Juan Declet-Barreto1, Andrew A Rosenberg2. 1. Climate & Energy Program, Union of Concerned Scientists, Washington, DC, United States of America. 2. Center for Science and Democracy, Union of Concerned Scientists, Cambridge, MA, United States of America.
Abstract
Policies to reduce greenhouse gases associated with electricity generation have been a major focus of public policy in the United States, but their implications for achieving environmental justice among historically overburdened communities inappropriately remains a marginal issue. In this study we address research gaps in historical and current ambient air emissions burdens in environmental justice communities from power plants participating in the Regional Greenhouse Gases Initiative (RGGI), the country's first market-based power sector emissions reduction program. We find that in RGGI states the percentage of people of color that live within 0-6.2 miles from power plants is up to 23.5 percent higher than the percent of the white population that lives within those same distance bands, and the percentage of people living in poverty that live within 0-5 miles from power plants is up to 15.3 percent higher than the percent of the population not living in poverty within those same distance bands. More importantly, the transition from coal to natural gas underway before RGGI formally started resulted in large increases in both the number of electric-generating units burning natural gas and total net generation from natural gas in environmental justice communities hosting electric-generating units, compared to other communities. Our findings indicate that power sector carbon mitigation policies' focusing on aggregate emissions reductions have largely benefitted non-environmental justice communities and have not redressed the fundamental problem of disparities in pollutant burdens between EJ and non-EJ communities. These must be directly addressed in climate change and carbon emissions mitigation policy.
Policies to reduce greenhouse gases associated with electricity generation have been a major focus of public policy in the United States, but their implications for achieving environmental justice among historically overburdened communities inappropriately remains a marginal issue. In this study we address research gaps in historical and current ambient air emissions burdens in environmental justice communities from power plants participating in the Regional Greenhouse Gases Initiative (RGGI), the country's first market-based power sector emissions reduction program. We find that in RGGI states the percentage of people of color that live within 0-6.2 miles from power plants is up to 23.5 percent higher than the percent of the white population that lives within those same distance bands, and the percentage of people living in poverty that live within 0-5 miles from power plants is up to 15.3 percent higher than the percent of the population not living in poverty within those same distance bands. More importantly, the transition from coal to natural gas underway before RGGI formally started resulted in large increases in both the number of electric-generating units burning natural gas and total net generation from natural gas in environmental justice communities hosting electric-generating units, compared to other communities. Our findings indicate that power sector carbon mitigation policies' focusing on aggregate emissions reductions have largely benefitted non-environmental justice communities and have not redressed the fundamental problem of disparities in pollutant burdens between EJ and non-EJ communities. These must be directly addressed in climate change and carbon emissions mitigation policy.
The electricity sector accounts for 29 percent of total U.S. greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and about 32% of total U.S. energy-related carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions [1, 2]. Almost all of the U.S. electricity sector’s CO2 emissions (98%) come from the burning of coal and natural gas. Thus, reducing GHGs associated with electricity generation has been a major focus of public policy to address climate change at federal, regional and state levels across the US.The fossil-fuel based energy sector remains a priority for climate change mitigation efforts. Historically, concern about the intersection of climate change mitigation and social equity has been a marginal issue in the domestic U.S. policy agenda [3]. The issue of equity has often focused on the question of potential unequal rate-payer cost burdens of various regulatory schemes [e.g., 4]. Nevertheless, there are other equity issues that concern environmental justice scholars and advocates. Prime among these is the problem of co-pollutant emissions [5].In addition to emitting carbon dioxide—a globally-dispersed pollutant—the power sector is responsible for emissions of other locally or regionally-dispersed pollutants. Electricity generation constitutes 64 percent of SO2 emissions, 14 percent of NOx emissions, 3.4 percent of PM2.5 emissions, and 1.4 percent of PM10 emissions in the U.S. [6]. Co-pollutants from electricity generation are responsible for significant health impacts on local communities, and contribute to the disproportionate health-impairing pollution burden that exists in many environmental justice communities [7-9].This paper reports the results of an empirical investigation of CO2 and two co-pollutant (NOx, SO2) emissions from electricity generation in states participating in the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI). RGGI is the United States’ first market-based emissions reduction program, established in 2009 with the intent of reducing carbon emissions from electric generation in those states [10, 11].The purpose of this study is to address the research gaps in historical and current ambient air emissions burdens from power plants in environmental justice communities. We identified large differences in siting and operation of power plants between communities of color and low-income communities, versus other communities. As policies to mitigate climate change and pollution move forward they must directly address the heterogeneity of conditions in communities of color and low income versus other communities in order to be both just and effective.
Electricity sector emissions and environmental justice
The burden of mortality and morbidity due to exposure to co-pollutants associated with electricity generation (e.g., NOx, SO2, PM10 and PM2.5) is well established [12-16]. Reducing emissions of power plant co-pollutants can have many human health benefits, including decreases in all-cause [17] and PM2.5-attributable mortality and morbidity; decreased hospitalizations due to myocardial infarctions and respiratory and cardiovascular disease [18-20], significant economic savings due to lost work days averted; and billions of dollars in health savings and other health benefits [21]. In the United States, a large percentage of both low-income populations and people of color live close to power plants [6, 22, 23], making equitable reductions in power sector emissions a critical public health and environmental justice issue.Addressing the disproportionate burdens from ambient air emissions and other environmental risks in Black, Indigenous, communities of color and low-income communities is the focus of environmental justice scholars and advocates [24-26]. Achieving environmental justice is the goal of fairly and equitably addressing the fact that some communities, which are typically low-income communities of color, are overburdened with environmental and economic burdens [27].While there is a substantial body of research linking air quality and health, studies examining the distribution of such benefits across communities are much less abundant. Are the benefits from GHG and co-pollutant reductions distributed equitably across communities? Or do some communities benefit more than others? The distribution question is at the center of environmental justice and climate mitigation research. Environmental justice scholars and advocates contend that mitigation policies should address the attendant co-pollutant emissions associated with fossil fuel combustion in environmental justice communities, thereby also reducing disparities in existing environmental hazard burdens [e.g., 5]. Environmental justice advocates have largely not supported market-based solutions for emissions reductions because there is no explicit recognition nor requirement to address equity, arguing that climate change mitigation policy provides an opportunity to address historical and current pollution burdens—an opportunity that should not be forgone [5]. Environmental justice advocates maintain that in excluding race- and income-based equity considerations–the fundamental historical problem in environmental justice—efforts to reduce GHGs could fail to reduce emissions in environmental justice communities that already face substantial cumulative environmental hazards burdens [28, 29]. Others have found that energy sector decarbonization policies that explicitly incorporate both the realization of environmental justice and improved air quality result in substantial reductions in damages from co-pollutants [30]. Another concern is the possibility that emissions “hotspots” may emerge from local, large point sources like power plants, increasing co-pollutant exposures in overburdened communities. If, for example, the costs of emissions reductions in plants located in environmental justice communities are higher than in plants located elsewhere, market logic will lead to increases in carbon and co-pollutant emissions in those communities as utilities pursue lower-cost reductions elsewhere [3]. Carbon-trading programs, environmental justice scholars contend, are ill-suited to prevent local (i.e., at a specific particular power plant) emissions increases because these programs establish overall emissions reductions goals, and allow regulated entities to trade allowances with each other as a primary compliance mechanism [31]. Environmental justice advocates also reject that climate and air pollution should be handled separately, and warn against missing the opportunity to use climate change mitigation policy to achieve reductions in power plant co-pollutants that have not been realized under the Clean Air Act [5]. In addition, others have voiced more fundamental problems with carbon trading that do not center on emissions reductions, namely that carbon markets undermine efforts to decarbonize the global economy [32].The analysis presented here investigates empirically carbon and co-pollutant emissions associated with electricity generating units (EGUs) in the ten states participating in RGGI: Connecticut, Delaware, Maine, Massachusetts, Maryland, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, Rhode Island, and Vermont. New Jersey was an initial participant, withdrew in 2012, and in 2018 its newly-elected governor issued an executive order to rejoin. We selected these states because as subjects of the first regional climate mitigation initiative in the electricity sector in the United States, they offer an interesting starting point for assessing distributive outcomes of carbon and co-pollutant reductions between EJ and non-EJ communities.This study is a longitudinal exploration of ambient air emissions originating from power plants located in environmental justice communities and communities not considered environmental justice communities. We developed the following guiding questions, in consultation with some leaders in the environmental justice movement, as an exploratory first step toward understanding electricity sector emissions in environmental justice communities:To what extent are communities of color and low-income communities overrepresented in residential proximity to power plants in the RGGI states?Are income and race an appropriate basis for a valid and reliable quantitative delineation of environmental justice (EJ) communities versus non-EJ communities, suitable for longitudinal analyses of power plant emissions?What is the distribution of the polluting potential as measured by fuel type, total net generation, capacity factor, and of actual pollution from emissions of CO2, SO2, and NOx from electric-generating units (EGUs) sited in environmental justice communities compared to EGUs sited in non-environmental justice communities?What changes in the relationships between power plant characteristics and community types (EJ versus non-EJ) have occurred since 2009?To answer these questions, we first develop empirical cumulative distribution functions (CDFs) of population groups indicative of environmental justice community status versus distance to power plants. We then group each census tract in our study area into one of two clusters of high vs low fractions of people of color and people living in poverty, which we label environmental justice communities (EJC) or non-environmental justice communities (non-EJCs). We then estimate six indicators of power plants’ potential to pollute (siting frequency, electricity generation capacity, capacity factor, and emissions of CO2, SO2, and NOx), stratifying all indicators by reported fuel type (oil, coal, biomass, or natural gas) separately for power plants sited in EJC vs. non-EJCs. We conclude with a discussion of the implications of our findings for the incorporation of environmental justice goals for overburdened communities in power sector carbon emissions reduction policy.
