| Literature DB >> 17377838 |
Isabelle Soerjomataram1, Marieke W J Louwman, Jacques G Ribot, Jan A Roukema, Jan Willem W Coebergh.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Numerous studies have examined prognostic factors for survival of breast cancer patients, but relatively few have dealt specifically with 10+-year survivors.Entities:
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2007 PMID: 17377838 PMCID: PMC2217620 DOI: 10.1007/s10549-007-9556-1
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Breast Cancer Res Treat ISSN: 0167-6806 Impact factor: 4.872
Fig. 1Proportion of breast cancer patients (3-year moving average) diagnosed between 1973 and 1993 who survived 10 years or longer in Southeastern Netherlands
Fig. 2Relative survival of breast cancer patients (n: 13,279) diagnosed in 1990–2002 and followed until 2004, according to age at diagnosis in southeastern Netherlands
Fig. 3Conditional 5-year relative survival (calculated using period analysis [22] of breast cancer patients diagnosed in southern Netherlands in 1985–2002 and followed until 2004, according to age. (Dashed line): diagnosed at 25–49 years, (solid line): diagnosed at 50–74 years
Fig. 4Cumulative survival proportion of breast cancer patients diagnosed in southern Netherlands in 1970–1994 and followed until 2004, according to tumor size (based on pathological diagnosis). ■ tumor size: <2 cm (n: 3263) • tumor size: 2–5 cm (n: 3420) ▴ tumor size: >5 cm (n: 474) x tumor size: involvement of skin (n: 1133) and unknown/not applicable tumor size: 1410
Fig. 5Cumulative survival proportion of breast cancer patients diagnosed in southern Netherlands in 1970–1994 and followed until 2004, according to nodal status (based on pathological diagnosis). ■ node negative (n: 4452) • node status: 1–3 positive nodes (n: 3266) ▴ node status: 4–9 positive nodes (n: 255) x node status: 10+ positive nodes (n: 189), unknown/not applicable node status: 1538
Fig. 6Cumulative survival of breast cancer patients diagnosed in southern Netherlands in 1970–1994 and followed-up until 2004, according to second cancer. Follow-up for patients with second cancer begins at the date of second cancer diagnosis. ■ no second cancer (n: 8137) • second breast cancer (n: 744) ▴ second non-breast cancer (n: 819)
Overview of studies reporting long-term prognostic factors for breast cancer (BC) patients
| No. | Author, year | No. of patients | Mean/median follow-up (yrs) | Univariate (UV) analysis significant | Multivariate (UV) analysis significant | Not significant | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haerslev and Jacobsen 1995 [ | 490 | 10.6 | MS, T, N, Htyp, | All patients: N & PR | Her2 | Overall survival was measured. P53 was related to absence of tubular formation, high G, ER-negative, high PCNA (proliferating cell nuclear antigen) score |
| 2 | Pietilainen 1995 [ | 392 | 11.1 | P53, N, T, Htyp, tubular formation, intraductal growth, margin formation, necrosis, DNA ploidy, S-phase fraction | All patients: N, T, MI | Overall survival was measured. P53 is related to younger age, MI, AI, G, nuclear pleomorphism | |
| 3 | Haerslev 1995 [ | 490 | 11 | PCNA | T, G, PR | Her2 & PCNA (Proliferating cell nuclear antigen) | Overall survival was measured. PR was only an independent factor in N-positive pts. Her2 & PCNA were related to more positive N, higher G, ER-/PR-negative |
| 4 | Gamel 1996 [ | 163,808 | NR. Range 1mos-19 yrs | Histological type by stage (localized & regional BC) | Breast cancer specific survival was measured | ||
