| Literature DB >> 35905046 |
Anna Herforth1, Alexandra L Bellows2, Quinn Marshall2, Rebecca McLaren3, Ty Beal4, Stella Nordhagen5, Roseline Remans6, Natalia Estrada Carmona6, Jessica Fanzo2,3,7.
Abstract
To reorient food systems to ensure they deliver healthy diets that protect against multiple forms of malnutrition and diet-related disease and safeguard the environment, ecosystems, and natural resources, there is a need for better governance and accountability. However, decision-makers are often in the dark on how to navigate their food systems to achieve these multiple outcomes. Even where there is sufficient data to describe various elements, drivers, and outcomes of food systems, there is a lack of tools to assess how food systems are performing. This paper presents a diagnostic methodology for 39 indicators representing food supply, food environments, nutrition outcomes, and environmental outcomes that offer cutoffs to assess performance of national food systems. For each indicator, thresholds are presented for unlikely, potential, or likely challenge areas. This information can be used to generate actions and decisions on where and how to intervene in food systems to improve human and planetary health. A global assessment and two country case studies-Greece and Tanzania-illustrate how the diagnostics could spur decision options available to countries.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2022 PMID: 35905046 PMCID: PMC9337654 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0270712
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.752
Fig 1Food systems framework.
Selected indicators and cutoffs for food systems diagnostics.
| Sector | Subsector | Indicator | Source | Year | # Countries | Unlikely Challenge Area Cutoffs (N) | Potential Challenge Area Cutoffs (N) | Likely Challenge Area Cutoffs (N) | Cutoff Type* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Food supply chains | Production systems and input supply | 1. Crop species richness (average number of crops/ unit of land) | IFPRI 2019 [ | 2010 | 184 | >7 (87) | 3–7 (66) | <3 (31) | 2 |
| Storage and distribution | 2. Cereal losses (% of domestic supply) | FAOSTAT [ | 2018 | 156 | <2.5 (57) | 2.5–7 (77) | >7 (22) | 4 | |
| 3. Pulse losses (% of domestic supply) | FAOSTAT [ | 2018 | 150 | <2.5 (59) | 2.5–5 (64) | >5 (27) | 4 | ||
| 4. Fruit losses (% of domestic supply) | FAOSTAT [ | 2018 | 166 | <5 (49) | 5–10 (89) | >10 (28) | 4 | ||
| 5. Vegetable losses (% of domestic supply) | FAOSTAT [ | 2018 | 167 | <5 (35) | 5–10 (114) | >10 (18) | 3 | ||
| Food environment | Food availability | 6. Dietary energy in the food supply (kcal/capita/d) | FAOSTAT [ | 2018 | 167 | ≥2500 (126) | n/a | <2500 (41) | 2 |
| 7. Dietary energy supply from cereals, roots, and tubers (%) | FAOSTAT [ | 2016 | 168 | <40 (58) | 40–60 (75) | >60 (35) | 3 | ||
| 8. Fruit supply (g/capita/d) | FAOSTAT [ | 2018 | 168 | >200 (85) | 100–200 (57) | <100 (26) | 2 | ||
| 9. Vegetable supply (g/capita/d) | FAOSTAT [ | 2018 | 168 | >200 (88) | 100–200 (45) | <100 (35) | 2 | ||
| 10. Pulse supply (g/capita/d) | FAOSTAT [ | 2018 | 168 | >60 (5) | 30–60 (24) | <30 (139) | 2 | ||
| Product properties | 11. Retail value of UPFs (USD/capita/year) | Euromonitor [ | 2018 | 188 | <100 (68) | 100–300 (60) | >300 (60) | 4 | |
| Food affordability | 12. Relative cost of adequate fruits and vegetables (ratio of the cost of the recommended amount of fruits and vegetables to the cost of the recommended amount of starchy staples per person per day) | Food Prices for Nutrition [ | 2017 (est for 2018 and 2019) | 159 | <2 (20) | 2–4 (98) | >4 (41) | 3 | |
| 13. Relative cost of adequate legumes, nuts, and seeds (ratio of the cost of the recommended amount of legumes, nuts, and seeds to the cost of the recommended amount of starchy staples per person per day) | Food Prices for Nutrition [ | 2017 (est for 2018 and 2019) | 159 | <0.75 (94) | 0.75–1 (32) | >1 (33) | 2 | ||