Data
Database of historical emissions from EGUs
An EGU is a fossil fuel-fired combustion unit that serves a generator that produces electricity for sale [33]. We selected EGUs as the unit of analysis because fuel type data are aggregated at the EGU level, a key component of our analysis. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) administers yearly surveys to electrical power producers. Survey form 860 provides information on all EGUs that are currently in operation or have retired since 2001, including data on the generator’s latitude and longitude, first and last years of operation, and information on installed environmental controls. Form 923 provides data on electricity production and fuel consumption. Emissions data for CO2, NOx, and SO2, generation, fuel inputs, and environmental controls were provided by the EPA’s Air Markets Program [34]. Based on these publicly available data, we obtained a combined database of all EGUs in the United States, along with data describing historical electricity generation, capacity, emissions, and other attributes for the period 1995–2015 [34-37]. Due to gaps in EGU data reporting for the years 2001 and 2002, we did not use data from those years in our analyses. We focused on EGUs with rated (or nameplate) capacity of 25 Megawatts (MW) or higher located in RGGI states.There were 333 EGUs with a rated capacity of 25 MW or higher in RGGI states. There were 261 individual facilities (“fencelines”), and some facilities host more than one EGU; 41 of these facilities co-hosted between two and three EGUs. We eliminated 23 EGUs without valid latitude/longitude coordinates. In our final selection we included 310 EGUs, or 93 percent of all eligible EGUs (Fig 1).
Fig 1
Electric Generating Units (EGUs) and people of color in RGGI states.
Each EGU is symbolized according to its most-commonly used fuel in 2015.
Electric Generating Units (EGUs) and people of color in RGGI states.
Each EGU is symbolized according to its most-commonly used fuel in 2015.
Race/ethnicity and poverty in classifying environmental justice communities
Socio-demographic data on poverty status and race/ethnicity by census tract was obtained for 2010 from the U.S. Census Bureau [38, 39]. Two indicators commonly used to identify EJCs were calculated: First, “Percent people of color” was defined as the percentage of the total population in a census tract that identifies as non-Hispanic African American, American Indian, Alaska Native, Asian, Pacific Islander, other non-White race, or of Hispanic/Latino/Latina origin of any race or races. “Percent living in poverty” was defined as the percent of individuals with a ratio of income to poverty level below one, that is, individuals with incomes below the federal poverty threshold.
Analysis
Population proximity to power plants
We estimated disparities in the proximity of populations to EGUs by developing empirical cumulative distribution functions (CDFs) of population versus distance to EGUs. CDFs of population proximity to industrial point sources have been proposed as providing more meaningful representation of distance-based exposure than fixed-distance bands [40]. We first calculated the straight-line distance (in miles) of the nearest power plant to the geographical center of each census tract. Tracts were sorted in increasing order of distance, and the cumulative population at distance j was defined as the sum of the population in all census tracts at a distance less than or equal to distance j from power plants. Distance was then plotted, separately for each of four population subgroups against the percentage of each subpopulation out of the total population at that distance. The four population subgroups included were whites, people of color, the population below the poverty threshold, and the population at or above the poverty threshold. For the purposes of assessing population proximity to power plants, we deemed people of color and the population below the poverty threshold as environmental justice populations, and whites and the population at or above the poverty threshold as reference, non-environmental justice populations. We did not consider the intersection of low-income and white populations as environmental justice communities, instead focusing on mutually exclusive population subgroup pairs of whites/people of color; and persons living below, or at/above the poverty threshold.
Identification of environmental justice communities
While defining environmental justice communities has been a subject of research and documentation, there is no generally accepted standard research definition of an environmental justice community. Some studies utilize fine-scale census data on the racial/ethnic composition and poverty levels of populations to assess the environmental justice status of communities [26, 41–43]. Others incorporate social, economic, and environmental indicators such as economic inequality [44, 45]; vulnerability based on age [46], political enfranchisement and educational achievement [47, 48], level of civic engagement [26], linguistic isolation [49], sexual orientation and gender identity [50], and criteria air pollution [51].There is some regulatory guidance on how to identify environmental justice communities [22, 52, 53]; however, the application of such guidance to systematically and quantitatively identify environmental justice communities does not exist. In our research, we address this gap by developing and applying a cluster analysis to identify Census tracts as EJCs or non-EJCs. In our research, EJCs are defined solely by race, ethnicity, and poverty indicators. In our study, we deem race, ethnicity, and poverty indicators to be the best publicly and systematically-available proxies for identifying EJCs across a large study area. Our quantitative definition of EJCs may differ from other approaches to identifying specific communities as EJCs or non-EJCs. We adhered to EPA’s guidance on identification of EJ communities using percent in poverty and percent people of color indicators (e.g., 22, 49, 50), and we did not explicitly separate low-income white communities from other low-communities in our analysis.Following Collins et al. [50] we conducted a two-cluster k-means analysis for the 11,813 Census Tracts in RGGI states. The k-means technique is an algorithm used to classify observations in a dataset into k-number of clusters or categories, where each cluster has a mean that produces the smallest within-cluster sum of squares. Rather than inferring poverty or race/ethnicity composition thresholds, we used cluster analysis as a statistical method for grouping each census tract in our study area into one of two clusters of high vs low fractions of people of color and people living in poverty. Based on the k-means cluster analysis, we assigned census tracts with higher fractions of people of color and people living in poverty to the EJCs category, and census tracts with lower fractions of the same variables to the non-EJCs category. k-means algorithms are based on averages; as such, our method may not accurately group outliers of extreme values in race/ethnicity and poverty variables. Although our analysis of EGUs is focused only on Census Tracts hosting EGUs (and not all 11,813 Census Tracts in RGGI states), we conducted the cluster analysis on all Census Tracts in RGGI in order to obtain a classification of Census Tracts that is representative of the distribution of poverty and race/ethnicity across RGGI states. Thus, we selected the 219 Census Tracts with at least one EGU located within each tract in our study area, eliminating 8 that had incomplete Census data on race/ethnicity and poverty variables. For each tract of the selected 211 tracts, we calculated two indicators of EJ community status—percent people of color and percent living at or below the poverty threshold—and assigned one of two categories (EJC, non-EJC) to each tract based on the k-means cluster analysis.
