| Literature DB >> 26057470 |
Junfei Jin1,2, Pengpeng Zhu1, Yan Liao3, Jun Li1, Weijia Liao1,2, Songqing He1,2.
Abstract
Few studies have elucidated the relationship between preoperative aspartate aminotransferase (AST) to lymphocyte ratio and high incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). In search of a simple non-invasive prognostic marker, we investigated the prognostic significance of AST to lymphocyte ratio index (ALRI) in HCC.We reviewed retrospectively clinical parameters of 371 HCC patients who were treated with hepatectomy. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed to determine the cut-off value of preoperative ALRI. The predictive value of preoperative ALRI in HCC was evaluated by univariate and multivariate analyses using Cox proportional hazards regression modeling, and the survival probability of HCC patients was acquired by the Kaplan-Meier plots. In addition, stratified analysis was used to investigate the impact of preoperative ALRI on survival in different HCC subgroups. The results showed that preoperative ALRI was closely correlated with age (p = 0.007), median size (p = 0.004), clinical tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) stage (p < 0.001), and portal vein tumor thrombosis (PVTT) (p < 0.001). Survival analysis indicated that HCC patients with preoperative ALRI > 25.2 have a poorer disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) after tumor resection. Multivariate analysis further identified preoperative ALRI > 25.2 (p = 0.002), III-IV of TNM stage (p = 0.011), PVTT (p = 0.035), size of tumor > 5 cm (p < 0.001) as independent risk factors of DFS; and preoperative ALRI > 25.2 (p = 0.001), III-IV of TNM stage (p = 0.005), PVTT (p = 0.012), size of tumor > 5 cm (p < 0.001), recurrence (p < 0.001) as independent prognostic factors for OS in HCC patients. Additionally, preoperative ALRI also showed different prognostic value in various subgroups of HCC. Elevated preoperative ALRI as a noninvasive, simple, and easily assessable parameter is an independent effective predictor of prognosis for patients with HCC.Entities:
Keywords: hepatocellular carcinoma; oncology; prognosis; therapy; treatment
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2015 PMID: 26057470 PMCID: PMC4662486 DOI: 10.18632/oncotarget.4265
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Oncotarget ISSN: 1949-2553
Figure 1ROC curve, and stratified analysis of preoperative ALRI in HCC subgroups
A. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was performed to evaluate the prognostic value of preoperative ALRI. The area under the ROC curve value was 0.664. B. All 371 cases of HCC patients were stratified based on HBV Infection, TNM stage, and clinical PVTT, thus comparing preoperative ALRI in different HCC subgroups. The proportions of patients with elevated preoperative ALRI along with HBV infection, III-IV of TNM stage, and clinical PVTT are much higher than those without HBV infection, I-II of TNM stage, and without PVTT, respectively (p < 0.05).
Correlation between the clinicopathologic variables and ALRI in HCC
| Clinical character | variable | No.of patients | ALRI | χ2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 25.2 | > 25.2 | |||||
| Age (years) | ≤ 50 | 201 | 105 (52.2) | 96 (47.8) | 7.275 | |
| > 50 | 170 | 65 (38.2) | 105 (61.8) | |||
| Gender | Female | 48 | 23 (47.9) | 25 (52.1) | 0.097 | 0.755 |
| Male | 323 | 147 (45.5) | 176 (54.5) | |||
| Family history | No | 319 | 147(46.1) | 172 (53.9) | 0.062 | 0.804 |
| Yes | 52 | 23(44.2) | 29 (55.8) | |||
| HBsAg | Negative | 59 | 28 (47.5) | 31(52.5) | 0.076 | 0.783 |
| Positive | 312 | 142 (45.5) | 170 (54.5) | |||
| AFP (μg/l) | ≤ 20 | 97 | 50 (51.5) | 47 (48.5) | 1.734 | 0.188 |
| > 20 | 274 | 120 (43.8) | 154 (56.2) | |||
| Median size (cm) | ≤ 5 | 124 | 70 (56.5) | 54 (43.5) | 8.477 | |
| > 5 | 247 | 100 (40.5) | 147 (59.5) | |||
| Cirrhosis | No | 33 | 18 (54.5) | 15 (45.5) | 1.110 | 0.292 |
| Yes | 338 | 152 (45.0) | 186 (55.0) | |||
| Tumor number | Single | 248 | 117 (47.2) | 131 (52.8) | 0.553 | 0.457 |
| Multiple | 123 | 53 (43.1) | 70 (56.9) | |||
| TNM stage | I–II | 166 | 102 (61.4) | 64 (38.6) | 29.539 | < |
| III–IV | 205 | 68 (33.2) | 137 (66.8) | |||
| PVTT | No | 278 | 144 (51.8) | 134 (48.2) | 15.956 | < |
| Yes | 93 | 26 (28.0) | 67 (72.0) | |||
| Distant metastasis | No | 342 | 160 (46.8) | 182 (53.2) | 1.629 | 0.202 |
| Yes | 29 | 10 (34.5) | 19 (65.5) | |||
| Recurrence | No | 238 | 101 (42.4) | 137 (57.6) | 3.064 | 0.080 |
| Yes | 133 | 69 (51.9) | 64 (48.1) | |||
ALRI, aspartate aminotransferase to lymphocyte ratio index; HBsAg, hepatitis B surface antigen; AFP, alpha-fetoprotein; TNM, tumor-node-metastasis; PVTT, portal vein tumor thrombus.
Figure 2Kaplan-Meier survival curves of HCC patients after hepatectomy
Patients were divided into two groups: ALRI ≤ 25.2 and >25.2 by optimal cutoff value of ALRI. DFS in patients with ALRI > 25.2 was shorter than those with ALRI ≤ 25.2 (Figure A). OS in patients with ALRI > 25.2 was shorter than those with ALRI ≤ 25.2 (Figure B).