| 14. Relative cost of healthy diet (ratio of the cost of a healthy diet to the cost of caloric adequacy) | Food Prices for Nutrition [ | 2017 (est for 2018 and 2019) | 159 | <3.5 (38) | 3.5–5 (67) | >5 (54) | 3 | ||
| 15. Cost of an energy sufficient diet (2011 USD/capita/d) | Food Prices for Nutrition [ | 2017 (est for 2018 and 2019) | 163 | <0.75 (74) | 0.75–1.20 (75) | >1.20 (14) | 2 | ||
| 16. Affordability of a healthy diet (ratio of the cost of a healthy diet to observed per capita food expenditures from national accounts) | Food Prices for Nutrition [ | 2017 (est for 2018 and 2019) | 159 | <0.5 (59) | 0.5–1 (61) | >1 (38) | 2 | ||
| Food Security, Diets and Nutrition | Food security | 17. People who cannot afford a healthy diet (%) | Food Prices for Nutrition [ | 2017 (est for 2018 and 2019) | 141 | <5 (45) | 5–25 (32) | >25 (64) | 4 |
| 18. Prevalence of moderate or severe food insecurity (%) (FIES) | FAOSTAT [ | 2019 | 121 | <5 (13) | 5-25(52) | >25 (56) | 3 | ||
| 19. Prevalence of undernourishment (%) | FAOSTAT [ | 2019 | 157 | <5 (72) | 5–10 (39) | >10 (46) | 4 | ||
| Dietary intake | 20. Prevalence of minimum diet diversity (MDD) in infants age 6–23 months (%) | UNICEF [ | 2013–2018 | 86 | >60 (11) | 30–60 (30) | <30 (45) | 3 | |
| 21. Prevalence of infants (6–23 months) consuming zero fruits and vegetables (%) | UNICEF [ | 2010–2020 | 97 | <25 (32) | 25–50 (40) | >50 (25) | 4 | ||
| 22. Prevalence of infants (6–23 months) consuming no meat, fish, or eggs (%) | UNICEF [ | 2010–2020 | 97 | <30 (26) | 30–60 (48) | >60 (23) | 3 | ||
| Nutritional status | 23. Prevalence of under-5 stunting (HAZ <-2 SD) (%) | UNICEF, WHO, and World Bank [ | 2010–2019 | 125 | <10 (33) | 10–20 (27) | >20 (65) | 1 | |
| 24. Prevalence of under-5 wasting (WHZ < -2 SD) (%) | UNICEF, WHO, and World Bank [ | 2010–2019 | 124 | <5 (69) | 5–10 (39) | >10 (16) | 1 | ||
| 25. Prevalence of underweight in women (BMI <18.5 kg/m2) (%) | NCD-RisC [ | 2016 | 190 | <5 (123) | 5–10 (41) | >10 (26) | 1 | ||
| 26. Prevalence of anemia in women 15–49 years (%) | WHO Global Health Observatory [ | 2016 | 187 | <20 (37) | 20–40 (115) | >40 (35) | 1 | ||
| 27. Prevalence of under-5 overweight and obesity (WHZ >2 SD) (%) | UNICEF, WHO, and World Bank [ | 2010–2019 | 116 | <5 (53) | 5–10 (40) | >10 (23) | 1 | ||
| 28. Prevalence of adult obesity (BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2) (%) | NCD-RisC [ | 2016 | 190 | <10 (50) | 10–22.5 (56) | >22.5 (84) | 4 | ||
| NCDs | 29. Prevalence of adult raised blood pressure (SBP ≥ 140 or DBP ≥ 90 mm Hg) (%) | NCD-RisC [ | 2015 | 189 | <20 (36) | 20–25 (68) | >25 (85) | 3 | |
| 30. Prevalence of diabetes (%) | NCD-RisC [ | 2014 | 190 | <6 (27) | 6–10 (97) | >10 (66) | 3 | ||
| Environment Outcomes | Environment measures at consumption level | 31. GHGe of food consumption (kg CO2-equivalent / capita) | WWF [ | 2010 | 147 | <2000 (61) | 2000–2500 (28) | >2500 (58) | 4 |
| 32. Water use linked to food consumption (liters/capita) | WWF [ | 2010 | 147 | <250 (49) | 250–350 (48) | >350 (50) | 3 | ||
| 33. Eutrophication of food consumption (g PO4-equivalent /capita) | WWF [ | 2010 | 147 | <7500 (48) | 7500–10000 (41) | >10000 (58) | 3 | ||
| 34. Biodiversity impact of food consumption (extinctions per species year*1012/capita) | WWF [ | 2010 | 147 | <350 (48) | 350–750 (47) | >750 (52) | 4 | ||
| 35. Total ecological footprint of consumption (global ha/ capita) | Global Footprint Network [ | 2016 | 177 | <1.68 (55) | 1.68–2.75 (42) | >2.75 (80) | 2 | ||
| Environment measures at production level | 36. Total ecological footprint of production (global hectares/capita) | Global Footprint Network [ | 2017 | 177 | <1.67 (77) | 1.67–2.75 (33) | >2.75 (67) | 2 | |
| 37. Average number of threats to soil biodiversity | Orgiazzi et al. 2016 [ | 1997–2010 | 181 | <1 (3) | 1–2 (101) | >2 (77) | 2 | ||
| 38. Agricultural land change from 2008 to 2018 (log(1,000 ha/year)) | FAOSTAT [ | 2018 | 193 | <0 (52) | 0–2 (39) | >2 (102) | 2 | ||