Polluting potential of EGUs
We estimated six indicators of an EGU’s potential to pollute, stratifying all indicators by reported fuel type (oil, coal, biomass, or natural gas) separately for EGUs sited in EJ vs. non-EJ communities. First, we calculated the total number of EGUs sited within tracts designated as EJCs and tracts designated as non-EJCs as an initial estimation of polluting burden. Second, we used data on annual electricity generation by fuel type in the EGU database to assign a majority fuel type to EGUs based on the largest fraction of generation in each reporting year and calculate total net generation in both EJCs and non-EJCs. Third, we combined EGU-level nameplate capacity information (in Megawatts) with generation data to calculate each EGU’s capacity factor, a number that represents the ratio of actual electricity produced to the maximum possible generation of the unit. For each year and fuel type, we calculated the mean capacity factor of EGUs that reported capacity and generation data. The final three indicators of RGGI EGUs’ polluting potential are the average annual CO2, SO2, and NOx stack emissions. We calculated all indicators for the years 1995–2015, with the exception of 2001 and 2002 as noted above.
Results
For short distances of residential proximity to power plants in RGGI, the cumulative percentage of EJ populations is markedly higher than the cumulative percentage of non-EJ populations (Fig 2). Between 0 and 6.2 miles, the percent difference between people of color and Whites increases to a maximum of 23.5% (Fig 2A). For distances > = 6.2 miles, the difference decreases gradually, amounting to <1.0% for distances > = 39.4 miles. The results for poverty are similar: between 0 and 4.9 miles, the cumulative percentage of people living in poverty is up to 15.3% higher than the cumulative percentage of people not living in poverty (Fig 2B). For distances > = 4.9 miles, the percent difference decreases gradually to <1.0% at a distance of 20.5 miles or more.
Fig 2
a. Cumulative distribution of people of color and White populations by distance to EGUs in RGGI. Black line indicates between the cumulative population curves. The maximum percent difference is labeled on the figure. Dotted vertical line indicates distance of maximum difference value. b. Cumulative distribution of people living in poverty and people not living in poverty by distance to EGUs in RGGI. Black line indicates difference between the cumulative population curves. The maximum percent difference is labeled on the figure. Dotted vertical line indicates distance of maximum difference value.
a. Cumulative distribution of people of color and White populations by distance to EGUs in RGGI. Black line indicates between the cumulative population curves. The maximum percent difference is labeled on the figure. Dotted vertical line indicates distance of maximum difference value. b. Cumulative distribution of people living in poverty and people not living in poverty by distance to EGUs in RGGI. Black line indicates difference between the cumulative population curves. The maximum percent difference is labeled on the figure. Dotted vertical line indicates distance of maximum difference value.The cluster analysis cleanly split Census Tracts into two groups; 59 census tracts were classified as EJCs and 152 tracts were classified as non-EJCs. The EJCs had, on average, 65.8 percent people of color and 19.0 percent living with low incomes. The 152 tracts classified as non-EJCs averaged 15.9 percent people of color and 10.6 percent living with low incomes (Table 1). Of the 152 tracts classified as non-EJCs, five tracts with percent people of color one standard deviation above the mean fell in the non-EJC category and are labeled as non-EJC outliers (Fig 3). In Fig 3 we have shown only the Census Tracts hosting EGUs; see S1 Fig for the EJC/non-EJC classification of all Census Tracts in RRGI.
Table 1
Basic statistics of k-means cluster analysis of census tracts hosting EGUs in RGGI.
Percent people of color
Percent in poverty
mean
Sd
mean
sd
EJCs (n = 59)
65.8
16.4
19.0
14.0
non-EJCs (n = 152)
15.9
11.2
10.6
7.9
Fig 3
Percent people of color and percent in poverty statistics in k-means cluster analysis of census tracts hosting EGUs in RGGI.
Of the 310 EGUs in our analysis, 73 (23.5%) were sited in Environmental Justice communities, and the remaining 237 (76.5%) were sited in non-Environmental Justice communities. When looking at the distribution of EGUs within communities, we find that EJ communities have a higher relative frequency of multiple EGUs sites when compared to non-EJ communities: among all EJ communities in our study area, 57.4% have exactly one EGU, versus the large majority of non-EJ communities, where 71.3% of all communities host exactly one EGU (Table 2). Consequently, 42.6% of EJ communities host between 2 and 5 EGUs, compared to only 28.7% in non-EJ communities.
Table 2
Number of census tracts with one and between 2–5 EGUs sited within EJCs and non-EJCs communities in RGGI.
Number of Census Tracts
Number of EGUs sited within
in EJ communities
in non-EJ communities
1
27 (57.4%)
122 (71.3%)
Between 2 and 5
20 (42.6%)
49 (28.7%)
Number of EGUs
The longitudinal analysis of EGUs by fuel type shows that since 1995, natural gas increasingly became a larger percentage of EGUs in both EJCs and non-EJCs (Fig 4). However, since 2003, the number of natural gas EGUs as a percent of all EGUs was higher in EJ communities than in non-EJ communities. For every year in 1995–2015, the percent of coal-fired EGUs in EJ communities was consistently smaller than that of coal-fired EGUs in non-EJ communities. The number of EGUs in each type of community also grew during the time period: from 50 to 70 (a 40.0% increase) in EJ communities and from 193 to 225 (a 16.5% increase) in non-EJ communities, and both communities saw the sharpest increases in after 2003. Biomass-burning EGUs were located only in non-EJ communities. To assess the statistical significance of changes in the number of power plants, we conducted one-way ANOVA of the frequency of oil-, natural gas-, and coal-fired power plants. We excluded biomass-fired plants because no biomass plants regulated by RGGI were sited in EJ communities in our analysis; we also excluded plants that did not report fuel type. The p-values indicate that the number of power plants of each fuel type are different in statistically-significant ways in EJCs compared to non-EJCs (S1 Table).
Fig 4
EGUs by fuel type in RGGI sited in (A) EJCs and (B) non-EJCs. Percent of total EGUs by fuel type is indicated in left y-axis. Black lines indicate the total number of EGUs and correspond to the right y-axis.
EGUs by fuel type in RGGI sited in (A) EJCs and (B) non-EJCs. Percent of total EGUs by fuel type is indicated in left y-axis. Black lines indicate the total number of EGUs and correspond to the right y-axis.
Electricity generation
Total net electricity generation in EGUs sited in both EJ and non-EJ communities has been dominated by coal and natural gas-fired units (Fig 5), with a decrease in the share of coal generation in tandem with an increase in natural gas since 1995. In EGUs sited in EJ communities, since 1995 natural gas became a larger share of total generation than in non-EJ communities. For each year in the study period, the fraction of coal-based generation has been larger in non-EJ communities than in EJ communities. In units sited in non-EJ communities, total net generation increased from about 104,358 GWh in 1995—peaking in 2005 at 180,316 GWh and then decreasing to 132,988 GWh in 2015. In EJ communities, generation increased consistently from 25,091 Gwh in 1995 to 52,529 Gwh in 2015.
Fig 5
Total net generation by fuel type in EGUs in RGGI sited in (A) EJCs and (B) non-EJCs. Percent of total net generation by fuel type is indicated in left y-axis. Black lines indicate total generation and correspond to the right y-axis. EGUs that did not report fuel type also did not report generation and are thus omitted. The numbers at the bottom of the bars indicate the number of reporting units for each year.
