| Literature DB >> 26316945 |
Derek Grose1, Graham Devereux2, Louise Brown1, Richard Jones1, Dave Sharma3, Colin Selby4, David S Morrison5, Kirsty Docherty3, David McIntosh1, Penny McElhinney6, Marianne Nicolson7, Donald C McMillan5, Robert Milroy6.
Abstract
Background. Prediction of survival in patients diagnosed with lung cancer remains problematical. The aim of the present study was to examine the clinical utility of an established objective marker of the systemic inflammatory response, the Glasgow Prognostic Score, as the basis of risk stratification in patients with lung cancer. Methods. Between 2005 and 2008 all newly diagnosed lung cancer patients coming through the multidisciplinary meetings (MDTs) of four Scottish centres were included in the study. The details of 882 patients with a confirmed new diagnosis of any subtype or stage of lung cancer were collected prospectively. Results. The median survival was 5.6 months (IQR 4.8-6.5). Survival analysis was undertaken in three separate groups based on mGPS score. In the mGPS 0 group the most highly predictive factors were performance status, weight loss, stage of NSCLC, and palliative treatment offered. In the mGPS 1 group performance status, stage of NSCLC, and radical treatment offered were significant. In the mGPS 2 group only performance status and weight loss were statistically significant. Discussion. This present study confirms previous work supporting the use of mGPS in predicting cancer survival; however, it goes further by showing how it might be used to provide more objective risk stratification in patients diagnosed with lung cancer.Entities:
Year: 2014 PMID: 26316945 PMCID: PMC4437395 DOI: 10.1155/2014/731925
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Lung Cancer Int ISSN: 2090-3200
The Glasgow Prognostic Scores (online only).
| Score | |
|---|---|
| Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS) | |
| CRP ≤10 mg/L and albumin ≥35 g/L | 0 |
| CRP >10 mg/L or albumin <35 g/L | 1 |
| CRP >10 mg/L and albumin <35 g/L | 2 |
| Modified Glasgow Prognostic Score (mGPS) | |
| CRP ≤10 mg/L and albumin ≥35 g/L | 0 |
| CRP ≤10 mg/L and albumin <35 g/L | 0 |
| CRP >10 mg/L | 1 |
| CRP >10 mg/L and albumin <35 g/L | 2 |
Figure 1Flow chart of patient selection process.
Baseline characteristics of patients with lung cancer (n = 882).
| Parameter | |
|---|---|
| Age (years) | 72 (31–94) years |
| Sex | |
| Male | 487 (55%) |
| Female | 395 (45%) |
| Smoking | |
| Ever smoked | 94% |
| Mean pack (years) | 44 years |
| Centre | |
| Aberdeen | 294 (34%) |
| Fife | 132 (15%) |
| Stobhill | 245 (32%) |
| Inverclyde | 161 (19%) |
| Deprivation (quintile) | |
| Most deprived | 267 (30%) |
| 2.00 | 127 (14%) |
| 3.00 | 251 (29%) |
| 4.00 | 175 (20%) |
| Most affluent | 62 (7%) |
| Performance status | |
| 0 | 101 (11%) |
| 1 | 312 (35%) |
| 2 | 285 (32%) |
| 3 | 154 (17%) |
| 4 | 30 (3%) |
| Stage | |
| NSCLC I | 66 (7%) |
| NSCLC II | 43 (5%) |
| NSCLC St IIIa | 48 (5%) |
| NSCLC St IIIb | 140 (16%) |
| NSCLC St IV | 234 (26%) |
| SCLC limited | 33 (4%) |
| SCLC extensive | 82 (9%) |
| No histology | 210 (24%) |
| Treatment | |
| Radical | 193 (27%) |
| Palliative | 533 (73%) |
| mGPS | |
| 0 | 213 (24%) |
| 1 | 290 (32%) |
| 2 | 210 (24%) |
| Missing data | 169 (19%) |
| 12-month survival rate % (SE) | 30% (2) |
Figure 2The relationship between GPS (0–2, from top to bottom) and survival. GPS 0 versus 1 (log rank P < 0.001), GPS 1 versus 2 (log rank P < 0.001).
Figure 3The relationship between mGPS (0–2, from top to bottom) and survival. mGPS 0 versus 1 (log rank P < 0.001), mGPS 1 versus 2 (log rank P < 0.001).
