| Literature DB >> 25885448 |
Jing Li1,2, Zhu Wang3, Xin Yuan4, Lichun Xu5, Jiandong Tong6.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: The prognostic significance of age in colorectal cancer remains controversial. Our purpose was to determine the impact of age at diagnosis on cause- specific survival and overall survival in patients with colorectal cancer.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2015 PMID: 25885448 PMCID: PMC4345025 DOI: 10.1186/s12885-015-1071-x
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BMC Cancer ISSN: 1471-2407 Impact factor: 4.430
Characteristics of patients from SEER database by age
| 15-30 | 31-40 | 41-50 | 51-60 | 61-70 | 71-80 | >80 | P value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Characteristic | (n = 1181) | (n = 5333) | (n = 18727) | (n = 39125) | (n = 53540) | (n = 64642) | (n = 43882) | |
| Site | <0.001 | |||||||
| Colon | 878 | 3854 | 13619 | 29335 | 42067 | 52767 | 36839 | |
| % | 76.1% | 73.6% | 73.8% | 76.1% | 79.8% | 83.0% | 85.6% | |
| Rectum | 276 | 1382 | 4823 | 9194 | 10625 | 10772 | 6205 | |
| % | 23.9% | 26.4% | 26.2% | 23.9% | 20.2% | 17.0% | 14.4% | |
| Sex | ||||||||
| Male | 622 | 2881 | 10188 | 22876 | 30443 | 32157 | 16326 | <0.001 |
| % | 52.7% | 54.0% | 54.4% | 58.5% | 56.9% | 49.7% | 37.2% | |
| Female | 559 | 2452 | 8539 | 16249 | 23097 | 32485 | 27556 | |
| % | 47.3% | 46.0% | 45.6% | 41.5% | 43.1% | 50.3% | 62.8% | |
| Surgery Resection | <0.001 | |||||||
| Yes | 1073 | 4874 | 17025 | 35729 | 48909 | 58248 | 36890 | |
| % | 90.9% | 91.4% | 90.9% | 91.3% | 91.4% | 90.2% | 84.1% | |
| No | 98 | 416 | 1594 | 3150 | 4318 | 6017 | 6647 | |
| % | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 15.2% | |
| Unknown | 10 | 43 | 105 | 243 | 292 | 347 | 316 | |
| % | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| Grade | <0.001 | |||||||
| I/II | 687 | 3555 | 13196 | 28331 | 39003 | 46869 | 30960 | |
| % | 58.2% | 66.7% | 70.5% | 72.4% | 72.8% | 72.5% | 70.6% | |
| III/IV | 358 | 1232 | 3589 | 6649 | 9212 | 11727 | 8526 | |
| % | 30.3% | 23.1% | 19.2% | 17.0% | 17.2% | 18.1% | 19.4% | |
| Unknown | 136 | 546 | 1942 | 4145 | 5325 | 6046 | 4396 | |
| % | 11.5% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.0% | |
| Race | <0.001 | |||||||
| Caucasian | 865 | 3943 | 14062 | 30358 | 42785 | 54227 | 38195 | |
| % | 73.2% | 73.9% | 75.1% | 77.6% | 79.9% | 83.9% | 87.0% | |
| African American | 158 | 726 | 2689 | 5190 | 6144 | 5550 | 3101 | |
| % | 13.4% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | |
| Others* | 153 | 637 | 1864 | 3361 | 4358 | 4604 | 2458 | |
| % | 13.0% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | |
| Unknown | 5 | 27 | 112 | 216 | 253 | 261 | 128 | |
| % | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | |
| Histological Type | <0.001 | |||||||
| Adenocarcinoma | 833 | 4363 | 16225 | 34740 | 47536 | 56905 | 38431 | |
| % | 72.2% | 82.5% | 86.9% | 89.0% | 88.9% | 88.1% | 87.7% | |
| Mucinous/Signet-ring cancer | 320 | 927 | 2440 | 4308 | 5927 | 7655 | 5384 | |
| % | 27.8% | 17.5% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 12.3% | |
| AJCC stage | <0.001 | |||||||
| I- II | 326 | 1857 | 6736 | 15467 | 23031 | 29743 | 19712 | |
| % | 27.6% | 34.8% | 36.0% | 39.5% | 43.0% | 46.0% | 44.9% | |
| III -IV | 705 | 2828 | 9432 | 17834 | 22753 | 25328 | 15786 | |
| % | 59.7% | 53.0% | 50.4% | 45.6% | 42.5% | 39.2% | 36.0% | |
| Unknown | 150 | 648 | 2559 | 5824 | 7756 | 9571 | 8384 | |
| % | 12.7% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 19.1% |
*Including American Indian/AK Native, Asian/Pacific Islander.