Total net generation by fuel type in EGUs in RGGI sited in (A) EJCs and (B) non-EJCs. Percent of total net generation by fuel type is indicated in left y-axis. Black lines indicate total generation and correspond to the right y-axis. EGUs that did not report fuel type also did not report generation and are thus omitted. The numbers at the bottom of the bars indicate the number of reporting units for each year.
Capacity factor
During the study period, mean capacity factors of oil and natural gas EGUs were similar in both EJCs and non-EJCS (Fig 6). Coal-fired EGUs in EGUs sited in non-EJCs have higher capacity factors than in those sited in EJCs. As in Figs 4 and 5, biomass-fired EGUs have been present only in non-EJCs.
Fig 6
Mean capacity factor by fuel type in EGUs in RGGI sited in (A) EJCs and (B) non-EJCs. EGUs that did not report fuel type also did not report capacity factors and are thus omitted.
Mean capacity factor by fuel type in EGUs in RGGI sited in (A) EJCs and (B) non-EJCs. EGUs that did not report fuel type also did not report capacity factors and are thus omitted.
Emissions of CO2, SO2, and NOx
The longitudinal trajectory of average annual CO2 emissions was generally similar for EGUs located in EJ communities and in non-EJ communities (Fig 7), but there are some important differences. First, between 1995–2005, CO2 emissions in EJCs were slightly higher. While EGUs in both types of communities saw sustained reductions in CO2 emissions after 2005, those reductions were larger in EJCs after 2009 (with the exception of an increase in 2010). After 2003, CO2 emissions from natural gas are slightly larger than in non-EJCs. Small amounts of biomass emissions appear only in EGUs located in non-EJCs.
Fig 7
Mean annual CO2 emissions by fuel type from EGUs in RGGI sited in (A) EJCs and (B) non-EJCs. The numbers at the bottom of the bars indicate the number of reporting units for each year.
Mean annual CO2 emissions by fuel type from EGUs in RGGI sited in (A) EJCs and (B) non-EJCs. The numbers at the bottom of the bars indicate the number of reporting units for each year.SO2 emissions trajectories between EJCs and non-EJCs are similar, with two exceptions (Fig 8). First, in EJCs, SO2 emissions during 1997 and 1999 were higher in. Second, starting in 2003, SO2 emissions decreased in EGUs in both types of communities but reductions were larger in EJCs especially after 2007. Since 1995, average SO2 emissions have been mostly from oil and coal and decreased in both types of communities (but emissions dropped more in EJ communities after 2009).
Fig 8
Mean SO2 emissions by fuel type from EGUs in RGGI sited in (A) EJCs and (B) non-EJCs. The numbers at the bottom of the bars indicate the number of reporting units for each year.
Mean SO2 emissions by fuel type from EGUs in RGGI sited in (A) EJCs and (B) non-EJCs. The numbers at the bottom of the bars indicate the number of reporting units for each year.NOx emissions between EJ and non-EJ communities are similar, but larger on average in EJ communities during 1995–2005 (Fig 9). After 2005, differences are due to biomass NOx emissions from EGUs in non-EJCs, as there are no biomass NOx emissions in EJCs. In both types of communities, the share of NOx emissions from coal, oil, natural gas dropped markedly after 2000, and with the exception of years 1999 and 2000, NOx emissions from biomass burning—only found in non-EJCs—remained a small fraction of average annual NOx emissions.
Fig 9
Mean NOx emissions by fuel type from EGUs in RGGI sited in (A) EJCs and (B) non-EJCs. The numbers at the bottom of the bars indicate the number of reporting units for each year.
Mean NOx emissions by fuel type from EGUs in RGGI sited in (A) EJCs and (B) non-EJCs. The numbers at the bottom of the bars indicate the number of reporting units for each year.
Discussion
Our analysis constitutes the first systematic and empirical attempt to assess disparities in pollutant potential from electricity production between EJ communities and non-EJ communities in RGGI states. There are a few key insights from our analysis. First, our proximity analysis shows that in states that participate in RGGI, a larger cumulative share of environmental justice populations live in proximity to electric power plants compared to non-EJ populations at similar distances. This is the case for distances of up to 39.4 miles from power plants in the comparison between Whites and people of color, and up to 20.5 miles for the poverty status comparison. However, the largest differences in population proximity occur between 0–6.2 miles based on race (up to 23.5% higher for people of color), and between 0–4.9 miles based on income (up to 15.3% higher for people living in poverty). Furthermore, our siting analysis also found that 42.6% of EJ communities host between 2 and 5 EGUs, but only 28% of non-EJ communities host the same frequency range of EGUs. These results should be considered in energy sector emissions reduction policies that also contribute to reducing human health impacts from power plants because living within short distances of power plants is correlated to greater adverse health outcomes than for those people living farther away. For example, adverse birth outcomes have been found to be highest for populations living within 5 km or less from power plants emitting fine particulates [54]. While proximity to power plants is not sufficient to fully assess disparities in health impacts due to emissions from fossil-fuel electricity production, our results further validate the inequity that people living with low incomes and people of color continue to live near pollution emitting facilities and with higher potential exposure burdens due to a higher frequency of multiple facilities many decades after the problem of siting disparities first came to light [27].Second, the coal-to-natural gas transition was more marked in environmental justice communities. As coal-fired EGUs became a smaller share of all EGUs between 1995–2015, natural gas in EJ communities became an increasingly larger fraction of all EGUs (and of total net generation) with a consistent upwards trend in both indicators of polluting potential. However, the time period also coincides with a general downwards trend of average emissions of CO2, SO2, and NOx across EGUs in both types of communities (our third main finding). Finally, our fourth main finding is that coal-fired EGUs in non-environmental justice communities consistently run at higher rates than in environmental justice communities.
Comparison of our study to the EJ assessment of California’s cap-and-trade program
Our study compares to and diverges from the only other empirical assessment, to our knowledge, of environmental justice burdens in a US regional GHG emissions market, focused on the first three years since California’s cap-and-trade program began [55]. That study found that facilities regulated under the trading program are disproportionately located within environmental justice communities, that GHG emissions increased in more than half of regulated facilities since trading started, and that neighborhoods that saw GHG and co-pollutant emissions increases were largely low-income communities of color also with high rates of other socio-demographic markers associated with disadvantage. In comparison, two of our findings stand out. First, in RGGI states, environmental justice communities live closer than other populations to power plants. Second, the relative frequency of multiple EGUs in any one Census Tract is higher in environmental justice communities than in non-environmental justice communities. These findings suggest that, similar to California’s cap-and-trade program, environmental justice communities in RGGI are more exposed to dangerous co-pollutants compared to other communities. Our study diverges from the California assessment because, due to data limitations, we did not assess emissions from PM2.5 or air toxics, both of which have important implications for human health. In addition, our study was restricted to power sector emissions regulated under RGGI, whereas California’s program covers all industrial sectors except for agriculture. But we were also able to look at a longer trajectory of emissions from the mid-1990s to 2015, which arguably were influenced by market and regulatory factors underway since before the start of the program in 2009. In our inductive assessment, we did not find changing trends in trajectories of CO2, NOx, or SO2 specifically tied to the pre- and post-2009 years. Instead, emissions trajectories in our study follow a generally downwards trend detectable since 1995 that is likely due to the transition from coal to natural gas, and perhaps to other mitigation policies in the power sector.
