Predictive value of a diagnosis of colonic polyp on the double-contrast barium enema.

The positive predictive value of a diagnosis of colonic polyp on the double-contrast barium enema was determined by analyzing 160 polypoid lesions reported in 105 patients. Of the 160 polyps, 139 were confirmed by endoscopy, surgery, or repeat barium enema for a positive predictive value of 87%. Twenty-one lesions were not confirmed despite repeat endoscopy, repeat barium enema, review of the original study, or surgery, giving a false positive rate of 13%. The individual false positive error rates of 5 radiologists ranged from 8% to 26%. False positive errors were due to stool, diverticula, air bubbles, misinterpretation of the ileocecal valve, and haustration. Many of the false positive errors appeared to have been avoidable if the original examination had been more meticulously interpreted.