Long time survival rate (CSS/OS) in colorectal cancer by age
| 15-30 | 31-40 | 41-50 | 51-60 | 61-70 | 71-80 | >80 | P value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| (n = 1181) | (n = 5333) | (n = 18727) | (n = 39125) | (n = 53540) | (n = 64642) | (n = 43882) | |
| CSS | <0.001 | |||||||
| 1-year CCS | 84.6% | 88.8% | 88.8% | 88.7% | 86.8% | 82.8% | 74.2% | |
| 3-year CCS | 66.4% | 72.7% | 73.3% | 75.1% | 74.1% | 70.4% | 60.0% | |
| 5-year CCS | 58.5% | 65.7% | 66.3% | 68.0% | 67.6% | 64.0% | 53.5% | |
| OS | ||||||||
| 1-year OS | 83.5% | 87.9% | 87.8% | 87.2% | 83.9% | 77.3% | 63.8% | |
| 3-year OS | 64.8% | 71.0% | 71.6% | 72.4% | 68.9% | 60.5% | 43.0% | |
| 5-year OS | 56.6% | 63.6% | 63.5% | 64.0% | 60.0% | 49.9% | 30.5% | |
|
| (n = 1073) | (n = 4874) | (n = 17025) | (n = 35729) | (n = 48909) | (n = 58248) | (n = 36890) | |
| 5-year CCS | <0.001 | |||||||
| 1-year CCS | 88.4% | 91.7% | 92.3% | 92.1% | 90.6% | 87.3% | 80.6% | |
| 3-year CCS | 70.4% | 76.5% | 77.9% | 79.5% | 78.4% | 75.2% | 67.0% | |
| 5-year CCS | 62.1% | 69.6% | 70.7% | 72.3% | 71.8% | 68.6% | 60.1% | |
| OS | ||||||||
| 1-year OS | 87.4% | 90.9% | 91.6% | 90.8% | 88.0% | 82.3% | 70.7% | |
| 3-year OS | 69.1% | 75.1% | 76.3% | 76.8% | 73.4% | 65.5% | 49.5% | |
| 5-year OS | 60.4% | 67.6% | 68.3% | 68.3% | 64.2% | 54.2% | 35.3% | |
|
| (n = 98) | (n = 416) | (n = 1594) | (n = 3150) | (n = 4318) | (n = 6017) | (n = 6647) | |
| CSS | ||||||||
| 1-year CCS | 42.7% | 55.6% | 50.2% | 50.3% | 43.0% | 37.4% | 36.5% | |
| 3-year CCS | 25.2% | 27.2% | 23.4% | 25.6% | 23.3% | 20.7% | 17.0% | |
| 5-year CCS | 21.2% | 20.3% | 18.4% | 19.7% | 18.3% | 16.7% | 11.9% | |
| OS | ||||||||
| 1-year OS | 41.1% | 54.0% | 48.1% | 47.6% | 38.7% | 30.7% | 26.3% | |
| 3-year OS | 21.6% | 25.0% | 21.8% | 23.0% | 19.2% | 14.2% | 8.4% | |
| 5-year OS | 18.2% | 18.0% | 16.4% | 17.0% | 14.0% | 9.8% | 4.3% |
Univariate survival analyses of CRC patients in operated group according to various clinicopathological variables
| Variable | n | 5-year CCSS (%) | Log rank | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Years of diagnosis | 65.374 | <0.001 | ||
| 1996-2000 | 75517 | 67.5% | ||
| 2001-2005 | 127231 | 69.5% | ||
| Sex | 2.520 | 0.112 | ||
| Male | 103083 | 69.0% | ||
| Female | 99665 | 68.5% | ||
| Site | 122.381 | <0.001 | ||
| Colon | 127618 | 68.2% | ||
| Rectum | 35530 | 71.6% | ||
