Literature DB >> 35434696

In-hospital mortality and severe outcomes after hospital discharge due to COVID-19: A prospective multicenter study from Brazil.

Hugo Perazzo1, Sandra W Cardoso1, Maria Pia D Ribeiro1, Rodrigo Moreira1, Lara E Coelho1, Emilia M Jalil1, André Miguel Japiassú1, Elias Pimentel Gouvêa1, Estevão Portela Nunes1, Hugo Boechat Andrade1, Luciano Barros Gouvêa1, Marcel Treptow Ferreira1, Pedro Mendes de Azambuja Rodrigues1, Ronaldo Moreira1, Kim Geraldo1, Lucilene Freitas1, Vinicius V Pacheco1, Esau Custódio João2, Trevon Fuller2, Verônica Diniz Rocha3, Ceuci de Lima Xavier Nunes3, Tâmara Newman Lobato Souza4, Ana Luiza Castro Conde Toscano4, Alexandre Vargas Schwarzbold5, Helena Carolina Noal5, Gustavo de Araujo Pinto6, Paula Macedo de Oliveira Lemos6, Carla Santos7, Fernanda Carvalho de Queiroz Mello7, Valdilea G Veloso1, Beatriz Grinsztejn1.   

Abstract

Background: We evaluated in-hospital mortality and outcomes incidence after hospital discharge due to COVID-19 in a Brazilian multicenter cohort.
Methods: This prospective multicenter study (RECOVER-SUS, NCT04807699) included COVID-19 patients hospitalized in public tertiary hospitals in Brazil from June 2020 to March 2021. Clinical assessment and blood samples were performed at hospital admission, with post-hospital discharge remote visits. Hospitalized participants were followed-up until March 31, 2021. The outcomes were in-hospital mortality and incidence of rehospitalization or death after hospital discharge. Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox proportional-hazard models were performed. Findings: 1589 participants [54.5% male, age=62 (IQR 50-70) years; BMI=28.4 (IQR,24.9-32.9) Kg/m² and 51.9% with diabetes] were included. A total of 429 individuals [27.0% (95%CI,24.8-29.2)] died during hospitalization (median time 14 (IQR,9-24) days). Older age [vs<40 years; age=60-69 years-aHR=1.89 (95%CI,1.08-3.32); age=70-79 years-aHR=2.52 (95%CI,1.42-4.45); age≥80-aHR=2.90 (95%CI 1.54-5.47)]; noninvasive or mechanical ventilation at admission [vs facial-mask or none; aHR=1.69 (95%CI 1.30-2.19)]; SAPS-III score≥57 [vs<57; aHR=1.47 (95%CI 1.13-1.92)] and SOFA score≥10 [vs <10; aHR=1.51 (95%CI 1.08-2.10)] were independently associated with in-hospital mortality. A total of 65 individuals [6.7% (95%CI 5.3-8.4)] had a rehospitalization or death [rate=323 (95%CI 250-417) per 1000 person-years] in a median time of 52 (range 1-280) days post-hospital discharge. Age ≥ 60 years [vs <60, aHR=2.13 (95%CI 1.15-3.94)] and SAPS-III ≥57 at admission [vs <57, aHR=2.37 (95%CI 1.22-4.59)] were independently associated with rehospitalization or death after hospital discharge. Interpretation: High in-hospital mortality rates due to COVID-19 were observed and elderly people remained at high risk of rehospitalization and death after hospital discharge. Funding: Fundação Carlos Chagas Filho de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado do Rio de Janeiro (FAPERJ), Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq) and Programa INOVA-FIOCRUZ.
© 2022 The Author(s).

Entities:  

Keywords:  ALT, alanine aminotransferase; AST, aspartate aminotransferase BMI, body mass index; CI, confidence interval; COVID-19; COVID-19, Coronavirus disease 2019; CRP, C-reactive protein; ESR, erythrocyte sedimentation rate; ICU, intensive care unit; INR, international normalized ratio; IQR, interquartile range; In-hospital mortality; NIV, non-invasive ventilation; PD, person-days; PY, person-years; Post-COVID-19; REDCap, research electronic data capture; SAPS-III, simplified acute physiology score III; SARS-CoV-2, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2; SOFA, sequential organ failure assessment; VIF, variance inflation factor; VOC, variant of concern; WHO, World Health Organization; aHR, adjusted-hazard ratio

Year:  2022        PMID: 35434696      PMCID: PMC9001143          DOI: 10.1016/j.lana.2022.100244

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Lancet Reg Health Am        ISSN: 2667-193X


Evidence before this study

Although risk factors of COVID-19 in-hospital mortality have been reported, most studies from Brazil have been based on retrospective cohorts and dataset analyses. More recently, long-term post-COVID-19 syndrome has been described as a potential complication. However, there is a paucity of data available regarding severe complications after hospital discharge in people hospitalized with COVID-19 in Latin America.

Added value of this study

In this study, we prospectively analyzed data from 1589 individuals hospitalized with COVID-19 and followed until hospital discharge, death, or a censured date (March 31, 2021) in seven centres in Brazil [RECOVER-SUS study; NCT04807699]. In addition, participants who were discharged from hospital were visited to follow-up on incidence, rehospitalization or death after hospital discharge. We identified factors associated with in-hospital mortality and incidence of severe outcomes post-hospital discharge due to COVID-19. In-hospital mortality rate was high; older age, substantial ventilation support and high severity scores (SAPS-III and SOFA scores) at hospital admission were significantly associated with in-hospital mortality. The incidence of severe outcomes after hospital discharge was also high. Even after hospital discharge, people aged ≥ 60 years and/or those with high SAPS-III score ≥ 57 at hospital admission had a 2-fold higher risk of death or rehospitalization during outpatient follow-up.

Implications of all evidence available

Our findings have important implications for optimizing patient management during hospitalization due to COVID-19 and after hospital discharge in low-to-middle income countries. These findings help to fill a knowledge gap regarding long-term impact of post-COVID-19 syndrome. Alt-text: Unlabelled box

Introduction

Globally, the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) that caused the Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has overwhelmed health systems due to high rates of hospitalization and intensive care unit (ICU) admissions. Brazil, the largest country in Latin America, is characterized by deep social and economic inequalities. As of March 2022, Brazil, an epicenter of the COVID-19 pandemic, ranks second in number of deaths (more than 650,000 since March 2020). Relatively high intra-hospital mortality rates due to COVID-19 have been reported worldwide (from 17 to 38%).4, 5, 6, 7 Estimates of hospital admission and mortality rates in Brazil have been based on retrospective studies and dataset analyses.7, 8, 9 However, prospective data evaluating risk factors associated with overall mortality in Brazil are still scarce. More recently, long-term post-COVID-19 syndrome has been described as a potential complication after COVID-19. However, there is a paucity of available data regarding severe complications after hospital discharge in people hospitalized with COVID-19 worldwide. The RECOVER-SUS study was a collaboration among universities/research institutions and/or tertiary centers from the Brazilian Public Health System (“Sistema Único de Saúde”) to tackle COVID-19 pandemic in Brazil. This analysis aimed to evaluate the incidence of in-hospital mortality and severe outcomes (rehospitalization or death) after hospital discharge due to COVID-19 in a multicenter prospective cohort from Brazil.