The relationship between the mGPS and clinicopathological characteristics in patients with lung cancer.
| Demographic | mGPS |
| ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 ( | 1 ( | 2 ( | ||
| Age | ||||
| <60/60–69/70–79/≥80 years | 33/71/89/28 | 44/87/119/54 | 34/57/91/49 | 0.064 |
| Sex | ||||
| Male/female | 115/108 | 174/130 | 133/98 | 0.201 |
| Centre | ||||
| Aber/Fife/Stob/Inver | 98/10/77/38 | 146/25/66/67 | 43/16/126/46 | <0.001 |
| Deprivation | ||||
| Most-least (quintile) | 68/24/71/39/21 | 75/47/75/77/30 | 111/21/70/20/9 | <0.001 |
| Smoke (pack years) | ||||
| NS/<20/20–60/>60 | 21/24/126/37 | 11/33/177/69 | 13/21/128/57 | 0.014 |
| Performance status | ||||
| 0/1/2/3/4 | 42/96/60/22/3 | 26/130/105/40/3 | 5/51/88/66/21 | <0.001 |
| Weight loss (%) | ||||
| 0/<5/5–10/>10 | 147/24/12/38 | 146/36/13/109 | 79/45/33/73 | <0.001 |
| FEV1 (%) | ||||
| <80/61–80/40–60/<40 | 138/31/45/7 | 181/48/53/22 | 130/33/47/17 | 0.126 |
| Local symptoms | ||||
| No/yes | 36/127 | 18/222 | 29/137 | 0.246 |
| Tumour stage of NSCLC | ||||
| I/II/IIIa/IIIb/IV | 32/11/7/38/38 | 15/19/20/56/84 | 7/5/12/36/79 | <0.001 |
| Tumour stage of SCLC | ||||
| Limited/extensive | 13/21 | 10/32 | 8/18 | 0.471 |
| Treatment | ||||
| Radical treatment | ||||
| Surgery/RT/no active | 26/9/38 | 17/15/43 | 4/2/18 | <0.001 |
| Palliative treatment | ||||
| Chemo/RT/No active | 63/27/49 | 107/58/55 | 50/49/75 | <0.001 |
| Survival | ||||
| Alive/dead | 34/181 | 16/274 | 8/211 | 0.003 |
| 12-month survival % (SE) | 46 (4) | 16 (2) | 14 (3) | <0.001 |
The relationship between parameters and survival in patients with mGPS = 0 (n = 213).
| Parameter | Patients | Univariate | Multivariate | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| HR (95% CI) | P value | HR (95% CI) | P value | |
| Age | |||||
| <60/60–69/70–79/≥80 years | 33/71/89/28 | 1.16 (0.98–1.37) | 0.077 | — | |
| Sex | |||||
| Male | 115 | 1 | — | — | — |
| Female | 108 | 0.81 (0.61–1.09) | 0.169 | — | — |
| Centre | |||||
| Aberdeen | 98 | 1 | 0.068 | — | — |
| Fife | 10 | 2.72 (1.40–5.29) | — | — | — |
| Stobhill | 77 | 1.00 (0.72–1.41) | — | — | — |
| Inverclyde | 38 | 1.13 (0.75–1.70) | — | — | — |
| Deprivation (most deprived = 1, least deprived = 5) | |||||
| 1/2/3/4/5 | 68/24/71/39/21 | 0.94 (0.85–1.05) | 0.299 | — | — |
| Smoking history (NS = never smoker, otherwise pack years) | |||||
| NS/<20/20–60/>60 | 21/24/126/37 | 0.93 (0.77–1.12) | 0.467 | — | — |
| Performance status | |||||
| 0/1/2/3/4 | 42/96/60/22/3 | 1.76 (1.47–2.11) | <0.001 | 1.69 (1.39–2.06) | <0.001 |
| Weight loss (% body weight) | |||||
| 0/<5/5–10/>10 | 147/24/12/38 | 1.21 (1.08–1.37) | 0.002 | 1.18 (1.04–1.33) | 0.009 |
| FEV1 (%) | |||||
| >80/80–60/59–40/<40 | 138/31/45/7 | 0.94 (0.80–1.12) | 0.515 | — | — |
| Local symptoms | |||||
| No/yes | 36/127 | 1.38 (0.91–2.09) | 0.124 | — | — |
| Stage | |||||
| NSCLC | |||||
| I/II/IIIa/IIIb/IV | 32/11/7/38/38 | 1.38 (1.25–1.53) | <0.001 | 1.06 (1.01–1.23) | 0.017 |
| SCLC | |||||
| Limited/extensive | 13/21 | 1.05 (0.97–1.14) | 0.228 | — | — |
| Treatment | |||||
| Radical | |||||
| BSC/surgery/RT | 37/26/8 | 0.61 (0.48–0.78) | 0.001 | — | — |
| Palliative | |||||
| Chemo/RT/BSC | 59/27/47 | 1.22 (1.01–1.46) | 0.039 | 1.30 (1.08–1.55) | 0.004 |
The relationship between parameters and survival in patients with mGPS = 1 (n = 290).