| 5 | West 1996 [ | 1196 | NR. Diagnosed: 1973–1986. End FU: 1994. | Comorbidity | Level of comorbidity | Adjusted for age, race, stage, N, therapy. Values for these factors were not shown | Overall survival was measured. Charlson comorbidity index was used. There is no difference in the significance of comorbidity on survival of Caucasians and African American (AA) |
| 6 | Haerslev 1996 [ | 487 | >10 | Ki-67, PCNA | T, G, PR | Ki-67 & PCNA. | Overall survival was measured. PR only an independent factor for N+ patients. Ki-67 was related to T, MI, G |
| 7 | Northridge 1997 [ | Mucinous BC: 4082. Infiltrating duct BC: 139,154 | NR. Diagnosed: 1973–1990 | HTyp, period of diagnosis, Stage, G | Age | Breast cancer specific survival was measured | |
| 8 | Kollias 1997 [ | 2879 age ≤70, T <5cm | >10 | Age <35, NPI | T, G, N | Age | Overall survival was measured. Younger than 35 yrs had higher grade, more LVI and worse NPI group. After 10yrs NPI did not change OS |
| 9 | Zahl and Tretli 1997 [ | 8802 age <70 | Diagnosed: 1965–74. End FU: 1991 | Survival categorized by age, stage and follow-up time | Excess hazard from breast cancer was measured. After 8 yrs being younger than 35 does not influence survival. Stage was an important prognosticator up to 20 yrs | ||
| 10 | Pinder 1998 [ | 465 | 12 | N by grade, Treatment by grade | Overall survival was measured. The study aimed to confirm value of Nottingham grading system for survival. N+G3 patients benefited from prolonged chemotherapy | ||
| 11 | Gaffney 1998 [ | BRCA1: 30 | BRCA1: 9.8 | BRCA1 vs. BRCA2 vs. control | Overall survival was measured | ||
| 12 | Wojcik 1998 [ | 6577 patients | At 10 yrs 59–67% patients were alive | Race, G, N, T, stage, waiting time, smoking, being a widow, having other family as dependent | Race, age, stage | UV: alcohol, family history | Overall survival was measured. AA is more likely to be younger at diagnosis, have larger tumour, higher stage and more lymph nodes |
| 13 | Mansi 1999 [ | 350 | 12.5 | Bone marrow micrometastases | N, T | Bone marrow micrometastases, LVI | Overall and breast cancer-specific survival was measured. Bone marrow metastases may be useful as prognostic factor for BC pts without information on T and N |
| 14 | Kollias 1999 [ | 319 T ≤1cm | >10 | G, N, LVI, NPI | G, N | LVI | Overall survival was measured |
| 15 | Tabar 1999 [ | 2468 | NR. Diagnosed: 1977–85. End FU: 1996 | T, N, G, detection mode, HTyp | TXN, age*N, Htyp*N, T*N*G | Overall survival was measured. Screening arrests disease progression. Tumour progression is more rapid in BC patients <50 yrs. OS of T1a(1–5 mm) vs. T1b(6–10 mm) NS. | |
| 16 | Holmes 1999 [ | 1982 | 13.1 | BMI ≥30 | 3rd to 5th quintile of protein protein intake after diagnosis, N, T, G | BMI, protein intake prior diagnosis, alcohol intake | All cause mortality was measured. MV for BMI was corrected for age, diet interval, oral contraceptive use, hormone replacement therapy, MS, age at menarche, aget at birth and parity, smoking, T, G, N, ER, PR |
| 17 | Nomura 1999 [ | 1857 <80 yrs stage I-III | 12 | Second cancer and recurrence | Age, ER, N, recurrence, second cancer | Overall survival was measured | |
| 18 | Reed 1999 [ | 613 T1-2N0 | 15.5 | Age >50, T, G | G, T, treatment | UV: treatment, ER, PR, Her2, P53 | Overall survival was measured. Her2 was related to PR-, ER-negative, P53, G. P53 was related to PR-. Treatment was ovarian & locoregional irradiation that had lower mortality rate |
| 19 | Aebi 2000 [ | 3700 pre- & perimenopausal | 12 | Age <35 vs. ≥35 | N, T, G, age <35*ER+ | Age, ER | Overall survival was measured. Younger patients with ER+ who were not amenorrhoea had a significantly shorter survival |