Limitations of our research
As a first step in assessing disparities in power plant emissions exposure, our research has some limitations. First, our analysis does not consider dispersion of co-pollutants, as we focused on disparities in power plant characteristics in EGUs sited in EJ vs. non-EJ communities. Therefore, our analysis does not indicate exposure from the fate and transport to pollutants. The co-pollutant data used in our study (SO2 and NOx) represent stack emissions, and do not consider how physical and photo-chemical atmospheric interactions create or disperse pollutants dangerous to human health or how power plant operating conditions differ among environmental justice and other communities. These interactions should be resolved using atmospheric chemistry and dispersion models that also include the dispersion of methane and fine particulates, which are outside the scope of the present research. Furthermore, we have considered power plant emissions in isolation from the cumulative environmental and health threats with which environmental justice communities are often overburdened, including burdens from transportation emissions. Our analysis is focused on emissions, siting, generation, and capacity factors of power plants hosted in communities in RGGI states. It has been argued that not comparing host vs. non-host communities results in underestimating environmental inequities [56]. We recognize that our results are conservative in this regard, but have shown that communities hosting at least one RGGI power plant do not have significantly higher rates of poverty or of people of color than non-host communities. In addition, EJ communities often endure burdens from energy production infrastructure such as shale gas expansion, oil trains, gas pipelines, and liquid natural gas export stations, but these are outside the scope of our work. For these reasons, our analysis underestimates the true burden of power plant-related exposure between environmental justice communities and other communities, which remains a limitation of current environmental justice assessments and policy [57].While we have shown the transition in RGGI from coal to natural gas—underway since before the formal start of the program in 2009—our analysis did not allow us to establish if the steeper increase in natural gas units in environmental justice communities occurred due to conversion of coal units to gas, or if it entailed the construction of new plants. In addition, it was not possible for us to assess differences in the coal-to-gas transition between urban areas in RGGI states (that tend to be predominantly populated by people of color) and rural areas (that tend to be whiter).These are a key areas for future research that would also need to take into account permitting process dynamics among regulators and utility operators to determine the degree of disparity in new EGU construction in environmental justice communities.Our results potentially underestimate the extent of locational disparities. In our analysis we use the federal poverty threshold to identify people living in poverty. However, the federal poverty methodology was developed in the 1960s and is recognized as outdated with respect to present family income needs. For example, research suggests that on average, families require twice the federal poverty level to meet basic needs [58]. Furthermore, the utility of the federal poverty level is limited because it does not take into account differences in cost of living across geographies in the United States. Furthermore, U.S. Census data reporting limitations on the ratio of income to poverty levels did not allow us to separate those living above the poverty line from those living at the poverty line. In our research, it would have been preferable to combine the poverty level of people living under the poverty level together with those living at the poverty level as our indicator of poverty, but this was not possible.Beyond fuel type and generating capacity, there may be other factors that affect emissions levels which were not explored in this paper. Small emitters (i.e. with capacity rating <25MW) fall outside the scope of RGGI, and often have lower stack heights that can potentially contribute to localized dispersion of pollutants. Do these emitters constitute un-quantified emissions burdens in environmental justice communities? This question, to our knowledge, has not been explored systematically. There are outstanding issues of procedural justice that need to be considered in future research as well. Research has found deficits in environmental enforcement actions under the Clean Air Act and other environmental regulations in US counties with low-income populations when compared to other counties [59]. To what extent has there been equity in enforcement and compliance of power sector-related environmental regulations in environmental justice communities in RGGI states? These are critical questions to answer to deepen our understanding of disparities in environmental hazards and outcomes in environmental justice communities.Our definition of what constitutes an EJ community identifies the intersection of populations of color with those of low income, but with the exception of the proximity analysis, our research does not consider power plant co-pollutant burdens in white EJ communities nor in wealthier communities of color. Other functional definitions of EJ communities may be more appropriate in other geographical contexts or reveal additional insights, as suggested by the five communities with high rates of people of color or people living in poverty that we classified as non-EJ community outliers (Fig 3). A guiding principle of environmental justice community organizing is to “let people speak for themselves” [60], which could imply that our definition of EJ communities may exclude communities that self-identify as EJ communities. While we find our method to be useful to systematically assess power plant-related burdens across a large number of communities, we recognize its potential to overlook communities burdened with historical and current environmental injustices, and invite further dialog among EJ advocates, researchers, and environmental regulators to refine the methods, and qualitative and quantitative data useful to assess the EJ status of communities.
Conclusions
We have taken an inductive approach to answering questions from environmental justice advocates regarding power plant emissions burdens, focusing on the mid-1990s to 2015. During that period, multiple policies as well as increased availability of natural gas, among other reasons, have contributed to reshaping the landscape of fossil fuel burning for electricity production nationally in the US, but also in RGGI states. In our research, the clearest signal of change in emissions trajectories is that of CO2, SO2, and NOx from coal, which coincides with the “dwindling role for coal” [61] transition in the U.S. energy sector towards natural gas. But that transition also clearly entailed a large increase in both the total number of natural gas-firing units and in total net generation from natural gas in environmental justice communities, indicating that RGGI’s focus on sector-wide, aggregate reductions has not explicitly considered potential impacts or inequitable burdens on environmental justice communities. This is especially salient because environmental justice advocates have warned that achieving equity and environmental justice goals requires explicit attention in carbon and climate mitigation policy, and should not be left up to chance in climate change mitigation policy [5]. In addition, concerns remain about the potential for carbon market forces to drive increases in carbon and co-pollutant emissions as utilities pursue lower-cost emissions reductions [3]. Some claim there is no evidence that emissions trading programs have exacerbated pollutant burdens in environmental justice communities [see 62–65]. But as Pastor et al. [29] have argued, these claims are largely theoretical and mostly lack empirical evidence [but see 66 for a notable exception]. We note that others have suggested that factors other than RGGI market incentives have driven emissions reductions: lower natural gas prices have been found to be “the main driver of the RGGI system” [67], but teasing out the endogenous or exogenous reasons for aggregate emissions reductions in RGGI is outside of the scope of our research and remains an area for future research especially in regards to environmental justice burdens. The electric power sector in RGGI is a managed policy landscape, and moving forward, there need to be policies that bring benefits to overburdened communities. While we did not analyze RGGI’s specific policies, we have demonstrated that differences in siting, generation, capacity factors, and emissions between environmental justice and non-environmental justice communities hosting RGGI power plants are significant (even if, as we have noted above, our analysis underestimates the true burden of power plant pollutant exposure).The coal to natural gas transition has occurred in the context of a largely successful effort from environmental, clean and renewable energy, and climate change mitigation advocacy groups to retire coal-burning power plants to reduce GHG emissions and enable the transition to renewable energy. In our analysis, the disaggregate benefits of that transition—as measured by inequities in number of natural gas-fired, units, and generation of electricity and CO2 emissions from natural gas—appear to have gone to non-environmental justice communities. But we have also shown that in RGGI states, non-EJ communities contain larger fractions of coal-fired EGUs than EJ communities, that reductions in average CO2 emissions between 1995–2005 in EJ communities were slightly larger, CO2 reductions in EJ communities were larger than in non-EJ communities after 2009, and average NOx emissions were larger in EJCs from 1995–2005, but dropped markedly after 2000. These results suggest that environmental inequalities manifest in many different ways. However, for environmental justice concerns, the most salient feature of the coal-to-natural gas transition shown in our analysis has been that the percent of natural gas-fired EGUs in EJ communities was consistently higher than in non-EJ communities.While there have been aggregate reductions in CO2, SO2, and NOx from power plants, communities hosting power plants in RGGI states have divergent historical and current conditions of social and environmental disadvantage, and policies cannot operate as if race, ethnicity, and income do not matter because, as we have demonstrated, they clearly do. But which policy, market, or other forces can account for the faster ramp up of natural gas power plants in environmental justice communities? To what degree did the transition entail new natural gas facilities versus coal plant conversions? How did power plant pollution control technologies over time contribute to changes in emissions? To what extent have advocacy groups’ campaigns aligned more with non-EJ communities, and how can these efforts help explain the differential patterns we found? These are critical questions to answer in light of inequities in enforcement of environmental, civil rights, and public health laws and policies, as well as pervasive discriminatory zoning and land-use practices, flaws in industrial risk assessment, and exclusionary practices that limit meaningful participation of environmental justice communities in decision-making, all of which prompted the emergence of the environmental justice in the first place [68, 69].Our analysis demonstrates that, in the absence of directed policy attention, there are real differences in siting and operation of facilities in communities of color and low-income communities, and the polluting potential for overburdened communities is higher. Therefore, policy efforts to address the energy generation sector’s emissions need to directly consider the equity implications of policy options, not just their impact on one or more pollutants. And, despite the fact that CO2 may be globally impactful, local effects of energy production cannot be ignored, ethically or legally.