Methods

Study design and population

The RECOVER-SUS study [NCT04807699] is a prospective multicenter study that have been conducted in seven public tertiary hospitals from five cities in Brazil [Instituto Nacional de Infectologia Evandro Chagas-Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (INI/FIOCRUZ), Hospital Federal Servidores do Estado do Rio de Janeiro (HFSE/RJ) and Hospital Universitário Clementino Fraga Filho/Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro (HUCFF/UFRJ) in Rio de Janeiro (RJ); Instituto de Infectologia Emilio Ribas in São Paulo (SP), Instituto Couto Maia in Salvador (BA), Hospital Regional São José in Florianópolis (SC), and Universidade Federal de Santa Maria (UFSM) in Santa Maria (RS)]. Briefly, COVID-19 hospitalized patients are followed at multiple time-points. Additionally, a remote contact is performed for discharged RECOVER-SUS participants to assess post-discharge complications after hospitalization with COVID-19. For the present study, we analyzed data from a convenience sample of all participants aged ≥18 years hospitalized with COVID-19 from June 2020 to March 2021 who were prospectively enrolled in the multicenter RECOVER-SUS study. Participants without suspected, probable or confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection according to the World Health Organization (WHO) COVID-19 case definition were excluded. The study protocol was approved by the Institutional Review Board (IRB) from INI/FIOCRUZ (IRB 32449420.4.1001.5262) and all co-participant institutions (IRB numbers 2449420.4.2004.5252, 32449420.4.2013.5257, 32449420.4.2001.0061, 32449420.4.2010.004, 32449420.4.2009.0113, 32449420.4.2006.5346). All participants or their legal representatives signed an informed consent prior to enrollment in the RECOVER-SUS study.

Data collection and in-hospital follow-up

Socio-demographic characteristics, comorbidities, co-medications, COVID-19 symptoms and vital signs and anthropometric measures (weight and height) were recorded at hospital admission (baseline). Clinical data and blood samples were collected by trained investigators at baseline and days 3 (D3), 7 (D7) and 14 (D14) of hospitalization. Additionally, clinical data were recorded at days 10 (D10), 21 (D21), 25 (D25), 30 (D30) and every 5 days thereafter if hospital stay was longer than 30 days. Laboratory tests included red and white blood-cells count, platelets count, international normalized ratio (INR), creatinine, alanine aminotransferase (ALT), aspartate aminotransferase (AST), total bilirubin, procalcitonin, C-reactive protein (CRP) and erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR). Severity of COVID-19 was defined according to the WHO severity classification. Simplified Acute Physiology Score III (SAPS-III) and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) Score were calculated at baseline. Study data were collected and managed using REDCap electronic data capture tools hosted at INI-FIOCRUZ All participants were followed from hospital admission until transfer to other institution, hospital discharge, death, or censured date on March 31, 2021, whichever occurred first. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality.

Post discharge procedures

A remote visit (telephone call) at least 2 weeks after hospital discharge was performed by trained investigators for all discharged participants included in the RECOVER-SUS study. Participants (or authorized relatives/household members) were interviewed to assess participant's health status. The outcomes assessed during remote visits were any episode of rehospitalization (defined as minimum length of stay of 24 h in any hospital/institution) and post discharge death. If more than one hospitalization episode occurred during this post-discharge follow-up, the first one was considered for the analysis. Therefore, the secondary outcome of this study was rehospitalization or death.

Statistical analysis

Continuous variables were reported as median (interquartile range, IQR) and categorical variables were reported as absolute (n) and relative frequencies (%). Missing data were reported in Tables. Chi-squared and Mann-Whitney/Kruskal-Wallis tests were used for between groups comparisons. In-hospital follow-up started at the first day of hospitalization and ended at the earliest of death, hospital transfer or discharge, or March 31, 2021, whichever occurred first. The primary and secondary outcomes for this analysis were overall in-hospital mortality and rehospitalization or death after hospital discharge. Post-discharge follow-up started at day of discharge and ended at the earliest of death, rehospitalization or day of contact for those who were alive and did not have any rehospitalization. The incidence outcomes rates [per 1000 person-days (PD) for in-hospital mortality and per 1000 person-years (PY) for post-discharge outcomes] were calculated considering individuals who experienced and those who did not experience an outcome event. Kaplan–Meier curves were plotted, and the log-rank tests were calculated. We used the time to event Cox proportional-hazard model for uni- and multivariate analyses after checking that the main variables verified the proportional-hazard assumption using the Schoenfeld residuals. All continuous variables were categorized in Cox models to mitigate a potential influence of outliers on the estimate of risk for primary and secondary outcomes (hazard-ratios). All Cox models were adjusted for the variable “center” to minimize the risk of center-specific bias clustering effect due to an imbalance among centers of the RECOVER-SUS study. Variables associated with each outcome (p ≤ 0.05) were entered into multivariate models adjusted for age and sex at birth. The severity of multicollinearity among variables entered in each multivariate Cox model was quantified by the variance inflation factor (VIF). Age was stratified into four group categories for analysis of in-hospital mortality: 18–39 years; 40–59 years; 60–69 years; 70–79 years and ≥80 years. Sensitivity analyses were performed considering hospital admission in different periods: from June to December 2020 and from January to March 2021. The analysis was performed using STATA-package, version 15, 2017 (StataCorp LP, College Station, TX, USA). Significance level was determined when p ≤ 0.05 assuming two-tailed tests.

Ethics approval and consent to participate

The study was approved by the Ethical Committee from Instituto Nacional de Infectologia Evandro Chagas – Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (IRB n° 32449420.4.1001.5262); Hospital Federal Servidores do Estado do Rio de Janeiro (IRB n° 32449420.4.2004.5252); Hospital Universitário Clementino Fraga Filho/Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro (IRB n° 32449420.4.2013.5257); Instituto de Infectologia Emilio Ribas (IRB n° 32449420.4.2001.0061); Instituto Couto Maia (IRB n° 32449420.4.2010.0046); Hospital Regional São José (IRB n° 32449420.4.2009.0113); and Universidade Federal de Santa Maria (IRB n° 32449420.4.2006.5346)

Role of the funding source

This work was supported by funding from Fundação Carlos Chagas Filho de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado do Rio de Janeiro [grants E26/202.915/2018, E-26/201.351/2021 and E-26/210.820/2021], from Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq) [grant 305789/2019-8] and from Programa INOVA-FIOCRUZ [Geração de Conhecimento – Enfrentamento da Pandemia e Pós-Pandemia COVID-19 grant number VPPCB-005-FIO-2]. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish or preparation of the manuscript.

Results

A total of 1649 individuals hospitalized with COVID-19 symptoms from June 7, 2020, to March 31, 2021 were included in the RECOVER-SUS study. From those, 60 subjects not classified as suspected, probable, or confirmed case by the WHO definition were excluded from analysis. Thus, 1589 participants [54.5% male, median age=62 (IQR, 50–70), median body mass index (BMI) of 28.4 (IQR, 24.9–32.9) Kg/m²; 51.9% with type-2 diabetes and 33.9% with systemic arterial hypertension] were included in the study (Figure 1 ). Table 1 summarizes clinical and demographic characteristics and laboratory results at hospital admission of participants included in the study. Symptoms were initiated in a median time of 8 (IQR, 5–11) days before hospitalization. The most common symptoms were shortness of breath [n = 1115 (70.2%)], cough [n = 1011 (63.6%)] and fever [n = 875 (55.1%)]. A total of 1321 (83.1%) participants had confirmed COVID-19, and most individuals (n = 1350; 87.4%) were classified as WHO severity score between 6 and 8. At hospital admission, 25.8% (n = 409) participants were receiving supplementary oxygen by facial mask, 1.4% (n = 22) by non-invasive ventilation (NIV) and 13.6% (n = 216) were under mechanical ventilation. Regarding laboratory results, the median (IQR) leucocytes and lymphocytes counts were 8.88 (6.24–12.41) x109/L and 0.98 (0.64–1.49) x109/L, respectively. Additionally, median (IQR) levels of procalcitonin, CRP and ESR were 0.16 (0.10–0.49) ng/ml, 14 (7–20) mg/dL and 75 (47–101) mm/h, respectively. Supplementary Table 1 shows baseline characteristics according to the study center. The cycle threshold values and SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern (VOC) were available for a sub-sample of 631 and 134 subjects hospitalized at INI/FIOCRUZ (Rio de Janeiro), respectively. Cycle threshold values were lower or equal to 25, representing high viral load, in 86% (n = 541) of those subjects. Regarding, SARS-Cov-2 VOCs, Pango lineages B.1.1.33 and B.1.1.28 were observed in 40% (n = 53) and 16% (n = 22); P.2 in 21% (n = 28) of cases and Gamma (P.1) in 22% (n = 29) of cases. B.1.1.33 and B.1.1.28 lineages were present mostly in people hospitalized in 2020 and Gamma was observed exclusively in those individuals hospitalized in 2021. There was no individual hospitalized up to March 31, 2021 presenting Delta SARS-CoV-2 VOC (Supplementary Table 2).
Figure 1

Flow-chart of RECOVER-SUS participants included for in-hospital mortality and post-discharge analyses.