| Age | 1112.554 | <0.001 | ||
| 15-30 | 1073 | 62.1% | ||
| 31-40 | 4874 | 69.6% | ||
| 41-50 | 17025 | 70.7% | ||
| 51-60 | 35729 | 72.3% | ||
| 61-70 | 48909 | 71.8% | ||
| 71-80 | 58248 | 68.6% | ||
| >80 | 36890 | 60.1% | ||
| Race | 0.036 | 0.850 | ||
| Caucasian | 166019 | 69.2% | ||
| African American | 20149 | 61.6% | ||
| Others* | 16580 | 72.4% | ||
| Pathological grading | 812.382 | <0.001 | ||
| I- II | 150521 | 72.0% | ||
| III-IV | 38018 | 52.7% | ||
| Unknown | 14209 | 77.2% | ||
| Histological Type | 1162.165 | <0.001 | ||
| Adenocarcinoma | 177748 | 70.0% | ||
| Mucinous/Signet ring cancer | 25000 | 59.7% | ||
| AJCC stage | 16776.287 | <0.001 | ||
| I | 37364 | 92.6% | ||
| II | 59213 | 81.5% | ||
| III | 54234 | 61.3% | ||
| IV | 27707 | 12.6% | ||
| Unknown | 24230 | 81.8% | ||
| No. of LNs dissected | 337.494 | <0.001 | ||
| <12 | 116783 | 69.6% | ||
| ≥12 | 80248 | 69.0% | ||
| Unknown | 5717 | 47.7% |
*Including other (American Indian/AK Native, Asian/Pacific Islander) and unknowns.
Univariate survival analyses of CRC patients in non-operated group according to various clinicopathological variables
| Variable | n | 5-year CCSS (%) | Log rank | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Years of diagnosis | 8.182 | 0.004 | ||
| 1996-2000 | 7617 | 16.6% | ||
| 2001-2005 | 14623 | 16.5% | ||
| Sex | 19.224 | <0.001 | ||
| Male | 11622 | 16.7% | ||
| Female | 10618 | 16.3% | ||
| Site | 443.334 | <0.001 | ||
| Colon | 15119 | 14.8% | ||
| Rectum | 7121 | 20.1% | ||
| Age | 257.702 | <0.001 | ||
| 15-30 | 98 | 21.2% | ||
| 31-40 | 416 | 20.3% | ||
| 41-50 | 1594 | 18.4% | ||
| 51-60 | 3150 | 19.7% | ||
| 61-70 | 4318 | 18.3% | ||
| 71-80 | 6017 | 16.7% | ||
| >80 | 6647 | 11.9% | ||
| Race | 26.525 | <0.001 | ||
| Caucasian | 17250 | 16.5% | ||
| African American | 3218 | 12.2% | ||
| Others* | 1772 | 23.9% | ||
| Pathological grading | 812.382 | <0.001 | ||
| I- II | 11275 | 19.9% | ||
| III-IV | 3113 | 9.2% | ||
| Unknown | 7852 | 14.4% | ||
| Histological Type | 116.240 | <0.001 | ||
| Adenocarcinoma | 20362 | 17.2% | ||
| Mucinous/Signet ring cancer | 1878 | 9.3% | ||
| AJCC stage | 1115.463 | <0.001 | ||
| I | 82 | 74.8% | ||
| II | 189 | 64.7% | ||
| III | 128 | 46.0% | ||
| IV | 12202 | 3.5% | ||
| Unknown | 9639 | 32.8% |
*Including other (American Indian/AK Native, Asian/Pacific Islander) and unknowns.