Percent people of color and percent in poverty statistics in k-means cluster analysis of all census tracts in RGGI states.
(TIF)Click here for additional data file.
Diagnostic statistics of difference of means of polluting potential indicators between EGUs in environmental justice communities and non-environmental justice communities in RGGI states.
(XLSX)Click here for additional data file.31 Jan 2022
PONE-D-21-29053
Exploratory analysis of changing power plant pollutant burdens on environmental justice communities in the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative states
PLOS ONE
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You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters) Reviewer #1: - More suitable title should be selected for the article. Title should decrease to 10-12 words.- The abstract should state briefly the purpose of the research, the principal results and major conclusions. An abstract is often presented separately from the article, so it must be able to stand alone.- It is suggested to present the structure of the article at the end of the introduction.- The major defect of this study is the debate or Argument is not clear stated in the introduction session. Hence, the contribution is weak in this manuscript. I would suggest the author to enhance your theoretical discussion and arrives your debate or argument.- It is suggested to compare the results of the present research with some similar studies which is done before.- More suitable title should be selected for the figure 4 instead of “Demographics in k-means cluster analysis of Census Tracts hosting EGUs in RGGI.”.- It is suggested to add articles entitled “Okeke et al. City as Habitat; Assembling the Fragile City”, “Gibergans-Baguena et al. The Quality of Urban Air in Barcelona: A New Approach Applying Compositional Data Analysis Methods” and “Angelevska et al. Urban Air Quality Guidance Based on Measures Categorization in Road Transport” to the literature review.- Page 11: the following paragraph is unclear, so please reorganize that:“In addition, others have voiced more fundamental problems with carbon trading that do not center on emissions reductions, namely that carbon markets enable commodification of air pollution (30), effectively giving polluting facilities private property rights over the atmosphere.”- DOI of the references must be added (you can use “" ext-link-type="uri" xlink:type="simple">https://crossref.org/").- Much more explanations and interpretations must be added for the Results, which are not enough.- Please make sure your conclusions' section underscore the scientific value added of your paper, and/or the applicability of your findings/results, as indicated previously. Please revise your conclusion part into more details. Basically, you should enhance your contributions, limitations, underscore the scientific value added of your paper, and/or the applicability of your findings/results and future study in this session.Reviewer #2: Line 39: you need to define EJ for the ease of understanding before using it.Lines 88-93: There is a repetition of a sentence. Please remove it.Line 138: You have defined EJCs so you can use it here rather than using the complete name. Otherwise, there is no point of defining it earlier.For population proximity, I would recommend generating a map of proximity using all the power plants to show the spatial heterogeneities in census tracts rather summarizing them into a line graph. Similarly, the maximum number for distance in Figure is 10 miles. Does this implies that no population/community is present beyond 10 miles proximity to power plants? I think a map is required to explain such ambiguity.For the identification of EJ communities, more details are required to clearly state what EJ and Non-EJ community in this study means. Is an EJ community with larger ethnic composition and poverty? or is it the opposite. Please clearly define these communities.For polluting potential of EGUs, it is strongly recommended to also check the significance of increasing or decreasing trends between 1995-2015 in the context of RGGI.Lines 305-309: If the data for 2001 and 2002 is not used, how can one determined if the communities saw he "Sharpest" increase?Line 316: Generation of what? Please clarify for the sake of readersLine 370: there is a typoIn discussion, authors state that one of the key insights from this study is that EJ populations live closer to electric power plants. From where the authors deduce this insight? is it from Figure 3? if yes, the figure fails to explain which curves among the four are EJs and which ones are non-EJs.Similarly, Authors describe that validation of inequity that low income and people of color continue residing closer to pollution emitting facilities. In Figure 3, 40% cumulative population for all four curves is at a distance of ~4 mile and the rest of the population is beyond this. How the threshold of "closer" is defined in this study? and How to decide if 4 miles proximity is having health impacts? Similarly, did the authors use the temporal data on population (1995-2015) as well? if yes, you need to mention it. If not, how is it deduced that populations are still living closer to these facilities even after decades (line 389). There might be a decrease in the population residing the proximity of these facilities if one look at the temporal trends of population. However, it might require precise gridded population data to evaluate it. In a nutshell, the proximity section in this manuscript needs further explanations to clarify the issues.For the comparison of EJ- and Non-EJ-communities, I would recommend using some systematic analysis (i.e., ANOVA) to evaluate if the transitions were significantly different as stated in Lines 392-393.lastly, while the study offers a good discussion and details on limitations, there is still a lack of focus on what are the implications of the results and how the environmental planners along with community stakeholders might benefit from the findings of this study. Hence, it is recommended to discuss the potential implications of the findings from the perspective of decisions and policy.Reviewer #3: This study addresses a vital question: whether market-based greenhouse gas emission reduction mechanisms such as RGGI increase environmental injustice. But it suffers from a fatal flaw in methodology and also from a lack of effort to explain the patterning of findings. The authors selected on the dependent variable (by only including the 285 Census tracts hosting one EGU, rather than all Census tracts in the 11 RGGI states). This has biased the analysis, which only compares host communities with host communities; non-host communities (that tend to be whiter and higher in income) are entirely left out of the analysis which results in under-measuring environmental inequality (see Mohai 1995, his famous critique of Anderton, Anderson, Oakes and Fraser 1994).Mohai, Paul. "The demographics of dumping revisited: examining the impact of alternate methodologies in environmental justice research." Virginia Environmental Law Journal (1995): 615-653.The authors demonstrate a good working knowledge of environmental justice issues; if they choose to redo the analysis to eliminate bias, more could be done to increase this study’s contribution to the scientific literature. Specifically, the paper suffers due to lack of explanation of the findings: what is driving the shift? The authors would need to at least try to explain the patterning of environmental inequalities found so that the paper can be stronger scientifically and also be a better contribution for crafting policy.Due to the methodological problems, I am recommending that the paper be rejected. But I include detailed comments below in case the authors decide to re-do the analysis:Comments on Introduction and Literature Review:1. There needs to be some explanation of why RGGI matters for environmental inequality: how is RGGI hypothesized to decrease or increase environmental burdens for EJCs? How, if at all, might RGGI change the market calculation of what type of power plant might be profitable? The authors cite a few papers on these questions but I know there are many more.Comments on data and variables:1. It was not clear why “prime movers” mattered for this analysis. Do they have an effect on emissions? If so, how? If prime mover is just another way of referring to fuel, the authors should omit that phrase.2. On Page 10-11, the authors don’t provide a clear definition of “environmental justice community.” Does this mean census tracts above a certain threshold of percent people of color AND above a certain threshold of people in poverty (or was it OR a certain threshold of people in poverty)? And what were “non-EJC outliers?”3. On page 21, describing the limitations of the study, the authors state that it would have been preferable to consider people living under the poverty level (presumably, for a comparison with those living at poverty level), but due to limitations in Census data this was not possible. Given that the poverty level is such an outmoded undercount of people living in poverty, I doubt that comparing people in poverty with people in deep poverty would have been as useful as comparing people in poverty with those better off. But the authors could have compared people at 100% of poverty level with people at 200% of poverty level (the near-poor). These data are available in Table POV01, which should be available for the years up to 2014.Comments on methods:1. Unfortunately, the methods used in the analysis were fatally flawed: the authors selected on the dependent variable by only including the 285 census tracts that host EGUs in the analysis. This has biased the analysis because it compares host communities with host communities, leaving non-host communities entirely out of the analysis. The scope of the analysis is very important, as this methodological choice has been proven to underestimate environmental inequality (see Mohai 1995).Aside from this serious problem, other methodological choices were not adequately explained:2. It is not clear why the distance of four miles was chosen to represent proximity to EGUs. Is there some scientific justification for defining proximity in terms of four miles from the centroid of each census tract, rather than one mile, two miles, etc.?3. The authors seemed to miss out on some of the precision with which distance-based measures can find environmental inequalities. Did people of color or people in poverty live closer to EGUs than others? Or was a four-mile radius the basis for the analysis?Comments on interpretation of findings:1. The authors should at least try to find explanations for these patterns, such as the finding that there were fewer coal-fired EGUs and more natural gas-fueled EGUs in EJ communities. Below are some possible explanations that could be explored:• Natural-gas power plants may be newer than coal-fired power plants, and thus may have been sited recently. Since 1990 there has been more opposition to siting environmentally hazardous facilities; non-EJ communities may have successfully blocked new power plants, leaving EJ communities “the path of least resistance.”