Table 1

Baseline characteristics of individuals hospitalized at 7 centers in RECOVER-SUS, Brazil, from June 7, 2020 to March 31, 2021.

All (n = 1589)Discharged from hospital (n = 1160)In-hospital death (n = 429)P value
Socio-demographic characteristics
Male sex a866 (54.5)614 (52.9)252 (58.7)0.039
Age b62 (50–70)59 (47–68)68 (59–75)<0.001
Race/skin-colora0.041
White442 (27.8)330 (28.4)112 (26.1)
Black139 (8.7)114 (9.8)25 (5.8)
Mixed ("Pardo")859 (54.1)617 (53.2)242 (56.4)
Other13 (0.9)12 (1.1)1 (0.2)
Unknown/not reported136 (8.5)87 (7.5)49 (11.4)
Annual family income (USD)a0.019
Up to 2268284 (17.9)220 (19.0)64 (14.9)
2269 to 6804694 (43.7)490 (42.2)204 (47.6)
6805 to 13596329 (20.7)241 (20.8)88 (20.5)
More than 1359797 (6.1)81 (7.0)16 (3.7)
Unknown/not reported184 (11.6)128 (11.0)56 (13.3)
Years of schoolinga0.023
Less than 8 years360 (22.7)252 (21.7)108 (25.2)
8 to 10 years407 (25.6)288 (24.8)119 (27.7)
11 to 14 years530 (33.4)401 (34.6)129 (30.1)
More than 14 years200 (12.6)162 (14.0)38 (8.9)
Unknown/not reported92 (5.7)57 (4.9)35 (8.2)
Comorbidities
Former or current smokera164 (10.3)
BMI, Kg/m2a, b28.4 (24.9–32.9)28.7 (25.0–33.1)28.0 (24.5–31.6)0.011
BMI < 25 Kg/m2394 (24.8)271 (23.4)123 (28.7)
BMI=25–29.99 Kg/m2518 (32.6)366 (31.6)152 (35.4)
BMI=30–34.99 Kg/m2349 (22.0)269 (23.2)80 (18.6)
BMI=35–39.99 Kg/m2144 (9.1)104 (9.0)40 (9.3)
BMI ≥ 40 Kg/m2101 (6.4)79 (6.8)22 (5.1)
Unknown/not reported83 (5.1)71 (6.1)22 (5.1)
Type-2 diabetesa824 (51.9)587 (50.6)237 (55.2)0.100
Arterial Systemic Hypertensiona538 (33.9)407 (35.1)131 (30.5)0.089
COPDa88 (5.5)48 (4.1)40 (9.3)< 0.001
Heart disease142 (8.9)93 (8.0)49 (11.4)0.035
Chronic kidney diseasea49 (3.1)32 (2.8)17 (4.0)0.220
Symptoms
Time from onset of symptoms to hospital admission, daysb8 (5–11)8 (5–11)7 (4–10)0.002
Fevera875 (55.1)675 (58.2)200 (46.6)< 0.001
Cougha1011 (63.6)767 (66.1)244 (56.9)< 0.001
Nasal congestiona143 (9.0)113 (9.7)30 (7.0)0.089
Headachea251 (15.8)211 (18.2)40 (9.3)< 0.001
Myalgiaa398 (25.0)317 (27.3)81 (18.9)< 0.001
Shortness of breath or difficulty breathinga1115 (70.2)317 (27.3)81 (18.9)0.084
Anosmiaa203 (12.8)170 (14.7)33 (7.7)< 0.001
Ageusiaa153 (9.6)128 (11.0)25 (5.8)0.002
Digestive symptomsa271 (17.1)212 (18.3)59 (13.8)0.033
WHO definition casea0.36
Confirmed COVID-19 case1321 (83.1)967 (83.4)354 (82.5)
Probable COVID-19 case164 (10.3)123 (10.6)41 (9.6)
Suspected COVID-19 case104 (6.6)70 (6.0)34 (7.9)
WHO classification of severity at admissiona< 0.001
WHO score = 4–5103 (6.5)54 (4.7)49 (11.4)
WHO score = 6–81350 (85.0)1042 (89.8)308 (71.8)
WHO score = 9–1091 (5.7)35 (3.0)56 (13.1)
Unknown/not reported45 (2.8)29 (2.5)16 (3.7)
Respiratory support at admissiona< 0.001
None242 (15.2)224 (19.3)18 (4.2)
Supplementary oxygen at nasal cannula675 (42.5)562 (48.4)113 (26.3)
Supplementary oxygen at facial mask or NIV409 (25.8)285 (24.6)124 (28.9)
Mechanical ventilation216 (13.6)58 (5.0)158 (36.8)
Unknown/not reported47 (2.9)31 (2.7)16 (3.7)
Vital signs at hospital admissionb
Pulse, bpm87 (78–98)86 (77–97)90 (80–105)<0.001
Respiratory rate, rpm b22 (19–26)21 (19–25)22 (20–27)<0.001
Systolic blood pressure, mmHg b137 (120–150)137 (123–150)136 (118–150)0.084
Diastolic blood pressure, mmHg b80 (71–90)80 (72–90)80 (68–90)<0.001
Laboratory resultsb
Leucocytes, x109/L8.88 (6.24–12.41)8.33 (5.78–11.34)11.5 (7.49–16.08)<0.001
Lymphocytes, x109/L0.98 (0.64–1.49)0.99 (0.65–1.47)0.96 (0.62–1.55)0.67
Platelet count, x109/L241 (145–317)246(179–321)231 (169–304)0.032
INR1.05 (1.00–1.19)1.03 (0.99–1.16)1.10 (1.01–1.26)<0.001
Creatinine, mg/dL1.0 (0.8–1.3)1.0 (0.8–1.2)1.2 (0.9–2.0)<0.001
AST, U/L40 (28–61)41 (25–72)36 (23–56)0.002
ALT, U/L40 (25–68)40 (27–60)44 (31–68)<0.001
Total bilirubin, mg/dL0.5 (0.3–0.7)0.4 (0.3–0.6)0.5 (0.3–0.8)<0.001
Procalcitonin, ng/ml0.16 (0.10–0.49)0.1 (0.1–0.3)0.4 (0.2–1.6)<0.001
C-reactive protein, mg/L14 (7–20)13 (7–20)16 (10–21)<0.001
Erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR), mm/hr75 (47–101)73 (45–100)80 (50–110)0.002

Data expressed as n (%)a or median (IQR)b. ALT, alanine aminotransferase; AST, aspartate aminotransferase; BMI, body mass index; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; COVID-19, Coronavirus disease 2019; INR, international normalized ratio; USD: US dollars; WHO, World Health Organization. COVID-19 was defined according to the WHO COVID-19: Case Definitions (Updated in Public health surveillance for COVID-19, published 16 December 2020) available at https://www.who.int/publications/i/item/WHO-2019-nCoV-Surveillance_Case_Definition-2020.2. Severity of COVID-19 was defined according to the WHO classification of severity[12] . Missing (n): time form onset of symptoms (n = 77); pulse (n = 74); respiratory rate (n = 98), systolic and diastolic blood pressure (n = 75), leucocytes levels (n = 28); lymphocytes levels (n = 35), platelet count (n = 29); INR (n = 213); creatinine levels (n = 38), ALT (n = 134), AST (n = 131), procalcitonin levels (n = 372), c-reactive protein (n = 73), ESR (n = 374).