| 20 | Ferrero 2000 [ | 297 N- | 11 | T, ER, P53 | T, ER | Age, PR, G | Breast cancer-specific survival was measured. P53 was related to grade, T, ER-negative. P53 was continuous variable |
| 21 | Kroman 2000 [ | 10,356 age <50 | NR. Diagnosed: 1978–96. | Age, T, N, G | Period of treatment and surgery | Relative survival was measured for excess mortality due to BC. When chemotherapy was given BC at young age does have worse prognosis | |
| 22 | Ferrero-Pous 2000 [ | 488 | 10 | ER, uPA, G, N, PR, P53 by Her2 | All patients: uPA, N, T, Her2, age | Overall survival was measured. For patients who received chemotherapy uPA, T & N determined OS. For patients who received hormonal therapy uPA, Her2 & N determined OS | |
| 23 | Kato 2001 [ | 377 | 10 | T, N, G | AMC, T, N, G | Necrosis | Overall survival was measured. AMC is a good prognostic factor for N- and T2-3 patients |
| 24 | Liu 2001 [ | 791 | 16.3 | T, N, G, ER, Her2, p53, MIB-1, MAI, AI | All patients: N, T, G, ER, Her-2 | UV: age. MV All patients: AI, MI, MIB-1, ER, G MV in N- & N+: AI, MI, ER, G. | Breast cancer-specific mortality was measured. When patient FU was truncated at 5 yrs, MI was prognostic factor for N+ and N- |
| 25 | Page 2001 [ | 311 no adjuvant therapy. | 11.6 | High risk group (ER- or T≥3cm) vs. low risk (ER+ and T <2 cm) | T, risk group (high vs. low) | G, MI | Overall survival was measured. MI was only significant when FU was truncated at 5 yrs. Grade was significant prognostic factor for short- and long-term survival |
| 26 | Frkovic-Grazio and Bracko 2001 [ | 270 T1N0M0 | 12.5 | G, Tubular score, MI | Tubular score and MI | Breast cancer-specific survival was measured. This study confirmed the use of Nottingham grading system in their cohort | |
| 27 | D’Eredita 2001 [ | 402 | ≥16 | T, N, Htyp, G, LVI, NPI | T, N, G | UV: Age, MS, ER, type of surgery | Overall survival was measured. NPI gives similar survival prognosis as T, N, G |
| 28 | Thomson 2001 [ | 23786 | At 10 yrs about 50% patients were alive | Age stratified by SES | Intermediate vs. high SES group corrected for age, ER, N, T, stage | Deprived vs. high SES group corrected for age, ER, N, T, stage | Deprived women have more ER- tumours. ER distribution and treatment method accounted for 20% of disparities in survival |
| 29 | Vorgias 2001 [ | 269 stage II | 12 | NR | T, N, age, ER/PR | MS, therapy | Overall survival was measured |
| 30 | Vincent-Salomon 2001 [ | 685 T≤3 cm | 10.8 | G, N, ER, necrosis | N, necrosis, G | UV: Vascular density, LVI, age, PR | Overall survival was measured. Intratumoral vascular density was related to larger tumour size and higher grade |
| 31 | Eerola 2001 [ | Familial BC: 359 | NR | Stage, age, period of BC diagnosis, FU time (after 2 and 3 yrs of diagnosis) | BRCA1, BRCA2 | 5-year relative survival was measured for excess mortality due to BC | |
| 32 | Kitchen 2001 [ | 9520 | 12 | Tubular BC type vs. other type, by nodal status and chemotherapy | Overall survival was measured. Tubular BC type had better prognosis than other type. This type was more likely to have low G & ER+ | ||
| 33 | Kato 2002 [ | 422 | 10 | P53, MI, necrosis, T, N, LVI | MI, T, N | UV: AI | Overall survival was measured |
| 34 | Kato 2002 [ | 398 | 10 | BVI, T, N, G, chemotherapy | BVI, T, N, G, chemotherapy | UV: necrosis | Overall survival was measured |
| 35 | Costa 2002 [ | 670 | 11.4 | N, T, age, ER/PR | N, T, age | MS, ER/PR | Breast cancer-specific survival was measured. After 5 yrs of FU ER and PR were not independent prognostic factors |
