| Literature DB >> 23893001 |
Jan Menke1, Peter Schramm, Jan Martin Sohns, Kai Kallenberg, Wieland Staab.
Abstract
This meta-analysis summarizes the accuracy of magnetic resonance angiography (MRA) for diagnosing residuals in coiled cerebral aneurysms by using the threefold Roy classification (residuals: none, neck, or sac). Four databases were searched from 2000 to June 2013 for eligible studies that compared MRA to digital subtraction angiography (DSA) and reported 3 × 3 count data of threefold Roy classification, or a reduced scheme of 2 × 2 count data. Bivariate and trivariate Bayesian random-effects models were used for meta-analysis. Among 27 included studies (2,119 coiled aneurysms in 1,809 patients) the average prevalence of DSA-confirmed sac residuals was 18.2 % (range 0-43 %). The pooled sensitivity was 88.0 % (95 % CI 81.4-94.0) and specificity was 97.2 % (94.6-99.0 %) for assessing sac residuals by MRA. In the trivariate meta-analysis, a "sac residual" finding at MRA had a high positive likelihood ratio of 28.2 (14.0-79.0). A "neck residual" finding had a moderate negative likelihood ratio of 0.246 (0.111-0.426), and the MRA finding of "no residual" had a good negative likelihood ratio of 0.044 (0.013-0.096). Subgroup analyses identified no significant influence of covariates on diagnostic accuracy (P > 0.05). In conclusion, in coiled cerebral aneurysms MRA with application of the threefold Roy classification is well suited for detecting or excluding sac residuals that might require retreatment.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2013 PMID: 23893001 PMCID: PMC3973941 DOI: 10.1007/s00415-013-7053-5
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Neurol ISSN: 0340-5354 Impact factor: 4.849
Fig. 1Study flow chart
Bivariate meta-analytic summary estimates
| Meta-analytic parameters | Aneurysm assessment | |
|---|---|---|
| Any residuala | Sac residualb | |
| Study centers | 30 | 23 |
| Coiled aneurysms | 2,119 | 1,553 |
| Sensitivity (95 % CI), % | 89.0 (85.1–92.6) | 88.0 (81.4–94.0) |
| Specificity (95 % CI), % | 89.0 (82.6–94.0) | 97.2 (94.6–99.0) |
| LOR (95 % CI) | 4.22 (3.57–4.95) | 5.65 (4.56–7.00) |
| LRP (95 % CI) | 8.35 (5.10–14.87) | 33.6 (15.7–89.5) |
| LRN (95 % CI) | 0.12 (0.08–0.17) | 0.12 (0.06–−0.19) |
LOR, logarithm of the diagnostic odds ratio
LRP positive likelihood ratio
LRN negative likelihood ratio
a No residual (class 1) versus neck or sac residual (classes 2 or 3)
b No or neck residual (classes 1 or 2) versus sac residual (class 3)
Fig. 2Trivariate conditional probabilities. This graph shows post-test probabilities for having or not having an aneurysmal sac residual, depending on the pre-test probability for sac residuals, and depending on the test result of MRA. This trivariate MRA result is categorized as Roy class 1 (no residual), class 2 (neck residual), or class 3 (sac residual). The central black curves are means, and the surrounding wings represent the according 95 % CI. An example is given for the studies’ average prevalence of sac residuals that was 18.2 % (vertical line, indicated by “pre-test probability = 18.2 %”). If MRA indicates a “class 1 = no residual” finding, then the average post-test probability for truly having no sac residual is 99.0 %, which is the studies’ mean negative predictive value 1 (NPV1). If MRA indicates a “class 2 = neck residual” finding, then the average post-test probability for truly having no sac residual is 94.7 %, which is the studies’ mean negative predictive value 2 (NPV2). If MRA indicates a “class 3 = sac residual” finding, then the average post-test probability for truly having a sac residual is 87.9 %, which is the studies’ mean positive predictive value (PPV)
Trivariate meta-analytic summary estimates
|
| Likelihood ratios | Predictive values | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No residual | Neck residual | Sac residual | |||
| (Roy class 1) | (Roy class 2) | (Roy class 3) | For sac residuals | For sac residualsa | |
|
| |||||
| No residual |
|
|
| LRN1 = 0.044 | NPV1 = 99.0 % |
| (Roy class 1) |
|
|
| (0.013–0.096) | (97.9–99.7 %) |
|
| |||||
| Neck residual | 9.3 % |
|
| LRN2 = 0.246 | NPV2 = 94.7 % |
| (Roy class 2) | (4.0–16.6 %) |
|
| (0.111–0.426) | (91.4–97.6 %) |
|
| |||||
| Sac residual | 1.7 % | 6.1 % |
| LRP = 28.2 | PPV = 87.9 % |
| (Roy class 3) | (0.5–3.5 %) | (2.0–11.3 %) |
| (14.0–79.0) | (75.6–94.5 %) |
| Sum | 100 % | 100 % | 100 % | ||
aAt an average pretest probability of 18.8 % for the prevalence of sac residuals
LRN negative likelihood ratio 1 (for sac residual at DSA, if MRA indicates no residual), LRN negative likelihood ratio 2 (for sac residual at DSA, if MRA indicates a neck residual), LRP positive likelihood ratio (for sac residual at DSA, if MRA indicates a sac residual), NPV negative predictive value 1 (for excluding a true sac residual, if MRA indicates no residual), NPV negative predictive value 2 (for excluding a true sac residual, if MRA indicates a neck residual), PPV positive predictive value (for detecting a true sac residual, if MRA indicates a sac residual)
The 3 × 3 count data from 21 studies (1,553 coiled aneurysms) were summarized by a random-effects meta-analysis. The meta-analytic results are expressed as probabilities (with 95 % CI in brackets). With DSA as reference standard, MRA correctly assessed the residual status in 86.7 % (95 % CI: 80.5–91.8) of coiled aneurysms (bold, diagonal), underestimated 5.6 % (3.5–8.0 %) of residuals (italic, upper right triangle), and overestimated residuals in 7.6 % (3.7−12.9 %) of cases (lower left triangle). Both right columns present likelihood ratios (LR) and predictive values (PV) for sac residuals. The predictive values were estimated for a pretest probability of 18.2 %, which was the studies’ average prevalence of sac residuals