Flow-chart of RECOVER-SUS participants included for in-hospital mortality and post-discharge analyses. Baseline characteristics of individuals hospitalized at 7 centers in RECOVER-SUS, Brazil, from June 7, 2020 to March 31, 2021. Data expressed as n (%)a or median (IQR)b. ALT, alanine aminotransferase; AST, aspartate aminotransferase; BMI, body mass index; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; COVID-19, Coronavirus disease 2019; INR, international normalized ratio; USD: US dollars; WHO, World Health Organization. COVID-19 was defined according to the WHO COVID-19: Case Definitions (Updated in Public health surveillance for COVID-19, published 16 December 2020) available at https://www.who.int/publications/i/item/WHO-2019-nCoV-Surveillance_Case_Definition-2020.2. Severity of COVID-19 was defined according to the WHO classification of severity[12] . Missing (n): time form onset of symptoms (n = 77); pulse (n = 74); respiratory rate (n = 98), systolic and diastolic blood pressure (n = 75), leucocytes levels (n = 28); lymphocytes levels (n = 35), platelet count (n = 29); INR (n = 213); creatinine levels (n = 38), ALT (n = 134), AST (n = 131), procalcitonin levels (n = 372), c-reactive protein (n = 73), ESR (n = 374).

In-hospital mortality

From participants included (n = 1589), 1108 [69.7% (95% confidence interval – 95%CI 67.4–71.9) were discharged, 21 [1.3% (95%CI 0.9–2.0)] were transferred to another hospital, 31 [2.0% (95%CI 1.4–2.8)] were censored on March 31, 2021 and 429 individuals [27.0% (95%CI 24.8–29.2)] died. Median length of stay was 10 (IQR, 6–19) days; shorter among participants that were discharged 9 (IQR, 5–17) than in participants that died during hospitalization 14 (IQR, 9–24) [p < 0.001]. A total of 98 [22.8% (95%CI 19.1–27.1)] and 156 [36.4% (95%CI 31.9–41.0)] deaths occurred from days 6–10 and 11–20 of hospitalization, respectively. The overall mortality rate was 16.2 (95%CI 14.8–17.8) deaths per 1000 PD. Supplementary Table 3 describes mortality rates according to socio-demographic characteristics or comorbidities/clinical conditions. The 14-day in-hospital survival was significantly higher in people aged lower than 60 years [86.8% (95%CI 82.8–89.9)] at hospital admission compared to those aged 60 years or older [71.7% (95%CI 67.8–75.2)] (log-rank p < 0.001) (Figure 2 A). Additionally, 14-day in-hospital overall survival was higher in people hospitalized from January to March 2021 compared to those hospitalized from June to December 2020 [86.0% (95%CI 81.1–89.7) vs 74.2% (95%CI 70.7–77.4); p < 0.001] (Figure 2B). However, people hospitalized in 2021 were significantly younger and had significantly less severe COVID-19 compared to those hospitalized from June to December 2020 (Supplementary Table 4). Factors independently associated with intra-hospital mortality were [adjusted-Hazard Ratio (aHR) (95%CI)] age=60–69 years [vs age < 40 years; aHR=1.89 (1.08–3.32), p = 0.027]; age=70–79 years [vs age < 40 years; aHR=2.52 (1.42–4.45), p = 0.002]; age ≥ 80 [vs age < 40 years; aHR=2.90 (1.54–5.47), p = 0.001]; NIV or mechanical ventilation at admission [vs facial mask or none; aHR=1.69 (1.30–2.19), p < 0.001], SAPS-III score ≥ 57 [vs SAPS-III score < 57; aHR=1.47 (1.13–1.92), p = 0.004] and SOFA score ≥ 10 [vs SOFA score < 10; aHR=1.51 (1.08–2.10), p = 0.016] (Table 2 ).
Figure 2

In-hospital survival. Overall RECOVER-SUS study survival is shown according to age (A) or year of admission (B) starting on admission day until March 31, 2021in participants hospitalized due to COVID-19.

Table 2

Cox proportional-hazard model for uni- and multivariate analyses.to identify factors associated with intra-hospital mortality in 1589 individuals hospitalized at 7 centers in RECOVER-SUS, Brazil, from June 7, 2020, to March 31, 2021.

Univariate analysis
Multivariate analysis
HR [95% CI]p valueHR [95% CI]p value
Male gender (vs female)0.84 [0.69–1.02]0.0770.80 [0.64–1.01]0.058
Age group40–59 years (vs < 40 years)1.46 [0.87–2.44]0.1531.20 [0.68–2.12]0.535
60–69 years (vs < 40 years)2.27 [1.37–3.76]0.0011.89 [1.08–3.32]0.027
70–79 years (vs < 40 years)3.05 [1.83–5.08]< 0.0012.52 [1.42–4.45]0.002
≥ 80 years (vs < 40 years)3.96 [2.30–6.83]< 0.0012.90 [1.54–5.47]0.001
Non-white skin color (vs white)0.84 [0.67–1.05]0.136
Family income < $4536 per year (vs ≥ $4536)0.95 [0.78–1.17]0.631
Schooling < 8 years (vs ≥ 8 years)1.29 [1.05–1.57]0.0131.08 [0.86–1.35]0.508
BMI ≥ 30 Kg/m2 (vs < 30 Kg/m2)0.75 [0.62–0.92]0.0070.97 [0.77–1.23]0.816
Type-2 Diabetes (yes vs no)1.02 [0.84–1.23]0.846
Arterial Systemic Hypertension (yes vs no)0.91 [0.74–1.12]0.363
COPD (yes vs no)1.22 [0.88–1.69]0.238
NIV or mechanical ventilation (vs nasal cannula or none)2.20 [1.81–2.69]< 0.0011.69 [1.30–2.19]< 0.001
Leukocytosis (vs leucocytes < 10 × 109/L)1.49 [1.22–1.81]< 0.0011.00 [0.79–1.26]0.964
Lymphopenia (vs lymphocytes > 1.00 × 109/L)1.09 [0.90–1.32]0.371
Low platelet count (vs > 150 × 109/L)1.28 [1.00–1.64]0.054
Creatinine levels ≥ 1.5 mg/dL (vs < 1.5 mg/dL)1.71 [1.39–2.09]< 0.0011.11 [0.88–1.41]0.401
ALT levels ≥ 80 UI/L (vs < 80 UI/L)0.82 [0.62–1.09]0.168
AST levels ≥ 80 UI/L (vs < 80 UI/L)1.14 [0.88–1.47]0.322
Protein-C reactive levels ≥ 20 mg/L (vs < 20 mg/L)1.30 [1.05–1.61]0.0161.12 [0.88–1.41]0.365
SAPS III score ≥ 57 (vs SAPS score < 57)2.40 [1.96–2.94]< 0.0011.47 [1.13–1.92]0.004
SOFA score ≥ 10 (vs SOFA score < 10)2.68 [2.04–3.53]< 0.0011.51 [1.08–2.10]0.016

ALT, alanine aminotransferase; AST, aspartate aminotransferase; BMI, body mass index; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; COVID-19, NIV, non-invasive ventilation; Simplified Acute Physiology Score (SAPS) III; Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA). Variables found be associated (p ≤ 0.05) with the analyzed outcome were entered into multivariate models adjusted for age and sex at birth. Procalcitonin level was not entered in the Cox analysis since this variable was not available in all centers. Variables from uni- and multivariate analysis were controlled by center in all Cox analyses. The severity of multicollinearity among variables entered in the multivariate model was quantified by the variance inflation factor (VIF). All variables entered in the multivariate model had VIF values < 2.00 [model mean VIF=1.23].

