| Literature DB >> 35114974 |
Elise Tan1, Lan Gao2, Janice M Collier3, Fiona Ellery3, Helen M Dewey4, Julie Bernhardt3, Marj Moodie2.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: To estimate the short term (5 years) and long term (30 years) economic burden of stroke among younger adults (18-64 years), and to calculate the loss of health-related quality of life in these individuals, in Australia.Entities:
Keywords: Burden; Economic; Societal; Stroke; Young
Mesh:
Year: 2022 PMID: 35114974 PMCID: PMC8811989 DOI: 10.1186/s12889-021-12400-5
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BMC Public Health ISSN: 1471-2458 Impact factor: 3.295
Fig. 1Structure of the cost of illness microsimulation model. Notes. The assumption is that a patient’s health state cannot improve. mRS modified Rankin Scale
Model inputs, varied by mRS score
| mRS 0 | 0.1654 (0.1489–0.1820)b | 0.85 (0.76–1.00) | 0.85 (0.80–1.00) |
| mRS 1 | 0.2964 (0.2668–0.3261)b | 0.78 (0.67–0.94) | 0.80 (0.75–0.90) |
| mRS 2 | 0.2551 (0.2296–0.2806)b | 0.67 (0.53–0.89) | 0.70 (0.53–0.75) |
| mRS 3 | 0.1379 (0.1241–0.1516)b | 0.30 (0.12–0.42) | 0.51 (0.45–0.65) |
| mRS 4 | 0.0276 (0.0248–0.0303)b | 0.11 (0.02–0.20) | 0.30 (0.25–0.55) |
| mRS 5 | 0.0310 (0.0279–0.0341)b | 0.03 (0.00–0.07) | 0.15 (0.00–0.32) |
| mRS 6 | 0.0866 (0.0779–0.0953) [ | – | – |
| mRS 0 | 15,464 (5685-26,522) | 570 (0–1140) | 14,733 (0–32,196) |
| mRS 1 | 21,901 (6106-39,353) | 2112 (0–4224) | 27,400 (0–50,593) |
| mRS 2 | 40,408 (14,837-51,458) | 5236 (140–6460) | 47,534 (0–87,389) |
| mRS 3 | 68,199 (44,273-68,953) | 30,821 (13,133-40,867) | 36,357 (0–87,389) |
| mRS 4 | 85,578 (71,406-103,792) | 58,569 (29,341-74,610) | 43,301 (0–91,988) |
| mRS 5 | 140,089 (71,464-161,818) | 82,999 (46,339-70,034) | 40,781 (0–87,389) |
| mRS 6 | 43,644 (3918-42,359) | 19,738 (0–2627) | 39,612 (0–82,789) |
| mRS 0 | 1400 (0–2800) | 576 (0–1152) | – |
| mRS 1 | 1400 (0–2800) | 576 (0–1152) | 2998 (0–5996) |
| mRS 2 | 1774 (0–3548) | 730 (0–1460) | 19,855 (0–39,710) |
| mRS 3 | 1774 (0–3548) | 730 (0–1460) | 27,875 (0–55,750) |
| mRS 4 | 13,715 (0–27,430) | 5648 (0–11,296) | 43,301 (0–86,602) |
| mRS 5 | 17,545 (0–35,090) | 7225 (0–14,450) | 40,781 (0–81,562) |
| mRS 6 | – | – | – |
mRS modified Rankin Scale, AUD Australian dollar
aThe range used for sensitivity analyses
bDerived from AVERT trial patient level data
Utility scores for the Australian general population and the Australian AVERT stroke population
| Age group (years) | Utility scores | |
|---|---|---|
| General population [ | AVERT stroke population ( | |
| < 40 | 0.85 | 0.72 ( |
| 40–49 | 0.81 | 0.65 ( |
| 50–59 | 0.80 | 0.61 ( |
| 60–69 | 0.80 | 0.56 ( |
| 70–79 | 0.76 | 0.46 ( |
| 80–85 | 0.70 | 0.35 ( |
Results for short term and long term modelled analyses
| Summed | Per case | |
|---|---|---|
| Effect (QALYs) | 41,606.71 | 3.07 |
| Cost (total), AUD | 2,022,135,241 | 149,180 |
| Medical | 708,809,346 | 52,291 |
| Nonmedical | 246,423,317 | 18,180 |
| Indirect | 1,066,902,578 | 78,709 |
| Effect (QALYs) | 41,334.16 | 3.05 |
| Cost (total), AUD | 2,079,467,525 | 153,410 |
| Effect (QALYs) | 200,972.80 | 14.83 |
| Cost (total), AUD | 3,385,762,610 | 249,780 |
| Medical | 1,351,299,747 | 99,690 |
| Nonmedical | 537,102,689 | 39,624 |
| Indirect | 1,497,360,174 | 110,466 |
| Effect (QALYs) | 192,775.16 | 14.22 |
| Cost (total), AUD | 3,707,241,600 | 273,496 |
QALYs = quality-adjusted life years; AUD = Australian dollar
Fig. 2Tornado diagram. Notes. This diagram illustrates the change in the expected value (Australian dollars) when variables are tested within a range of input parameters
Fig. 3Results of probabilistic sensitivity analysis over the short term (5 years). Notes. This figure illustrates the range of outputs from the model for total costs (Australian dollars) and QALYs gained per case over 5 years. Orange colour denotes the 95% confidence interval. QALYs quality-adjusted life years
Fig. 4Results of probabilistic sensitivity analysis over the long term (30 years). Notes. This figure illustrates the range of outputs from the model for total costs (Australian dollars) and QALYs gained per case over the 30 years. Orange colour denotes the 95% confidence interval. QALYs quality-adjusted life years
Results for loss of life years and loss of health-related quality of life
| Age (years) | N | Remaining LYs | Loss of LYs | Loss of QALYs | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| General pop [ | Stroke pop | Base case | Sensitivity analysis | |||
| < 25 | 499 | 61.90 | 52.15 | 9.75 | 15.37 | 16.76 |
| 25–34 | 657 | 53.15 | 45.18 | 7.97 | 12.91 | 14.92 |
| 35–44 | 1649 | 43.53 | 37.35 | 6.18 | 10.98 | 12.58 |
| 45–54 | 3842 | 34.15 | 29.41 | 4.74 | 9.42 | 10.47 |
| 55–64 | 6908 | 25.19 | 21.78 | 3.41 | 7.88 | 8.38 |
| Average weighted loss | 4.58 | 9.21 | 10.11 | |||
Notes. The health burden of stroke compared to that of the general population of the same age for the estimated 13,555 hypothetical younger adult stroke cases in 2018. LYs life years, QALYs quality-adjusted life years, pop population