| 36 | Menard 2002 [ | 1928 | Diagnosed in 1968–69 and 1978–79 | Her2, N, T, MS, lymphoid infiltration, PR- | G, T, N, lymphoid infiltration | Overall survival was measured. HER-2 was related to large tumours, higher G, lymphoid infiltration, higher mitotic index, PR- | |
| 37 | Van de Vijver 2002 [ | 295 age <53, stage I-II | 6.7 | Gene profile (Good vs. bad prognosis) for all patients, N+, N− | Gene profile, T, N, chemotherapy | VI, G, age, hormonal therapy | Overall survival was measured |
| 38 | Van’t Veer 2002 [ | 117 age <55 | NR | Better classification of patients with high risk of metastasis and in need of chemotherapy | |||
| 39 | Hatteville 2002 [ | 3180 | 15.8 | OS <5 year: N, G, recurrence or metastasis OS≥5 yr: G and recurrence or metastasis | Age, T | If patient remains without recurrence or metastasis, effect of prognostic factors decreases over time. With metastases, this effect increases | |
| 40 | Sotiriou 2003 [ | 99 | 6.1 | Gene profile (luminal 1–3 vs. basal 1–2 & Her2 type) | Luminal-like 1–3 was predominantly ER+. Basal-like 1–2 and Her2 was predominantly ER- | ||
| 41 | Dignam 2003 [ | 3385 N−, ER+ | 13.8 | BMI <18.5 and BMI ≥30 higher total mortality and other deaths. | BMI on deaths after BC events. | Total mortality, death after BC events and other deaths as well as recurrence rate and occurrence of a second cancer was were measured. MV was adjusted for treatment, age, MS, race, T, ER and PR. Reference group was BMI 18.5–24.9. | |
| 42 | Olivotto 2003 [ | 620 stage IIIB-M1 | >20 | Supraclavicular BC, Stage IIIB and M1 | Overall and breast cancer specific survival were measured. Patients with supraclavicular metastases had significantly better survival than patients with M1. Survival of these patients resembles that of BC stage IIB. (FU for living patients 20 yrs, for all patients 4.5 yrs) | ||
| 43 | Weiss 2003 [ | 905 N+ Chemotherapy+ | 22.6 | N+ (N1–3 vs. N4–9 vs. N >10), also by treatment and follow-up time | N, T, MS | MV: NXT, MSXT, additional vincristine and prednison | Overall survival was measured. N was related to T. MS was related to receptor status |
| 44 | Taylor 2003 [ | 54,228 | At 10 yrs 65% patients were alive | Period of diagnosis, stage by age, FU time by stage | Relative survival was measured for excess mortality due to BC | ||
| 45 | Dales 2004 [ | 905 aged 25–81 | 11.7 | In N- : CD105+ vessels. In all pts: CD31, Tie-2/Tek | In all pts: G, CD105 vessels, ER | In all pts: T, Htyp, CD31, PR, age. In N−: T, CD31 vessels, ER, age | Overall survival was measured. MV: Tie-2/Tek showed significant role for predicting OS in all patients and N- patients |
| 46 | Brenner and Hakulinen 2004 [ | 18,578 age <50 | NR. Diagnosed: 1953–1999. | Period of diagnosis, stage, stage*period, time after diagnosis | Improvement of prognosis for BC patients younger than 50 over the past decades. Relative survival remains lowered even 40 yrs after diagnosis | ||
| 47 | Robson 2004 [ | 584 Ashkenazi Jewish | 116 | BRCA1, T, N, ER, age, chemotherapy | BRCA1, T, N, Age | Tamoksifen, BRCA2 | Breast cancer-specific survival was measured. No effect of BRCA on non-BC death. BRCA1 only predicted BC death in patients without chemotherapy |
| 48 | Chia 2004 [ | 1187 LVI-, N-, Adjuvant systemic therapy- | 10.4 | T, G | TXG | Overall and breast cancer specific survival were measured. Patients with higher grade and size have greater chance to die from other & those with low risk disease greater chance of death from BC | |
