79% | 82% | 74% | 84% | 72% | 71% | 60% | 73% | 94% | 39% |
| 95% CI | (48–66) | (63–91) | (73–89) | (55–88) | (73–91) | (52–87) | (57–83) | (52–68) | (59–84) | (82–99) | (28–51) |
| NPV | 90% | 90% | 94% | 85% | 88% | 84% | 95% | 96% | 98% | 89% | 94% |
| 95% CI | (85–93) | (84–94) | (91–96) | (78–91) | (84–92) | (77–89) | (90–98) | (93–98) | (93–100) | (84–93) | (84–99) |
|
| |||||||||||
| PPV | 73% | 89% | 90% | 85% | 91% | 84% | 83% | 75% | 84% | 97% | 56% |
| 95% CI | (65–79) | (77–96) | (84–94) | (71–94) | (84–96) | (68–94) | (72–91) | (68–81) | (74–92) | (89–100) | (45–67) |
| NPV | 81% | 82% | 89% | 74% | 79% | 72% | 91% | 93% | 96% | 80% | 89% |
| 95% CI | (75–86) | (74–88) | (84–92) | (66–81) | (74–84) | (64–80) | (83–96) | (89–96) | (90–99) | (73–85) | (76–96) |
AUS/FLUS, atypia (or follicular lesion) of undetermined significance; US‐susp, suspicious findings in ultrasound; SMC+, suspicious for malignant cell or above; LR, likelihood ratio; PPV, positive predictive value; NPV, negative predictive value.
We used the tabulated data reported in the original publication by Dr. Nikiforov and colleagues (Fig. 2) 28.
We used the tabulated data reported in the original publication by Dr. Alexander and colleagues (Fig. 1) 29.
Figure 2Suggested paradigm using multiple diagnostic tests to guide decision making in patients with AUS/FLUS on thyroid cytopathology. *For cases with follicular neoplasm/suspicious for follicular neoplasm on repeat biopsy, diagnostic surgery is the preferred option or consider other molecular testings beyond the 600E mutation. AUS/FLUS, atypia (or follicular lesion) of undetermined significance; SMC+, suspicious for malignant cell or above; US‐susp, suspicious findings in ultrasound.