| 39. Average proportion of agricultural lands embedding at least 10% of natural vegetation (%) | Jones et al. 2021 [ | 2015 | 234 | >50 (17) | 25–50 (65) | <25 (152) | 2 |
Cutoff type: 1) Published / pre-established cutoffs on prevalence of public health significance, 2) Cutoffs based on normative recommendations, 3) Cutoffs based on global distribution of data: Rounded tertiles based on normal distributions (see Figs 2 and 4) Cutoffs based on global distribution of data: Binning based on bimodal or skewed distributions (see Fig 2).
Fig 2Examples of diagnose thresholds for A) unimodal and B) bimodal indicator frequency distributions.
Density plots of the data distribution for A) vegetable losses (% of domestic supply) and B) prevalence of adult obesity with colors indicating cutoffs for diagnostic thresholds: green indicates an unlikely challenge area, yellow indicates a potential challenge area, and red indicates a likely challenge area. Density plots are similar to histograms but use kernel density smoothing, rather than bins, to present a continuous distribution of the data. The peaks of each plot represent where the highest number of observations exists in the data.
Fig 4Food systems diagnosis by country.
18 countries were randomly selected from each income group to display food systems diagnosis patterns across income group. Full indicator names are listed in Table 1. DE: dietary energy; CR&T: cereals, roots, and tubers; UPF: ultra-processed foods; F&V: fruits and vegetables; LN&S: legumes, nuts & seeds; IYC: infant and young child; MDD: minimum dietary diversity; WRA: women of reproductive age, GHG: greenhouse gases.
Diagnose indicators linked to potential contributing indicators where data are available in the food systems dashboard.
| Diagnostic Indicator | Potential Contributing Indicators |
|---|---|
| 1. Crop species richness | |
| 2. Cereal losses | agricultural infrastructure index |
| 3. Pulse losses | agricultural infrastructure index |
| 4. Fruit losses | agricultural infrastructure index |
| 5. Vegetable losses | agricultural infrastructure index |
| 6. Dietary energy in food supply | cereal import dependency ratio, cereal yield |
| 7. Dietary energy from cereals, roots, and tubers | supply of vegetables, fruit, pulses, milk, meat, fish, and eggs; relative cost of adequate fruits and vegetables; relative cost of adequate legumes, nuts, and seeds, relative caloric prices (RCPs) |
| 8. Fruit supply | fruit losses |
| 9. Vegetable supply | vegetable yield, vegetable losses |
| 10. Pulses supply | pulse losses |
| 11. Retail value of UPFs | existence of any policies on marketing of junk food to children |
| 12. Relative cost of adequate fruits and vegetables | fruit supply; vegetable supply; dietary energy from cereals, roots, and tubers |
| 13. Relative cost of adequate legumes, nuts, and seeds | pulses supply; dietary energy from cereals, roots, and tubers |
| 14. Relative cost of healthy diet to cost of caloric adequacy | relative cost of adequate fruits and vegetables; relative cost of adequate legumes, nuts, and seeds, |
| 15. Cost of an energy sufficient diet | dietary energy in food supply, cereal losses |
| 16. Affordability of a healthy diet (the ratio of the cost of a healthy diet to observed per capita food expenditures from national accounts) | relative cost of adequate fruits and vegetables; relative cost of adequate legumes, nuts, and seeds; RCPs; consumption expenditures |
| 17. People who cannot afford a healthy diet | relative cost of a healthy diet, cost of a healthy diet relative to food expenditures, socioeconomic drivers |
| 18. Prevalence of moderate or severe food insecurity (%) (FIES) | dietary energy in the food supply, socioeconomic drivers |
| 19. Prevalence of undernourishment (%) | dietary energy in the food supply, socioeconomic drivers |
| 20. Prevalence of minimum diet diversity | dietary energy from cereals, roots, and tubers; availability of each food group; relative cost of a healthy diet; affordability of a healthy diet; socioeconomic drivers |