| 49 | Yoshimoto 2004 [ | 15,416 | NR. Diagnosed 1946–2001. | Period of diagnosis | Over the decades, there were less extensive surgery and lymph node examination, less radiotherapy, more chemo- and hormonal therapy | ||
| 50 | Houterman 2004 [ | 527 age ≥40 | 4.7 | Comorbidity, N, Therapy, age≥70, comorbidity*N | In age <70: comorbidity, N In age ≥70: comorbidity, age | In age <70: therapy | Relative survival was measured for excess mortality due to BC |
| 51 | Schoppmann 2004 [ | 374 | 22.4 | LVI, G, N, Therapy | LVI, G, N | LMVD (Lymphatic Microvessel Density), T, Htyp, ER, age, MS | Overall survival was measured. LVI is related to young premenopausal BC, lower G, N+ |
| 52 | Warwick 2004 [ | 2299 | >10 | G, N, T, Metastases | G, N, T, Metastases | Breast cancer specific survival was measured. All studied factors predicted long-term survival, but their value decreased over time | |
| 53 | Berclaz 2004 [ | 6792 | 14 | BMI 25–29, BMI ≥30 lower overall survival | BMI ≥30 | BMI 25–29 | Overall survival and also disease free survival were measured. Reference group was BMI ≤ 24.9. MV adjusted for ER, T, N, MS, treatment, chemotherapy, hormonal- in combination with chemotherapy |
| 54 | Dignam 2005 [ | 4077 N-, ER- | NR | BMI ≥35 and AA had higher overall mortality and non- BC death | BMI and race on death after BC events | Total mortality, death after BC events and other deaths as well as recurrence rate and occurrence of a second cancer were measured. MV was adjusted for treatment, age, MS, race, T, ER and PR | |
| 55 | Holmes 2005 [ | 2987 | 96 months | Physical activity after diagnosis (MET ≥9) on BC and total mortality | Breast cancer and total mortality were measured. MV corrected for age, interval between diagnosis and physical activity assessment, smoking, BMI, MS, hormone therapy use, age at first birth, parity, energy intake, stage and treatment. MET: metabolic equivalent task hours per week. Patients with BMI ≥25 and more physical activity before diagnosis there was a significant trend for less breast cancer death | ||
| 56 | Robsahm and Tretli 2005 [ | 5042 | NR. Diagnosed: 1964–92. End FU: 1992 | NR | Location of home, age at first child, physical activity at work | MV corrected for: age, period of diagnosis, birth cohort, educational level | Breast cancer-specific survival was measured. Incidence of BC increases with higher educational level, and case fatality decreases by increasing education level |
| 57 | Vu-Nishino 2005 [ | 1490 received breast- conserving treatment | 13.9 | Medullary BC vs. other BC type | Overall survival was measured. Medullary BC type had better prognosis than other type. This type was more likely to have ER+, PR+ & less BRCA1/2 mutation. Medullary type was only a prognostic factor for the first 5 yrs | ||
| 58 | Galper 2005 [ | 2102 stage I-II, 314 with local recurrence (LR) | 13.1 | NR | No LR treatment, Invasive LR, time (yrs) to local recurrence, age at initial BC diagnosis | T, detection method, number of nodes sampled, ER/PR, histological type, G, LVI, margins | Measure of survival: distant failure, second malignancy, or death |
| 59 | Voogd 2005 [ | 266 BC with LR | 11.2 after LR for living pts | NR | Location of LR, size of LR, skin involvement of LR, N+ for primary tumour | Overall survival was measured. Early detection of local recurrence may improve the treatment outcome | |
| 60 | Louwman 2005 [ | 8966 | Diagnosed 1995–2001. End FU: 2004 | 2 or more comorbidities, diabetes mellitus and previous cancer | Previous cancer, CVD, DM, cerebrovascular disease, dementia, 2 or more comorbidities, stage, treatment (RT, ST, age) | Overall as well as relative survival was measured for excess mortality due to BC | |