| Parameter | Patients | Univariate | Multivariate | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| HR (95% CI) | P value | HR (95% CI) | P value | |
| Age | |||||
| <60/60–69/70–79/≥80 | 33/71/89/28 | 1.24 (1.09–1.40) | 0.001 | — | — |
| Sex | |||||
| Male | 174 | 1 | 0.171 | — | — |
| Female | 130 | 0.84 (0.66–1.08) | — | — | — |
| Centre | |||||
| Aberdeen | 145 | 1 | 0.425 | — | — |
| Fife | 23 | 0.89 (0.55–1.43) | — | — | — |
| Stobhill | 55 | 0.99 (0.72–1.36) | — | — | — |
| Inverclyde | 67 | 1.23 (0.92–1.66) | — | — | — |
| Deprivation (quintile) (most deprived = 1, least deprived = 5) | |||||
| 1/2/3/4/5 | 75/47/75/77/30 | 0.99 (0.90–1.08) | 0.777 | — | — |
| Smoking history (NS = never smoker, otherwise pack years) | |||||
| NS/<20/20–60/>60 | 11/33/177/69 | 1.02 (0.86–1.22) | 0.792 | — | — |
| Performance status | |||||
| 0/1/2/3/4 | 26/130/105/40/3 | 1.83 (1.57–2.14) | <0.001 | 1.81 (1.55–2.13) | <0.001 |
| Weight loss (% body weight) | |||||
| 0/<5/5–10/>10 | 181/48/53/22 | 1.15 (1.06–1.25) | 0.001 | — | — |
| FEV1 (%) | |||||
| >80/80–60/59–40/<40 | 138/31/45/7 | 0.94 (0.83–1.06) | 0.313 | — | — |
| Local symptoms | |||||
| No/yes | 18/222 | 1.60 (0.91–2.80) | 0.105 | — | — |
| Stage | |||||
| NSCLC | |||||
| I/II/IIIa/IIIb/IV | 15/19/20/56/84 | 1.31 (1.19–1.45) | <0.001 | 1.08 (1.03–1.13) | 0.002 |
| SCLC | |||||
| Limited/extensive | 10/32 | 0.51 (0.23–1.11) | 0.091 | — | — |
| Treatment | |||||
| Radical | |||||
| BSC/surgery/RT | 43/17/15 | 0.55 (0.41–0.72) | <0.001 | 0.70 (0.52–0.94) | 0.017 |
| Palliative | |||||
| Chemo/RT/BSC | 107/58/55 | 1.07 (0.90–1.26) | 0.436 | — | — |
The relationship between parameters and survival in patients with mGPS = 2 (n = 218).
