| Literature DB >> 35721073 |
Marcus Ang1,2,3, Feng He2, Stephanie Lang1, Charumathi Sabanayagam2,3, Ching-Yu Cheng2,3, Anshu Arundhati1,2,3, Jodhbir S Mehta1,2,3.
Abstract
Purpose: Machine learning analysis of factors associated with 10-year graft survival of Descemet stripping automated endothelial keratoplasty (DSAEK) and penetrating keratoplasty (PK) in Asian eyes.Entities:
Keywords: endothelial (dys)function; graft survival; keratoplasty; machine learning; penetrating keratoplasty
Year: 2022 PMID: 35721073 PMCID: PMC9200960 DOI: 10.3389/fmed.2022.831352
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Med (Lausanne) ISSN: 2296-858X
Baseline characteristics of study cohort comparing penetrating keratoplasty (PK) and Descemet stripping automated endothelial keratoplasty (DSAEK) from the Singapore Cornea Transplant Registry.
| Characteristics | Corneal Graft | |||
| Total | PK | DSAEK | ||
| Mean age, years (± SD) | 68.3 ± 11.4 | 67.4 ± 12.0 | 68.7 ± 11.1 | 0.212 |
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| Male | 635 (47.6) | 191 (49.1) | 444 (46.9) | 0.509 |
| Female | 700 (52.4) | 198 (50.9) | 502 (53.1) | |
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| Chinese | 1,023 (76.6) | 306 (78.7) | 717 (75.8) | 0.515 |
| Malay | 63 (4.7) | 20 (5.1) | 43 (4.5) | |
| Indian | 70 (5.2) | 18 (4.6) | 52 (5.5) | |
| Others | 179 (13.4) | 45 (11.6) | 134 (14.2) | |
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| Fuchs Dystrophy (FED) | 504 (37.8) | 93 (23.9) | 411 (43.4) | < 0.001 |
| Bullous Keratopathy (BK) | 831 (62.2) | 296 (76.1) | 535 (56.6) | |
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| Visual Acuity (logMAR) (mean, SD) | 1.24 ± 0.58 | 1.57 ± 0.45 | 1.10 ± 0.57 | < 0.001 |
| Endothelial cell counts (cells/mm2, SD) | 2,819 ± 281 | 2,704 ± 340 | 2,865 ± 237 | < 0.001 |
PK, penetrating keratoplasty; DSAEK, Descemet’s stripping automated endothelial keratoplasty; SD, standard deviation.
*P value from Mann–Whitney test or chi-square test as appropriate.
FIGURE 1Kaplan–Meier graft survival curves demonstrated superior 5- and 10-year graft survival comparing Descemet stropping automated endothelial keratoplasty (DSAEK) to penetrating keratoplasty (PK), N = number of grafts analyzed (log-rank P-value < 0.001).
FIGURE 2Kaplan Meier graft survival curves demonstrated superior 10-year graft survival comparing Descemet stropping automated endothelial keratoplasty (DSAEK) to penetrating keratoplasty (PK) in eyes (N = number of grafts analyzed) with (A) bullous keratopathy (BK, log-rank P < 0.001) and (B) Fuchs endothelial dystrophy (FED, log-rank P < 0.001).
FIGURE 3The variable importance (VIMP) plot showing the top 30 variables and interactions for predicting graft failure using Random Survival Forest (RSF) machine learning algorithm. The VIMP score for each candidate variable calculates the difference between the original OOB error rate and the rate after permuting variable values, while VIMP for pair-wise interaction measures the difference between the sum of paired VIMP scores and the VIMP permuting two variables simultaneously. Top-ranked interactions highlight the association between variable pairs that is important for successful prediction in the model.
Hazard ratios for factors associated with 10-year graft failure using random survival forest to determine optimal multivariate regression model.
| Factors | Hazard ratio | 95% CI | |||
| Lower | Upper | ||||
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| BK | 791 | 2.838 | < 0.001 | 1.892 | 4.259 |
| FED | 492 | ||||
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| PK | 368 | 1.643 | 0.002 | 1.192 | 2.265 |
| DSAEK | 915 | ||||
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| Male | 608 | 1.751 | < 0.001 | 1.308 | 2.344 |
| Female | 675 | ||||
| Pre-operative visual acuity (logMAR) | 1,283 | 1.601 | 0.005 | 1.154 | 2.220 |
| Donor endothelial cell count | 1,283 | 1.000 | 0.171 | 0.999 | 1.000 |
*N = 1283 after excluding 52 subjects who did not have pre-operative visual acuity data available.
**For continuous variables, but linear and non-linear associations were also assessed using penalized splines.
BK, bullous keratopathy; FED, Fuchs endothelial dystrophy; PK, penetrating keratoplasty; DSAEK, Descemet stripping automated endothelial keratoplasty.
Ten-year cumulative incidence of complications comparing Descemet stripping automated endothelial keratoplasty (DSAEK) and penetrating keratoplasty (PK) in our study cohort.
| Cumulative incidence (%) ± 95%CI | |||
| PK | DSAEK | ||
| Transient elevated IOP (>21 mmHg) | 26.0 (21.7–30.6) | 20.8 (18.3–23.6) | 0.040 |
| Late graft failure | 12.3 (9.2–16.0) | 4.5 (3.3–6.1) | < 0.001 |
| Epithelial problems | 11.6 (8.6–15.2) | 2.5 (1.6–3.8) | < 0.001 |
| Graft rejection episode | 9.5 (6.8–12.9) | 4.2 (3.0–5.7) | < 0.001 |
| Primary graft failure | 2.3 (1.1–4.3) | 1.8 (1.1–2.9) | 0.535 |
| Anterior synechiae | 2.3 (1.1–4.3) | 1.4 (0.7–2.3) | 0.221 |
| Microbial keratitis | 2.1 (0.9–4.0) | 1.3 (0.7–2.2) | 0.281 |
| Wound dehiscence | 2.1 (0.9–4.0) | 0 (0–0.4) | < 0.001 |
| Cytomegalovirus infection | 1.3 (0.4–3.0) | 1.4 (0.7–2.3) | 0.898 |
| Herpes simplex virus infection | 1.0 (0.3–2.6) | 0.8 (0.4–1.7) | 0.754 |
| Endophthalmitis | 0.5 (0.1–1.8) | 0.2 (0–0.8) | 0.585 |
| Graft detachment | 0 (0–0.9) | 3.5 (2.4–4.9) | < 0.001 |
PK, penetrating keratoplasty; DSAEK, Descemet’s stripping automated endothelial keratoplasty; SD, standard deviation; IOP, intraocular pressure.
*Complications as recorded in our prospective Singapore Corneal Transplant Registry database.