| Literature DB >> 34295811 |
Minjun Liao1, Jiarun Sun1, Qifan Zhang2, Cuirong Tang1, Yuchen Zhou2,3, Mingrong Cao4, Tao Chen5, Chengguang Hu1, Junxiong Yu6, Yangda Song1, Meng Li1, Weijia Liao6, Yuanping Zhou1.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the leading malignant tumors worldwide. Prognosis and long-term survival of HCC remain unsatisfactory, even after radical resection, and many non-invasive predictors have been explored for post-operative patients. Most prognostic prediction models were based on preoperative clinical characteristics and pathological findings. This study aimed to investigate the prognostic value of a newly constructed nomogram, which incorporated post-operative aspartate aminotransferase to lymphocyte ratio index (ALRI).Entities:
Keywords: ALRI; Hepatocellular carcinoma; biomarker; post-operative; prognosis
Year: 2021 PMID: 34295811 PMCID: PMC8290124 DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2021.665497
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Oncol ISSN: 2234-943X Impact factor: 6.244
Figure 1HCC patients’ enrollment flowchart.
Comparison of clinicopathological characteristics of two groups’ patients.
| Parameter | Total patients (n = 771) | Training cohort (Guangzhou) | Validation cohort (Guilin) |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| (n = 416) | (n = 355) | |||
| Gender: female/male (n) | 101/670 | 57/359 | 44/311 | 0.592 |
| Age (years) | 50.07 ± 11.41 | 50.47 ± 11.15 | 49.61 ± 11.71 | 0.297 |
| HBsAg: negative/positive (n) | 123/648 | 63/353 | 60/295 | 0.507 |
| Family history: absent/present (n) | 687/84 | 371/45 | 316/39 | 0.940 |
| Alcohol abuse: absent/present (n) | 420/351 | 238/178 | 182/173 | 0.099 |
| Smoking: absent/present (n) | 441/330 | 250/166 | 191/164 | 0.078 |
| Cirrhosis: absent/present (n) | 58/713 | 32/384 | 26/329 | 0.847 |
| Tumor size (cm) | 8.04 ± 4.53 | 7.90 ± 4.62 | 8.22 ± 4.45 | 0.335 |
| Tumor number: single/multiple (n) | 543/228 | 291/125 | 252/103 | 0.754 |
| Child stage: A/B (n) | 688/83 | 369/47 | 319/36 | 0.605 |
| TNM stage: I/II/III (n) | 113/287/371 | 66/148/202 | 47/139/169 | 0.450 |
| Recurrence: absent/present (n) | 430/341 | 224/192 | 206/149 | 0.244 |
| Hematology test value 2 months after operation | ||||
| WBC (×109/L) | 6.91 ± 2.65 | 7.01 ± 2.63 | 6.80 ± 2.69 | 0.275 |
| Platelets (×109/L) | 194.66 ± 92.33 | 200.35 ± 98.20 | 188.57 ± 85.69 | 0.079 |
| NEUT (×109/L) | 4.42 ± 2.37 | 4.51 ± 2.35 | 4.33 ± 2.41 | 0.303 |
| LYMPH (×109/L) | 1.63 ± 0.62 | 1.63 ± 0.66 | 1.62 ± 0.60 | 0.849 |
| Albumin (g/L) | 36.01 ± 5.99 | 35.68 ± 6.01 | 36.45 ± 5.95 | 0.074 |
| Globulin (g/L) | 33.68 ± 6.50 | 34.01 ± 6.75 | 33.30 ± 6.19 | 0.134 |
| TBIL (μmol/L) | 16.20 ± 10.78 | 16.10 ± 10.56 | 16.32 ± 11.05 | 0.772 |
| DBIL (μmol/L) | 7.50 ± 7.03 | 7.43 ± 6.82 | 7.58 ± 7.27 | 0.778 |
| ALT (U/L) | 47.03 ± 42.43 | 46.05 ± 42.04 | 48.19 ± 42.93 | 0.484 |
| AST (U/L) | 49.60 ± 42.03 | 50.81 ± 44.35 | 48.06 ± 38.89 | 0.378 |
| GGT (U/L) | 120.80 ± 110.74 | 117.38 ± 108.16 | 124.90 ± 113.78 | 0.361 |
| ALP (U/L) | 107.12 ± 76.69 | 105.80 ± 82.52 | 108.63 ± 68.78 | 0.618 |
| AFP (ng/ml): median (IQR) | 11.32 (6.31–38.95) | 10.98 (5.46–32.36) | 13.30 (7.50–47.33) | 0.511 |
| NLR level | 3.13 ± 2.24 | 3.19 ± 2.20 | 3.06 ± 2.28 | 0.408 |
| SII level | 613.98 ± 528.02 | 630.01 ± 521.10 | 585.76 ± 530.46 | 0.172 |
| ALRI level | 35.71 ± 33.01 | 36.18 ± 32.63 | 35.20 ± 33.26 | 0.690 |
n, number of patients; HBsAg, hepatitis B surface antigen; TNM, tumor-node-metastasis; WBC, white blood cell; NEUT, neutrophil count; LYMPH, lymphocyte count; TBIL, total bilirubin; DBIL, direct bilirubin; ALT, alanine aminotransferase; AST, aspartate aminotransferase; GGT, Gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase; ALP, alkaline phosphatase; AFP, alpha-fetoprotein; IQR, interquartile range; NLR, neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio; SII, systemic immune-inflammation index; ALRI, AST to lymphocyte ratio index.