| 61 | Tammemagi 2005 [ | 906 | 10 | Number of severe comorbidities, race, type of comorbidity | All patients: 3 or more comorbidities adjusted for stage, age, ER, surgery, chemotherapy, radiotherapy | Overall survival was measured. AA had more diabetes and hypertension. After adjustment for these 2 comorbidities disparity disappeared | |
| 62 | Meunier-Carpentier 2005 [ | 909/918 age: 25–81 | 11.3 | Tie2 | – | UV: VEGFR-2, VEGFR-2 | Overall survival was measured. VEGFR-1 and Tie2 were reported as independent prognostic factors corrected for T, G, Htyp, in all patients and N- |
| 63 | Tai 2005 [ | 6184 Inflammatory BC | NR. Diagnosed 1973–1995. End FU: 2000 | Period of diagnosis | Breast cancer-specific survival was measured. Prognosis has improved over the decades due to more aggressive therapy | ||
| 64 | Louwman 2005 [ | 492 T1–2 N0 | >10 yrs | MAI | OS: age, T | OS: HTyp, therapy, period of diagnosis. BCS: therapy, period of diagnosis, age, T, Htyp | Overall (OS) as well as relative survival (BCS) was measured for excess mortality due to BC |
| 65 | Arrigada 2006 [ | 2410 T ≤7 cm N1–2 | 19 | T, skin fixation, muscle fixation, G, N, age | Total FU: T, N, G, age <35, age≥55 | Overall survival was measured. Long-term effect of prognostic factors vanishing | |
| 66 | Newman 2006 [ | 90,124. White American: 76,111. AA: 14,013 | Age, stage, SES | Meta-analysis. African American is an independent predictor of poor outcome for overall survival and breast cancer specific mortality | |||
| 67 | Menvielle 2006 [ | 407,435 women followed for BC death (N:1408) | Women who died of BC in 1968–96 | Level of education by period of diagnosis | Breast cancer death among women with the highest education compared to women with the lowest education in 1968–74 was 0.43; and in 1990–96: 1.17 (NS) | ||
| 68 | Bouchardy 2006 [ | 3920 age <70 | NR. Diagnosed in 1980–2000 | SES | SES corrected for age, period of diagnosis, marital status, country of birth, Htyp, ER, detection method, stage, sector of care, therapy | Overall survival was measured. Lowest SES had less frequently screen-detected cancers, less stage I, less lobular BC, less BCT, less lymph node dissection | |
| 69 | Siegelmann-Danieli 2006 [ | 992, age ≥70 | 6.9 | Being in wheelchair, renal insufficiency, dementia, CHF, cardiac arrhythmia, DM, IHD, osteoporosis, PVD, cerebrovascular disease, COPD, Parkinson’s disease, valvular heart disease | In stage 1A-2A: age, CHF, DM, PVD, stage, cardiac arrhythmia, Parkinson’s disease, renal insufficiency | Systemic therapy | Overall survival was measured. CHF: Cardiac Heart Failure. DM: Diabetes Mellitus. IHD: Ischemic Heart Disease. PVD: Peripheral Heart Disease. COPD: Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease. Role of comorbidity varies by age |
| 70 | Pritchard 2006 [ | 639 premenopausal N+ | 10 | Her2 amplification | Her2 corrected for age, N, ER, type of surgery | Overall survival was measured. Those with amplified Her2 have improved survival with CEF | |
| 71 | Lee 2006 [ | (A) Adjuvant therapy − : 990. (B) Adjuvant treatment +: 1765 | Group A: 13 | LVI | Group A: T, G, LVI, Htyp | B: ER, age, Htyp | Breast cancer-specific survival was measured |