In-hospital survival. Overall RECOVER-SUS study survival is shown according to age (A) or year of admission (B) starting on admission day until March 31, 2021in participants hospitalized due to COVID-19. Cox proportional-hazard model for uni- and multivariate analyses.to identify factors associated with intra-hospital mortality in 1589 individuals hospitalized at 7 centers in RECOVER-SUS, Brazil, from June 7, 2020, to March 31, 2021. ALT, alanine aminotransferase; AST, aspartate aminotransferase; BMI, body mass index; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; COVID-19, NIV, non-invasive ventilation; Simplified Acute Physiology Score (SAPS) III; Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA). Variables found be associated (p ≤ 0.05) with the analyzed outcome were entered into multivariate models adjusted for age and sex at birth. Procalcitonin level was not entered in the Cox analysis since this variable was not available in all centers. Variables from uni- and multivariate analysis were controlled by center in all Cox analyses. The severity of multicollinearity among variables entered in the multivariate model was quantified by the variance inflation factor (VIF). All variables entered in the multivariate model had VIF values < 2.00 [model mean VIF=1.23].

Post-hospital discharge outcomes

From 1108 participants who were discharged, 972 subjects [87.7% (95%CI 85.7–89.5)] were remotely contacted in a median time of 58 (IQR, 48–74) days after hospital discharge. Overall, 53.3% of post-discharge participants were male, had a median age of 59 (IQR, 48–68) years and median BMI of 28.8 (IQR, 25.0–33.1) Kg/m2. (Table 3 ). Type-2 diabetes and systemic arterial hypertension were reported in 50.0% and 35.3% of participants, respectively. Most individuals had confirmed COVID-19 (83.3%) and had been admitted with non-significant respiratory support (none or nasal cannula=70%). The median length of hospital stay of those individuals was 9 (range, 1–116) days. A total of 65 individuals [6.7% (95%CI 5.3–8.4)] had a rehospitalization or death in a median time of 52 (range, 1–280) days post-hospital discharge. Of those 65 participants with a severe outcome, 9 died without hospitalization, 42 were rehospitalized but remained alive, and 14 died during rehospitalization. Among those who died (n = 23), 57% were female, had a median age of 73 (IQR 70–82) years and 17% were admitted to mechanical ventilation at initial hospitalization. Among those who were rehospitalized but remained alive (n = 42) 50% were female, had a median age of 63 (IQR, 46–72) years, 29% were admitted receiving oxygen support by facial mask at initial hospitalization, and none were in mechanical ventilation.
Table 3

Characteristics at hospital admission of individuals who were hospitalized due to COVID-19 from June 7, 2020 to March 31, 2021 and were remotely contacted to assessment of outcomes post-hospital discharge, RECOVER-SUS, Brazil.

All (n = 972)No post-discharge outcomes (n = 907)Post-discharge outcomes (n = 65)P value
Socio-demographic characteristics
Male sex a518 (53.3)487 (53.7)31 (47.7)0.350
Age b59 (48–68)58 (47–68)68 (54–78)< 0.001
Race/skin-colora0.860
White255 (26.2)240 (26.5)15 (23.1)
Black97 (10.0)89 (9.8)8 (12.3)
Mixed ("Pardo")548 (56.4)510 (56.2)38 (58.5)
Other9 (0.9)9 (1.0)0 (0.0)
Unknown/ not reported63 (6.5)59 (6.5)4 (6.2)
Family income (USD)a
Up to 2268185 (19.0)170 (18.7)15 (23.1)0.790
2269 to 6804424 (43.6)397 (43.8)27 (41.5)
6805 to 13596215 (22.1)203 (22.4)12 (18.5)
More than 1359775 (7.7)70 (7.7)5 (7.7)
Unknown/not reported73 (7.6)67 (7.3)6 (9.2)
Years of schoolinga0.088
Less than 8 years205 (21.1)190 (20.9%)15 (23.1%)
8 to 10 years241 (24.8)223 (24.6%)18 (27.7%)
11 to 14 years344 (35.4)323 (35.6%)21 (32.3%)
More than 14 years144 (14.8)137 (15.1%)7 (10.8%)
Unknown/ not reported38 (4)34 (3.7)7 (6.2)
Comorbidities
Former or current smokera104 (10.7)94 (10.4)10 (15.4)0.870
BMI, Kg/m2a, b28.8 (25.0–33.1)29.0 (25.3–33.1)26.7 (23.0–31.3)0.009
BMI < 25 Kg/m2227 (23.3)203 (22.4)24 (36.9)
BMI=25–29.99 Kg/m2314 (32.3)296 (32.6)18 (27.7)
BMI=30–34.99 Kg/m2227 (23.3)215 (23.7)12 (18.5)
BMI=35–39.99 Kg/m293 (9.6)89 (9.8)4 (6.2)
BMI ≥ 40 Kg/m260 (6.2)57 (6.3)3 (4.6)
Unknown/ not reported51 (5.3)47 (5.2)4 (6.1)
Type-2 diabetesa486 (50.0)443 (48.8)43 (66.2)0.007
Arterial Systemic Hypertensiona343 (35.3)317 (35.0)26 (40.0)0.411
COPDa40 (4.1)36 (4.0)4 (6.2)0.390
Heart diseasea78 (8.0)66 (7.3)12 (18.5)0.001
Chronic kidney diseasea19 (2.0)12 (1.3)7 (10.8)< 0.001
Symptoms
Fever a584 (60.1)552 (60.9)32 (49.2)0.064
Cough a650 (66.9)608 (67.0)42 (64.6)0.690
Nasal congestion a94 (9.7)89 (9.8)5 (7.7)0.580
Headache a173 (17.8)170 (18.7)3 (4.6)0.004
Myalgia a263 (27.1)247 (27.2)16 (24.6)0.650
Shortness of breath or difficulty breathing a680 (70.0)635 (70.0)45 (69.2)0.890
Anosmia a141 (14.5)137 (15.1)4 (6.2)0.048
Ageusia a105 (10.8)103 (11.4)2 (3.1)0.038
Digestive symptoms a176 (18.1)167 (18.4)9 (13.8)0.360
WHO definition casea< 0.001
Confirmed COVID-19 case810 (83.3)768 (84.7)42 (64.6)
Probable COVID-19 case102 (10.5)87 (9.6)15 (23.1)
Suspected COVID-19 case60 (6.2)52 (5.7)8 (12.3)
WHO classification of severity at admissiona0.230
WHO score = 4–538 (4.0)33 (3.6)5 (7.7)
WHO score = 6–8887 (93.1)828 (91.3)59 (90.8)
WHO score = 9–1028 (2.9)27 (3.0)1 (1.5)
Respiratory support at admissiona0.410
None193 (19.9)175 (19.3)18 (27.7)
Supplementary oxygen at nasal cannula487 (50.1)457 (50.4)30 (46.1)
Supplementary oxygen at facial mask or NIV231 (23.7)218 (24.0)13 (20.0)
Mechanical ventilation40 (4.1)36 (4.0)4 (6.2)
Unknown/ not reported21 (2.2)21 (2.3)0 (0.0)
Vital signs at hospital admission b
Pulse, bpm86 (77–97)86 (77–97.)88 (75–96)0.560
Respiratory rate, rpm21 (19–25)22 (19–25)21 (19–24)0.520
Systolic blood pressure, mmHg137 (123–150)137 (123–150)138 (120–150)0.970
Diastolic blood pressure, mmHg80 (72–90)80 (72–90)80 (72–90)0.380
Laboratory results b
Leucocytes, x109/L8.32 (5.80–11.27)8.25(5.79–11.15)9.13 (6.31–11.72)0.130
Lymphocytes, x109/L1.00 (0.65–1.47)1.00 (0.66–1.46)0.97 (0.65–1.68)0.470
Platelet count, x109/L248 (183–325)247 (184–323)249 (178–342)0.780
INR1.03 (0.98–1.14)1.03 (0.98–1.14)1.08 (1.00–1.20)0.017
Creatinine, mg/dL1.0 (0.8–1.2)1.0 (0.8–1.2)1.1 (0.8–1.5)0.077
AST, U/L41 (25–71)41 (26–71)34 (20–60)0.060
ALT, U/L40 (27–60)40 (27–60)35 (26–57)0.190
Total bilirubin, mg/dL0.4 (0.3–0.6)0.4 (0.3–0.6)0.5 (0.3–0.7)0.180
Procalcitonin, ng/dL0.1 (0.1–0.3)0.1 (0.1–0.3)0.2 (0.1–0.9)0.002
C-reactive protein, mg/L13 (7–20)13 (7–20.)9 (6–17)0.110
Erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR), mm/hr72 (45–100)72 (45–100)70 (35–105)0.850