| Parameter | Patients | Univariate | Multivariate | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| HR (95% CI) | P value | HR (95% CI) | P value | |||
| Age | |||||||
| <60/60–69/70–79/≥80 | 34/57/91/49 | 1.13 (0.98–1.30) | 0.084 | — | — | ||
| Sex | |||||||
| Male | 133 | 1 | 0.136 | — | — | ||
| Female | 98 | 0.81 (0.61–1.07) | — | — | — | ||
| Centre | |||||||
| Aberdeen | 43 | 1 | 0.002 | — | — | ||
| Fife | 16 | 1.71 (0.95–3.06) | — | — | — | ||
| Stobhill | 114 | 0.64 (0.45–0.92) | — | — | — | ||
| Inverclyde | 45 | 0.88 (0.57–1.35) | — | — | — | ||
| Deprivation (quintile) (most deprived = 1, least deprived = 5) | |||||||
| 1/2/3/4/5 | 111/21/70/20/9 | 1.05 (0.94–1.17) | 0.408 | — | — | ||
| Smoking history (NS = never smoker, otherwise pack years) | |||||||
| NS/<20/20–60/>60 | 13/21/128/57 | 0.83 (0.69–1.00) | 0.062 | — | — | ||
| Performance status | |||||||
| 0/1/2/3/4 | 5/51/88/66/21 | 1.51 (1.30–1.76) | <0.001 | 1.44 (1.21–1.71) | <0.001 | ||
| Weight loss (% body weight) | |||||||
| 0/<5/5–10/>10 | 79/45/33/73 | 1.25 (1.11–1.40) | <0.001 | 1.13 (1.00–1.28) | 0.047 | ||
| FEV1 (%) | |||||||
| >80/80–60/59–40/<40 | 130/33/47/17 | 0.88 (0.77–1.01) | 0.073 | — | — | ||
| Local symptoms | |||||||
| No/Yes | 29/137 | 1.51 (0.98–2.33) | 0.063 | — | — | ||
| Stage | |||||||
| NSCLC | |||||||
| I/II/IIIa/IIIb/IV | 7/5/12/36/79 | 1.32 (1.15–1.50) | <0.001 | — | — | ||
| SCLC | |||||||
| Limited/extensive | 8/18 | 1.01 (0.91–1.12) | 0.826 | — | — | ||
| Treatment | |||||||
| Radical | |||||||
| BSC/surgery/RT | 18/2/4 | 0.52 (0.33–0.83) | 0.006 | — | — | ||
| Palliative | |||||||
| Chemo/RT/BSC | 50/49/75 | 0.92 (0.78–1.10) | 0.364 | — | — | ||
The relationship between mGPS and PS and 12-month survival rate (%, SE).
| PS | mGPS | Total number of patients | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | ||
| 0 | 72% (7) | 50% (10) | 20% (18) | 71 |
| 1 | 65% (5) | 31% (4) | 30% (7) | 259 |
| 2 | 49% (7) | 19% (4) | 16% (4) | 245 |
| 3 | 9% (6) | 5% (4) | 6% (3) | 122 |
| 4 | NC | NC | NC | 20 |
| Total number of patients | 212 | 290 | 218 | — |
NC: not calculated where N < 10.
The relationship between mGPS and TNM stage (NSCLC only) and 12-month survival rate (%, SE).
| Stage | mGPS | Total number of patients | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | ||
| I | 69% (19) | 28% (12) | NC | 62 |
| II | 37% (14) | 17% (9) | NC | 47 |
| IIIa | 20% (13) | 42% (10) | 0% | 53 |
| IIIb | 20% (6) | 6% (3) | 14% (5) | 154 |
| IV | 5% (3) | 4% (2) | 2% (2) | 261 |
| Total number of patients | 153 | 225 | 173 | — |
NC: not calculated where N < 10.
The relationship between mGPS and PS and 3-month survival rate (%, SE) in patients with TNM stage IIIb/IV NSCLC (n = 374).
| PS | mGPS | Total number of patients | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | ||
| 0 | 100% (0) | 92% (8) | 100% (0) | 28 |
| 1 | 94% (4) | 73% (6) | 55% (9) | 119 |
| 2 | 65% (11) | 62% (7) | 43% (8) | 105 |
| 3 | NC | 29% (11) | 23% (8) | 55 |
| 4 | NC | NC | NC | 7 |
| Total number of patients | 61 | 134 | 111 | — |
NC: not calculated where N < 10.
The relationship between mGPS and PS and 3-month survival rate (%, SE) in patients with TNM stage IIIb/IV NSCLC and receiving palliative chemotherapy (n = 138).
| PS | mGPS | Total number of patients | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | ||
| 0 | NC | NC | NC | 13 |
| 1 | 92% (7) | 74% (8) | 54% (14) | 60 |
| 2 | NC | 69% (12) | 50% (16) | 33 |
| 3 | NC | NC | NC | 12 |
| 4 | NC | NC | NC | 0 |
| Total number of patients | 27 | 61 | 30 | — |
NC: not calculated where N < 10.