| Literature DB >> 22957015 |
Mahesh Moorthy1, Prasanna Samuel, John Victor Peter, Saranya Vijayakumar, Dipika Sekhar, Valsan P Verghese, Indira Agarwal, Prabhakar D Moses, Kala Ebenezer, Ooriapadickal Cherian Abraham, Kurien Thomas, Prasad Mathews, Akhilesh C Mishra, Renu Lal, Jayaprakash Muliyil, Asha Mary Abraham.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: The burden of the pandemic (H1N1) 2009 influenza might be underestimated if detection of the virus is mandated to diagnose infection. Using an alternate approach, we propose that a much higher pandemic burden was experienced in our institution. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPALEntities:
Mesh:
Year: 2012 PMID: 22957015 PMCID: PMC3434194 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0041507
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
Distribution of Influenza A positivity among ILI and SARI cases.
| PCR Result | Variable | ILI (N = 1403) | SARI (N = 1185) | P value |
| A/H1N1/09 positive | N (%) | 384 (27.4) | 173 (14.6) | <0.0001 |
| Median Age (Range) | 20.0 (0.7–70.0) | 14.0 (0.25–76.0) | 0.084 | |
| Influenza A Negative | N (%) | 914 (65.1) | 975 (82.3) | <0.0001 |
| Median Age (Range) | 18.0 (2.0–29.0) | 4.0(0.0–88.0) | <0.0001 | |
| Others | N (%) | 105 (7.5) | 37 (3.1) | <0.0001 |
| Median Age (Range) | 25.0 (0.0–85.0) | 6.0(0.4–77) | 0.102 |
Samples positive for seasonal H1N1, H3N2 and unsubtypables (positive for influenza A but subtype could not be determined, N = 2 for ILI cases, N = 1 for SARI cases).
Figure 1Influenza A Epidemic Curve (May 2009 to April 2010).
The study period from May 2009 to April 2010 was divided into 3 periods a) pre-pandemic (13 weeks), b) peak-pandemic (26 weeks) and c) post-peak pandemic (13 weeks) periods. The figure represents A) the number of samples tested per week and B) week-wise distribution of positivity for A/H1N1/09. The X-axis represents the week of the year 2009 and 2010 and the Y-axis represents the percentage or number of samples. The peak positivity for pandemic influenza was during the 2009 week 36.
Figure 2Age distribution of pandemic influenza among ILI and SARI cases.
The figure represents the number of samples tested and positivity for A/H1N1/09 among different age groups A) Number of samples received from ILI cases B) Positivity among ILI cases C) Number of samples received from SARI cases D) Positivity among SARI cases.
Figure 3Categorization of study subjects enrolled in the study.
A) The figure represents the categorization of patients admitted to the ICU. A/H1N1/09 positivity among those admitted to the ICU and those who died is represented. B) The categorization of patients for the risk analysis is shown. The variables were compared between the control group (patients presenting with ILI) and those admitted to the wards (outcome 1), ICU admissions who did not die (outcome 2) and ICU admissions who died (outcome 3).
A/H1N1/09 positivity among inpatient admission, ICU admissions and Deaths compared with Outpatients.
| Control group | Outcome 1 | Outcome 2 | Outcome 3 | |
| A/H1N1/09 Positive | OPD group (N = 1403) | IPD admission (N = 945) | ICU admission (N = 102) | Mortality (N = 138) |
| Number positive (%) | 384(27.4) | 123 (13.0) | 16 (15.7) | 34 (24.6) |
| Odds Ratio (95% CI) | - | 0.4 (0.3–0.5) | 0.5(0.3–0.8) | 0.9 (0.6–1.3) |
| p value | - | <0.0001 | 0.013 | 0.554 |
Control group for outcomes 1,2 and 3 were persons presenting with ILI not requiring admission (OPD group).
Figure 4Weekly trend of Mortality and SARI admissions from May 2009 to April 2010.
The figure represents the weekly numbers of Mortality and SARI admissions for the study period. A) Week-wise all cause mortality and A/H1N1/09 mortality. The peak mortality due to A/H1N1/09 was during 2009 week 36 (5 cases, 14% of all pandemic deaths). B) Week-wise total SARI admissions and A/H1N1/09 positive SARI admissions. Peak total SARI admissions occurred during 2009 week 37 (94 cases) while for A/H1N1/09 SARI admissions, this was seen at during week 37 (28 cases).