Data expressed as n (%)a or median (IQR)b. ALT, alanine aminotransferase; AST, aspartate aminotransferase; BMI, body mass index; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; COVID-19, Coronavirus disease 2019; NIV, non-invasive ventilation; INR, international normalized ratio; USD: US dollars; WHO, World Health Organization. COVID-19 was defined according to the WHO COVID-19: Case Definitions (Updated in Public health surveillance for COVID-19, published 16 December 2020) available at https://www.who.int/publications/i/item/WHO-2019-nCoV-Surveillance_Case_Definition-2020.2. Severity of COVID-19 was defined according to the WHO classification of severity[12]. Missing (n): BMI (n = 51), time form onset of symptoms (n = 38); respiratory support at admission (n = 21); pulse (n = 42); respiratory rate (n = 51), systolic and diastolic blood pressure (n = 40), leucocytes levels (n = 18); lymphocytes levels (n = 19), platelet count (n = 18); INR (n = 130); creatinine levels (n = 20), ALT (n = 74), AST (n = 75), procalcitonin levels (n = 221), c-reactive protein (n = 25), ESR (n = 220).

Characteristics at hospital admission of individuals who were hospitalized due to COVID-19 from June 7, 2020 to March 31, 2021 and were remotely contacted to assessment of outcomes post-hospital discharge, RECOVER-SUS, Brazil. Data expressed as n (%)a or median (IQR)b. ALT, alanine aminotransferase; AST, aspartate aminotransferase; BMI, body mass index; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; COVID-19, Coronavirus disease 2019; NIV, non-invasive ventilation; INR, international normalized ratio; USD: US dollars; WHO, World Health Organization. COVID-19 was defined according to the WHO COVID-19: Case Definitions (Updated in Public health surveillance for COVID-19, published 16 December 2020) available at https://www.who.int/publications/i/item/WHO-2019-nCoV-Surveillance_Case_Definition-2020.2. Severity of COVID-19 was defined according to the WHO classification of severity[12]. Missing (n): BMI (n = 51), time form onset of symptoms (n = 38); respiratory support at admission (n = 21); pulse (n = 42); respiratory rate (n = 51), systolic and diastolic blood pressure (n = 40), leucocytes levels (n = 18); lymphocytes levels (n = 19), platelet count (n = 18); INR (n = 130); creatinine levels (n = 20), ALT (n = 74), AST (n = 75), procalcitonin levels (n = 221), c-reactive protein (n = 25), ESR (n = 220). The incidence rates of outcomes post-hospital discharge were 123 (95%CI 82–185) deaths per 1000 PY, 272 (95%CI 206–359) rehospitalization per 1000 PY and 323 (95%CI 250–417) death or rehospitalization per 1000 PY. The 60-day-post-discharge survival without severe outcomes (death or rehospitalization) was significantly lower in people aged ≥ 60 years [90.7% (95%CI 87.4–93.1)] compared to those aged lower than 60 years [97.2% (95%CI 95.1–98.5)] (p < 0.001) (Figure 3 ). There was no significant difference in survival without outcomes after hospital discharge according to year of hospital admission between those admitted in hospital from June to December 2020 [93.4% (95% 91.6–95.5)] compared to those hospitalized in 2021 [94.9 (95%CI 91.2–97.1)] (p = 0.577). In the multivariate Cox model considering the parameters at hospital admission (baseline), age ≥ 60 years [vs <60 years; aHR=2.13 (1.15–3.94), p = 0.017] and SAPS-III score > 57 [vs ≤57; aHR=2.37 (1.22–4.59), p = 0.010] were associated with rehospitalization or death after hospital discharge post-COVID-19 (Table 4 ). Presence of diabetes showed a trend to be associated with this outcome adjusted for confounding factors [aHR=1.67 (95%CI 0.95–2.94), p = 0.077].
Figure 3

Survival without severe outcomes after hospital discharge. Survival for COVID-19 patients without rehospitalization or death outcomes in the RECOVER-SUS study is shown for age groups ≤60 and ≥60 years from day of discharge until 9 months after hospital discharge.

Table 4

Cox proportional-hazard model for uni- and multivariate analyses.to identify factors associated with severe outcomes (rehospitalization or death) in 972 individuals discharged from hospital admission due to COVID-19 at 7 centers in RECOVER-SUS, Brazil, from June 7, 2020, to March 31, 2021.

Univariate analysis
Multivariate analysis
HR [95% CI]p valueHR [95% CI]p value
Male gender (vs female)1.09 [0.66–1.82]0.7330.91 [0.53–1.56]0.726
Age ≥ 60 years (vs < 60 years)2.87 [1.63–5.04]< 0.0012.13 [1.15–3.94]0.017
Non-white skin color (vs white)1.17 [0.62–2.18]0.628
Family income < $4536 per year (vs ≥ $4536)1.48 [0.86–2.56]0.160
Schooling < 8 years (vs ≥ 8 years)1.21 [0.71–2.06]0.483
BMI ≥ 30 Kg/m2 (vs < 30 Kg/m2)0.62 [0.35–1.11]0.106
Diabetes (yes vs no)2.13 [1.24–3.67]0.0061.67 [0.95–2.94]0.077
Hypertension (yes vs no)1.21 [0.72–2.04]0.478
COPD (yes vs no)1.25 [0.39–4.00]0.705
NIV or mechanical ventilation (vs facial mask or none)0.89 [0.28–2.87]0.850
Duration of hospitalization ≥ 28 days (vs < 28 days)1.25 [0.56–2.75]0.586
Leukocytosis (vs leucocytes < 10 × 109/L)1.48 [0.88–2.48]0.135
Lymphopenia (vs lymphocytes > 1.00 × 109/L)1.31 [0.79–2.20]0.298
Low platelet count (vs > 150 × 109/L)1.59 [0.83–3.02]0.160
Creatinine levels ≥ 1.5 mg/dL (vs < 1.5 mg/dL)3.00 [1.71–5.27]< 0.0011.60 [0.82–3.14]0.169
ALT levels ≥ 80 UI/L (vs < 80 UI/L)0.77 [0.38–1.57]0.472
AST levels ≥ 80 UI/L (vs < 80 UI/L)1.17 [0.57–2.38]0.670
Protein-C reactive levels ≥ 20 mg/L (vs < 20 mg/L)0.60 [0.30–1.19]0.141
SAPS III score ≥ 57 (vs SAPS score < 57)3.67 [2.06–6.52]< 0.0012.37 [1.22–4.59]0.010
SOFA score ≥ 10 (vs SOFA score < 10)1.02 [0.14–7.42]0.981

ALT, alanine aminotransferase; AST, aspartate aminotransferase; BMI, body mass index; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; COVID-19, NIV, non-invasive ventilation; Simplified Acute Physiology Score (SAPS) III. Variables found be associated (p ≤ 0.05) with the analyzed outcome were entered into multivariate models adjusted for age and sex at birth. Procalcitonin level was not entered in the Cox analysis since this variable was not available in all centers. Variables from uni- and multivariate analysis were controlled by center in all Cox analyses. The severity of multicollinearity among variables entered in the multivariate model was quantified by the variance inflation factor (VIF). All variables entered in the multivariate model had VIF values < 2.00 [model mean VIF=1.09].