• This also could be driven by zoning: it is well established that minorities and the poor are more numerous in places zoned for industrial use.• Investment in new (natural gas) power plants or in the conversion of outmoded ones may have occurred in more densely populated urban and metropolitan areas versus rural areas. Populations in rural areas tend to be whiter and poorer.• It is likely that there is a lot of variation in the patterns of proximity to EGUs in RGGI-participating states: states that are white, rural and poor with little investment in new infrastructure (e.g., Maine) may be the same states with more outmoded coal-fired plants; states that are urban and diverse with extremes of wealth and poverty (e.g., New Jersey) may have more natural gas plants.• If any of these explanations are correct, they might explain the finding that CO2 and SO2 emissions in EJCs were higher between 1995-2005 but reductions were larger in EJCs after 2007.2. The finding regarding emissions appears to be a bright spot: emissions have gotten lower since 2005 for EJCs. But the authors needs to do more to illuminate an understanding of this finding: did the pattern of emissions change due to the shift from gas to coal? Was it due to plant modernization (better pollution controls, cleaner fuels, or both)? Was it because methane emissions increased while CO2 and SO2 decreased? All of these questions are really crucial ones for redressing environmental inequalities.3. Finally, what is the significance of the timing of the shift? Could it be due to policy (Energy Policy Act, Clean Power Plan, etc.)? Or the economy (gas prices)? If finding answers is beyond the scope of this study, the authors could speculate on these questions and suggest future research.Comments on Conclusions:1. The authors should mention the impacts on EJCs from the expansion of shale gas and oil, including fracking wells, oil trains, gas pipelines, liquid natural gas export terminals and compressor stations, among others.Comments on Figures:Figure 2: I was unable to understand from the manuscript why “prime mover type” was important. If it was because it affects the amount or toxicity of emissions, this should be made clear. I am not sure what this figure adds; if space limitations become an issue, I recommend omitting it.Figure 3: what are the “outliers”?Figures 5 – 10: There are too many figures, which take up space the authors need.Mohai, Paul. "The demographics of dumping revisited: examining the impact of alternate methodologies in environmental justice research." Virginia Environmental Law Journal (1995): 615-653.Reviewer #4: Title: Exploratory analysis of changing power plant pollutant burdens on environmental justice communities in the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative states.Summary of paper: While there have been many studies that evaluate the spatial distribution of environmental hazards to environmental justice populations (predominantly characterized as low income communities and communities of color), few studies have evaluated environmental justice burdens in GHG emissions markets. This study contributes to environmental justice literature by assessing pollution and power plant disparities in RGGI states. Authors found that a larger share of environmental justice populations live near power plants than non-ej populations and that the coal-to-natural gas transition was more evident in environmental justice communities. Reductions in CO2, NOx, and SO2 emissions were found to be similar in EJ communities and non ej communities over the time period studied, with a few differences.This paper offers valuable contributions to the field and contextualizes the importance of these considerations for GHG emissions and broader climate policy while discussing limitations clearly. However, there are a few areas with needed clarification of methods, presentation and discussion of certain results, citations, and supporting figures.Major changes:Literature Review (e.g., Line 86): add/incorporate citation - McCoy E. Which came first, coal-fired power plants or communities of color? Assessing the disparate siting hypothesis of environmental justice (Doctoral dissertation).Literature Review: add / incorporate citation - Diana, Ash, and Boyce (2021) Green for All: Integrating Air Quality and Environmental Justice into the Clean Energy Transition -- https://peri.umass.edu/economists/michael-ash/item/1408-green-for-all-integrating-air-quality-and-environmental-justice-into-the-clean-energy-transitionLines 189-192: In this paragraph, there should be more clarification on the exact variables that were used from the Census to form the “percent people of color” and white variables in the analysis. Specifically, was non-Hispanic white used to identify white populations in the analysis? Was the “percent people of color” variable built so that certain minority populations were not double counted? i.e. if the race variables of the Census (African American alone, Asian alone, etc) were combined with the ethnicity variable, ALL who identify as Hispanic or Latino of any race, then people who identify as both African American AND Hispanic or Latino would be double counted in the population of color. The same would be true for Hispanic White individuals in both the white population and the people of color population. Further clarification is needed to confirm this error did not take place. If populations were double counted, this could significantly impact the analysis and require major revisions.Lines 199 - 205: A figure depicting the methods of CDF would clarify the process followed for the readerLine 242: The analysis drops to focus only on the 285 Census tracts that contain an EGU. It would be helpful to clarify how many total ej and non-ej tracts there were regardless of presence of an EGU in the study area and it seems as though some results are presented in a way that makes the distinction between presence of EGU or not unclear. It would aid the analysis to consider the rate of EGU in non-ej communities relative to ALL non-ej communities and the rate of EGU in ej communities relative to ALL ej communities.Lines 232 - 246: it’s not clear what the threshold for defining an EJ community is and if there is no threshold, what makes an ej community distinct from a non-ej community.Lines 291 - 298: the presentation of the results on the number of EGUs cited in ej and non ej tracts is not convincing. One possible clarification would be including the rate of EGUs in EJ or non EJ tracts relative to ALL ej or non EJ tracts in the study area, not just those with EGUs. Continued below:Lines 412 - 413: given the results, the statement “environmental justice communities more frequently host multiple EGUs compared to non-environmental justice communities” seems inaccurate because non-ej communities still host a higher number of EGU units (49) than ej communities (20). Reading the data presented, a reader could interpret that a larger proportion of EGUs are in non-ej communities, both when sited as 1 unit or 2-5 units together -- this seems to be different from how this data is discussed by the authors. This result (above) and discussion of the result here should be removed, reworded/clarified, or considered from another perspective (i.e., as mentioned above, percentage of ej community tracts with EGUs / ej community tracts total vs percentage of non-ej community tracts with EGUs / non-ej community tracts total) in order to be supported by the data.Minor changes:Line 45: missing citationLines 88-90: cut, repeated verbatim in lines 91-93Line 102: missing citationLine 170: clarify the analysis is limited to plants greater than 25 MW. In the discussion, it is stated that above 25 MW are those that fall within the scope of RGGI, so it would be helpful to the reader if that was stated earlier in this spot as well.Line 232 - remove word unbias. Any method requires choices that include bias.********** 6. PLOS authors have the option to publish the peer review history of their article (what does this mean?). If published, this will include your full peer review and any attached files.If you choose “no”, your identity will remain anonymous but your review may still be made public.Do you want your identity to be public for this peer review? For information about this choice, including consent withdrawal, please see our Privacy Policy. Reviewer #1: NoReviewer #2: NoReviewer #3: Yes: Diane M. SicotteReviewer #4: No[NOTE: If reviewer comments were submitted as an attachment file, they will be attached to this email and accessible via the submission site. Please log into your account, locate the manuscript record, and check for the action link "View Attachments". If this link does not appear, there are no attachment files.]While revising your submission, please upload your figure files to the Preflight Analysis and Conversion Engine (PACE) digital diagnostic tool, https://pacev2.apexcovantage.com/. PACE helps ensure that figures meet PLOS requirements. To use PACE, you must first register as a user. Registration is free. Then, login and navigate to the UPLOAD tab, where you will find detailed instructions on how to use the tool. If you encounter any issues or have any questions when using PACE, please email PLOS at figures@plos.org. Please note that Supporting Information files do not need this step.Submitted filename: comments_authors_RGGI_EJ.docxClick here for additional data file.4 Apr 2022Please see response to reviewers.Submitted filename: response to reviewers.docxClick here for additional data file.24 May 2022
PONE-D-21-29053R1
Environmental justice and power plant emissions in the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative states
PLOS ONE
Dear Dr. Declet-Barreto,Thank you for submitting your manuscript to PLOS ONE. After careful consideration, we feel that it has merit but does not fully meet PLOS ONE’s publication criteria as it currently stands. Therefore, we invite you to submit a revised version of the manuscript that addresses the points raised during the review process.==============================
I have served as a reviewer for the first draft of this manuscript.