Association between ALRI, clinical parameters and disease-free survival/overall survival
| Clinical character | Category | No.of patients | Disease-free survival (months) | Overall survival (months) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 95% CI | Mean | 95% CI | |||||
| ALRI | ≤ 25.2 | 170 | 44.19 | 38.89-49.50 | < | 51.22 | 46.31-56.12 | < |
| > 25.2 | 201 | 27.32 | 23.17-31.48 | 32.80 | 28.74-36.86 | |||
| Age (years) | ≤ 50 | 201 | 35.07 | 30.45-39.70 | 0.905 | 40.91 | 36.41-45.42 | 0.773 |
| > 50 | 170 | 34.96 | 29.88-40.04 | 41.48 | 36.70-46.26 | |||
| Gender | Female | 48 | 44.76 | 34.26-55.27 | 0.059 | 50.38 | 40.95-59.81 | |
| Male | 323 | 33.72 | 30.13-37.30 | 40.01 | 36.51-43.50 | |||
| Family history | No | 319 | 33.63 | 30.02-37.25 | 0.065 | 40.31 | 36.80-43.83 | 0.093 |
| Yes | 52 | 43.52 | 33.71-53.33 | 47.52 | 38.36-56.68 | |||
| HBsAg | Negative | 59 | 37.35 | 28.68-46.02 | 0.356 | 43.84 | 35.52-52.15 | 0.491 |
| Positive | 312 | 34.53 | 30.80-38.25 | 40.42 | 36.90-43.95 | |||
| AFP (ng/mL) | ≤ 20 | 97 | 38.17 | 31.36-44.98 | 0.207 | 44.99 | 38.82-51.16 | 0.133 |
| > 20 | 274 | 33.89 | 29.95-37.84 | 39.96 | 36.10-43.82 | |||
| Tumor size (cm) | ≤ 5 | 124 | 53.27 | 47.21-59.33 | < | 59.20 | 53.92-64.49 | < |
| > 5 | 247 | 25.92 | 22.29-29.54 | 32.04 | 28.40-35.68 | |||
| Cirrhosis | No | 33 | 32.62 | 21.27-43.97 | 0.411 | 39.56 | 28.81-50.30 | 0.638 |
| Yes | 338 | 35.28 | 31.69-38.87 | 41.01 | 37.62-44.39 | |||
| Tumor number | Single | 248 | 39.73 | 35.41-44.05 | < | 46.50 | 42.42-50.58 | < |
| Multiple | 123 | 25.40 | 20.30-30.50 | 30.94 | 25.85-36.03 | |||
| TNM stage | I–II | 166 | 49.12 | 43.76-54.48 | < | 57.00 | 52.28-61.72 | < |
| III–IV | 205 | 23.70 | 19.96-27.45 | 28.56 | 24.82-32.20 | |||
| PVTT | No | 278 | 40.47 | 36.34-44.59 | < | 47.85 | 44.01-51.70 | < |
| Yes | 93 | 19.31 | 14.71-23.91 | 22.16 | 17.57-26.75 | |||
| Distant metastasis | No | 342 | 36.00 | 32.39-39.61 | 42.50 | 39.03-45.97 | ||
| Yes | 29 | 22.96 | 15.11-30.80 | 29.41 | 19.66-39.17 | |||
| Recurrence | No | 238 | 34.95 | 30.71-39.19 | < | |||
| Yes | 133 | 52.36 | 47.88-56.84 | |||||
ALRI, aspartate aminotransferase to lymphocyte ratio index; HBsAg, hepatitis B surface antigen; AFP, alpha-fetoprotein; TNM, tumor-node-metastasis; PVTT, portal vein tumor thrombus; CI, confidence interval.
Cox multivariate proportional hazard model of independent predictors on disease-free and overall survival
| Variable | Hazard ratio (95% CI) | |
|---|---|---|
| Disease-free survival | ||
| ALRI (>25.2 | 1.512(1.163-1.966) | |
| Tumor number (multiple | 1.127(0.857-1.481) | 0.393 |
| TNM stage (III–IV | 1.536(1.103-2.138) | |
| PVTT (yes | 1.386(1.024-1.875) | |
| Tumor size, cm (>5 | 2.051(1.456-2.887) | < |
| Distant metastasis (yes | 1.190(0.779-1.816) | 0.421 |
| Overall survival | ||
| ALRI (>25.2 | 1.552(1.192-2.020) | |
| Tumor number (multiple | 1.130(0.858-1.487) | 0.385 |
| TNM stage (III–IV | 1.612(1.157-2.246) | |
| PVTT (yes | 1.494(1.094-2.039) | |
| Tumor size, cm (>5 | 1.955(1.388-2.753) | < |
| Distant metastasis (yes | 1.386(0.903-2.127) | 0.135 |
| Gender (male | 1.390(0.910-2.123) | 0.127 |
| Recurrence (yes | 1.647(1.253-2.165) | < |
ALRI, aspartate aminotransferase to lymphocyte ratio index; TNM, tumor-node-metastasis; PVTT, portal vein tumor thrombus.
Figure 3Kaplan-Meier survival curves of different HCC subgroups after hepatectomy
Kaplan-Meier survival estimates and log-rank tests were used to analyze the prognostic significance of preoperative ALRI in each subgroup. ALRI > 25.2 significantly correlated with shorter DFS and OS in subgroups with TNM stage of III/IV (Figure A), tumor size ≤ 5cm (Figure B), tumor size > 5cm (Figure C), and those without PVTT (Figure D).