Figure 2Prognostic prediction value of ALRI for post-operative HCC patients in the training cohort and the comparison of ALRI level in different sub-groups. (A) Comparison of prediction performance of ALRI, SII, and NLR using the ROC analyses. (B) Comparison of ALRI level in different tumor size, TNM stage, and serum albumin sub-groups.
Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses of the clinicopathologic characteristics for OS and DFS in training cohort with HCC.
| Variable | Univariate analysis | Multivariate analysis | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR | 95% CI |
| HR | 95% CI |
| |
|
| ||||||
| Sex (male | 1.134 | 0.810–1.587 | 0.463 | |||
| Age, yeas (≤55 | 1.339 | 0.958–1.692 | 0.055 | |||
| HBsAg (positive | 1.105 | 0.805–1.516 | 0.538 | |||
| Tumor size, cm (>6 | 2.393 | 1.839–3.106 | <0.001 | 1.786 | 1.354–2.356 | <0.001 |
| Tumor number (multiple | 1.430 | 1.125–1.817 | 0.003 | |||
| TNM stage (III | 2.593 | 2.014–3.230 | <0.001 | 1.802 | 1.420–2.287 | <0.001 |
| Recurrence: absent/present (n) | 1.020 | 0.814–1.278 | 0.863 | |||
| Albumin, g/L (≤34 | 1.615 | 1.264–2.065 | <0.001 | 1.448 | 1.126–1.891 | 0.004 |
| Globulin, g/L (>33 | 1.032 | 0.823–1.293 | 0.785 | |||
| ALT, U/L (>38 | 1.196 | 0.953–1.499 | 0.122 | |||
| GGT, U/L (>45 | 1.779 | 1.283–2.469 | <0.001 | |||
| ALP, U/L (>90 | 1.456 | 1.156–1.833 | 0.001 | |||
| AFP, ng/ml (>20 | 1.011 | 0.766–1.334 | 0.938 | |||
| ALRI level (>22.6 | 1.966 | 1.574–2.534 | <0.001 | 1.872 | 1.420–2.467 | <0.001 |
|
| ||||||
| Sex (male | 1.125 | 0.804–1.575 | 0.492 | |||
| Age, yeas (≤55 | 1.320 | 0.944–1.669 | 0.105 | |||
| HBsAg (positive | 1.137 | 0.828–1.560 | 0.428 | |||
| Tumor size, cm (>6 | 2.253 | 1.783–2.470 | <0.001 | 1.479 | 1.114–1.965 | 0.007 |
| Tumor number (multiple | 1.503 | 1.182–1.911 | 0.001 | |||
| TNM stage (III | 2.414 | 1.894–3.077 | <0.001 | 1.642 | 1.238–2.177 | 0.001 |
| Albumin, g/L (≤34 | 1.719 | 1.344–2.198 | <0.001 | 1.547 | 1.194–2.003 | 0.001 |
| Globulin, g/L (>33 | 1.060 | 0.846–1.328 | 0.614 | |||
| ALT, U/L (>38 | 1.249 | 0.996–1.566 | 0.055 | |||
| GGT, U/L (>45 | 1.663 | 1.199–2.308 | 0.002 | |||
| ALP, U/L (>90 | 1.441 | 1.144–1.815 | 0.003 | |||
| AFP, ng/ml (>20 | 1.006 | 0.762–1.328 | 0.967 | |||
| ALRI level (>22.6 | 2.081 | 1.657–2.612 | <0.001 | 1.703 | 1.339–2.166 | <0.001 |
HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval; HBsAg, hepatitis B surface antigen; TNM, tumor-node-metastasis; ALT, alanine aminotransferase; AST, aspartate aminotransferase; GGT, Gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase; ALP, alkaline phosphatase; AFP, alpha-fetoprotein; ALRI, aspartate aminotransferase to lymphocyte ratio index.
Figure 3Nomograms for OS and DFS in the training cohort. Sum up the score of each factor, and 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS were determined according to the total score. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year DFS were determined in the same way (A, B).
Figure 4The calibration curves and ROC curves of 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS (A–D) and 1-, 3-, and 5-year DFS (E–H) in the training cohort. For the calibration curve, the x-axis was the predicted-survival based on the nomogram, and the y-axis was the actual-survival; the more the predicted line coincided with the diagonal line, the more accurate the prognosis nomogram would be.
Figure 5The OS and DFS curves in the training cohort. Kaplan-Meier survival analyses revealed that HCC patients with ALRI > 22.6 had shorter OS and DFS (A, B). The black line refers to ALRI ≤ 22.6 and the gray line refers to ALRI > 22.6. Kaplan-Meier survival analyses of HCC patients in different risk groups (C, D). The black line refers to low-risk group, the dotted line: intermediate-risk group and the gray line: high-risk group.