Survival without severe outcomes after hospital discharge. Survival for COVID-19 patients without rehospitalization or death outcomes in the RECOVER-SUS study is shown for age groups ≤60 and ≥60 years from day of discharge until 9 months after hospital discharge. Cox proportional-hazard model for uni- and multivariate analyses.to identify factors associated with severe outcomes (rehospitalization or death) in 972 individuals discharged from hospital admission due to COVID-19 at 7 centers in RECOVER-SUS, Brazil, from June 7, 2020, to March 31, 2021. ALT, alanine aminotransferase; AST, aspartate aminotransferase; BMI, body mass index; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; COVID-19, NIV, non-invasive ventilation; Simplified Acute Physiology Score (SAPS) III. Variables found be associated (p ≤ 0.05) with the analyzed outcome were entered into multivariate models adjusted for age and sex at birth. Procalcitonin level was not entered in the Cox analysis since this variable was not available in all centers. Variables from uni- and multivariate analysis were controlled by center in all Cox analyses. The severity of multicollinearity among variables entered in the multivariate model was quantified by the variance inflation factor (VIF). All variables entered in the multivariate model had VIF values < 2.00 [model mean VIF=1.09].

Discussion

This prospective study, the first to our knowledge describing incidence and risk factors associated with severe COVID-19 outcomes after hospital discharge in Brazil, revealed factors associated with in-hospital mortality and incidence of severe outcomes, including rehospitalization or death, in a large multicentric cohort. The main strengths of the study were the prospective study design, the structured data collection in electronic forms by trained abstractors and the follow-up after hospital discharge of a large real-life cohort in Brazil. Most studies reporting in-hospital mortality due to COVID-19 to date in Brazil have been retrospective analyses. Our findings have important implications for optimizing the management during hospitalization due to COVID-19 and after hospital discharge in low-to-middle income countries. We observed high mortality rates during hospitalization; older age, substantial ventilation support and high severity scores at hospital admission were significantly associated with in-hospital mortality. Even after hospital discharge, people aged more than 60 years and with high SAPS-III scores at hospital admission remained at relatively high risk of complications during outpatient follow-up. Several studies have reported risk factors associated with in-hospital mortality due to COVID-19. Our findings were aligned with a previous multicenter study performed in Greece that analyzed in-hospital mortality in a cohort enrolling 3062 individuals with similar demographic and clinical characteristics. On the other hand, a U.S. multicentric, retrospective study, which analyzed data from 2491 patients with similar median age (62 years) and higher proportion of individuals under mechanical ventilation at admission (19%) compared to our sample, reported lower in-hospital mortality rate (17%). Additionally, a retrospective study that analyzed data from 10,021 patients from 920 hospitals in Germany reported that 22.3% of individuals died during hospitalization due to COVID-19. Our study identified that older people needing substantial ventilation support are at higher risk of in-hospital mortality, as previously described. The effect of age on mortality of patients hospitalized with COVID-19 with or without association with comorbidities or medical conditions remain unclear. Zeiser et al. reported that in-hospital mortality subsequently increased in sub-groups of patients aged ≥60 years in a retrospective analysis of a nationwide Brazilian database. Our prospective study confirmed this finding, as we observed an increased age-related risk of in-hospital mortality in patients hospitalized with COVID-19 adjusted for confounding factors. Our findings highlight the importance of stratifying patients with COVID-19 with SAPS-III and SOFA scores at hospital admission to predict in-hospital mortality. Interestingly, metabolic features or co-morbidities were not associated with in-hospital mortality. This finding might be explained by collinearity with severity scores (SAPS-III and/or SOFA) that include parameters related with multiple organs/systems dysfunctions. A retrospective study from the Brazilian COVID-19 Registry (data from 25 hospitals) reported that in-hospital mortality was 22%, but this can be up to 48% for patients treated in ICU. Another retrospective analysis of a nationwide Brazilian database with more than 250,000 hospitalizations reported a high proportion of deaths (38%) that dramatically increased when people were admitted under mechanical ventilation (up to 80%). These contradictory findings might be explained because Brazil is the fifth largest country in the world, with different climates and ethnically and culturally diverse, which might comprise different epidemiological stages of COVID-19 pandemic in different regions at the same time. A recent study retrospective analysis of a dataset that characterizes the COVID-19 pandemic in Brazil (n = 11,321) reported different mortality rates according to geographic distribution and ethnical characteristics. We observed that in-hospital survival increased throughout the pandemic, as the mortality rate was significantly higher in individuals hospitalized in 2020 compared to those admitted since January 2021. This finding was also reported in a systematic review and meta-analysis that identified a significant reduction in mortality rates during the pandemic in patients admitted into ICUs after adjusted for geographic location. This might be explained by a better knowledge of the disease and its clinical management through the COVID-19 pandemic and/or changes in patients’ profile due to the emergence of new variants with different severity. We observed that people admitted in 2021 were younger and seemed to have less severe disease at hospital admission compared to those hospitalized in 2020 (Supplementary Table 4). However, other factors might be related to the difference of in-hospital mortality observed between both periods, such as different virus lineages and a seasonal effect due to potential co-infections with other respiratory viruses in winter. In addition, a better survival might be associated with a lower level of occupation of hospital beds in the second period. Protection from vaccination was probably minimal if any, as a very low proportion (2.0%) of people in Brazil were fully vaccinated by this study's censure date (March 31, 2021). Importantly, we described relatively high incidence of severe outcomes (rehospitalization or death) after hospital discharge. To the best of our knowledge, this was one of the first studies conducted in Brazil, epicenter of the COVID-19 pandemic in South America, that described incidence of post-discharge outcomes. After hospitalization, 6.7% of the study participants initially discharged were readmitted for any cause or died after hospital discharge. This finding was aligned with previous multicentric studies that reported readmission rates from 4.5 to 7%.20, 21, 22 Our study highlighted that older individuals and those admitted with severe COVID-19 disease remain at risk of complications after discharge. The higher mortality and rehospitalization rates in the elderly could be due to a lower avidity in mounting a humoral response in those individuals. These results can help policymakers to reduce the burden of COVID-19 rehospitalizations in a short-term follow-up. However, it should be noted that hospital readmission is only one of multiple impacts of critical illness due to COVID-19. In the long term, patients recovering from severe COVID-19 may require lengthy rehabilitation before resuming work and other daily activities. Therefore, the healthcare system will need to develop best practices and clinical recommendations for the management of COVID-19 patients after initial hospital discharge. This study has some limitations. First, there was a considerable imbalance among the seven centers that recruited participants for the RECOVER-SUS study (Supplementary Table 1), since 87% of participants were from Rio de Janeiro, mainly at INI-FIOCRUZ (n = 1325). However, we minimized a potential within-center clustering effect by adjusting all analyses by the variable “center”. The variable age could be stratified in five sub-groups to evaluate the effect of different age strata on in-hospital mortality. However, this was unfeasible for analysis of incidence of outcomes post-hospital discharge due to a relatively low number of events (n = 65). Second, the COVID-19 vaccination status of participants at hospital admission was lacking. However, participants included in 2020 were not vaccinated, and COVID-19 vaccination officially started in 2021 (end of January) exclusively for elderly people (> 80 years) and healthcare workers. Moreover, only 2.0% of the Brazilian population were fully vaccinated on the date of censure for this analysis (March 31, 2021). Third, the SARS-CoV-2 genetic lineages were available for a limited sub-sample of participants. Finally, despite repeated contact attempts, 12% of the participants discharged were not evaluated at and hence not included in the post discharge outcomes analysis. However, most clinical and laboratorial characteristics were similar between those participants included and excluded in this analysis (Supplementary Table 5). In addition, causes of death for those who died after discharge were unknown, which is a limitation of the present study. In conclusion, this prospective study reported high in-hospital mortality rates in a multicentric, well characterized cohort of individuals hospitalized in Brazil. Older age, need of substantial ventilation support, especially mechanical ventilation, and high severity scores were independently associated with in-hospital mortality. Additionally, individuals aged ≥ 60 years and those with high SAPS-III score at hospital admission remained at high risk of rehospitalization and death after hospital discharge. This study underscores the need to monitor critically ill patients with COVID-19 after hospital discharge. Further studies are needed to understand the long-term impact of post-COVID-19 syndrome.