| 21. Prevalence of infants (6–23 months) consuming zero fruits and vegetables (%) | dietary energy from cereals, roots, and tubers; availability of each food group; relative cost of a healthy diet; affordability of a healthy diet; socioeconomic drivers |
| 22. Prevalence of infants (6–23 months) consuming no meat, fish, or eggs (%) | dietary energy from cereals, roots, and tubers; availability of each food group; relative cost of a healthy diet; affordability of a healthy diet; socioeconomic drivers |
| 23. Prevalence of under-5 stunting | infant and young child feeding (IYCF) indicators; relative cost of a healthy diet; affordability of a healthy diet; dietary energy from cereals, roots, and tubers; socioeconomic drivers |
| 24. Prevalence of under-5 wasting | dietary energy in the food supply, IYCF indicators, socioeconomic drivers |
| 25. Prevalence of underweight in women | dietary energy in the food supply, socioeconomic drivers |
| 26. Prevalence of anemia in women | supply of vegetables, pulses, and meat; dietary energy from cereals, roots, and tubers; relative cost of a healthy diet; affordability of a healthy diet |
| 27. Prevalence of under-5 overweight and obesity | dietary energy in the food supply, relative cost of healthy diet, affordability of a healthy diet, RCPs, retail share of UPFs, supply of sugar and oil |
| 28. Prevalence of adult obesity | dietary energy in the food supply, relative cost of healthy diet, affordability of a healthy diet, RCPs, retail share of UPFs, supply of sugar and oil |
| 29. Prevalence of adult raised blood pressure | dietary energy in the food supply, relative cost of a healthy diet, affordability of a healthy diet, RCPs, retail value of UPFs, supply of vegetables and fruit, supply of sugar and oil |
| 30. Prevalence of diabetes | dietary energy in the food supply, relative cost of a healthy diet, affordability of a healthy diet, RCPs, retail value of UPFs, taxes on sugar-sweetened beverages (SSBs), supply of vegetables and fruit, supply of sugar and oil |
| 31. GHGe of food consumption | dietary intake indicators, especially red meat and dairy |
| 32. Water use linked to food consumption | dietary intake indicators, especially red meat and dairy |
| 33. Eutrophication of food consumption | fertilizer consumption, nutrient nitrogen per ha of arable land, nutrient phosphate per ha of arable land, dietary intake indicators, especially red meat and dairy |
| 34. Biodiversity impact of food consumption | percent of intact area, agricultural land change |
| 35. Total ecological footprint of consumption (global ha/ capita) | dietary intake indicators, especially red meat and dairy |
| 36. Total ecological footprint of production | crop species richness, agricultural land change, GHGe from agriculture |
| 37. Average number of threats to soil biodiversity | agricultural land as percentage of country land, nutrient nitrogen per ha of arable land, nutrient phosphate per ha of arable land, per capita biodiversity impact of food consumption, per capita eutrophication of food consumption |
| 38. Agricultural land change from 2008–2018 | percent of intact area, agricultural land as percentage of country land |
| 39. Average proportion of agricultural lands embedding at least 10% of natural vegetation | agricultural land as percentage of country land, agricultural land change |
Fig 3Percentage of countries with likely challenge areas by income status.
The color indicates the percentage of countries facing likely challenge areas. Grey indicates <5 countries within an income group have data for the indicator. Full indicator names are listed in Table 1. DE: dietary energy; CR&T: cereals, roots, and tubers; UPF: ultra-processed foods; F&V: fruits and vegetables; LN&S: legumes, nuts, and seeds; IYC: infant and young child; MDD: minimum dietary diversity; WRA: women of reproductive age, GHG: greenhouse gases.