| Literature DB >> 35246582 |
Abstract
Public health emergency decisions are explored to ensure the emergency response measures in an environment where various emergencies occur frequently. An emergency decision is essentially a multi-criteria risk decision-making problem. The feasibility of applying prospect theory to emergency decisions is analyzed, and how psychological behaviors of decision-makers impact decision-making results are quantified. On this basis, the cognitive process of public health emergencies is investigated based on the rough set theory. A Decision Rule Extraction Algorithm (denoted as A-DRE) that considers attribute costs is proposed, which is then applied for attribute reduction and rule extraction on emergency datasets. In this way, decision-makers can obtain reduced decision table attributes quickly. Considering that emergency decisions require the participation of multiple departments, a framework is constructed to solve multi-department emergency decisions. The technical characteristics of the blockchain are in line with the requirements of decentralization and multi-party participation in emergency management. The core framework of the public health emergency management system-plan, legal system, mechanism, and system can play an important role. When [Formula: see text], the classification accuracy under the K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN) classifier reaches 73.5%. When [Formula: see text], the classification accuracy under the Support Vector Machines (SVM) classifier reaches 86.4%. It can effectively improve China's public health emergency management system and improve the efficiency of emergency management. By taking Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) as an example, the weight and prospect value functions of different decision-maker attributes are constructed based on prospect theory. The optimal rescue plan is finally determined. A-DRE can consider the cost of each attribute in the decision table and the ability to classify it correctly; moreover, it can reduce the attributes and extract the rules on the COVID-19 dataset, suitable for decision-makers' situation face once an emergency occurs. The emergency decision approach based on rough set attribute reduction and prospect theory can acquire practical decision-making rules while considering the different risk preferences of decision-makers facing different decision-making results, which is significant for the rapid development of public health emergency assistance and disaster relief.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2022 PMID: 35246582 PMCID: PMC8897403 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-022-07493-w
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Sci Rep ISSN: 2045-2322 Impact factor: 4.379
Figure 1The evolution process of the emergency scenario.
Figure 2Basic procedures of A-DRE.
Figure 3Trend of the value function.
Gray emergency decision matrix of each rule attribute.
| Rule property | Status | Probability | Probability | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| … | ||||||
| … | ||||||
| … | ||||||
| … | … | … | … | … | … | … |
| … | ||||||
Figure 4Selection process of multi-department emergency decision.
Figure 5Classification accuracy of different data reduction algorithms.
Figure 6Number of attributes retained by different data reduction algorithms.
Figure 7A-DRE attribute reduction results in the COVID-19 Dataset.
Initial evaluation information.
| Time | Alternative scheme | c1 | c2 | c3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| t1 | x1 | 4 | [2,5] | [VG,MG] |
| x2 | 4 | [4,7] | [G,MG] | |
| x3 | 5 | [3,6] | [MG,MP] | |
| t2 | x1 | 3 | [4,6] | [G,MG] |
| x2 | 6 | [6,12] | [MG,M] | |
| x3 | 5 | [5,9] | [MG,M] | |
| t2 | x1 | 3 | [4,6] | [G,MG] |
| x2 | 5 | [6,11] | [MG,M] | |
| x3 | 6 | [8,15] | [MG,M] | |
| t3 | x1 | 3 | [5,6] | [G,MG] |
| x2 | 7 | [9,12] | [M,MP] | |
| x3 | 6 | [7,10] | [MG,M] |