Contributors

HP: conceptualisation, investigation, formal analysis, writing – original draft, writing – review & editing; SWC: project administration, investigation, writing – review & editing; MPD, RM, LC, EJ, AMJ, EPG, EPN, HBA, LBG, MTF, PMAR, TF, VDR, ALCCT, HCN, PMOL, CS: data curation, investigation, writing – review & editing; RM, VP: software, investigation, formal analysis, writing – review & editing; KG, LF: Project administration; ECJ, CLXN, TNLS, AVS, GAP, FCQM: supervision, investigation, writing – review & editing; VGV, BG: conceptualization, supervision, project administration, funding acquisition, investigation, writing – review & editing

Data sharing statement

All data from the current study are reported in the manuscript, tables and supplementary material. In addition, data are available upon a reasonable request to Hugo Perazzo, the corresponding author, from The Evandro Chagas National Institute of Infectious Disease, Oswaldo Cruz Foundation, Rio de Janeiro (RJ), Brazil

Declaration of interests

Estevão Portela Nunes has received payment for lectures by Gilead; Alexandre Vargas Schwarzbold has received grants from AZ, MSD and Clover Biopharm; Fernanda Carvalho de Queiroz Mello has been acting as the President of the Society of Pneumonology and Tisiology fo the State of Rio de Janeiro (no payment) and Beatriz Grinsztejn has been participating in Advisory Board of Merck; GSK/ViiV and Janssen; The other authors declare no conflicts of interest.
  21 in total

1.  Research electronic data capture (REDCap)--a metadata-driven methodology and workflow process for providing translational research informatics support.

Authors:  Paul A Harris; Robert Taylor; Robert Thielke; Jonathon Payne; Nathaniel Gonzalez; Jose G Conde
Journal:  J Biomed Inform       Date:  2008-09-30       Impact factor: 6.317

2.  The achievements of the SUS in tackling the communicable diseases.

Authors:  Maria Glória Teixeira; Maria da Conceição Nascimento Costa; Enny Santos da Paixão; Eduardo Hage Carmo; Florisneide Rodrigues Barreto; Gerson Oliveira Penna
Journal:  Cien Saude Colet       Date:  2018-06

Review 3.  Postcritical illness vulnerability.

Authors:  Hallie C Prescott; Jeremy B Sussman; W Joost Wiersinga
Journal:  Curr Opin Crit Care       Date:  2020-10       Impact factor: 3.687

4.  Characteristics of patients discharged and readmitted after COVID-19 hospitalisation within a large integrated health system in the United States.

Authors:  Cheng-Wei Huang; Prashant P Desai; Kenneth K Wei; In-Lu Amy Liu; Janet S Lee; Huong Q Nguyen
Journal:  Infect Dis (Lond)       Date:  2021-05-08

5.  COVID-19-Related Circumstances for Hospital Readmissions: A Case Series From 2 New York City Hospitals.

Authors:  Justin J Choi; Jigar H Contractor; Amy L Shaw; Youmna Abdelghany; Jesse Frye; Madelyn Renzetti; Emily Smith; Leland R Soiefer; Shuting Lu; Justin R Kingery; Jamuna K Krishnan; William J Levine; Monika M Safford; Martin F Shapiro
Journal:  J Patient Saf       Date:  2021-06-01       Impact factor: 2.243

6.  Association of Age With SARS-CoV-2 Antibody Response.

Authors:  He S Yang; Victoria Costa; Sabrina E Racine-Brzostek; Karen P Acker; Jim Yee; Zhengming Chen; Mohsen Karbaschi; Robert Zuk; Sophie Rand; Ashley Sukhu; P J Klasse; Melissa M Cushing; Amy Chadburn; Zhen Zhao
Journal:  JAMA Netw Open       Date:  2021-03-01

Review 7.  A minimal common outcome measure set for COVID-19 clinical research.

Authors: 
Journal:  Lancet Infect Dis       Date:  2020-06-12       Impact factor: 25.071

8.  Clinical course and risk factors for mortality of adult inpatients with COVID-19 in Wuhan, China: a retrospective cohort study.

Authors:  Fei Zhou; Ting Yu; Ronghui Du; Guohui Fan; Ying Liu; Zhibo Liu; Jie Xiang; Yeming Wang; Bin Song; Xiaoying Gu; Lulu Guan; Yuan Wei; Hui Li; Xudong Wu; Jiuyang Xu; Shengjin Tu; Yi Zhang; Hua Chen; Bin Cao
Journal:  Lancet       Date:  2020-03-11       Impact factor: 79.321

9.  Risk Factors for Intensive Care Unit Admission and In-hospital Mortality Among Hospitalized Adults Identified through the US Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)-Associated Hospitalization Surveillance Network (COVID-NET).

Authors:  Lindsay Kim; Shikha Garg; Alissa O'Halloran; Michael Whitaker; Huong Pham; Evan J Anderson; Isaac Armistead; Nancy M Bennett; Laurie Billing; Kathryn Como-Sabetti; Mary Hill; Sue Kim; Maya L Monroe; Alison Muse; Arthur L Reingold; William Schaffner; Melissa Sutton; H Keipp Talbot; Salina M Torres; Kimberly Yousey-Hindes; Rachel Holstein; Charisse Cummings; Lynnette Brammer; Aron J Hall; Alicia M Fry; Gayle E Langley
Journal:  Clin Infect Dis       Date:  2021-05-04       Impact factor: 9.079

10.  COVID-19 as the leading cause of hospital deaths in the Brazilian public health system in 2020.

Authors:  Ivan Ricardo Zimmermann; Mauro Niskier Sanchez; Layana Costa Alves; Gustavo Saraiva Frio; Fabrício Vieira Cavalcante; Juan José Cortez-Escalante; Everton Nunes da Silva; Leonor Maria Pacheco Santos
Journal:  Int J Infect Dis       Date:  2021-10-02       Impact factor: 3.623

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1.  Inflammasome Genetic Variants Are Associated with Protection to Clinical Severity of COVID-19 among Patients from Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.

Authors:  Nathalia Beatriz Ramos de Sá; Milena Neira-Goulart; Marcelo Ribeiro-Alves; Hugo Perazzo; Kim Mattos Geraldo; Maria Pia Diniz Ribeiro; Sandra Wagner Cardoso; Beatriz Grinsztejn; Valdiléa G Veloso; Artur Capão; Marilda Mendonça Siqueira; Ohanna Cavalcanti de Lima Bezerra; Cristiana Couto Garcia; Larissa Rodrigues Gomes; Andressa da Silva Cazote; Dalziza Victalina de Almeida; Carmem Beatriz Wagner Giacoia-Gripp; Fernanda Heloise Côrtes; Mariza Gonçalves Morgado
Journal:  Biomed Res Int       Date:  2022-09-05       Impact factor: 3.246

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