aindicates the overlapping patients used by the same author to answer another research question; yrs: years; UV: Univariate analysis. MV: Multivariate analysis. MS: Menopausal Status; T: Tumour size; N: Nodal involvement; Htyp: Histological type; MI: Mitotic Index; G: Grade; PR: Progesterone Receptor status; ER: Oestrogen Receptor status; PCNA: proliferating cell nuclear antigen; mos: months; NR: Not Reported; AA: African American; age: is in year and indicate age at primary breast cancer unless otherwise state; NPI: Nottingham Prognostic Index; LVI: Lymphovascular Invasion; (Prognostic factor)*(Prognostic factor): interaction between two factors; BMI: Body Mass Index; AMC: Average Microvessel Count; MAI: Mitotic Activity Index; AI: Apoptosis Index; FU: Follow-up; SES: Socioeconomic Status; BVI: Blood vessel Invasion; LMVD: Lymphatic Microvessel Density; LR: local recurrence; CVD: Cardiovascular Disease; DM: Diabetes Mellitus; RT: radiotherapy; ST: Systemic therapy; VEGFR: Vascular Endothelial Growth Factor Receptor; OS: Overall survival; BCS: Breast Cancer Specific Survival; NS: not significant; CHF: Cardiac Heart Failure; IHD: Ischemic Heart Disease. PVD: Peripheral Heart Disease. COPD: Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary. CEF: cyclophosphamide, epirubicin and fluorouracil
Selected prognostic factors for long-term overall mortality of breast cancer (BC) patients
| Patient groups based | Hazard ratio (HR) for overall follow-up or survival probability (S) 10 years after diagnosis | Morphology based | Hazard ratio (HR) for overall follow-up or survival probability (S) 10 years after diagnosis | Molecular based | Hazard ratio (HR) for overall follow-up or survival probability (S) 10 years after diagnosis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age at diagnosis [ | HR: | Lymph node status [ | HR: | HER2[ | HR: |
| <35 vs. 35–44 | 1.4 ( | N≥1 vs. N0 | 2.4 (1.9–2.9) | >500 vs. ≤500 | 1.82 (1.1–2.9) |
| 45–54 vs. 35–44 | 1.1 (ns) | Metastases vs. N0 | 22.73 (16.1–32.2) | Only in node-positive | |
| 55–64 vs. 35–44 | 2.0 ( | ||||
| 65–75 vs. 35–44 | 2.5 ( | ||||
| Period of diagnosis [ | Relative survivalb: | Tumour size (mm)[ | HR: | Cell proliferation index | HR: |
| 1972–1976 | 59% | T10–14 vs. T1–9 | 1.2 (0.8–1.9) | (MAI) | |
| 1977–1986 | 64% | T15–19 vs. T1–9 | 1.7 (1.1–2.6) | >10 vs. ≤10 [ | 1.02 (1.00–1.03) |
| 1987–1991 | 70% | T20–29 vs. T1–9 | 2.5 (1.6–3.9) | Only in node-positive patients | |
| T30–49 vs. T1–9 | 3.8 (2.4–6.0) | ||||
| T≥50 vs. T1–9 | 4.6 (2.9–7.6) | ||||
| Time after diagnosis [ | Relative survival: | Tumour grade [ | HR: | Gene expression profile [ | S: |
| 0 vs. 5 yrs after diagnosis | II vs. I | 2.5 (1.0–6.1) | 55% vs. 95% | ||
| Regional BC | 79% vs. 84% | III vs. I | 5.7(2.6–12.4) | Poor vs. good signaturef | |
| Locally advanced BC | 53% vs. 68% | ||||
| Socioeconomic status [ | HR: | Tumour type[ | S: | ER/PR status [ | HR: |
| Intermediate vs. affluent | 1.2 (1.0–1.4) | Poor vs. excellent d,e | <50% vs. >80% | Positive vs. negative | 0.38 (0.02–1.06) |
| Deprived vs. affluent | 1.2 (0.99–1.53) | ||||
| Lifestyle | HR: | ||||
| Body Mass Index | |||||
| <21 vs. 29+ kg/m2 | 1.4 (0.97–2.00) [ | ||||
| Physical activity | |||||
| < 3 vs. 23.9 MET-h/wk | 0.56 (0.4–0.8) [ |
HR: Hazard ratio calculated within multivariate analysis of breast cancer patients followed for a median/mean of 10 years or longer a Metabolic equivalent task hours per week; b Estimates taken from graph; c Higher alcohol intake no significant effect on mortality. Significant trend of higher mortality for lowest compared to highest quintiles of fibre, lutein and zeaxanthin, calcium & protein intake; d Becomes larger as numbers of involved lymph nodes increases [8]; e Excellent prognosis: tubular, invasive cribriform, mucinous, tubulolobular. Poor prognosis: mixed lobular, solid lobular, ductal and mixed ductal lobular; f unadjusted estimates