| Literature DB >> 36163240 |
Wonjeong Jeong1, Eun-Cheol Park2,3, Chung Mo Nam3,4, Sohee Park4, Jin Young Nam5, Sung-In Jang6,7.
Abstract
Considering the rapid growth in the number of cancer survivors, the successful management of their health behaviors requires further attention. However, there are lack of information about cancer survivors' health behaviors and the risk of mortality using Korean cohort data. This study aimed to examine the effects of health behavior changes on mortality among cancer survivors and to develop a validated nomogram. This cohort study was conducted using claims data. Data from adult cancer survivors from the National Health Insurance Service-National Sample Cohort, conducted between 2002 and 2015, were included. Individuals who were alive for five years after their cancer diagnosis were defined as cancer survivors. Cox proportional-hazards regression was used to estimate the target associations. Discrimination (Harrell's C-index) and calibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow test) were employed to validate the nomogram. Data from 9300 cancer survivors were used for analysis. Compared to non-smokers, those who started or quit smoking had a higher risk of all-cause mortality. Those who were physically inactive had a higher risk of all-cause mortality than those who were continuously active. In the nomogram, the C-index value was 0.79 in the training data and 0.81 in the testing data. Hosmer-Lemeshow test was not significant, demonstrating a good fit. We found that individuals with unhealthy behaviors had a higher risk of mortality, thereby highlighting the importance of managing health behaviors among cancer survivors. The development of a validated nomogram may provide useful insights regarding official policies and existing practices in healthcare systems, which would benefit cancer survivors. Our study could provide the evidence to inform the priority of guideline for managing the health behavior among cancer survivors.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2022 PMID: 36163240 PMCID: PMC9513084 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-022-20092-z
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Sci Rep ISSN: 2045-2322 Impact factor: 4.996
Incidence rates of all-cause mortality in the cancer survivors’ cohort.
| Exposure | Number of participants | Number of deaths | Person years | Incidence rate (95% CI) per 100,000 person years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | 9300 | 351 | 245,571.9 | |
| Started smoking | 235 | 21 | 5895.9 | 356.1 (228.1–555.9) |
| Continued smoking | 880 | 36 | 23,172.2 | 155.3 (111.4–216.6) |
| Quit smoking | 964 | 53 | 25,022.4 | 211.8 (160.7–279.1) |
| Non-smoking | 7,221 | 241 | 191,481.3 | 125.8 (110.7–143.1) |
| Continuously active | 2,197 | 52 | 58,810.4 | 88.4 (67.2–116.4) |
| Increase | 1,915 | 58 | 50,919.5 | 113.9 (87.7–147.8) |
| Decrease | 1,857 | 84 | 48,667.2 | 172.6 (138.7–214.7) |
| Inactive | 3,331 | 157 | 87,174.8 | 180.1 (153.5–211.3) |
Association between health behavior changes and mortality among cancer survivors.
| Variables | All-cause mortality | Cancer-related mortality | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adjusted HR | 95% CI | Adjusted HR | 95% CI | |||
| Started smoking | 1.98 | (1.25–3.15) | 1.55 | (0.77–3.11) | ||
| Continued smoking | 1.08 | (0.75–1.58) | 0.71 | (0.39–1.29) | ||
| Quit smoking | 1.44 | (1.05–1.97) | 1.52 | (1.00–2.29) | ||
| Non-smoking | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||||
| Continuously active | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||||
| Increase | 1.20 | (0.82–1.75) | 1.13 | (0.70–1.84) | ||
| Decrease | 1.46 | (1.03–2.07) | 1.34 | (0.86–2.10) | ||
| Inactive | 1.45 | (1.05–2.02) | 1.08 | (0.70–1.66) | ||
| Male | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||||
| Female | 0.42 | (0.32–0.54) | 0.40 | (0.28–0.57) | ||
| < 50 | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||||
| 50–59 | 2.59 | (1.50–4.50) | 2.73 | (1.39–5.37) | ||
| 60–69 | 5.87 | (3.50–9.83) | 5.85 | (3.08–11.12) | ||
| ≥ 70 | 13.65 | (8.06–23.09) | 10.67 | (5.48–20.80) | ||
| Low | 1.04 | (0.78–1.39) | 0.95 | (0.64–1.43) | ||
| Middle | 1.03 | (0.81–1.31) | 0.93 | (0.66–1.30) | ||
| High | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||||
| Metropolitan | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||||
| City | 1.24 | (0.92–1.67) | 1.42 | (0.96–2.12) | ||
| Rural | 1.12 | (0.86–1.45) | 1.13 | (0.79–1.62) | ||
| Insurance (Corporate) | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||||
| Insurance (Regional) | 1.13 | (0.90–1.41) | 1.16 | (0.85–1.58) | ||
| Medical aid | 0.83 | (0.20–3.42) | 0.89 | (0.12–6.62) | ||
| Yes | 0.89 | (0.62–1.27) | 0.67 | (0.38–1.19) | ||
| No | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||||
| 0 times | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||||
| 1–2 times a week | 0.60 | (0.43–0.85) | 0.45 | (0.27–0.75) | ||
| ≥ 3 times a week | 0.81 | (0.58–1.13) | 0.80 | (0.51–1.28) | ||
| Underweight | 1.67 | (1.19–2.34) | 1.28 | (0.64–2.57) | ||
| Normal | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||||
| Overweight | 0.77 | (0.59–1.02) | 0.81 | (0.55–1.19) | ||
| Obesity | 0.77 | (0.59–1.00) | 0.89 | (0.62–1.27) | ||
| Stomach cancer | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||||
| Colorectal cancer | 0.84 | (0.55–1.30) | 0.81 | (0.43–1.51) | ||
| Lung cancer | 1.17 | (0.73–1.88) | 1.89 | (1.04–3.45) | ||
| Liver cancer | 1.92 | (1.27–2.90) | 1.96 | (1.09–3.53) | ||
| Other cancer | 1.01 | (0.74–1.39) | 1.04 | (0.66–1.65) | ||
| 0 | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||||
| 1 | 1.48 | (0.82–2.69) | 1.39 | (0.70–2.74) | ||
| 2 | 1.44 | (0.80–2.58) | 1.17 | (0.59–2.30) | ||
| ≥ 3 | 2.17 | (1.24–3.79) | 1.33 | (0.70–2.56) | ||
| Yes | 1.25 | (0.98–1.59) | 1.09 | (0.76–1.56) | ||
| No | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||||
| Yes | 0.95 | (0.75–1.20) | 0.86 | (0.63–1.19) | ||
| No | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||||
| 2005 | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||||
| 2006 | 0.82 | (0.57–1.17) | 0.79 | (0.47–1.31) | ||
| 2007 | 0.66 | (0.46–0.95) | 0.68 | (0.41–1.13) | ||
| 2008 | 0.55 | (0.38–0.80) | 0.70 | (0.42–1.15) | ||
| 2009 | 0.36 | (0.24–0.54) | 0.40 | (0.23–0.71) | ||
| 2010 | 0.14 | (0.08–0.25) | 0.17 | (0.08–0.37) | ||
aBody mass index.
Figure 1Timeline of the study on health behavior changes among cancer survivors.
Figure 2A nomogram for predicting survival in cancer survivors. To develop and validate the nomogram, the variables of smoking status, physical activity, sex, age, region, medical insurance, disability, BMI, Charlson Comorbidity Index, and diabetes before cancer were adjusted.