| Literature DB >> 22214198 |
Yun-Jau Chang1, Li-Ju Chen, Yao-Jen Chang, Kuo-Piao Chung, Mei-Shu Lai.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: To define different prognostic groups of surgical colorectal adenocarcinoma patients derived from recursive partitioning analysis (RPA).Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2012 PMID: 22214198 PMCID: PMC3286393 DOI: 10.1186/1471-2288-12-2
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BMC Med Res Methodol ISSN: 1471-2288 Impact factor: 4.615
Figure 1Schema of patients'enrollment in this study. (TCDB: Taiwan Cancer Database).
Demographic and treatment of colorectal adenocarcinoma patients
| N | Cumulative survival (%) not died of cancer at 5-years | HR | 95.0% CI | Significance* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gender | 0.000 | ||||
| male | 5,937 | 69% | 1.00 | ||
| female | 4,557 | 73% | 0.86 | 0.80-0.93 | |
| AGE | 0.000 | ||||
| > 50 yrs, < = 60 yrs | 1,994 | 76% | 1.00 | ||
| < 50 yrs | 1,516 | 75% | 1.19 | 1.03-1.38 | |
| > 60 yrs, < = 70 yrs | 2,811 | 73% | 1.14 | 1.01-1.30 | |
| > 70 yrs | 4,173 | 64% | 1.64 | 1.46-1.84 | |
| Co-morbidity (CCI) | 0.000 | ||||
| CCI = 0+1 | 952 | 87% | 1.00 | ||
| CCI = 2 | 4,033 | 78% | 1.51 | 1.24-1.85 | |
| CCI > = 3 | 5,509 | 62% | 1.92 | 1.58-2.33 | |
| Tumor location | 0.000 | ||||
| rectum | 3,967 | 70% | 1.00 | ||
| sigmoid colon | 3,115 | 72% | 0.84 | 0.77-0.93 | |
| colon (except sigmoid colon) | 3,230 | 70% | 1.02 | 0.93-1.13 | |
| overlapping or unspecified | 182 | 61% | 1.17 | 0.90-1.53 | |
| Number of lymph node examined | 0.013 | ||||
| < 12 | 3,850 | 70% | 1.00 | ||
| > = 12 | 6,644 | 72% | 0.91 | 0.84-0.98 | |
| Surgical margin | 0.000 | ||||
| < = 2 mm | 657 | 57% | 1.00 | ||
| > 2 mm, < = 1 cm | 3,382 | 69% | 0.57 | 0.49-0.66 | |
| > 1 cm | 5,816 | 75% | 0.47 | 0.41-0.54 | |
| Depth of tumor invasion | 0.000 | ||||
| submucosa | 958 | 89% | 1.00 | ||
| muscularis propria | 1,613 | 82% | 1.26 | 0.73-2.18 | |
| through the muscularis propria into the subserosa | 6,315 | 68% | 1.77 | 1.06-2.95 | |
| directly invades other organs or structures | 1,608 | 58% | 2.76 | 1.62-4.70 | |
| Tumor size | 0.001 | ||||
| 0-2 cm | 625 | 79% | 1.00 | ||
| > 2.0, < = 3 cm | 1,323 | 75% | 0.82 | 0.66-1.02 | |
| > 3.0, < = 4 cm | 2,067 | 72% | 0.81 | 0.66-1.00 | |
| > 4.0, < = 6 cm | 3,889 | 69% | 0.82 | 0.67-1.01 | |
| > 6.0 cm | 2,590 | 66% | 0.98 | 0.80-1.21 | |
| Pathology | |||||
| adenocarcinoma | 10,016 | 71.6% | 1.00 | 0.000 | |
| mucinous or signet ring cell adenocarcinoma | 478 | 62.9% | 1.50 | 1.27-1.76 | |
| TNM stage | 0.000 | ||||
| stage I | 2,114 | 88% | 1.00 | ||
| stage II | 4,002 | 76% | 1.23 | 0.96-1.58 | |
| stage III | 4,378 | 56% | 3.05 | 2.39-3.89 | |
| Radiotherapy | 0.004 | ||||
| no | 9,367 | 71% | 1.00 | ||
| yes | 1,127 | 67% | 1.21 | 1.07-1.38 | |
| Chemotherapy | 0.000 | ||||
| no | 5,385 | 68% | 1.00 | ||
| yes | 5,109 | 73% | 0.67 | 0.62-0.73 |
N: number; HR: hazard ratio; CI: confidence interval; CCI: Charlson comorbidity index; classification of TNM stage based on AJCC edition 6; *: log-rank P value
Figure 2Decision tree constructed by recursive partitioning analysis (training sample).
Figure 3Decision tree constructed by recursive partitioning analysis (test sample). The plots of recursive partitioning analysis (Figure 2 and Figure 3) were obtained from 10,494 patients who were documented to have adenocarcinoma from colon and rectum (anus was not included) and underwent colorectal resection for cancer. (CCI: Charlson comorbidity index; LN: number of lymph nodes; yrs: years; the number in the upper half of box indicated number of patients; the percentage in the upper half of box indicated cancer-specific survival percentage).
Assignment of Recursive Partitioning Analysis (RPA) Groups
| RPA class | Definition (s) | Patients | Events |
|---|---|---|---|
| Group 1 (mild risk) | stage I colorectal cancer and age < 76.1 years, | 1,698 | 119 |
| Group 2 (moderate risk) | stage II colorectal cancer, age < 76.1 years and LN examined > = 6 | 3,129 | 449 |
| Group 3 (high risk) | stage I & II colorectal cancer, age ≥ 76.1 years | 4,605 | 1,502 |
| Group 4 (very high risk) | stage III colorectal cancer, CCI > = 2, without chemotherapy | 1,062 | 525 |
RPA: recursive partitioning analysis; CCI: Charlson comorbidity index; LN: lymph node
Figure 4Survival analysis (cancer-specific survival as outcome) with Kaplan-Meier plot shows significant difference between groups (p < 0.0001). (No.: number).
The RPA groups and survival
| RPA Group | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Group 1 | Group 2 | Group 3 | Group 4 | P value | |
| 3-yrs (%) | 91.5 | 84.1 | 65.7 | 45.2 | < 0.001 |
| 5-yrs (%) | 85.6 | 78.3 | 54.8 | 35.1 | < 0.001 |
| HR | 1.00 | 1.70 | 4.12 | 7.88 | |
| 95% CI | 1.44-1.99 | 3.56-4.78 | 6.71-9.25 | ||
| 3-yrs (%) | 94.2 | 86.0 | 69.4 | 51.7 | < 0.001 |
| 5-yrs (%) | 90.4 | 81.4 | 60.6 | 41.7 | < 0.001 |
| HR | 1.00 | 2.25 | 5.42 | 9.91 | |
| 95% CI | 1.85-2.74 | 4.52-6.51 | 8.16-12.11 | ||
| 3-yrs (%) | 94.5 | 87.5 | 70.5 | 52.1 | < 0.001 |
| 5-yrs (%) | 91.1 | 83.2 | 61.9 | 43.2 | < 0.001 |
| HR | 1.00 | 2.13 | 5.52 | 10.56 | |
| 95% CI | 1.74-2.60 | 4.58-6.66 | 8.66-12.90 | ||
RPA: recursive partitioning analysis; yrs: years; HR: hazard ratio; CI: confidence interval