Multivariate Cox model analyses of prognostic factors of CRC in operated group
| Variable | Hazard ratio | 95%CI | P |
|---|---|---|---|
| Years of diagnosis | <0.001 | ||
| 1996-2000 | 1.000 | Reference | |
| 2001-2005 | 0.944 | 0.930-0.959 | |
| Site | <0.001 | ||
| Colon | 1.000 | Reference | |
| Rectum | 1.044 | 1.023-1.066 | |
| Age | <0.001 | ||
| 15-30 | 1.055 | 0.955-1.165 | 0.294 |
| 31-40 | 0.954 | 0.906-1.005 | 0.077 |
| 41-50 | 0.979 | 0.948-1.011 | 0.203 |
| 51-60 | 1.000 | Reference | |
| 61-70 | 1.082 | 1.056-1.109 | <0.001 |
| 71-80 | 1.325 | 1.294-1.356 | <0.001 |
| >80 | 1.951 | 1.902-2.002 | <0.001 |
| Pathological grading | <0.001 | ||
| I- II | 1.000 | Reference | |
| III-IV | 1.443 | 1.418-1.468 | <0.001 |
| Unknown | 0.913 | 0.880-0.948 | <0.001 |
| Histological Type | <0.001 | ||
| Adenocarcinoma | 1.000 | Reference | |
| Mucinous/Signet ring cancer | 1.200 | 1.175-1.226 | |
| AJCC stage | <0.001 | ||
| I- II | 1.000 | Reference | |
| III- IV | 4.880 | 4.791-4.971 | <0.001 |
| Unknown | 1.170 | 1.130-1.210 | <0.001 |
| No. of LNs dissected | <0.001 | ||
| <12 | 1.000 | Reference | |
| ≥12 | 0.793 | 0.780-0.806 | <0.001 |
| Unknown | 2.269 | 2.183-2.358 | <0.001 |
Multivariate Cox model analyses of prognostic factors of CRC in non-operated group
| Variable | Hazard ratio | 95%CI | P |
|---|---|---|---|
| Years of diagnosis | <0.001 | ||
| 1996-2000 | 1.000 | Reference | |
| 2001-2005 | 0.869 | 0.840-0.899 | |
| Sex | 0.881 | ||
| Male | 1.000 | Reference | |
| Female | 0.997 | 0.965-1.031 | |
| Site | <0.001 | ||
| Colon | 1.000 | Reference | |
| Rectum | 0.842 | 0.814-0.872 | |
| Age | <0.001 | ||
| 15-30 | 0.975 | 0.761-1.251 | 0.845 |
| 31-40 | 0.886 | 0.784-1.002 | 0.055 |
| 41-50 | 1.021 | 0.951-1.097 | 0.567 |
| 51-60 | 1.000 | Reference | |
| 61-70 | 1.185 | 1.121-1.253 | <0.001 |
| 71-80 | 1.463 | 1.388-1.543 | <0.001 |
| >80 | 1.859 | 1.762-1.961 | <0.001 |
| Race | <0.001 | ||
| Caucasian | 1.000 | Reference | |
| African American | 1.160 | 1.109-1.214 | <0.001 |
| Others* | 0.871 | 0.818-0.927 | <0.001 |
| Pathological grading | <0.001 | ||
| I- II | 1.000 | Reference | |
| III-IV | 1.430 | 1.365-1.498 | <0.001 |
| Unknown | 1.141 | 1.100-1.184 | <0.001 |
| Histological Type | 0.001 | ||
| Adenocarcinoma | 1.000 | Reference | |
| Mucinous/Signet ring cancer | 1.112 | 1.050-1.177 | |
| AJCC stage | <0.001 | ||
| I- II | 1.000 | Reference | |
| III- IV | 7.808 | 6.260-9.739 | <0.001 |
| Unknown | 2.735 | 2.192-3.412 | <0.001 |
*Including other (American Indian/AK Native, Asian/Pacific Islander) and unknowns.
Figure 1Survival curves according to each age subgroups in colorectal patients in operated group.
Figure 2Survival curves according to each age subgroups in colorectal patients in non-operated group.
Figure 3Estimates of hazard ratios (HRs) of colorectal cancer-specific mortality changing with age for (a) operated and (b) non-operated group using quintic polynomial regression. The solid blue lines represent the estimates of HRs, whereas the dotted orange lines represent the 95% confidence intervals. All R2 values are reported.