The article is mostly ready for publication, but minor revisions are needed because the authors’ interpretation of their findings in the Findings, Discussion and Conclusions sections are not consistent with the data presented in the article (see Comments below). Revisions on interpretation of findings are necessary for publication as is clarifying the discussion of findings on Page 18. The recommendation that the authors emphasize the disparity in the number of EGUs is suggested but not required.
Comments on data and variables:In the revised version of the paper, the authors are no longer testing for disparities in the presence/absence of EGUs within a 4-mile radius, but rather testing for disparities in distance/proximity to EGUs. They are still comparing conditions only in host communities, but seeking to determine whether, within host communities, EJCs live closer to EGUs than non-EJCs. The methodology used (CDF function) was appropriate to the research question, and the researchers were able to provide convincing evidence of disparities in proximity.Comments on guiding questions and their relationship to findings and interpretation of findings (Page 7):Question 2 asks if income and race are an appropriate basis for delineating EJ communities from non-EJ communities.Question 3 asks what is the distribution of the polluting potential as measured by fuel type, total net generation, capacity factor and actual pollution from CO2, SO2 and NOx in EJCs vs. non-EJCs.Findings:1. People of color are 23.5% more likely to live within 0-6.2 miles of an EGU; people living in poverty are 15.3% more likely to live within 0-4.9 miles of an EGU.2. 42.6% of EJCs host 2-5 EGUs but only 28% of non-EJCs do.This is a rather significant point, one that should be emphasized more when discussing possible disparities in exposures to air pollutants from EGUs.3. Overall, from 1995-2015 % of coal-fired EGUs smaller in EJCs (higher in non-EJCs).4. Since 2003: % of natural gas EGUs higher in EJCs than non-EJCs.5. Total net generation in non-EJCs about 3 times as high as in EJCs (stated on Page 17).Findings 3 and 5 provide another indication that RGGI has not affected all communities evenly, since non-EJCs face higher risk of exposure to pollutants from coal-fired power plants than EJCs, and pollution potential in terms of generation is higher for non-EJCs. It is higher in other ways for EJCs (EJCs closer to EGUs, more EJCs host multiple EGUs, EJCs suffer more potential exposure from gas-fired plants). The authors should mention and discuss all the ways in which environmental inequalities manifest.This implies that non-EJCs have benefited less from the shift from coal to natural gas than EJCs. This, too, should be mentioned and discussed.These results also imply that the definition of EJCs in purely demographic terms has some important limitations: it has the effect of making distributional inequalities that affect communities not defined as EJCs invisible, perhaps because their demographics are just slightly too white or not poor enough. The authors should at least mention this, perhaps couching it in terms of answering Question 2.6. Between 1995-2005, CO2 emissions in EJCs were slightly higher; reductions were larger in EJCs after 2009.This implies that EJCs might have benefited somewhat, or in some ways, from reductions in CO2 emissions due to RGGI. While there may be other factors that partially or totally eclipse this benefit, the authors should not ignore this finding.7. After 2003, CO2 emissions from natural gas rose in EJCs more than in non-EJCs.8. (Page 18): S02 emissions higher in both types of communities (or just EJCs)?The authors should clarify the discussion on Page 18; as written, it is unclear.9. Starting in 2003, S02 emissions decreased in EGUs in both types of communities but reductions were larger in EJCs especially after 2007.As is true of #6, the authors need to discuss this finding and put it into context.10. S02 emissions mostly from coal and oil; decreased more in EJCs after 2009.Same as #6 and #9.11. Average NOX emissions were larger in EJCs during 1995-2005 but dropped markedly after 2000.==============================Same as #6, #9 and #10.Please submit your revised manuscript by Jul 08 2022 11:59PM. If you will need more time than this to complete your revisions, please reply to this message or contact the journal office at plosone@plos.org. When you're ready to submit your revision, log on to https://www.editorialmanager.com/pone/ and select the 'Submissions Needing Revision' folder to locate your manuscript file.Please include the following items when submitting your revised manuscript:
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15 Jun 2022See the cover letter for our responses.Submitted filename: letter from reviewer.docxClick here for additional data file.23 Jun 2022Environmental justice and power plant emissions in the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative statesPONE-D-21-29053R2Dear Dr. Declet-Barreto,We’re pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been judged scientifically suitable for publication and will be formally accepted for publication once it meets all outstanding technical requirements.Within one week, you’ll receive an e-mail detailing the required amendments. When these have been addressed, you’ll receive a formal acceptance letter and your manuscript will be scheduled for publication.An invoice for payment will follow shortly after the formal acceptance. To ensure an efficient process, please log into Editorial Manager at http://www.editorialmanager.com/pone/, click the 'Update My Information' link at the top of the page, and double check that your user information is up-to-date. If you have any billing related questions, please contact our Author Billing department directly at authorbilling@plos.org.If your institution or institutions have a press office, please notify them about your upcoming paper to help maximize its impact. If they’ll be preparing press materials, please inform our press team as soon as possible -- no later than 48 hours after receiving the formal acceptance. Your manuscript will remain under strict press embargo until 2 pm Eastern Time on the date of publication. For more information, please contact onepress@plos.org.Kind regards,Diane SicotteGuest EditorPLOS ONEAdditional Editor Comments (optional):Reviewers' comments:27 Jun 2022PONE-D-21-29053R2Environmental justice and power plant emissions in the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative statesDear Dr. Declet-Barreto:I'm pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been deemed suitable for publication in PLOS ONE. Congratulations! Your manuscript is now with our production department.If your institution or institutions have a press office, please let them know about your upcoming paper now to help maximize its impact. If they'll be preparing press materials, please inform our press team within the next 48 hours. Your manuscript will remain under strict press embargo until 2 pm Eastern Time on the date of publication. For more information please contact onepress@plos.org.If we can help with anything else, please email us at plosone@plos.org.Thank you for submitting your work to PLOS ONE and supporting open access.Kind regards,PLOS ONE Editorial Office Staffon behalf ofDr. Diane SicotteGuest EditorPLOS ONE
Authors: Paul Y Kerl; Wenxian Zhang; Juan B Moreno-Cruz; Athanasios Nenes; Matthew J Realff; Armistead G Russell; Joel Sokol; Valerie M Thomas Journal: Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A Date: 2015-08-17 Impact factor: 11.205
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